Yahil Melendez — OGILVIE

Yahil MelendezSS Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 20 L/R 6'1" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION207 act + 138 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†32

AVG/OBP/SLG.163 / .248 / .228

PA138

HR1

K%37

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO65

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	39	38	5	1	1	0	1	23	0	0	0	132	154	211	364	79	333	59	3	141	-34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	39	38	9	2	1	0	1	16	0	0	0	237	256	342	599	105	409	41	3	264	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	218	189	31	10	1	2	20	91	8	11	6	164	272	259	531	95	299	42	9	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	218	179	48	13	3	3	30	62	8	11	6	268	396	425	821	156	391	28	14	371	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	207	184	25	3	0	2	15	117	7	7	4	136	228	185	413	49	348	57	7	197	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	207	169	37	5	1	2	30	75	7	7	4	219	359	296	655	77	376	36	14	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CHC	—	207	184	22	6	0	1	18	105	5	3	1	120	217	168	386	49	269	51	9	189	3	-23	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.5
YTD	20	A	CHC	—	207	174	30	9	0	2	28	74	5	3	1	172	304	259	563	86	286	36	14	271	66	-8	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.0
ROS	20	A	CHC	0%	138	123	20	5	0	1	11	51	3	2	1	163	248	228	476	65	269	37	8	227	32	-11	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
ROS	20	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		270	—	—	213	21	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CHC	—	207	185	22	6	0	1	18	105	5	3	1	119	217	168	385	49	266	51	9	189	3	-23	+0	+0	+2	+6	-1.5
TOT	20	A	CHC	—	345	307	42	11	0	2	29	156	8	5	2	137	230	192	422	55	267	45	8	204	15	-33	+0	+0	+4	+10	-2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CHC	34%	346	308	55	12	1	5	28	122	7	6	2	179	262	273	535	94	274	35	8	247	47	-21	+0	+0	+4	+10	-0.7
2028	22	MLB	CHC	48%	435	388	72	16	1	7	36	148	8	7	2	186	269	286	555	101	277	34	8	259	56	-21	+1	+0	+5	+12	-0.4
2029	23	MLB	CHC	54%	489	436	84	18	2	9	41	162	9	9	3	193	276	305	581	112	279	33	8	266	62	-21	+1	+0	+5	+14	-0.1
2030	24	MLB	CHC	55%	523	464	91	19	2	11	45	171	9	10	3	196	280	317	597	121	280	33	9	270	65	-21	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.1
2031	25	MLB	CHC	56%	540	479	94	20	2	11	46	176	10	10	3	196	280	315	596	119	280	33	9	272	66	-21	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.1
2032	26	MLB	CHC	60%	549	487	95	20	2	11	47	179	10	10	3	195	279	312	592	117	280	33	9	272	67	-21	+1	+0	+6	+16	0.2
2027	21	MLB	CHC	34%	119	106	19	4	0	2	10	42	2	2	1	179	263	274	536	94	275	35	8	234	37	-8	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.4
2028	22	MLB	CHC	48%	211	187	36	8	1	4	18	72	4	4	1	193	278	310	588	118	278	34	9	247	47	-13	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.4
2029	23	MLB	CHC	54%	265	236	46	10	1	5	22	88	5	5	2	195	278	309	587	114	280	33	8	254	53	-14	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.4
2030	24	MLB	CHC	55%	290	258	51	11	1	6	25	95	5	5	2	198	281	318	599	120	281	33	9	258	56	-14	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.3
2031	25	MLB	CHC	56%	302	268	52	11	1	6	26	98	5	6	2	194	278	310	587	116	281	32	9	260	57	-15	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.3
2032	26	MLB	CHC	60%	330	293	58	12	1	7	28	107	6	6	2	198	281	317	599	119	281	32	8	260	57	-16	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1517	1349	262	56	5	30	129	502	27	28	10	194	278	310	588	116	281	33	9	255	53	-80	+2	+0	+16	+43	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	112	24	2	13	55	215	12	12	4	194	278	310	587	116	280	33	8	255	53	-34	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.8
