Brady Choban
P
Rocket City Trash Pandas
+0.2
WAR
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 240 lbs
AA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.0%
BB%8.3%
K-BB%11.7%
IP40
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL6060
CMD4545
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Angels | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 54.00 | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | 42 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 44 | 17 | 5 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 3.91 | 4.49 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 48 | 0 | 56 | 230 | 45 | 15 | 3 | 16.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 2.59 | 3.59 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | LAA | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 31 | 14 | 5 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 4.44 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 19.8% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 39 | — | 39 | 163 | 33 | 14 | 5 | 20.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.44 | 4.45 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | LAA | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 4.47 | 4.50 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | LAA | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 19.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.56 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | LAA | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.63 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | LAA | 34 | — | 34 | 143 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 19.2% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 4.67 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | LAA | 32 | — | 32 | 137 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 18.9% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 4.76 | 4.82 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | LAA | 31 | — | 31 | 130 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 4.86 | 4.93 | +0.0 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | LAA | 29 | — | 29 | 122 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 18.1% | 9.6% | 3.4% | 4.97 | 5.05 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 91 | 0 | 107 | 452 | 74 | 35 | 11 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 3.53 | 4.00 | +1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 0 | 200 | 845 | 138 | 65 | 21 | 16.3% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 3.53 | 4.00 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brady Choban (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 2.8% | — | 4.44 | 19.8% | 11.4% | 117 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .275 | 4.54 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.16 | 4.12 | 230 | 94 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.48 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 2.9% | .289 | 3.53 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -0.95 | 1.94 | 131 | 91 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.38 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .238 | 4.78 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 263 | +0.40 | 3.84 | 299 | 90 |
| Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.46 | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.7% | .296 | 4.25 | 15.9% | 8.6% | 90 | +0.79 | 3.46 | 138 | 88 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.83 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 1.7% | .289 | 4.21 | 24.7% | 12.1% | 62 | +0.38 | 3.83 | 181 | 88 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.24 | 18.2% | 8.5% | 116 | +0.39 | 3.85 | 149 | 87 |
| Micah Dallas R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.61 | 17.5% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .326 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 147 | 87 |
| Luis De La O R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.37 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .370 | 3.72 | 15.3% | 10.8% | 81 | -0.65 | 3.22 | 145 | 86 |
| Andres Avila R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.99 | 16.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | .316 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 13.9% | 73 | +0.14 | 3.99 | 177 | 86 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.49 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.46 | 3.49 | 140 | 86 |
| Carlos Alvarado R 2026 · 4.87 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.87 | 16.3% | 10.0% | 3.4% | .342 | 4.09 | 24.3% | 14.8% | 78 | -0.78 | 2.67 | 102 | 85 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.2% | .267 | 3.51 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | -0.09 | 3.51 | 103 | 85 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.11 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .411 | 3.73 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.38 | 3.73 | 126 | 84 |
| Rob Griswold R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.57 | 16.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .303 | 4.70 | 10.7% | 4.3% | 100 | +1.13 | 3.57 | 203 | 84 |
| Rob Scahill R 2029 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 84 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 25 | SW | 3.99 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.5% | .311 | 4.41 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.65 | 255 | 84 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | .283 | 3.52 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 89 | -0.37 | 3.52 | 136 | 84 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 100 | 84 |
| Calvin Coker R 2027 · 3.99 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.99 | 16.3% | 6.8% | 2.6% | .333 | 3.97 | 14.2% | 4.9% | 131 | -0.02 | 3.96 | 219 | 84 |
| J.R. Graham R 2026 · 4.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.37 | 18.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | .317 | 3.65 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 61 | -0.72 | 3.31 | 125 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.