Zane Petty — OGILVIE

Zane Petty P Hill City Howlers

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 165 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%21.3%

BB%13.4%

K-BB%8.0%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	7	0	9	44	8	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	20.5%	-2.3%	0.0%	2.89	4.16	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	7	0	9	44	8	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	20.5%	-2.3%	0.0%	2.89	4.16	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	7	0	9	44	8	9	0	0%	1.3	18.2%	20.5%	-2.3%	0.0%	2.89	4.28	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	35	0	82	359	83	52	12	0%	2.3	16.5%	17.1%	-0.5%	4.9%	5.60	6.56	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	35	0	82	359	83	52	12	0%	2.3	16.5%	17.1%	-0.5%	4.9%	5.60	6.56	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	A RAW	CLE	29	0	73	318	71	46	12	0%	2.5	22.3%	14.5%	7.9%	3.8%	6.04	5.12	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	CLE	6	0	9	41	12	6	0	0%	1.5	29.3%	14.6%	14.6%	0.0%	2.00	2.48	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	79	0	83	352	78	41	11	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.7%	10.4%	3.0%	4.83	4.74	-0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	81	0	85	361	82	38	11	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.7%	12.0%	3.0%	4.65	4.55	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	82	0	86	365	84	37	11	0%	1.1	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.43	+0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	82	0	86	365	85	36	11	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.44	4.40	+0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	81	0	85	360	83	36	11	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.0%	13.2%	3.0%	4.44	4.44	+0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	79	0	83	349	80	35	11	0%	1.0	23.1%	10.1%	12.9%	3.1%	4.49	4.53	+0.0
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	75	0	79	333	83	32	11	0%	1.1	24.8%	9.6%	15.3%	3.3%	4.43	4.39	+0.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	71	0	74	313	77	31	11	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.9%	14.6%	3.5%	4.51	4.56	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	39	0	41	173	38	20	5	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.7%	10.4%	3.0%	4.83	4.74	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	57	0	60	253	57	27	8	0%	1.1	22.7%	10.7%	12.0%	3.0%	4.65	4.55	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	67	0	70	296	68	30	9	0%	1.0	23.0%	10.0%	13.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.43	+0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	72	0	76	321	74	32	10	0%	1.1	23.2%	9.9%	13.3%	3.0%	4.44	4.40	+0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	73	0	77	325	75	32	10	0%	1.1	23.2%	10.0%	13.2%	3.0%	4.44	4.44	+0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	72	0	76	321	74	33	10	0%	1.1	23.1%	10.1%	12.9%	3.1%	4.49	4.53	+0.0
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	70	0	73	308	77	29	10	0%	1.0	24.8%	9.6%	15.3%	3.3%	4.43	4.39	+0.1
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	66	0	69	291	71	29	10	0%	1.0	24.5%	9.9%	14.6%	3.5%	4.51	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		516	0	542	2289	536	232	71	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.1%	13.3%	3.1%	4.52	4.11	+2.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	198	86	26	0%	1.1	23.4%	10.1%	13.3%	3.1%	4.52	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		42	0	91	403	67	70	18	0%	2.2	16.7%	17.4%	-0.7%	4.4%	5.32	6.30	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		92	0	200	882	147	154	39	0%	2.2	16.7%	17.4%	-0.7%	4.4%	5.32	6.30	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zane Petty (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	21.3%	13.4%	3.1%	—	4.57	22.6%	11.8%	255	-0.47	—	—	—
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	90
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	88
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	87
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	86
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	86
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	85
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	85
Adam Ravenelle R 2015 · 4.32 FIP	22	SU	4.32	19.6%	14.8%	1.8%	.322	5.06	17.1%	4.3%	130	+0.74	4.32	165	85
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	85
Marc Davis R 2022 · 5.26 FIP	22	SU	5.26	20.7%	14.0%	3.9%	.151	4.87	17.1%	-0.3%	88	-0.39	4.02	111	84
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	84
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	84
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	84
Bailey Dees R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	23	SU	4.26	21.3%	13.2%	2.4%	.248	4.35	21.3%	9.7%	278	+0.09	3.41	330	84
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	84
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	84
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	83
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	83

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.4	76	23.2%	10.3%	1.19	4.55
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Junior Guerra ('21)	2.5	84	21.3%	11.0%	1.16	4.04
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59