Career	—			—	3484	3096	572	124	12	59	290	1240	71	72	27	185	270	290	560	105	283	36	8	258	55	-176	+4	+0	+37	+99	-3.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	106	23	2	11	54	231	13	13	5	183	268	287	555	104	280	36	8	258	55	-33	+1	+0	+7	+18	-0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	39	38	9	2	1	0	1	16	0	0	0	237	256	342	599	105	409	41	3	264	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	218	179	48	13	3	3	30	62	8	11	6	268	396	425	821	156	391	28	14	371	142	+10	-0	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	207	169	37	5	1	2	30	75	7	7	4	219	359	296	655	77	376	36	14	312	97	-1	-0	—	—	+6	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,759	31	32	193	273	302	+19	+12	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	12	12	193	273	302	+7.1	+4.5	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yahil Melendez (OGILVIE)	20	25	25	50	55	137/230/192	55	267	2	5	45%	8%	15	-2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswal Leones 2021 · A	20	41	36→30	46→50	46	196/259/262	66	262	4	12	25%	7%	43	-2.2	196/259/262	66	296	3	8	32%	7%	43	-2.2	176/243/231	55	271	2	9	33%	7%	25	-1.1
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Jaden Rudd 2023 · A	20	40→36	40→30	50	49	191/283/285	94	262	7	12	28%	10%	60	-1.0	181/291/247	66	292	3	14	35%	10%	56	-1.3	157/284/207	50	266	2	16	36%	11%	41	-1.2
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2017 · A	20	32	38→30	49→50	42	161/225/240	79	224	6	8	30%	7%	23	-3.6	195/251/268	73	259	4	9	25%	6%	40	-2.4	190/244/248	58	247	2	11	22%	5%	30	-1.4
✕Leandro Pineda 2022 · A	20	35→39	37→45	43→45	46	171/257/239	68	251	4	7	31%	9%	37	-2.6	189/260/297	108	280	9	5	33%	7%	53	-1.5	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Terry Serrano 2007 · A	20	39	35→30	49→55	46	184/261/240	56	270	2	16	30%	9%	38	-2.6	196/268/257	61	275	3	15	27%	8%	45	-2.1	193/272/251	58	274	2	17	28%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	37	-2.7	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	43	-2.2	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	27	-0.8
✕Deivis Nadal 2022 · A	20	39	35→40	46→55	38	186/250/240	55	271	3	11	31%	5%	34	-2.8	173/252/259	86	311	6	18	42%	8%	40	-2.4	145/233/240	96	278	8	23	46%	9%	25	-1.4
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	39→35	35→30	44→50	48	182/265/240	58	277	2	9	32%	10%	40	-2.4	219/302/285	66	307	2	16	26%	10%	67	-0.5	235/324/293	58	319	1	21	24%	11%	73	-0.1
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	35	37→45	55→50	47	170/258/247	77	249	3	11	30%	9%	40	-2.4	192/268/269	77	260	3	14	25%	8%	49	-1.8	163/244/219	56	209	0	27	20%	7%	23	-0.9
✕Shane Mardirosian 2016 · A	20	42→39	37→40	50→45	39	199/247/278	79	276	4	13	28%	5%	41	-2.3	196/245/264	68	276	4	8	29%	5%	37	-2.6	187/239/249	62	261	3	7	28%	5%	28	-1.7
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42→41	36→45	47→45	43	198/272/267	70	271	3	8	27%	6%	50	-1.7	197/299/316	119	271	14	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	174/315/272	98	251	9	3	30%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	40	37→40	50→55	42	191/251/266	76	262	4	12	28%	6%	40	-2.4	205/277/292	87	289	8	19	29%	8%	59	-1.1	203/290/292	89	267	11	29	26%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2023 · A	19	41→40	37→40	49→50	44	189/267/264	76	304	4	9	36%	9%	47	-1.9	195/281/283	88	315	5	14	36%	10%	59	-1.1	194/297/288	95	310	5	16	35%	11%	65	-0.4
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	171/261/237	65	254	5	3	32%	10%	39	-2.5	205/290/309	104	318	11	4	35%	10%	69	-0.4	200/285/307	107	317	13	2	38%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	33	-2.9	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	58	-1.2	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	67	-0.2
✕Ben Rortvedt 2018 · A	20	40	37→45	48→40	43	194/245/264	70	248	5	3	24%	6%	37	-2.7	214/270/309	95	285	8	3	26%	6%	59	-1.1	200/285/311	111	278	12	2	30%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	50	-1.7	214/303/312	98	272	7	8	22%	10%	76	+0.0	196/299/311	116	258	12	6	27%	12%	71	-0.1
✕Gleyvin Pineda 2017 · A	20	41→39	34→30	46→45	45	190/261/238	48	271	2	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	206/267/262	56	306	3	8	31%	7%	46	-2.0	199/259/249	51	299	4	5	33%	7%	36	-1.2