Kevin Stevens — OGILVIE

Kevin Stevens P Somerset Patriots

Age 28 RHP 6'2" / 225 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 23 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112104vR 96

ERA4.14

FIP4.14

K%26.2%

BB%10.3%

K-BB%15.9%

ROS IP23

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 23 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	5	0	5	28	3	3	0	0%	0.9	10.7%	10.7%	0.0%	0.0%	7.71	3.55	—
2022	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	5	0	5	28	3	3	0	0%	0.9	10.7%	10.7%	0.0%	0.0%	7.71	3.74	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	31	0	39	161	56	16	2	0%	1.3	28.2%	10.9%	17.2%	1.5%	2.54	2.90	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	31	0	39	161	56	16	2	0%	1.3	28.2%	10.9%	17.2%	1.5%	2.54	2.90	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	31	0	39	161	56	16	2	0%	1.3	34.8%	9.9%	24.8%	1.2%	2.54	2.13	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	1	2	7	3	1	0	50%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2025	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	1	2	7	3	1	0	50%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.29	—
2025	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	1	2	7	3	1	0	50%	1.0	42.9%	14.3%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	22	0	22	96	32	5	3	0%	1.0	30.8%	4.4%	26.4%	4.8%	4.50	3.69	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	22	0	22	96	32	5	3	0%	1.0	30.8%	4.4%	26.4%	4.8%	4.50	3.69	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	28	ROK RAW	NYY	2	0	3	10	5	0	0	0%	1.4	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	0.00	-1.12	—
2026	28	A RAW	NYY	3	0	3	16	4	1	1	0%	1.1	25.0%	6.2%	18.8%	6.2%	2.70	5.21	—
2026	28	A+ RAW	NYY	4	0	4	20	4	2	0	0%	0.9	20.0%	10.0%	10.0%	0.0%	7.36	2.68	—
2026	28	AA RAW	NYY	13	0	12	50	19	2	2	0%	0.9	38.0%	4.0%	34.0%	4.0%	5.11	2.59	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	NYY	21	0	22	93	24	10	3	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.4%	15.3%	3.0%	4.23	4.29	+0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	NYY	7	0	7	30	8	3	1	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.4%	15.3%	3.0%	4.23	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	29	7	3	1	0%	1.0	25.7%	10.4%	15.3%	3.0%	4.23	3.91	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	87	29	0%	1.1	25.7%	10.4%	15.3%	3.0%	4.23	3.91	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		60	1	68	292	81	26	7	2%	1.1	27.7%	8.8%	18.9%	2.4%	3.46	3.19	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		177	3	200	863	239	76	21	2%	1.1	27.7%	8.8%	18.9%	2.4%	3.46	3.19	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Stevens (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.14	26.2%	10.3%	2.9%	—	4.29	25.7%	15.3%	22	+0.15	—	—	—
Matt Ramsey R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	28	SU	3.78	24.9%	8.8%	3.0%	.276	2.42	21.7%	12.6%	34	-1.36	2.42	125	88
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	84
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	82
Gerardo Sanchez R 2017 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	21.6%	8.4%	2.1%	.355	3.58	20.5%	15.1%	56	+0.11	2.65	137	81
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	81
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	81
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	81
Dayan Díaz R 2017 · 3.45 FIP	28	SU	3.45	25.1%	8.7%	2.5%	.358	3.96	29.4%	19.3%	16	+0.51	3.08	205	81
Blake Treinen R 2016 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	24.0%	9.5%	1.9%	.271	3.04	26.0%	17.7%	215	-0.28	1.53	547	80
Bryan Shaw R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	28	SU	3.73	25.1%	9.1%	2.9%	.277	3.83	21.1%	12.7%	203	+0.10	2.78	596	80
Michael Dimock R 2018 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	23.5%	10.7%	1.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	166	80
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Michael Mariot R 2017 · 3.51 FIP	28	SU	3.51	22.6%	9.0%	2.1%	.327	4.79	20.9%	11.8%	74	+1.28	2.40	676	80
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	79
Jason Stoffel R 2016 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	27.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	103	79
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	79
Brad Brach R 2015 · 3.22 FIP	29	SU	3.22	27.5%	10.8%	1.9%	.259	3.13	25.6%	17.1%	210	-0.09	2.69	410	79
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2015 · 3.34 FIP	31	SU	3.34	26.5%	9.6%	2.3%	.241	3.89	23.3%	13.2%	105	+0.55	3.34	212	79
Ryan Tepera R 2016 · 3.11 FIP	28	SU	3.11	22.6%	8.9%	1.4%	.266	3.81	24.3%	15.9%	164	+0.70	2.35	445	79