Brady Choban — OGILVIE

Brady Choban P Salt Lake Bees

Age 25 RHP 6'5" / 240 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%15.3%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	1	0	1	7	2	1	0	0%	0.7	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	54.00	2.50	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	1	0	1	7	2	1	0	0%	0.7	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	54.00	2.50	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	1	0	1	7	2	1	0	0%	0.7	28.6%	14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	54.00	1.60	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	51	215	44	17	5	0%	1.2	16.1%	8.8%	7.3%	3.0%	3.91	4.49	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	51	215	44	17	5	0%	1.2	16.1%	8.8%	7.3%	3.0%	3.91	4.49	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	51	215	44	17	5	0%	1.2	20.5%	7.9%	12.6%	2.3%	3.91	3.65	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	56	230	45	15	3	0%	1.2	16.0%	6.5%	9.6%	1.9%	2.59	3.59	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	48	0	56	230	45	15	3	0%	1.2	16.0%	6.5%	9.6%	1.9%	2.59	3.59	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	48	0	56	230	45	15	3	0%	1.2	19.6%	6.5%	13.0%	1.3%	2.59	2.99	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	25	0	34	168	18	24	2	0%	1.4	8.9%	12.9%	-4.0%	1.3%	7.34	4.70	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	25	0	34	168	18	24	2	0%	1.4	8.9%	12.9%	-4.0%	1.3%	7.34	4.70	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	LAA	25	0	34	168	18	24	2	0%	1.4	10.7%	14.3%	-3.6%	1.2%	7.34	4.66	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	LAA	5	0	5	23	3	2	1	0%	1.1	15.3%	7.5%	7.8%	2.8%	4.68	4.68	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	LAA	—	—	40	191	21	26	3	—	—	11.3%	13.5%	-2.2%	1.4%	6.98	4.69	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	LAA	57	0	60	251	42	19	7	0%	1.0	16.7%	7.6%	9.0%	2.8%	4.61	4.59	-0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	LAA	56	0	59	247	42	19	7	0%	1.0	17.2%	7.8%	9.3%	2.9%	4.60	4.61	-0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	LAA	28	0	29	122	20	9	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	7.6%	9.0%	2.8%	4.61	4.59	-0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	LAA	37	0	39	165	28	13	5	0%	1.1	17.2%	7.8%	9.3%	2.9%	4.60	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	68	287	49	22	8	0%	1.0	16.9%	7.7%	9.2%	2.9%	4.60	4.22	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	144	65	24	0%	1.1	16.9%	7.7%	9.2%	2.9%	4.60	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		116	0	141	620	89	56	13	0%	1.2	14.3%	9.1%	5.2%	2.1%	4.46	4.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		164	0	200	877	125	80	18	0%	1.2	14.3%	9.1%	5.2%	2.1%	4.46	4.19	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Brady Choban (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	15.3%	7.5%	2.8%	—	4.60	16.9%	9.2%	118	-0.08	—	—	—
Pedro Echemendia R 2016 · 4.79 FIP	25	SU	4.79	15.0%	8.0%	3.5%	.286	4.31	11.0%	5.9%	72	-0.48	4.31	141	91
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	90
Brad Schreiber R 2016 · 4.06 FIP	25	SU	4.06	16.5%	7.9%	2.5%	.304	4.23	17.3%	4.6%	57	+0.17	3.81	171	89
Hunter McMahon R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	16.4%	8.0%	2.8%	.301	5.84	5.7%	1.8%	14	+1.59	2.23	174	89
Derek Self R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	25	SU	4.57	13.1%	5.5%	3.4%	.315	4.20	13.7%	8.0%	167	-0.37	3.82	302	88
Alex Hermeling R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.5%	8.1%	2.2%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	127	88
Johnny Magliozzi R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	25	SU	4.36	14.9%	5.6%	3.3%	.246	3.22	17.1%	11.2%	68	-1.14	3.22	131	88
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	88
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	88
Luis Mateo R 2016 · 3.48 FIP	26	SU	3.48	15.3%	7.6%	1.3%	.305	5.02	13.6%	1.4%	98	+1.54	3.48	160	88
David Goforth R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	17.4%	9.8%	2.0%	.287	4.58	14.1%	3.6%	184	+0.60	3.98	256	88
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	88
Daniel Corcino R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.2%	7.5%	3.2%	.238	4.76	19.4%	8.2%	263	+0.39	3.84	299	87
Nick Neumann R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	14.3%	5.8%	1.9%	.323	5.65	5.0%	-6.1%	19	+1.97	3.68	107	87
Stephen Kohlscheen R 2015 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	15.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.311	3.98	22.8%	15.0%	90	+0.15	2.52	167	87
Andres Avila R 2015 · 3.98 FIP	25	SU	3.98	16.0%	5.2%	2.9%	.316	4.13	20.3%	13.9%	73	+0.15	3.98	177	87
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	87
Cole Johnson R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	26	SU	3.52	17.4%	8.4%	1.5%	.311	3.61	14.0%	9.2%	49	+0.09	3.52	101	87
Jordan Piche R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	24	SU	4.19	12.3%	6.9%	2.3%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	115	87
David Martinez R 2015 · 3.92 FIP	27	SU	3.92	14.2%	8.3%	1.8%	.284	4.76	15.0%	7.9%	230	+0.84	3.92	297	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	59	16.4%	7.7%	1.10	4.63
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97