Dylan Palmer — OGILVIE

Dylan Palmer2B Bradenton Marauders

Age 22 L/R 5'7" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION304 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .319 / .336

PA202

HR2

SB13

K%23

BB%8

BABIP322

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED75

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$10M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$7M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.1M
Totals		$11M		$34M	+$29M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	PIT	—	304	272	74	8	4	1	26	65	2	36	14	272	340	342	682	70	351	21	9	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.7
YTD	22	A	PIT	—	304	253	75	8	4	1	36	46	2	36	14	296	377	372	748	75	356	15	12	334	114	+5	+2	+0	+1	+9	1.6
ROS	22	A	PIT	0%	202	181	45	6	2	2	17	47	2	13	5	248	319	336	655	88	320	23	8	299	87	-3	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.4
ROS	22	MLB	PIT	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		318	—	—	292	81	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	PIT	—	304	273	74	8	4	1	26	65	2	36	14	271	340	341	681	70	349	21	9	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.7
TOT	22	A	PIT	—	506	453	119	14	6	3	43	112	4	49	19	262	332	339	671	77	340	22	8	299	87	-8	+2	+0	+2	+14	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	PIT	43%	570	513	128	19	5	7	48	130	4	25	8	250	319	347	666	97	316	23	8	300	88	-8	+2	+0	+2	+16	1.2
2028	24	MLB	PIT	58%	597	536	134	20	5	9	51	135	5	26	9	250	321	356	677	106	316	23	9	305	92	-6	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.5
2029	25	MLB	PIT	65%	615	552	138	21	5	10	53	139	5	27	9	250	321	361	682	111	315	23	9	308	94	-4	+2	+0	+2	+17	1.7
2030	26	MLB	PIT	68%	627	563	142	22	5	11	54	141	5	27	9	252	323	368	691	115	314	22	9	309	95	-4	+2	+0	+2	+18	1.9
2031	27	MLB	PIT	68%	629	564	142	22	5	11	55	142	5	27	9	252	324	367	691	115	314	23	9	309	95	-4	+2	+0	+2	+18	1.9
2032	28	MLB	PIT	68%	626	561	140	21	5	11	55	142	5	26	9	250	322	364	686	114	314	23	9	308	94	-4	+2	-1	+2	+18	1.7
2033	29	MLB	PIT	66%	617	552	138	21	5	10	55	141	5	24	8	250	324	361	684	111	313	23	9	306	93	-5	+2	-1	+2	+17	1.5
2034	30	MLB	PIT	66%	607	543	135	20	5	10	54	141	5	21	7	249	322	359	681	110	312	23	9	304	91	-7	+1	-2	+2	+17	1.2
2035	31	MLB	PIT	65%	594	531	129	19	4	9	53	140	5	18	6	243	317	345	662	102	310	24	9	299	87	-8	+1	-3	+2	+17	0.9
2036	32	MLB	PIT	65%	576	516	123	18	4	8	51	138	4	14	5	238	312	335	647	97	307	24	9	294	83	-11	+1	-4	+2	+16	0.5
2037	33	MLB	PIT	70%	546	489	114	16	4	7	48	133	4	11	4	233	307	325	632	92	303	24	9	288	78	-13	+1	-4	+2	+15	0.0
2038	34	MLB	PIT	66%	498	448	101	13	3	6	43	125	4	7	2	225	299	308	607	83	298	25	9	280	72	-16	+1	-5	+2	+14	-0.4
2027	23	MLB	PIT	43%	246	221	55	8	2	3	21	56	2	11	4	249	320	344	664	95	315	23	9	293	83	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.4
2028	24	MLB	PIT	58%	346	311	78	12	3	5	29	78	3	15	5	251	321	357	678	106	314	23	8	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.7
2029	25	MLB	PIT	65%	398	358	89	14	3	6	34	90	3	17	6	249	319	355	674	106	313	23	9	301	88	-5	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.9
2030	26	MLB	PIT	68%	426	382	95	15	3	7	37	96	4	18	6	249	322	359	680	110	313	23	9	302	89	-5	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.0
2031	27	MLB	PIT	68%	428	384	95	15	3	7	37	97	4	19	6	247	320	357	677	109	312	23	9	302	89	-5	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.0
2032	28	MLB	PIT	68%	426	382	94	14	3	7	37	97	4	18	6	246	319	353	673	107	312	23	9	301	88	-6	+1	-0	+2	+12	0.9
2033	29	MLB	PIT	66%	410	368	91	14	3	7	36	94	3	16	5	247	319	359	678	111	311	23	9	299	87	-6	+1	-1	+1	+12	0.8
2034	30	MLB	PIT	66%	398	357	87	13	3	6	35	92	3	14	5	244	316	347	664	104	310	23	9	296	85	-7	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.6
2035	31	MLB	PIT	65%	386	346	84	12	3	6	34	91	3	12	4	243	316	347	663	104	308	24	9	292	82	-8	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.4
2036	32	MLB	PIT	65%	373	334	79	11	3	5	33	89	3	9	3	237	311	332	643	96	305	24	9	287	78	-9	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.1
2037	33	MLB	PIT	70%	383	343	80	11	3	5	34	93	3	7	3	233	308	327	634	93	302	24	9	281	73	-12	+0	-3	+1	+11	-0.2
2038	34	MLB	PIT	66%	327	293	66	9	2	4	29	82	2	5	2	225	299	311	610	85	296	25	9	273	67	-12	+0	-3	+1	+9	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4547	4080	993	148	34	68	396	1055	37	161	55	243	316	346	662	103	310	23	9	294	83	-85	+10	-13	+16	+129	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	142	21	5	10	57	151	5	23	8	244	316	348	664	105	311	23	9	294	83	-12	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.8
