Will VierlingC Clearwater Threshers
Age 22 L/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION195 act + 130 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .256 / .271
PA130
HR2
K%29
BB%7
BABIP253
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -24.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-24BATRUN: -0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.90-0.9WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.40.5+$10M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 37 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT37
scouting grade only
POWER43
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 AClearwater Threshers 5648 8201 6162 00 167286271557 104226 2911 238 40
202521 AClearwater Threshers 5647 9201 7132 00 191321298619 106242 2312 293 83
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 APHI 195179 29403 11624 32 162227235461 73226 326 216 24 -17 -0 +0 +3 +6 -0.8
YTD22 APHI 195174 36504 15444 32 207284305588 98252 238 270 65 -8 -0 +0 +3 +6 0.1
ROS22 APHI 0% 130118 22402 9382 21 186256271527 85261 297 252 51 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
ROS22 MLBPHI 0% 01 0000 000 00 262 242 43 +0 +0
FULL22 APHI 195180 29403 11624 32 161227233460 72224 326 216 24 -17 -0 +0 +3 +6 -0.8
TOT22 APHI 325297 51805 201006 53 172238249488 77237 316 230 34 -24 -0 +0 +6 +9 -0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBPHI 34% 282256 52916 20814 41 203271316588 113268 297 264 60 -13 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.1
202824 MLBPHI 46% 369335 701228 261035 52 209276328604 119271 287 270 65 -15 +0 +0 +7 +10 0.3
202925 MLBPHI 52% 412373 791429 301146 52 212281332614 121272 287 274 68 -15 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.4
203026 MLBPHI 54% 439398 8415210 321216 62 211280334614 123273 287 275 69 -15 +0 +0 +8 +12 0.5
202723 MLBPHI 34% 9789 17302 7281 10 191258292550 101270 297 255 53 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202824 MLBPHI 46% 170154 33614 12482 21 214280344624 130273 287 262 58 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
202925 MLBPHI 52% 213193 41715 15593 31 212280337616 124274 287 265 61 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203026 MLBPHI 54% 238216 45815 17663 31 208275324599 116275 287 267 62 -10 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 718653 13624316 512019 93 208275328603 119273 287 263 60 -33 +1 +0 +13 +20 0.1
/ 162G 650591 12322314 461828 83 208275327601 118274 287 263 60 -30 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.1
Career 16881528 31556736 12347325 228 206276323599 116272 287 269 64 -69 +1 +0 +30 +48 1.1
/ 162G 650588 12222314 4718210 83 207278327604 119273 287 269 64 -26 +0 +0 +12 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 AClearwater Threshers 5647 9201 7132 00 191321298619 106242 2312 293 83 -1 +0 +2 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
38411811209275325+15+120.80.8
/162664149+11.9+9.50.6pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Will Vierling (OGILVIE) 22 32→37 38→43 45→50 50 172/238/249 77237 55 31% 6% 34 -0.9
Carlos Soto
2021 · A
22 42 41→50 47→30 41 206/265/302 96286 95 30% 6% 56 -1.3 194/271/313 119274 113 31% 9% 62 -0.9 169/256/29112223212031%10%49-0.8
Jose Brizuela
2016 · A
23 41→40 43→50 50→45 46 204/274/320 117274 107 28% 8% 65 -0.7 211/268/334 123297 135 32% 7% 66 -0.6 195/247/32513026817133%6%52-0.7
Brian Holberton
2014 · A
22 42 45 47→30 51 208/291/330 122251 136 22% 9% 76 +0.0 212/273/316 104251 93 18% 7% 63 -0.9 208/267/3121032419117%7%57-0.6
Tyler Kolodny
2010 · A
22 40→36 43→45 49→50 41 200/271/316 116273 118 30% 6% 63 -0.9 212/286/347 135281 1410 29% 6% 78 +0.2 214/295/369155271171026%6%84+0.2
Christopher Familia
2023 · A
23 39 45→55 47→45 45 200/277/324 124256 138 27% 7% 68 -0.5 216/273/378 162292 204 32% 6% 80 +0.4 212/264/39618427826033%5%76+0.0
Michael Cruz
2018 · A
22 40 40→55 48→30 48 196/276/284 88244 75 22% 8% 57 -1.2 213/266/361 148243 174 20% 6% 72 -0.2 187/252/33414721519123%6%58-0.5
Adrian Del Castillo
2023 · A
23 36→43 44→50 52→40 42 187/249/306 120252 127 30% 7% 51 -1.7 207/278/346 139286 153 31% 8% 73 -0.1 222/289/40218028122128%8%91+0.6
Jacob Wetzel
2023 · A
23 39→35 44→45 49→50 45 196/278/309 113276 1310 32% 9% 64 -0.8 190/263/303 113285 1013 34% 8% 56 -1.3 175/248/29011527091636%8%43-1.1
Omar Martinez
2023 · A
22 41→38 43→45 42→40 46 200/285/309 109287 115 32% 9% 67 -0.5 192/271/311 119296 145 37% 9% 62 -0.9 177/257/29111427614339%9%48-1.3
Mark Fleury
2010 · A
22 37→39 43→45 46→45 43 188/244/300 112245 104 27% 6% 46 -2.0 204/270/316 112289 105 31% 7% 62 -0.9 195/268/3001052829432%8%55-0.6
Darrien Miller
2023 · A
22 37→41 48→45 50→45 49 193/307/330 137261 177 31% 10% 84 +0.6 184/294/281 97261 95 30% 10% 66 -0.6 174/315/272982519330%11%72-0.1
Dom Nuñez
2017 · A
22 42→44 45 44→45 46 214/271/327 113261 147 24% 7% 65 -0.7 190/262/302 112246 138 27% 8% 56 -1.3 166/252/29613021916531%9%47-1.0
Johnny Monell
2008 · A
22 43→44 44→50 44→45 48 213/288/328 115279 118 27% 9% 73 -0.1 232/294/362 130291 128 23% 7% 84 +0.6 211/282/35514427715628%8%76+0.0
Geraldi Diaz
2022 · A
22 43 39→40 49→40 44 205/288/292 87283 68 28% 7% 65 -0.7 189/267/289 100291 85 35% 8% 54 -1.4 169/254/2691002668336%8%43-0.8
Isan Díaz
2018 · A
22 39→42 46→55 45 43 196/268/326 129288 148 35% 8% 64 -0.8 209/275/354 145294 168 32% 8% 74 -0.1 208/287/37316427521531%9%79+0.2
Drew Robinson
2014 · A
22 41→40 44→55 49→50 45 201/281/320 119294 118 33% 9% 68 -0.5 192/266/342 150282 1611 36% 9% 67 -0.5 213/286/393179309201236%9%85+0.5
Wynston Sawyer
2014 · A
22 41 43→45 47→45 45 203/262/312 109249 113 23% 6% 57 -1.2 213/278/311 98269 85 23% 7% 63 -0.8 220/307/32710728310224%9%79+0.1
Jacob Berry
2023 · A
22 43→41 42→45 46→55 43 211/288/314 103281 106 27% 7% 70 -0.3 200/251/312 112256 1112 26% 5% 53 -1.5 205/272/308102253102322%7%59-0.8
Daury Arias
2023 · A
21 39→38 43→40 46→45 50 195/281/303 108247 118 25% 9% 64 -0.8 181/258/263 82272 69 33% 8% 43 -2.2 160/240/230702465934%8%24-1.8
Pratt Maynard
2012 · A
22 43 39→45 48→45 42 206/272/292 86305 75 33% 7% 56 -1.3 216/277/305 89275 75 22% 8% 62 -0.9 218/282/314952717421%8%63-0.4