Josh Tiedemann

P Tampa Tarpons

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 165 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ROKNYY	1	1	2	13.50	3.10	27.3%	18.2%	—	K 27.3% · BB 18.2% · FIP 3.10
2025	21	MIX2 levels	10	0	17	9.18	6.28	25.9%	17.6%	—	K 25.9% · BB 17.6% · FIP 5.73
2026	22	ANYY	39	0	43	6.23	4.76	20.9%	8.7%	—	K 15.4% · BB 10.3% · FIP 5.87
2027PROJ	23	MLBNYY	25	0	26	4.97	4.97	18.4%	10.1%	-0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBNYY	16	0	17	4.81	4.74	19.9%	9.5%	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsAlex Burnett (age 23) · Matt Pidich (age 23) · Heath Holder (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%18.4%

BB%10.1%

K-BB%8.3%

Proj IP26

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	1	1	2	11	3	2	0	100%	2.0	27.3%	18.2%	9.1%	0.0%	13.50	3.10	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	1	1	2	11	3	2	0	100%	2.0	27.3%	18.2%	9.1%	0.0%	13.50	3.10	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	1	1	2	11	3	2	0	100%	2.0	27.3%	18.2%	9.1%	0.0%	13.50	3.10	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	17	85	22	15	4	0%	1.7	25.9%	17.6%	8.2%	4.7%	9.18	5.73	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	0	17	85	22	15	4	0%	1.7	25.9%	17.6%	8.2%	4.7%	9.18	5.73	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	0	17	85	22	15	4	0%	1.7	25.9%	17.6%	8.2%	4.7%	9.18	6.28	—
2026	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	39	0	43	206	43	18	8	0%	1.1	15.4%	10.3%	5.1%	5.0%	6.23	5.87	—
2026	22	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	39	0	43	206	43	18	8	0%	1.1	15.4%	10.3%	5.1%	5.0%	6.23	5.87	—
2026	22	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	39	0	43	206	43	18	8	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.7%	12.1%	3.9%	6.23	4.76	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	NYY	25	0	26	110	20	11	4	0%	1.0	18.4%	10.1%	8.3%	3.2%	4.97	4.97	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	NYY	38	0	40	169	34	16	5	0%	1.1	19.9%	9.5%	10.3%	3.2%	4.81	4.74	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	NYY	16	0	17	72	14	7	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	9.5%	10.3%	3.2%	4.81	4.74	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	17	72	14	7	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	9.5%	10.3%	3.2%	4.81	4.37	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	82	23	0%	1.1	19.9%	9.5%	10.3%	3.2%	4.81	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		50	1	62	302	57	38	14	2%	1.2	18.8%	12.7%	6.2%	4.8%	7.26	5.73	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		161	3	200	974	183	123	46	2%	1.2	18.8%	12.7%	6.2%	4.8%	7.26	5.73	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Josh Tiedemann (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	18.4%	10.1%	3.2%	—	4.74	19.9%	10.3%	40	-0.23	—	—	—
Alex Burnett R 2010 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	17.5%	9.5%	2.8%	.311	3.80	12.9%	5.3%	122	-0.57	3.68	170	92
Matt Pidich R 2018 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.1%	8.3%	3.1%	.303	4.08	20.8%	13.3%	115	-0.34	4.05	196	91
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	90
Matt Stites R 2014 · 5.10 FIP	24	SU	5.10	17.6%	10.1%	4.0%	.267	4.10	13.9%	1.3%	105	-1.00	3.25	138	90
Miles Mikolas R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	23	SU	4.56	16.0%	10.4%	2.7%	.275	4.29	14.9%	8.6%	57	-0.27	3.13	1,386	90
Andrew Cashner R 2010 · 4.51 FIP	23	SU	4.51	20.2%	10.1%	3.4%	.285	3.30	19.9%	13.0%	221	-1.21	2.94	1,185	89
Anyelo Leclerc R 2015 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	16.2%	9.8%	3.7%	.326	4.65	15.9%	6.1%	96	-0.35	4.65	140	89
Andrew Bash R 2019 · 3.87 FIP	22	SU	3.87	18.0%	9.2%	2.1%	.273	4.21	14.9%	4.8%	146	+0.34	3.46	483	89
Brady Choban R 2024 · 4.49 FIP	23	SU	4.49	16.1%	8.8%	3.0%	.262	4.02	13.3%	4.1%	80	-0.47	3.59	131	88
Hueston Morrill R 2024 · 4.54 FIP	24	SU	4.54	19.8%	8.7%	3.7%	.302	3.24	19.0%	8.2%	54	-1.30	3.09	102	88
Brett Standlee R 2022 · 4.13 FIP	23	SU	4.13	19.7%	11.1%	2.4%	.322	4.45	17.0%	8.9%	75	+0.32	4.13	128	88
Jackson Rees R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.354	1.90	28.2%	20.8%	62	-2.57	1.90	103	88
Ryan Webb R 2009 · 4.22 FIP	23	SU	4.22	16.2%	8.5%	2.6%	.282	2.83	16.1%	10.6%	170	-1.39	2.54	414	88
Brett McKinney R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	17.1%	8.9%	3.6%	.335	4.02	18.1%	8.5%	129	-0.77	3.43	183	87
Blake Goldsberry R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.42	3.43	117	87
Carlos Alvarado R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.3%	10.0%	3.5%	.342	4.15	24.3%	14.8%	78	-0.75	2.68	102	87
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	87
Colby Blueberg R 2016 · 4.42 FIP	23	SU	4.42	17.7%	11.0%	2.6%	.310	3.80	21.6%	10.6%	110	-0.62	2.36	229	87
Tyler Schoff R 2022 · 4.25 FIP	23	SU	4.25	19.6%	10.8%	2.6%	.350	3.72	23.8%	15.7%	93	-0.53	3.69	190	87
Justin Evans R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	19.2%	11.2%	4.5%	.333	3.89	22.0%	5.5%	65	-1.49	3.63	105	87

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	33	19.3%	9.7%	1.23	4.87
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Drew VerHagen ('23)	1.4	47	19.1%	9.4%	1.37	4.98
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*