Will Vierling — OGILVIE

Will VierlingC Clearwater Threshers

Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION284 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP279

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$39M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	47	9	2	0	1	7	13	2	0	0	191	321	298	619	106	242	23	12	293	85	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	221	30	9	236	46	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	226	30	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	47	9	2	0	1	7	13	2	0	0	191	321	298	619	106	242	23	12	293	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	221	30	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	221	30	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	PHI	—	284	255	53	10	0	7	22	78	5	3	3	208	284	329	613	122	267	27	8	275	72	-9	-1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	PHI	—	284	246	61	11	0	9	30	55	5	3	3	248	340	402	743	154	283	19	11	333	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	PHI	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		276	22	11	287	80	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	PHI	—	293	263	54	10	0	7	23	80	5	3	3	205	282	323	605	118	264	27	8	275	73	-10	-1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	43%	275	247	54	10	1	7	22	71	4	3	1	219	293	352	645	134	279	26	8	295	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	364	326	74	14	1	10	30	93	5	4	2	227	302	368	670	141	281	26	8	299	89	-5	+0	+0	+7	+8	1.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	65%	409	366	83	15	2	11	34	103	6	5	2	227	303	369	672	142	281	25	8	302	90	-5	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	437	392	89	17	2	12	36	110	6	5	2	227	302	372	674	145	281	25	8	303	91	-5	+0	+0	+8	+9	1.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	447	400	92	17	2	13	38	113	6	5	2	230	306	380	686	150	281	25	9	303	91	-5	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	68%	449	402	92	17	2	13	38	114	6	5	2	229	305	378	683	149	281	25	8	302	90	-5	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	66%	443	396	88	16	1	12	38	113	6	5	2	222	300	359	659	136	280	26	9	300	89	-6	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.1
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	66%	435	389	86	16	1	12	37	112	6	4	2	221	299	360	659	139	278	26	9	297	87	-7	+0	-2	+8	+9	0.9
2035	31	MLB MLE	PHI	71%	409	366	80	15	1	11	35	107	5	3	1	219	296	355	651	137	276	26	9	293	84	-8	+0	-3	+7	+9	0.6
2036	32	MLB MLE	PHI	74%	381	340	73	13	1	10	33	101	5	3	1	215	294	347	641	132	273	27	9	287	80	-9	+0	-4	+7	+8	0.3
2037	33	MLB MLE	PHI	77%	342	306	64	11	1	8	29	92	4	2	1	209	286	330	616	121	268	27	8	280	76	-10	+0	-4	+6	+7	-0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	PHI	43%	119	106	23	4	0	3	10	31	2	1	1	217	297	340	636	123	282	26	8	290	86	-2	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	211	189	43	8	1	6	17	54	3	2	1	228	301	376	677	148	284	26	8	295	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	65%	265	237	55	10	1	8	22	67	4	3	1	232	308	384	692	152	284	25	8	297	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	297	266	61	11	1	9	25	75	4	3	1	229	305	380	685	150	284	25	8	298	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	304	271	63	12	1	9	26	77	4	3	2	232	309	384	693	151	284	25	9	298	91	-3	-0	+0	+5	+7	0.9
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	68%	305	272	63	12	1	9	26	77	4	3	1	232	308	382	690	151	284	25	9	297	90	-4	+0	-0	+5	+7	0.8
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	66%	294	263	60	11	1	9	25	75	4	3	1	228	305	380	685	152	283	26	9	295	89	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	66%	285	254	58	11	1	8	25	74	4	3	1	228	307	374	681	146	281	26	9	292	87	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2035	31	MLB CTX	PHI	71%	289	258	58	11	1	8	25	76	4	2	1	225	303	368	671	143	279	26	9	288	84	-5	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2036	32	MLB CTX	PHI	74%	283	253	56	10	1	8	24	75	4	2	1	221	299	364	663	142	275	27	8	283	80	-7	+0	-3	+5	+6	0.2
2037	33	MLB CTX	PHI	77%	262	235	51	9	1	7	22	71	3	1	1	217	292	353	645	136	271	27	8	276	76	-8	-0	-3	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2914	2604	591	109	10	84	247	752	40	26	12	227	304	373	677	146	285	26	8	292	86	-46	+0	-11	+52	+63	6.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	132	24	2	19	55	168	9	6	3	227	304	373	677	146	285	26	8	292	86	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	4456	3987	884	163	15	120	376	1148	61	44	18	222	299	360	659	139	279	26	8	296	86	-68	+2	-15	+79	+95	9.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	129	24	2	18	55	167	9	6	3	222	299	363	662	141	278	26	8	296	86	-10	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.6	3,035	81	30	223	297	362	+54	+32	8.9	7.8
/162	664	18	7	+11.9	+7.0	2.0	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Vierling (OGILVIE)	22	38→43	44→49	44→49	55	215/289/342	127	276	3	2	26%	8%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→51	46→55	48→50	52	226/305/358	133	270	13	12	21%	9%	89	+0.5	230/298/389	159	277	18	11	23%	8%	93	+0.8	222/292/383	160	263	19	11	23%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2023 · A	22	38→41	47→45	50→45	48	196/307/325	129	265	16	7	30%	10%	84	+0.2	187/296/284	97	258	8	5	29%	10%	71	-0.8	175/316/278	103	239	9	4	27%	12%	76	-0.2
✕Jimmy Crooks 2023 · A	22	48→45	47→50	51→40	43	228/313/368	140	332	14	6	33%	8%	95	+0.9	233/294/354	121	326	12	4	30%	7%	84	+0.1	229/298/368	139	321	17	2	32%	7%	86	+0.2
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Trey Sweeney 2022 · A	22	43	50	53→55	45	220/289/382	163	296	17	9	31%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/344	136	276	15	19	28%	8%	78	-0.3	213/282/342	129	276	14	17	27%	8%	75	-0.4
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A	22	48	47→50	53→45	48	239/297/376	137	271	15	16	18%	7%	90	+0.6	224/293/368	144	273	16	9	23%	7%	87	+0.4	210/294/357	148	242	16	5	20%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	44	48→55	51→45	44	220/290/372	152	284	15	6	27%	7%	87	+0.4	226/287/341	115	299	8	7	26%	6%	78	-0.3	221/280/392	172	282	21	5	29%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Shed Long Jr. 2018 · AA	22	47→49	47→50	50	43	234/291/373	139	314	14	10	30%	7%	86	+0.3	231/292/368	137	313	14	12	29%	7%	86	+0.3	226/290/362	136	303	14	12	29%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	49→50	44→45	50→55	46	235/299/356	121	318	11	10	28%	8%	86	+0.3	230/301/343	113	337	9	17	31%	9%	84	+0.1	227/299/342	115	335	9	21	32%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Ryan Wheeler 2010 · A	22	49→55	45→50	48→40	47	241/312/368	127	299	12	8	23%	8%	94	+0.9	248/290/367	119	316	12	4	24%	5%	84	+0.2	253/293/380	127	317	12	4	24%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	76	-0.4	232/294/362	130	290	12	8	23%	7%	85	+0.2	226/287/350	124	285	13	8	24%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Matthew Sweeney 2010 · A	22	46→40	48→50	46→45	44	232/288/382	150	289	15	5	25%	7%	88	+0.4	188/250/297	109	272	10	4	33%	7%	55	-2.0	159/223/255	96	232	9	1	34%	7%	32	-1.5
✕Daniel Vellojin 2022 · A	22	45	43→45	45	56	216/315/332	116	282	9	7	25%	12%	87	+0.4	187/274/291	104	267	10	5	31%	10%	63	-1.4	154/237/226	72	219	7	4	31%	9%	32	-1.3
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	42	45	47→30	51	208/291/330	122	251	13	6	22%	9%	78	-0.3	213/275/319	106	250	9	3	18%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/316	106	241	9	1	16%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Matt Thaiss 2017 · A	22	49→50	43→50	45	47	235/285/352	118	272	8	5	17%	6%	79	-0.2	229/291/352	123	286	11	6	23%	8%	82	-0.0	222/303/377	155	275	18	4	25%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Juan Brito 2023 · A	21	47→48	46→50	48→45	54	232/318/372	139	281	13	11	22%	10%	97	+1.1	223/303/356	133	270	13	9	21%	9%	88	+0.4	215/296/345	130	258	13	9	21%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→48	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	204/281/333	129	269	13	9	28%	7%	75	-0.5	221/295/347	125	275	11	8	22%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42→41	46→50	48→40	46	211/282/339	129	262	14	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	219/310/346	127	298	13	6	29%	9%	89	+0.5	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA	23	40→43	49→55	54→50	48	203/290/352	149	278	16	16	32%	10%	82	+0.0	214/299/386	172	268	20	10	27%	10%	93	+0.8	205/292/383	178	245	22	6	26%	10%	88	+0.3
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps