Brady Choban
P
Salt Lake Bees
Age 25
RHP
6'5" / 240 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%15.3%
BB%7.7%
K-BB%7.6%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 89 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Angels | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 54.00 | 2.50 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Angels | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 0.7 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 54.00 | 1.60 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 44 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 3.91 | 4.59 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 44 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.5% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 3.91 | 3.65 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 56 | 230 | 45 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 2.59 | 3.57 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 48 | 0 | 56 | 230 | 45 | 15 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.6% | 6.5% | 13.0% | 1.3% | 2.59 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 20 | 0 | 30 | 138 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 11.5% | 12.2% | -0.7% | 1.6% | 6.98 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 39 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | LAA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 15.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 89 | 389 | 57 | 35 | 9 | — | — | 14.5% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 5.46 | 4.65 | +0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 6 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 15.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 4.70 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 56 | 0 | 59 | 247 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | LAA | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 4.63 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | LAA | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.63 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 0 | 73 | 310 | 52 | 24 | 9 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.25 | +0.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 142 | 65 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 4.63 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 111 | 0 | 137 | 590 | 89 | 52 | 13 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 4.28 | 4.16 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 0 | 200 | 863 | 131 | 76 | 19 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 4.28 | 4.16 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brady Choban (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 15.3% | 7.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.62 | 16.9% | 9.0% | 118 | -0.08 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.76 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .286 | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.74 | 4.02 | 141 | 92 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 89 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 16.5% | 7.9% | 2.3% | .304 | 4.10 | 17.3% | 4.6% | 57 | +0.15 | 3.91 | 171 | 89 |
| Hunter McMahon R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .301 | 6.46 | 5.7% | 1.8% | 14 | +2.43 | 2.23 | 174 | 89 |
| David Goforth R 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.3% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.47 | 3.92 | 256 | 89 |
| Stephen Villines R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.99 | 16.8% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .280 | 3.05 | 20.6% | 14.7% | 40 | -0.94 | 2.16 | 156 | 88 |
| Stephen Kohlscheen R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.95 | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .311 | 4.02 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 90 | +0.07 | 2.39 | 167 | 88 |
| Johnny Magliozzi R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.21 | 14.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | .246 | 3.31 | 17.1% | 11.2% | 68 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 131 | 88 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.12 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .275 | 4.62 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 118 | +0.50 | 4.12 | 230 | 88 |
| Alex Hermeling R 2025 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.87 | 16.5% | 8.1% | 2.1% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.70 | 127 | 88 |
| Brian Glowicki R 2025 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 16.4% | 8.3% | 3.1% | .275 | 3.89 | 26.0% | 14.1% | 62 | -0.60 | 2.36 | 189 | 88 |
| Cole Johnson R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.56 | 17.4% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .311 | 3.48 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 49 | -0.08 | 3.48 | 101 | 87 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.34 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 3.2% | .238 | 4.64 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 263 | +0.30 | 3.75 | 299 | 87 |
| Jordan Piche R 2025 · 4.41 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.41 | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.7% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.17 | 115 | 87 |
| Derek Self R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.73 | 13.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | .315 | 4.20 | 13.7% | 8.0% | 167 | -0.53 | 3.61 | 302 | 87 |
| Nick Neumann R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.60 | 14.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | .323 | 5.75 | 5.0% | -6.1% | 19 | +2.15 | 3.60 | 107 | 86 |
| Andres Avila R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 16.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | .316 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 13.9% | 73 | +0.12 | 4.01 | 177 | 86 |
| Woo-Suk Go R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.88 | 17.4% | 9.2% | 3.8% | .359 | 3.88 | 23.1% | 12.4% | 54 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 107 | 86 |
| JC Ramírez R 2027 · 3.73 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.73 | 16.6% | 8.6% | 1.7% | .285 | 4.52 | 17.1% | 10.0% | 226 | +0.79 | 3.73 | 369 | 86 |
| Raul Fernandez R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.95 | 14.2% | 9.4% | 1.6% | .285 | 4.86 | 16.1% | 5.0% | 103 | +0.91 | 3.95 | 165 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 59 | 16.4% | 7.8% | 1.10 | 4.65 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Chris Rusin ('18) | 4 | 89 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 1.01 | 4.43 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |