Franyel Diaz — OGILVIE

Franyel Diaz P FCL Mets

Age 22 RHP 6'7" / 208 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 145137vR 129

ERA5.89

FIP5.89

K%20.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%0.2%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Blue	12	10	45	198	54	25	1	83%	3.8	18.5%	15.8%	2.8%	0.8%	3.00	3.98	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Blue	12	10	45	198	54	25	1	83%	3.8	27.3%	12.6%	14.6%	0.5%	3.00	2.66	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	14	3	33	152	38	28	0	21%	2.3	17.0%	23.0%	-6.0%	0.0%	4.13	4.58	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mets Orange	14	3	33	152	38	28	0	21%	2.3	17.0%	23.0%	-6.0%	0.0%	4.13	4.58	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mets Orange	14	3	33	152	38	28	0	21%	2.3	25.0%	18.4%	6.6%	0.0%	4.13	3.34	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	102	17	23	1	0%	1.4	12.3%	26.0%	-13.8%	0.0%	3.92	5.36	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	0	21	102	17	23	1	0%	1.4	12.3%	26.0%	-13.8%	0.0%	3.92	5.36	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	0	21	102	17	23	1	0%	1.4	16.7%	22.5%	-5.9%	1.0%	3.92	5.42	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	NYM	11	0	12	51	10	10	1	0%	1.1	20.2%	20.0%	0.2%	2.9%	5.89	5.89	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	29	0	30	129	27	22	4	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	5.36	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	4.98	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	147	27	0%	1.1	21.3%	16.7%	4.6%	2.8%	5.51	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		41	13	98	452	75	93	2	32%	2.4	16.6%	20.5%	-3.9%	0.4%	3.57	4.49	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	26	200	919	153	189	3	32%	2.4	16.6%	20.5%	-3.9%	0.4%	3.57	4.49	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franyel Diaz (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.89	20.2%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.36	21.3%	4.6%	30	-0.53	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	86
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	84
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	82
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	81
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	80
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	80
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	80
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	79
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	79
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	79
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	79
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	79
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	78
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	78
Eury Rosado R 2023 · 6.56 FIP	22	SW	6.56	17.8%	18.2%	4.8%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	109	78
Audry Lugo R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	17.6%	15.8%	2.2%	.333	5.76	13.7%	-2.6%	39	+0.94	4.05	113	77
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	77
José Mesa Jr. R 2016 · 5.41 FIP	22	SU	5.41	22.4%	17.2%	3.7%	.311	4.00	22.8%	9.6%	113	-1.41	3.33	176	77
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	77
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	77