Aneudis Mejia

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 23 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	MIX2 levels	7	2	15	6.46	4.86	26.4%	18.1%	—	K 26.4% · BB 18.1% · FIP 4.68
2025	21	ATEX	22	9	61	6.16	3.44	23.3%	14.9%	—	K 17.2% · BB 17.6% · FIP 4.36
2026	22	MIX2 levels	25	3	42	6.26	5.14	21.4%	10.9%	—	K 16.4% · BB 12.5% · FIP 6.06
2027PROJ	23	MLBTEX	50	0	52	5.93	5.93	16.4%	17.2%	-0.7
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBTEX	23	0	24	5.64	5.55	17.8%	15.3%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBTEX	36	0	38	5.42	5.33	18.6%	14.1%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff40Control25Command30

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsGarrett Apker (age 23) · Blake Quinn (age 23) · Cole Percival (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.93

FIP5.93

K%16.4%

BB%17.2%

K-BB%-0.8%

Proj IP52

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Blue	4	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.9	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.17	2.73	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Blue	4	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.9	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.17	2.71	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	11	4	20	113	31	27	3	36%	1.8	18.7%	29.9%	-11.2%	3.3%	8.10	7.12	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	11	4	20	113	31	27	3	36%	1.8	27.4%	23.9%	3.5%	2.7%	8.10	6.00	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	15	72	19	13	2	29%	2.2	26.4%	18.1%	8.3%	2.8%	6.46	4.68	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	2	15	72	19	13	2	29%	2.2	26.4%	18.1%	8.3%	2.8%	6.46	4.68	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	2	15	72	19	13	2	29%	2.2	26.4%	18.1%	8.3%	2.8%	6.46	4.86	—
2025	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	22	9	61	288	67	43	2	41%	2.8	17.2%	17.6%	-0.4%	0.9%	6.16	4.36	—
2025	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	22	9	61	288	67	43	2	41%	2.8	17.2%	17.6%	-0.4%	0.9%	6.16	4.36	—
2025	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	22	9	61	288	67	43	2	41%	2.8	23.3%	14.9%	8.3%	0.7%	6.16	3.44	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	3	42	192	41	21	8	12%	1.7	16.4%	12.5%	4.0%	5.1%	6.26	6.06	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	3	42	192	41	21	8	12%	1.7	16.4%	12.5%	4.0%	5.1%	6.26	6.06	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	3	42	192	41	21	8	12%	1.7	21.4%	10.9%	10.4%	4.2%	6.26	5.14	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	TEX	50	0	52	220	36	38	7	0%	1.0	16.4%	17.2%	-0.8%	3.0%	5.93	5.93	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TEX	54	0	57	239	43	36	7	0%	1.0	17.8%	15.3%	2.5%	3.0%	5.64	5.55	-0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	TEX	55	0	57	242	45	34	7	0%	1.0	18.6%	14.1%	4.5%	3.0%	5.42	5.33	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	TEX	23	0	24	101	18	15	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	15.3%	2.5%	3.0%	5.64	5.55	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	TEX	36	0	38	160	30	23	5	0%	1.1	18.6%	14.1%	4.5%	3.0%	5.42	5.33	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		59	0	62	262	48	38	8	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.5%	3.8%	3.0%	5.51	5.04	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	154	122	26	0%	1.1	18.3%	14.5%	3.8%	3.0%	5.51	5.04	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		69	18	146	699	130	126	18	26%	2.1	18.6%	18.1%	0.5%	2.6%	6.23	5.23	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		95	25	200	958	178	173	25	26%	2.1	18.6%	18.1%	0.5%	2.6%	6.23	5.23	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Aneudis Mejia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.93	16.4%	17.2%	3.0%	—	5.44	18.2%	3.5%	114	-0.49	—	—	—
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	89
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	88
Cole Percival R 2022 · 5.21 FIP	23	SU	5.21	15.4%	14.5%	2.9%	.297	4.27	17.9%	5.9%	182	-0.94	3.58	327	87
Jon Keller R 2016 · 5.48 FIP	23	SW	5.48	15.3%	20.9%	1.9%	.265	3.84	8.9%	-2.9%	15	-1.64	3.64	156	84
Jhonny Polanco R 2015 · 4.75 FIP	23	SW	4.75	18.9%	14.2%	2.6%	.283	4.06	21.3%	5.7%	48	-0.69	4.06	116	84
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	84
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	83
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	82
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	82
Victor Santos R 2001 · 4.97 FIP	24	SW	4.97	15.5%	13.4%	2.7%	.231	4.38	16.4%	7.4%	206	-0.59	4.09	602	81
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	81
Corey Avant R 2024 · 4.76 FIP	22	SW	4.76	17.1%	14.9%	2.2%	.394	4.57	19.9%	6.4%	221	-0.19	3.69	292	81
Jeff Soptic R 2015 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	15.5%	17.2%	2.5%	.237	5.52	13.6%	-1.7%	68	+0.22	5.30	124	80
Derrick Turnbow R 2000 · 6.58 FIP	22	SU	6.58	13.8%	19.9%	3.9%	.257	1.43	28.3%	22.6%	15	-5.15	1.43	245	80
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	80
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	80
Cole Aker R 2019 · 5.60 FIP	22	SW	5.60	19.5%	20.6%	2.8%	.239	6.17	12.0%	-9.9%	28	+0.57	3.60	147	79
Luis Ledo R 2018 · 5.51 FIP	23	SU	5.51	17.1%	17.6%	3.0%	.329	3.65	20.8%	8.0%	85	-1.86	3.27	376	79
David Lucroy R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	15.8%	16.8%	2.0%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	3.93	103	79
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	55	17.6%	15.5%	1.16	5.66
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*