Zane Petty
P
Hill City Howlers
Age 22
RHP
6'1" / 165 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 38 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 101
ERA4.44
FIP4.44
K%23.0%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP38
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 7 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.2% | 20.5% | -2.3% | 0.0% | 2.89 | 4.16 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 7 | 0 | 9 | 44 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.2% | 20.5% | -2.3% | 0.0% | 2.89 | 4.28 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Hill City Howlers | 24 | 0 | 62 | 278 | 60 | 40 | 11 | 0% | 2.6 | 16.0% | 17.0% | -1.0% | 5.1% | 6.06 | 6.73 | -1.5 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | 36 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 3.1% | 4.44 | 4.44 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 100 | 437 | 97 | 55 | 16 | — | — | 22.1% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 5.45 | 5.86 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 41 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 39 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 42 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 4.17 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 39 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 42 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.8% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 4.13 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 42 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 3.1% | 4.19 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | CLE | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 29 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | CLE | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 3.0% | 4.17 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 8.6% | 16.2% | 3.0% | 4.13 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 38 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.8% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 4.14 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | CLE | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 37 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 15.8% | 3.1% | 4.19 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 179 | 0 | 187 | 792 | 194 | 69 | 24 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 3.79 | +3.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 74 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.5% | 8.7% | 15.8% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 3.79 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 31 | 0 | 72 | 322 | 52 | 56 | 14 | 0% | 2.3 | 16.3% | 17.5% | -1.2% | 4.4% | 5.65 | 6.37 | -1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 87 | 0 | 200 | 899 | 146 | 157 | 40 | 0% | 2.3 | 16.3% | 17.5% | -1.2% | 4.4% | 5.65 | 6.37 | -2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zane Petty (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.44 | 23.0% | 9.7% | 3.1% | — | 4.19 | 24.2% | 15.4% | 120 | -0.25 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 91 |
| Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 88 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 87 |
| David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 87 |
| Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 86 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2026 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.31 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.04 | 3.27 | 128 | 86 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.74 | 18.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | .298 | 4.94 | 14.8% | 4.1% | 103 | +0.20 | 4.74 | 149 | 85 |
| Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.7% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .258 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 6.4% | 107 | +0.63 | 3.89 | 145 | 85 |
| Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 85 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2028 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 85 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 85 |
| Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 85 |
| Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 84 |
| Alex Cook R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.93 | 26.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | .266 | 3.69 | 22.1% | 13.7% | 83 | -0.24 | 3.04 | 149 | 84 |
| Troy Bacon R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.48 | 21.8% | 10.0% | 3.6% | .349 | 5.02 | 18.2% | 5.7% | 83 | +0.54 | 3.43 | 203 | 84 |
| Bryan Bonnell R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.28 | 21.3% | 11.3% | 2.8% | .338 | 4.61 | 16.8% | 10.5% | 179 | +0.33 | 3.59 | 333 | 84 |
| Colby Morris R 2028 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 84 |
| Parker Curry R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 84 |
| Alex Klonowski R 2027 · 3.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.32 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.6% | .331 | 4.90 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 413 | +1.58 | 3.32 | 539 | 83 |
| Jacob Dorris R 2027 · 3.86 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.86 | 26.9% | 12.4% | 2.7% | .295 | 4.59 | 19.2% | 8.8% | 88 | +0.73 | 3.86 | 130 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 40 | 24.3% | 8.9% | 1.17 | 4.23 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Dominic Leone ('23) | 7 | 46 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 1.33 | 3.81 |