Ryan McCarthy — OGILVIE

Ryan McCarthyOF Fort Myers Mighty Mussels

Age 27 L/R 6'3" / 235 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA

wRC+†40

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .243 / .272

PA76

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	161	143	27	6	3	2	13	48	5	5	1	189	280	315	594	126	269	30	8	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	161	138	32	8	4	2	18	34	5	5	1	232	342	391	733	159	294	21	11	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	103	89	14	5	0	0	12	40	2	4	2	157	272	213	485	56	286	39	12	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	103	86	20	6	0	0	15	28	2	4	2	233	359	302	662	70	345	27	15	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	MIN	—	76	69	11	2	0	1	6	24	1	1	0	159	237	232	469	72	235	32	8	238	40	-5	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIN	26%	116	105	18	3	1	2	9	36	1	2	1	171	243	276	520	105	241	31	8	246	46	-7	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	MIN	26%	30	28	5	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	179	233	321	555	143	241	30	7	237	39	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	30	28	5	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	0	179	233	321	555	143	222	30	7	237	39	-2	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	109	22	0	22	43	195	0	22	0	180	234	325	558	145	223	30	7	237	39	-45	+4	-4	-4	+18	-3.0
Career	—			—	456	406	70	16	4	5	40	148	9	12	4	172	262	268	530	96	256	32	9	247	47	-27	+1	-1	-3	+13	-1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	100	23	6	7	57	211	13	17	6	173	262	269	531	97	257	32	9	247	47	-39	+1	-1	-4	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	24	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	161	138	32	8	4	2	18	34	5	5	1	232	342	391	733	159	294	21	11	332	112	+2	+1	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	25	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	103	86	20	6	0	0	15	28	2	4	2	233	359	302	662	70	345	27	15	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan McCarthy (OGILVIE)	27	—	—	—	—	167/243/272	104	235	1	1	32%	8%	40	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	44→45	47→30	43	185/254/299	114	263	11	5	33%	8%	51	-1.7	195/267/300	105	315	10	6	38%	9%	56	-1.3	118/199/170	52	253	3	0	50%	9%	-6	-1.3
✕Colin Simpson 2023 · A	27	39	44→45	52→40	39	195/248/310	115	276	11	7	33%	6%	50	-1.7	200/258/321	121	292	12	6	34%	7%	58	-1.2	168/232/297	129	246	13	0	36%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	31	41→40	49→45	40	165/225/253	88	235	9	5	33%	7%	26	-3.4	191/259/280	89	260	8	8	28%	8%	48	-1.9	174/253/251	76	228	6	7	25%	9%	34	-1.1
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→37	44→50	47→55	38	184/248/300	115	271	12	13	35%	6%	49	-1.8	201/261/346	145	293	17	19	36%	6%	66	-0.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Jake Means 2023 · AA	27	35→31	47→45	51→45	43	182/258/317	135	266	15	9	36%	8%	58	-1.2	187/257/316	129	263	16	10	34%	8%	57	-1.2	134/210/250	116	164	19	8	33%	8%	18	-1.7
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	38	45→50	50	41	195/259/317	123	270	12	12	31%	6%	58	-1.2	191/252/273	82	267	7	12	29%	7%	43	-2.2	164/226/208	45	228	4	12	28%	6%	13	-2.3
✕Anderson Miller 2021 · AA	27	39→45	43→45	47→50	36	199/237/307	108	271	12	12	31%	4%	45	-2.1	205/268/345	140	282	18	15	33%	7%	69	-0.4	166/237/308	143	210	22	18	33%	7%	45	-0.9
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→40	43→45	51→50	40	173/258/271	97	302	12	13	43%	9%	46	-2.0	207/298/337	130	337	14	13	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/319/374	157	335	17	13	36%	11%	93	+0.8
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→24	45→55	49→50	35	185/239/305	121	279	13	9	38%	5%	46	-2.0	212/273/327	115	298	10	10	31%	5%	66	-0.6	207/279/300	93	287	6	9	28%	4%	59	-0.3
✕JJ Muno 2021 · A	27	42	39→40	52→60	41	199/274/287	88	291	7	16	32%	7%	56	-1.3	195/280/289	94	287	8	26	33%	7%	61	-1.0	176/270/260	84	263	8	35	33%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Craig Dedelow 2021 · A	26	36→34	44→50	42→45	34	186/229/300	114	273	11	4	36%	4%	40	-2.4	178/244/320	142	309	17	9	45%	7%	53	-1.5	157/230/304	147	274	18	9	47%	8%	41	-1.9
✕Sharif Othman 2015 · A	26	35	44→40	48→30	39	183/234/292	109	251	12	5	32%	6%	40	-2.4	192/235/275	83	279	8	3	33%	5%	35	-2.8	181/219/257	76	260	8	1	33%	4%	21	-1.4
✕Julian Escobedo 2023 · AA	25	37→34	41→40	48→50	40	186/251/287	100	259	9	14	31%	6%	46	-2.0	205/270/324	119	291	11	14	32%	7%	64	-0.8	182/254/327	145	270	14	20	36%	6%	54	-0.3
✕Daniel Lockhart 2019 · AA	26	39→41	41→45	52→50	41	193/243/291	98	256	8	10	27%	6%	43	-2.2	206/259/316	110	274	11	9	28%	6%	57	-1.2	186/239/291	105	236	12	5	26%	5%	40	-1.1
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	37→38	41→45	46→45	42	183/263/283	100	256	8	7	30%	7%	52	-1.6	195/287/282	87	269	7	6	28%	8%	62	-0.9	175/279/254	79	240	7	3	27%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	37→43	43→45	51→50	42	184/258/300	116	276	11	10	36%	8%	53	-1.5	191/255/292	101	310	7	9	38%	7%	49	-1.8	158/216/249	91	298	0	4	44%	7%	17	-0.7
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→29	40→45	48→60	36	176/240/269	93	284	8	11	39%	6%	37	-2.6	186/269/308	122	285	12	21	36%	9%	60	-1.0	181/273/314	133	265	15	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6