Will Vierling

C Clearwater Threshers

Age 23 L/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1862ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	APHI	56	.191/.321/.298	1	0	38	—	.163/.268/.265
2026	22	APHI	284	.248/.340/.402	9	3	63	—	.202/.273/.319
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBPHI	394	.193/.264/.315	9	6	63	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBPHI	61	.199/.270/.331	2	1	67	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBPHI	118	.202/.273/.337	3	2	69	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

K%71

Max EV70

Whiff%61

Z-Con%61

Chase%42

BB%38

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsDarrien Miller (age 23) · Dom Nuñez (age 23) · Christopher Familia (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .262 / .313

PA170

HR4

K%26

BB%8

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	47	9	2	0	1	7	13	2	0	0	191	321	298	619	106	242	23	12	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	284	246	61	11	0	9	30	55	5	3	3	248	340	402	743	154	283	19	11	333	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	212	30	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	284	257	52	9	0	7	20	75	5	3	3	202	273	319	592	117	252	26	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	226	30	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	47	9	2	0	1	7	13	2	0	0	191	321	298	619	106	242	23	12	293	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	284	257	52	9	0	7	20	75	5	3	3	202	273	319	592	117	254	26	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	284	246	61	11	0	9	30	55	5	3	3	248	340	402	743	154	283	19	11	333	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	212	30	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	284	257	52	9	0	7	20	75	5	3	3	202	273	319	592	117	252	26	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	56	49	8	2	0	1	5	17	2	0	0	163	268	265	533	102	212	30	9	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	284	257	52	9	0	7	20	75	5	3	3	202	273	319	592	117	252	26	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	394	356	69	12	2	9	30	103	5	6	2	193	264	315	579	122	240	26	8	262	63	-17	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	204	184	36	6	1	5	16	53	2	3	1	197	268	324	592	127	243	26	8	267	67	-8	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	267	241	49	9	1	7	21	68	3	4	1	200	271	330	601	130	246	25	8	271	69	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	PHI	51%	317	285	57	10	1	8	25	80	4	4	1	202	274	334	607	132	248	25	8	274	71	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	340	306	63	11	2	9	27	86	4	4	1	203	275	335	610	132	250	25	8	275	72	-11	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2032	28	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	351	316	64	12	1	9	28	89	4	4	1	203	275	334	609	130	251	25	8	274	72	-12	+0	-1	+6	+8	0.2
2033	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	348	314	63	11	1	9	27	89	4	2	1	201	272	328	600	127	249	26	8	271	69	-13	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.0
2034	30	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	341	308	61	11	1	8	26	89	4	1	1	198	269	320	588	122	247	26	8	266	66	-14	-0	-2	+6	+7	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	61	55	11	2	0	2	5	16	1	1	0	199	270	331	600	132	244	26	8	270	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	118	107	22	4	1	3	9	30	1	2	1	202	273	337	610	135	246	25	8	274	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	PHI	51%	161	146	29	5	1	4	12	41	2	2	1	204	275	341	616	137	248	25	7	277	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	178	160	34	6	1	5	14	45	2	2	1	205	277	342	619	137	250	25	8	278	72	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	187	168	35	6	1	5	15	48	2	2	1	205	277	341	618	136	251	26	8	278	72	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	183	165	34	6	1	5	14	47	2	1	1	203	274	334	608	132	250	26	8	274	69	-7	-0	-1	+3	+4	-0.0
2034	30	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	178	160	33	6	1	5	14	46	2	1	0	200	270	326	597	127	248	26	8	269	66	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1066	961	198	35	6	29	83	273	12	11	5	206	277	345	623	139	254	26	8	275	68	-38	+0	-2	+19	+23	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	121	21	4	18	51	166	7	7	3	206	278	348	626	142	254	26	8	275	68	-23	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2678	2413	483	86	9	67	208	690	34	28	11	200	273	327	600	126	249	26	8	269	68	-86	+2	-4	+42	+51	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	117	21	2	16	50	167	8	7	3	200	272	324	596	125	248	26	8	269	68	-24	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AClearwater Threshers · 284 PAwOBA .327 → .262 (−65)K% 19.4% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.37%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	26.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.56%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.990	7.22%
