Zach Veen P Fort Myers Mighty Mussels
Age 25 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 119
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%22.9%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
K: +0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.7 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.7 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.08 (40 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.10.10.0262829
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202221ROKFCL Twins303114010%1.036.4%0.0%36.4%9.1%3.005.02
202221ROKFCL Twins303114010%1.036.4%0.0%36.4%9.1%3.004.77
202322AFort Myers Mighty Mussels41058252482660%1.414.1%12.2%1.9%3.3%4.325.24
202322AFort Myers Mighty Mussels41058252482660%1.419.0%10.3%8.7%2.4%4.324.13
▸ 2026 Season
202625MLBMIN39041172391650%1.022.9%9.4%13.5%3.0%4.384.38+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202726MLBMIN39041172401650%1.023.2%9.3%13.9%3.0%4.364.35+0.1
202827MLBMIN38040170391650%1.123.2%9.4%13.8%3.1%4.384.39+0.1
202928MLBMIN37039165381650%1.123.1%9.5%13.5%3.2%4.434.47+0.0
202726MLBMIN160177217720%1.123.2%9.3%13.9%3.0%4.364.35+0.0
202827MLBMIN24025106241030%1.023.2%9.4%13.8%3.1%4.384.39+0.0
202928MLBMIN28029122281240%1.023.1%9.5%13.5%3.2%4.434.47+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career69072304702990%1.023.1%9.4%13.7%3.1%4.404.03+0.6
/ 200 IP190020084419581250%1.123.1%9.4%13.7%3.1%4.404.03+3.2
Career44061263403190%1.415.0%11.7%3.4%3.5%4.265.23-0.5
/ 200 IP1430200858129100300%1.415.0%11.7%3.4%3.5%4.265.23+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Zach Veen (OGILVIE) 4.38 22.9%9.4%3.0% 4.40 23.1%13.7%120 +0.02
Colton Johnson L 2027 · 4.04 FIP 26 SU 4.04 20.8%11.0%2.4%.309 4.49 12.2%-0.4%48 +0.45 4.04 106 87
Greg Nappo L 2027 · 3.40 FIP 26 SU 3.40 22.7%7.5%2.3%.267 5.45 16.5%5.9%79 +2.05 3.40 144 87
Robbie Ross Jr. L 2027 · 3.72 FIP 26 SU 3.72 20.5%6.9%2.7%.287 3.19 22.3%9.6%66 -0.53 2.79 159 86
Elvis Araujo L 2026 · 4.17 FIP 25 SU 4.17 21.0%9.8%2.9%.308 5.33 22.9%11.1%38 +1.16 2.35 120 86
Jackson Lancaster L 2026 · 4.45 FIP 25 SU 4.45 24.0%11.1%3.6%.355 5.10 17.6%4.9%78 +0.65 4.28 127 86
Will Gilbert L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 19.9%10.3%2.8%.306 2.85 141 85
Gabriel Sequeira L 2026 · 3.30 FIP 25 SU 3.30 21.0%8.8%1.6%.276 5.09 23.0%2.4%14 +1.79 2.65 160 85
Thomas Burrows L 2025 · 4.17 FIP 24 SU 4.17 22.0%10.5%2.9%.276 3.94 26.5%12.9%82 -0.23 2.83 271 84
Jerry Vasto L 2026 · 3.92 FIP 25 SU 3.92 22.2%10.2%2.5%.382 3.44 24.0%12.5%38 -0.48 2.84 206 84
Sean Mellen L 2025 · 3.97 FIP 24 SU 3.97 21.3%10.4%2.5%.285 3.97 101 83
Brandon Hughes L 2026 · 3.62 FIP 25 SU 3.62 27.0%11.1%2.5%.300 4.49 24.4%14.8%149 +0.87 3.62 206 83
Carson Skipper L 2026 · 3.65 FIP 25 SU 3.65 19.9%9.1%2.0%.301 7.84 8.3%-4.8%10 +4.19 2.87 186 83
Jared Tobey L 2026 · 4.46 FIP 25 SU 4.46 23.6%11.8%3.4%.341 8.96 20.1%1.1%25 +4.50 4.11 158 83
Robby Ahlstrom L 2026 · 3.93 FIP 25 SU 3.93 22.0%12.1%2.1%.294 4.22 19.9%7.8%96 +0.29 3.65 308 82
Haylen Green L 2026 · 4.08 FIP 25 SU 4.08 18.6%10.8%2.2%.317 3.85 104 82
Kit Scheetz L 2026 · 4.45 FIP 25 SU 4.45 22.9%8.7%4.0%.340 5.20 16.2%2.6%55 +0.75 2.34 195 82
Adam Liberatore L 2029 · 3.84 FIP 28 SU 3.84 21.1%7.3%2.9%.267 3.21 23.3%15.2%73 -0.63 2.44 124 81
Michael Theofanopoulos L 2025 · 3.66 FIP 24 SU 3.66 21.0%9.8%2.0%.326 3.53 201 81
Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.13 FIP 25 SU 4.13 21.9%12.0%2.5%.322 4.78 22.8%10.7%110 +0.65 4.13 265 81
Williams Jerez L 2026 · 3.98 FIP 25 SU 3.98 17.8%8.7%2.3%.294 3.84 24.0%15.1%127 -0.14 3.54 364 80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION44023.1%9.4%1.184.39
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
David Hernandez ('19)55425.0%7.9%1.144.10
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20