Career	—			—	7304	6549	1609	238	57	111	637	1694	58	266	90	246	318	350	668	105	313	23	9	301	89	-92	+17	-20	+26	+207	14.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	143	21	5	10	57	151	5	24	8	245	318	350	668	105	313	23	9	301	89	-8	+2	-2	+2	+18	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#2Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#3Kazuo Matsuilast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,555 PA	7	2,555	32	102	267	321	380	+13	+5	9.4	9.4
	/162	664	8	27	267	321	380	+3.3	+1.2	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,867	74	168	245	314	350	+17	+9	9.3	8.4
	/162	664	10	23	245	314	350	+2.4	+1.2	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	8	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
	/162	664	3	39	259	315	337	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan Palmer (OGILVIE)	22	52→57	30→35	70→75	56	262/332/339	77	340	3	49	22%	8%	87	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→48	43→50	58→60	54	209/313/325	116	289	9	21	28%	12%	83	+0.6	220/319/358	138	276	15	33	24%	11%	94	+1.3	216/315/358	142	266	16	40	24%	11%	89	+1.0
●Garin Cecchini 2013 · A	22	54→62	39→45	59→55	44	253/306/345	92	329	5	27	24%	6%	83	+0.6	249/313/349	100	330	6	16	24%	8%	88	+0.9	240/305/335	95	320	7	13	25%	8%	77	+0.1
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	40→45	58→55	46	205/275/300	94	276	6	17	27%	8%	59	-1.1	222/298/307	85	300	5	16	25%	9%	71	-0.3	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Mendoza 2022 · A	22	53→56	37→40	56→55	57	245/341/322	77	298	3	18	17%	11%	94	+1.3	235/338/307	72	307	3	14	22%	12%	89	+0.9	245/334/339	93	298	8	19	19%	9%	92	+0.8
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	66	-0.6	250/279/329	79	309	3	23	19%	4%	66	-0.6	280/299/338	58	344	0	29	18%	2%	72	-0.1
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/300/322	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	75	-0.0	224/270/287	63	290	2	11	22%	4%	53	-1.5	270/323/338	69	342	4	10	21%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Saige Jenco 2017 · A	22	53	38→40	60→50	47	246/305/339	93	324	4	21	24%	7%	81	+0.4	213/284/300	87	313	4	13	30%	9%	63	-0.9	195/273/273	78	294	4	12	32%	9%	49	-0.8
✕Donnie Dewees 2017 · A	23	49→51	40→45	62→50	41	233/275/340	108	297	4	17	23%	5%	69	-0.4	215/263/324	109	266	8	14	22%	5%	59	-1.1	205/256/316	111	247	9	13	21%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	49	228/296/314	87	301	4	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	265/309/316	51	306	1	59	13%	6%	76	+0.0	299/334/350	51	335	0	65	10%	5%	92	+0.9
●Ezequiel Carrera 2009 · A	22	50→60	39→45	57→60	45	235/296/328	93	301	6	20	23%	7%	75	-0.0	258/317/333	75	326	3	25	20%	7%	85	+0.7	256/323/359	102	320	11	15	22%	8%	92	+0.7
✕Cory Harrilchak 2010 · A	22	52→56	38→45	57→50	50	246/300/333	87	283	4	15	15%	7%	77	+0.1	240/290/345	105	296	6	13	20%	6%	77	+0.1	235/287/346	111	291	6	13	20%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Victor Scott II 2023 · A	22	44→53	44→40	58→65	50	212/296/342	129	289	10	19	28%	10%	79	+0.3	222/282/318	96	284	8	44	23%	6%	66	-0.6	217/280/304	88	276	7	49	23%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2013 · AA	22	52→60	38→40	59→55	45	244/297/332	88	314	4	24	22%	6%	76	+0.0	219/276/301	82	296	5	23	26%	7%	59	-1.1	197/253/264	66	281	5	20	30%	6%	37	-1.3
✕Jarrod Dyson 2007 · A	22	46→56	36→45	58→70	43	213/272/285	72	283	2	18	24%	6%	53	-1.5	224/275/278	54	314	1	30	27%	6%	53	-1.5	260/327/367	107	298	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.7
●Andrew Toles 2014 · A	22	52→62	40→45	62→60	35	245/271/356	111	332	5	29	28%	3%	70	-0.3	251/285/360	109	329	6	26	24%	4%	78	+0.2	279/317/428	149	345	13	14	22%	4%	104	+1.0
✕Anthony Norman 2008 · A	23	53→42	37→50	61→55	48	245/303/328	84	291	2	12	16%	6%	77	+0.1	222/302/363	141	273	13	18	23%	9%	88	+0.9	212/297/363	151	268	15	22	25%	9%	83	+0.2
✕Ryan Rogowski 2007 · A	23	49→46	40	59→55	52	231/303/334	103	280	6	19	19%	9%	79	+0.3	219/288/309	90	274	4	26	20%	8%	67	-0.5	214/285/300	86	266	4	31	20%	8%	61	-0.8
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	49→59	39→50	58→60	50	232/296/323	91	293	5	22	22%	8%	73	-0.1	247/302/350	103	314	8	27	22%	7%	83	+0.6	263/322/384	122	308	9	27	17%	8%	99	+1.8