HBP% /PA	1.76%	—	×0.780	—	×0.990	1.36%
Singles /BIP	21.47%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.009	×0.990	19.73%
Doubles /BIP	5.76%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.009	×0.990	4.78%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.009	×0.990	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.71%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.990	3.73%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .327 → .262; ISO .154 → .120; BABIP .283 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AClearwater Threshers · 56 PAwOBA .287 → .225 (−62)K% 23.2% → 29.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.21%	÷1.065	×1.360	—	—	29.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	—	8.85%
HBP% /PA	3.57%	—	×0.780	—	—	2.79%
Singles /BIP	17.65%	÷1.030	×0.920	—	—	15.76%
Doubles /BIP	5.88%	÷0.975	×0.830	—	—	5.01%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.923	×0.910	—	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.94%	÷1.083	×0.800	—	—	2.17%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .287 → .225; ISO .106 → .081; BABIP .242 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,236	31	14	201	269	329	+22	+16	1.2	1.2
/162	664	17	7	+11.9	+8.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#5Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1
#6Mike Ryan'64-'74 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,098 PA	3.2	2,098	28	4	196*	257*	311*	+38	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	9	1	+11.9	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Vierling (OGILVIE)	23	41→46	43→48	44→49	53	191/262/313	121	240	4	3	26%	8%	63	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Dom Nuñez 2018 · AA	23	40→46	44→50	49→45	48	203/278/317	113	255	13	8	25%	8%	70	-0.9	200/276/330	130	263	15	8	29%	9%	72	-0.7	181/265/328	147	236	18	5	31%	9%	68	-0.5
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Mark Shannon 2014 · A	23	42→48	46→50	49→50	43	214/261/346	132	250	14	8	21%	5%	70	-0.9	221/258/328	107	276	11	11	24%	4%	63	-1.3	222/256/324	101	276	11	13	24%	3%	59	-1.0
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	41	45	47→30	51	207/289/328	121	249	13	6	22%	9%	77	-0.3	213/274/318	105	250	9	3	18%	7%	68	-1.0	210/270/316	106	240	9	1	16%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Michael Cruz 2019 · A	23	39	47→55	48→30	46	201/259/337	136	222	15	3	18%	6%	68	-1.0	215/273/353	138	266	16	4	25%	6%	76	-0.4	175/263/286	111	248	16	0	34%	6%	57	-0.6
✕LJ Talley 2021 · A	24	38→48	43→45	50	42	195/250/305	110	253	12	6	28%	6%	56	-1.9	220/279/331	111	280	11	9	24%	7%	72	-0.7	217/281/325	107	273	11	10	24%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Irving Lopez 2018 · A	23	45→49	42→45	47→40	46	221/286/326	105	259	10	7	19%	6%	74	-0.5	226/289/333	107	278	9	3	21%	6%	77	-0.3	216/278/320	104	272	8	2	23%	5%	67	-0.7
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	45	45→30	48	200/279/322	122	273	12	3	30%	9%	72	-0.7	197/273/311	114	289	10	5	33%	9%	66	-1.1	146/235/244	98	221	7	0	35%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Mark Fleury 2011 · A	23	39→40	45	48→45	42	200/261/328	128	269	12	4	30%	7%	65	-1.2	201/276/300	99	299	7	6	32%	9%	65	-1.2	186/276/265	79	285	4	6	33%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Chad Sedio 2018 · A	24	42→51	47→45	50→30	41	212/266/352	140	259	14	5	24%	5%	73	-0.6	220/281/319	99	298	8	3	27%	4%	71	-0.8	220/283/303	83	307	5	1	28%	4%	67	-0.7
✕Brett Sullivan 2017 · A	23	45→52	46→50	50→55	40	224/250/353	129	256	13	9	19%	3%	66	-1.1	239/271/357	118	268	10	15	15%	4%	75	-0.5	243/279/363	120	268	10	19	14%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Trey Hair 2018 · A	23	43	48→55	51→45	44	217/286/366	149	280	15	6	27%	7%	84	+0.2	225/285/338	113	297	8	7	26%	6%	76	-0.4	215/274/384	169	274	21	5	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Drew Campbell 2021 · A	23	43→46	41→50	48→50	43	210/250/305	95	253	8	8	21%	5%	55	-1.9	227/264/353	126	294	14	11	27%	4%	72	-0.7	226/264/347	121	298	14	13	29%	4%	68	-0.5
✕Reese Havens 2010 · A	23	42→40	48→45	44→40	49	215/300/354	139	265	15	5	24%	9%	87	+0.4	223/297/361	138	303	15	4	30%	9%	87	+0.4	212/289/341	129	305	15	2	33%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2021 · A	23	45→44	46→50	50→45	41	226/265/353	127	266	14	8	22%	4%	72	-0.7	227/267/376	149	272	18	3	24%	4%	79	-0.2	218/265/369	151	256	19	1	23%	4%	74	-0.4
✕Kade Scivicque 2016 · A	23	44→48	44→45	47→40	41	219/268/326	108	261	13	7	22%	4%	68	-1.0	230/269/312	82	296	7	2	24%	4%	63	-1.3	237/276/338	101	293	9	0	22%	4%	70	-0.4
✕Rodrigo Ayarza 2018 · A	23	45	44→50	48→50	40	225/258/344	119	270	11	6	22%	4%	68	-1.0	215/272/317	102	258	8	8	19%	7%	67	-1.1	189/264/267	79	215	5	6	14%	8%	53	-0.6

Will Vierling

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps