Yahil Melendez

SS Myrtle Beach Pelicans
Age 21 L/R 6'1" / 165 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
OGV OFP35OGV rank#2294ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCHC218.268/.396/.42531152—.174/.276/.274
202519ACHC207.219/.359/.2962734—.156/.262/.206
202620ACHC207.172/.304/.2592319—.126/.232/.181
2027PROJMLE21MLBCHC317.185/.271/.2592654-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCHC57.195/.280/.2861162-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBCHC124.200/.286/.3022267-0.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
BB%62
Chase%37
Z-Con%34
ISO25
wRC+20
Whiff%19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsAaron Shipman (age 21) · Jaden Rudd (age 21) · Kier Meredith (age 22)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 120 proj PA
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .269 / .257
PA120
HR1
K%30
BB%9
ISO74
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.10.10.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M———
2035Arb-1$0.2M———
2036Arb-2$0.4M———
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKACL Cubs — 3938 9210 1160 00 237256342599 105409 413 264 -16 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Cubs — 218179 481333 30628 116 268396425821 156391 2814 371 52 — — — — — —
202519 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207169 37512 30757 74 219359296655 77376 3614 312 34 — — — — — —
202620 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207174 30902 28745 31 172304259563 86286 3614 271 19 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 3938 6110 1230 00 158179237416 79329 593 144 -16 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 218190 33922 19908 116 174276274550 100300 419 245 52 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207180 28411 191077 74 156262206468 50351 529 219 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207182 23701 201015 31 126232181413 55270 4910 197 19 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 3938 6110 1230 00 158179237416 79400 593 144 -16 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 3938 9210 1160 00 237256342599 105409 413 264 -16 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 218190 33922 19908 116 174276274550 100313 419 245 52 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Cubs — 218179 481333 30628 116 268396425821 156391 2814 371 52 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207180 28411 191077 74 156262206468 50370 529 219 34 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207169 37512 30757 74 219359296655 77376 3614 312 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207182 23701 201015 31 126232181413 55275 4910 197 19 — — — — — —
202620 A RAWMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207174 30902 28745 31 172304259563 86286 3614 271 19 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 3938 6110 1230 00 158179237416 79329 593 144 -16 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 218189 33922 19908 116 175276275552 101300 419 245 52 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207179 28411 191077 74 156262207469 50351 529 219 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207180 23701 201015 31 128232183415 56270 4910 197 19 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Cubs — 218189 33922 19908 116 175276275552 101300 419 245 52 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207179 28411 191077 74 156262207469 50351 529 219 34 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 207180 23701 201015 31 128232183415 56270 4910 197 19 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECHC 0% 317281 511112 28955 62 185271259531 74267 309 248 54 -17 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECHC 34% 167147 29612 15493 31 193279283561 90270 299 259 62 -8 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.2
202923 MLB MLECHC 48% 255226 45914 23734 51 199284300584 101272 299 268 67 -10 +1 +0 +3 +6 -0.1
203024 MLB MLECHC 53% 336298 601216 30955 62 203288312600 109274 289 274 72 -11 +0 +0 +4 +7 -0.0
203125 MLB MLECHC 55% 380337 701427 341066 72 206291320610 114275 289 278 74 -12 +1 +0 +4 +8 0.1
203226 MLB MLECHC 56% 406360 751528 371126 72 208292325617 117276 289 281 76 -12 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.2
203327 MLB MLECHC 55% 416369 761528 381156 72 207291322613 115275 289 279 75 -12 +1 +0 +4 +9 0.2
203428 MLB MLECHC 59% 416369 761528 381166 72 205289318607 112274 289 277 73 -13 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.0
203529 MLB MLECHC 56% 407361 741527 371156 62 203287312598 109273 289 273 71 -14 +0 -1 +4 +9 -0.2
203630 MLB MLECHC 59% 397353 701417 351136 52 200283304588 104272 289 269 68 -15 +0 -2 +4 +9 -0.4
202822 MLB CTXCHC 34% 5751 10201 5171 10 195280286566 91273 309 261 62 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.1
202923 MLB CTXCHC 48% 124110 23512 11362 21 200286302588 102275 299 270 67 -5 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.1
203024 MLB CTXCHC 53% 177156 33713 16503 31 205289314603 109277 289 276 72 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
203125 MLB CTXCHC 55% 208184 39814 19583 41 208292322614 114278 289 280 74 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203226 MLB CTXCHC 56% 226201 42914 20623 41 210294327620 117279 279 282 76 -6 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203327 MLB CTXCHC 55% 229203 42914 21643 41 209293324617 115278 289 281 75 -7 +0 +0 +2 +5 0.1
203428 MLB CTXCHC 59% 245217 44914 22694 41 207291320610 113278 289 278 73 -8 +0 -0 +3 +5 0.0
203529 MLB CTXCHC 56% 227202 42914 20643 31 205288314602 109276 289 275 71 -8 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.1
203630 MLB CTXCHC 59% 233207 42914 21673 31 202285306591 104275 299 270 68 -9 +0 -1 +2 +5 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 17261531 31767830 15548725 288 207290320611 113281 289 276 65 -57 +2 -2 +18 +37 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650577 11925311 581839 113 206289317606 111280 289 276 65 -22 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.1
Career— MLE — 39713516 6841401862 357125170 7628 195282297579 103280 329 264 65 -113 +4 -4 +35 +72 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 11223310 5820511 125 194280297577 102280 329 264 65 -22 +1 -1 +7 +14 -0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 207 PAwOBA .265 → .197 (−68)K% 35.7% → 48.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.75%÷1.000×1.360——48.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.53%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0159.47%
HBP% /PA2.42%—×0.780—×1.0151.91%
Singles /BIP19.00%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.01518.63%
Doubles /BIP9.00%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0157.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP2.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0151.62%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .265 → .197; ISO .086 → .061; BABIP .286 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 207 PAwOBA .304 → .219 (−85)K% 36.2% → 51.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA36.23%÷0.956×1.360——51.55%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.01%÷1.106×0.690—×1.0309.00%
HBP% /PA3.38%—×0.780—×1.0302.72%
Singles /BIP30.85%÷0.990×0.920×0.993×1.03029.32%
Doubles /BIP5.32%÷0.968×0.830×0.993×1.0304.66%
Triples /BIP1.06%÷1.150×0.910×0.993×1.0300.86%
Home runs /BIP2.13%÷0.925×0.800—×1.0301.90%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 98, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 91, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .304 → .219; ISO .077 → .054; BABIP .376 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Cubs · 218 PAwOBA .362 → .245 (−117)K% 28.4% → 41.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.44%÷0.989×1.440——41.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.30%÷0.947×0.620—×1.0088.78%
HBP% /PA3.67%—×0.720—×1.0082.66%
Singles /BIP24.79%÷1.047×0.820×0.984×1.00819.24%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷0.903×0.720×0.984×1.0088.78%
Triples /BIP2.56%÷1.150×0.720×0.984×1.0081.59%
Home runs /BIP2.56%÷0.935×0.780—×1.0082.15%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 109, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .362 → .245; ISO .156 → .106; BABIP .391 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKACL Cubs · 39 PAwOBA .257 → .144 (−113)K% 41.0% → 59.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA41.03%÷1.000×1.440——59.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA2.56%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0221.63%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP27.27%÷1.000×0.820—×1.02222.87%
Doubles /BIP9.09%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0226.69%
Triples /BIP4.55%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0223.35%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .257 → .144; ISO .105 → .054; BABIP .409 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).