Franyel Diaz
P
FCL Mets
Age 21
RHP
6'7" / 208 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION16 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.7%
BB%10.7%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 12 | 10 | 45 | 198 | 54 | 25 | 1 | 83% | 3.8 | 18.5% | 15.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 3.00 | 4.06 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets Blue | 12 | 10 | 45 | 198 | 54 | 25 | 1 | 83% | 3.8 | 27.3% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.5% | 3.00 | 2.66 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 14 | 3 | 33 | 152 | 38 | 28 | 0 | 21% | 2.3 | 17.0% | 23.0% | -6.0% | 0.0% | 4.13 | 4.58 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Mets Orange | 14 | 3 | 33 | 152 | 38 | 28 | 0 | 21% | 2.3 | 25.0% | 18.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% | 4.13 | 3.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | St. Lucie Mets | 13 | 0 | 16 | 80 | 17 | 21 | 0 | 0% | 1.2 | 14.3% | 28.2% | -14.0% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 5.47 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 36 | 167 | 37 | 30 | 2 | — | — | 22.0% | 18.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 3.50 | 4.91 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYM | 20 | 0 | 22 | 91 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | NYM | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.88 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 208 | 76 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 39 | 13 | 94 | 430 | 74 | 89 | 2 | 33% | 2.4 | 17.2% | 20.7% | -3.5% | 0.4% | 3.27 | 4.51 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 28 | 200 | 918 | 158 | 190 | 4 | 33% | 2.4 | 17.2% | 20.7% | -3.5% | 0.4% | 3.27 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Franyel Diaz (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.7% | 10.7% | 2.9% | — | 4.26 | 23.7% | 13.9% | 22 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 88 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 84 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 83 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 82 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 81 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 81 |
| Zac Ryan R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 81 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 81 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 80 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 80 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 80 |
| Alec Barger R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 80 |
| William Kempner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 80 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 80 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 80 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 80 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 80 |
| Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 80 |
| David Garner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.7% | 10.0% | 2.6% | .282 | 4.65 | 19.8% | 5.2% | 98 | +0.71 | 3.94 | 154 | 79 |