J.D. Gonzalez

C Charleston RiverDogs
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 182 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418A/INTL2 orgs312.156/.273/.195113—.119/.204/.146
202519A/INTL2 orgs145.164/.222/.17200-4—.150/.183/.160
202620A+/ATB327.240/.288/.3073736—.209/.244/.268
2027PROJMLE21MLBTB437.182/.225/.2343628-0.8
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBTB91.190/.235/.2551237-0.3
2029PROJ48% MLB23MLBTB172.196/.244/.2742344-0.4
Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed36
Z-Con%28
ISO27
BB%26
wOBA13
wRC+13
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%
CompsShane Mardirosian (age 21) · Jean Walters (age 21) · Logan Moore (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†28
AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .223 / .232
PA210
HR1
K%34
BB%5
ISO52
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -18.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-18BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT38
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE41
scouting grade only
SPEED51
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 INTLGigantes de Carolina — 1715 3000 2100 00 200294200494 600 5912 242 50 — — — — — —
202418 ACharleston RiverDogs — 288242 39601 34954 10 161275198473 37248 3312 227 1 — — — — — —
202418 INTLGigantes de Carolina — 2420 2100 480 00 100250150400 50167 3317 207 27 — — — — — —
202519 ACharleston RiverDogs — 10498 17100 6270 00 173221184405 10239 266 192 -9 — — — — — —
202519 INTLGigantes de Carolina — 4136 5000 3131 00 139225139364 217 327 179 8 — — — — — —
202620 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 9886 18302 9320 20 209284314598 105302 339 266 27 — — — — — —
202620 ACharleston RiverDogs — 229214 54801 11400 51 252289304593 51303 175 265 40 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202418 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 288253 30401 231314 10 119204146350 28214 458 169 1 — — — — — —
202519 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 104100 15100 4370 00 150183160343 10231 364 155 -9 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 9889 15202 6420 20 169221258479 90276 436 208 27 — — — — — —
202620 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 229217 49701 8550 51 226253272525 46285 243 227 40 — — — — — —
202317 INTL MLEGigantes de Carolina — 1715 3000 2100 00 200294200494 600 5912 — — — — — — — —
202317 INTL RAWGigantes de Carolina — 1715 3000 2100 00 200294200494 600 5912 242 50 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 312275 33501 251424 10 120204149353 29230 468 169 1 — — — — — —
202418 A RAW2 teams — 312262 41701 381034 10 156273195468 38242 3312 226 1 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 145137 20100 6511 00 146188153341 7233 354 155 -9 — — — — — —
202519 A RAW2 teams — 145134 22100 9401 00 164222172394 7234 286 188 -9 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 327307 64902 13960 71 208241257498 49292 294 221 36 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 327300 721103 20720 71 240287307594 67303 226 265 36 — — — — — —
202418 A MLE2 teams — 312280 33501 251424 10 118204146350 29214 468 169 1 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 145137 20100 6511 00 146188153341 7231 354 155 -9 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 327311 64902 13960 71 206241254495 48282 294 221 36 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 A MLE2 teams — 312280 33501 251424 10 118204146350 29214 468 169 1 — — — — — —
202519 A MLE2 teams — 145137 20100 6511 00 146188153341 7231 354 155 -9 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 327311 64902 13960 71 206241254495 48282 294 221 36 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLETB 0% 437411 751213 221481 61 182225234459 52272 345 210 28 -37 +1 +0 +8 +9 -0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLETB 34% 266249 46703 14881 41 188234255488 67274 335 222 37 -20 +0 +0 +5 +6 -0.9
202923 MLB MLETB 48% 355332 651015 191141 61 194242274516 80276 325 234 44 -24 +1 +0 +6 +8 -0.9
203024 MLB MLETB 53% 412384 771217 231302 81 199248288536 89278 326 242 50 -24 +1 +0 +7 +9 -0.7
203125 MLB MLETB 55% 444413 831318 261372 81 202253298551 95279 316 248 54 -24 +1 +0 +8 +10 -0.6
203226 MLB MLETB 56% 445413 841418 271362 82 204257304560 99279 316 252 57 -23 +1 +0 +8 +10 -0.4
203327 MLB MLETB 55% 445413 841418 271372 82 203256301556 98279 316 251 56 -23 +1 +0 +8 +10 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXTB 34% 9186 16201 5300 20 190235255491 65278 335 223 37 -7 +0 +0 +2 +2 -0.3
202923 MLB CTXTB 48% 172160 31502 9551 31 196244274518 78280 325 235 44 -11 +0 +0 +3 +4 -0.4
203024 MLB CTXTB 53% 217202 39603 12681 41 201250288538 87281 316 243 50 -13 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.4
203125 MLB CTXTB 55% 243226 46714 14751 41 204255297552 93282 316 249 54 -13 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.3
203226 MLB CTXTB 56% 248230 48715 15761 51 206258303562 97283 316 253 57 -13 +1 +0 +4 +5 -0.2
203327 MLB CTXTB 55% 245227 46714 15751 41 205257301558 95282 316 252 56 -13 +0 +0 +4 +5 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 12161131 22634319 703795 225 200250286535 86280 316 246 40 -70 +2 +0 +22 +26 -2.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650605 12118210 372033 123 200250286536 86281 316 246 40 -37 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.1
Career— MLE — 33783135 59491543 192111216 5310 189240263503 73275 336 227 40 -156 +5 +0 +46 +56 -5.0
/ 162G— MLE — 650603 1151818 372143 102 191241264505 73278 336 227 40 -39 +1 +0 +12 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 229 PAwOBA .261 → .227 (−34)K% 17.5% → 23.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.47%÷1.000×1.360——23.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.80%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0153.36%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0150.00%
Singles /BIP25.86%÷1.000×0.920×1.024×1.01524.74%
Doubles /BIP4.60%÷1.000×0.830×1.024×1.0153.97%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.024×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP0.57%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0150.47%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.024.

Result: wOBA .261 → .227; ISO .051 → .042; BABIP .303 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 98 PAwOBA .262 → .208 (−54)K% 32.7% → 42.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.65%÷1.000×1.310——42.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.18%÷1.000×0.600—×1.0275.66%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP24.07%÷1.000×0.870×1.050×1.02722.59%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.780×1.050×1.0274.67%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.850×1.050×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.880—×1.0273.35%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .262 → .208; ISO .105 → .086; BABIP .302 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ACharleston RiverDogs · 104 PAwOBA .187 → .155 (−32)K% 26.0% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.96%÷1.006×1.360——35.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.77%÷0.985×0.690—×1.0304.16%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0300.00%
Singles /BIP22.54%÷1.013×0.920×1.025×1.03021.61%
Doubles /BIP1.41%÷0.850×0.830×1.025×1.0301.45%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.121×0.910×1.025×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.159×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 103, 2B 70, 3B 124, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.

Result: wOBA .187 → .155; ISO .010 → .009; BABIP .239 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ACharleston RiverDogs · 288 PAwOBA .228 → .169 (−58)K% 33.0% → 45.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.99%÷0.985×1.360——45.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.81%÷1.047×0.690—×1.0458.13%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.780—×1.0451.13%
Singles /BIP21.77%÷1.071×0.920×0.974×1.04519.02%
Doubles /BIP4.08%÷1.017×0.830×0.974×1.0453.39%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.099×0.910×0.974×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.68%÷0.824×0.800—×1.0450.69%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 103, 3B 120, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .228 → .169; ISO .037 → .029; BABIP .248 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .