Tanner Thach

1B Fresno Grizzlies

Age 23 L/L 6'4" / 225 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ACOL	80	.279/.380/.397	2	1	75	—	.239/.316/.352
2026	22	A+COL	230	.242/.308/.382	6	3	55	—	.203/.256/.316
2026	22	ACOL	338	.339/.420/.541	11	2	120	—	.292/.360/.455
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCOL	552	.232/.289/.369	14	6	85	-0.3
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCOL	175	.248/.306/.413	6	2	90	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCOL	269	.251/.309/.423	9	2	93	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

K%84

Whiff%80

Z-Con%75

ISO46

Speed25

wOBA24

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 89%

CompsAndrew Pullin (age 23) · Jose C. Valdez (age 23) · Beau Mills (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†85

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .287 / .365

PA320

HR8

K%23

BB%6

ISO137

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED25

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	80	68	19	2	0	2	8	19	3	1	0	279	380	397	777	118	354	24	10	351	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	230	207	50	11	0	6	15	40	5	3	0	242	308	382	690	140	268	17	7	307	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	292	99	22	2	11	30	47	11	2	1	339	420	541	962	202	368	14	9	418	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	80	71	17	2	0	2	5	27	3	1	0	239	316	352	669	113	326	34	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	230	212	43	9	0	5	10	54	5	3	0	203	256	316	572	113	239	23	4	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	338	301	88	18	2	9	21	64	11	2	1	292	360	455	816	163	327	19	6	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	80	71	17	2	0	2	5	27	3	1	0	239	316	352	669	113	349	34	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	80	68	19	2	0	2	8	19	3	1	0	279	380	397	777	118	354	24	10	351	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	568	513	131	27	2	14	31	118	16	5	1	255	318	398	716	142	301	21	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	568	499	149	33	2	17	45	87	16	5	1	299	375	475	850	176	328	15	8	373	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	80	72	17	2	0	2	5	27	3	1	0	236	316	347	664	111	326	34	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	568	516	131	27	2	14	31	118	16	5	1	254	318	395	713	141	291	21	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	80	72	17	2	0	2	5	27	3	1	0	236	316	347	664	111	326	34	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	568	516	131	27	2	14	31	118	16	5	1	254	318	395	713	141	291	21	5	307	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	COL	0%	552	506	117	23	2	14	31	124	10	6	1	232	289	369	658	137	278	22	6	293	85	-10	+1	-1	-10	+12	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	581	532	124	24	2	16	34	130	10	5	1	236	294	383	677	147	279	22	6	301	90	-7	+1	-1	-10	+13	-0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	609	557	133	26	3	18	36	136	11	4	1	238	297	392	689	154	280	22	6	306	93	-5	+0	-1	-11	+13	-0.4
2030	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	627	572	138	26	3	20	39	140	11	4	1	239	299	397	696	158	281	22	6	309	95	-4	+0	-1	-11	+14	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	COL	52%	636	581	140	27	3	20	40	143	10	3	1	238	299	394	694	156	280	22	6	308	94	-4	+0	-1	-11	+14	-0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	631	576	136	26	2	19	40	143	10	2	1	237	298	390	688	153	280	23	6	306	93	-5	+0	-2	-11	+14	-0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	623	568	132	25	2	18	40	143	10	1	1	234	295	383	678	149	278	23	6	301	90	-7	-0	-3	-11	+13	-0.8
2028	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	175	160	41	8	1	6	10	39	3	2	0	248	306	413	718	164	293	22	6	317	90	-2	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	269	246	62	12	2	9	16	60	5	2	0	251	309	423	732	172	294	22	6	323	93	-2	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	318	290	73	14	2	11	20	71	5	2	0	252	311	428	740	176	294	22	6	326	95	-2	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	COL	52%	333	304	76	14	2	12	21	75	5	2	0	251	311	426	737	175	294	23	6	325	94	-2	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	336	307	76	14	2	11	21	76	5	1	0	249	310	421	730	171	293	23	6	322	93	-3	+0	-1	-6	+7	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	327	298	74	14	2	11	21	75	5	1	1	246	306	413	719	167	291	23	6	318	90	-4	-0	-1	-6	+7	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1758	1605	402	76	11	60	109	396	28	10	1	250	309	424	733	173	295	23	6	322	92	-15	+2	-5	-31	+38	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	148	28	4	22	40	146	10	4	0	250	307	422	729	172	294	22	6	322	92	-6	+1	-2	-12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4675	4263	1018	196	18	135	283	1052	87	28	8	239	300	388	688	149	284	23	6	304	92	-38	+2	-11	-72	+87	-3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	142	27	3	19	39	146	12	4	1	239	300	391	691	152	285	22	6	304	92	-6	+0	-2	-12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Travis Lee'98-'06 * career totals — 8 seasons, 4,233 PA	6.4	4,233	115	59	246*	324*	396*	-74	-10	3.7	4.1
/162	664	18	9	-11.5	-1.6	0.6	pk7: 5
#2Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Babe Dahlgren'35-'46 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,506 PA	6.8	4,506	82	18	246*	312*	409*	-73	-30	-0.4	2.1
/162	664	12	3	-10.8	-4.5	-0.1	pk7: 4
#4Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Mountcastlelast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,669 PA	4.0	2,669	98	17	263	312	438	-47	-38	1.6	1.6
/162	664	24	4	-11.6	-9.5	0.4	pk7: 2
#6John Ganzel'01-'08 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,599 PA	3.9	2,599	14	43	251*	309*	428*	-46	-0	1.5	1.5
/162	664	4	11	-11.6	-0.1	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.1	2,078	61	12	237	294	389	-37	-12	0.1	0.3
/162	664	19	4	-11.9	-3.8	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tanner Thach (OGILVIE)	23	42	55	25	46	230/287/365	136	278	8	3	23%	6%	85	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Pullin 2017 · AA	23	50→49	45→50	39→40	40	248/284/369	121	299	13	3	22%	4%	83	+0.1	228/270/369	141	286	13	5	25%	5%	78	-0.3	217/259/368	152	268	14	4	25%	4%	71	-0.4
✕Jose C. Valdez 2007 · A	23	43→49	50	38→40	46	225/273/373	148	254	19	4	21%	6%	80	-0.1	219/268/323	104	271	9	6	22%	6%	66	-1.1	219/265/299	80	271	4	5	20%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Beau Mills 2010 · AA	23	48→49	47→50	40→30	41	240/281/378	138	293	15	2	24%	5%	84	+0.2	233/277/369	136	274	15	3	21%	5%	81	-0.1	226/273/366	139	262	16	1	20%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Aaron Baker 2011 · A	23	40→49	49→50	39→40	41	208/267/356	147	268	16	4	28%	6%	74	-0.5	219/270/360	141	293	15	4	29%	6%	76	-0.4	215/265/353	139	286	15	3	30%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Austin Gallagher 2012 · A	23	48→49	44→45	39→30	48	238/297/351	113	291	12	2	22%	8%	84	+0.1	232/300/369	137	295	14	4	25%	9%	89	+0.5	224/297/375	152	281	17	2	26%	9%	86	+0.2
●Tommy Joseph 2014 · AAA	23	43→48	46→60	36→30	39	219/264/342	123	283	14	3	28%	5%	70	-0.9	228/274/374	146	270	18	4	23%	5%	81	-0.1	242/293/442	200	276	27	1	23%	6%	104	+1.2
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→38	47→55	37→40	45	204/267/342	138	254	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	206/284/354	148	268	16	3	28%	9%	81	-0.1	186/283/356	170	238	19	4	29%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Jeff Clement 2007 · AAA	23	46→49	44→55	39→30	42	229/288/341	112	286	12	4	24%	5%	78	-0.3	239/310/408	169	287	19	2	23%	8%	103	+1.5	238/312/421	183	283	20	1	23%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Tyler Neslony 2018 · AA	24	48	39→55	34→55	44	228/283/316	88	294	7	3	24%	6%	70	-0.8	222/269/318	96	296	7	8	26%	6%	65	-1.2	252/308/418	166	323	14	14	25%	7%	99	+0.6
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	47→46	53→55	38→30	41	242/312/410	168	298	22	3	26%	5%	105	+1.7	220/309/361	141	268	15	2	23%	7%	93	+0.8	208/299/335	127	258	13	0	24%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Cal Mitchell 2022 · AAA	23	47→54	45→50	40→50	39	234/276/357	123	299	14	6	26%	4%	78	-0.3	242/294/377	135	307	14	11	25%	6%	88	+0.5	236/294/376	140	302	15	12	26%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Matt Davidson 2013 · AA	22	44→45	49→60	38→30	44	223/293/375	152	294	17	2	29%	7%	88	+0.5	200/267/335	135	287	15	2	34%	7%	70	-0.8	222/289/413	191	300	26	0	34%	7%	97	+0.8
✕Christopher Vinyard 2009 · A	23	41→42	46→45	36→30	42	212/267/336	124	277	15	2	29%	6%	70	-0.9	208/264/326	118	282	13	5	30%	7%	66	-1.1	161/216/265	104	207	14	0	30%	7%	33	-0.8
●John Bowker 2006 · A	23	45→55	45→55	37→45	40	226/270/346	120	298	13	4	28%	5%	72	-0.7	245/288/378	133	312	13	5	25%	5%	86	+0.3	266/325/436	170	315	19	6	21%	7%	114	+2.0
✕Chris Marrero 2011 · AA	23	51→55	47→55	37→30	42	253/300/387	134	319	15	2	25%	6%	94	+0.9	253/302/368	115	313	12	3	22%	6%	89	+0.5	252/303/360	109	306	11	1	21%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Andy Wilkins 2012 · A	23	43→46	49→55	43→45	45	221/272/363	142	262	17	4	23%	7%	78	-0.3	226/279/383	157	274	19	4	24%	7%	85	+0.2	228/278/395	167	272	20	3	24%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Chris McGuiness 2011 · A	23	46→49	46→50	41→30	51	226/309/353	127	289	13	4	26%	10%	89	+0.5	213/286/333	120	281	13	3	27%	9%	76	-0.4	221/297/360	139	273	14	0	23%	9%	84	+0.2
✕Phillip Cuadrado 2007 · A	23	49→50	48→50	37→40	43	245/301/385	139	297	16	4	23%	5%	94	+0.9	224/282/349	125	290	13	5	26%	6%	78	-0.3	181/247/294	114	235	12	0	28%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Robbie Tenerowicz 2018 · A	23	46→51	45→50	41→45	41	226/278/352	126	289	12	4	26%	5%	77	-0.3	224/278/321	97	288	8	8	24%	6%	70	-0.9	229/315/373	145	282	17	2	24%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Clint Coulter 2016 · A	23	42→43	48→50	41→40	45	213/289/357	144	266	15	5	25%	7%	83	+0.1	207/266/324	117	274	11	4	28%	5%	67	-1.1	200/266/338	137	245	16	4	25%	5%	67	-0.4

Tanner Thach

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps