Marco Vargas

SS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 22 L/R 5'11" / 170 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #669MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP41ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+NYM	408	.239/.332/.296	1	38	39	—	.195/.255/.238
2025	20	ANYM	55	.409/.527/.545	1	2	175	—	.383/.473/.511
2026	21	AANYM	237	.282/.364/.407	3	28	91	—	.263/.322/.364
2026	21	ANYM	34	.259/.412/.407	1	1	73	—	.207/.324/.345
2027PROJ2% MLB	22	MLBNYM	6	.199/.269/.268	0	0	57	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBNYM	129	.205/.277/.291	2	7	66	-0.0
2029PROJ47% MLB	24	MLBNYM	200	.210/.282/.307	3	11	71	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Arb-2$5M2033Arb-3$6M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed97

Chase%86

Z-Con%72

Whiff%69

wRC+67

BB%60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 13, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 78%

CompsLuis Durango (age 21) · Jean Ramirez (age 22) · Nasim Nuñez (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .269 / .268

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP291

ISO74

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

DEFENSE57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Miami	—	221	182	58	13	3	2	35	32	0	14	6	319	429	456	885	137	368	14	16	391	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	31	26	8	0	0	0	5	7	0	3	2	308	419	308	727		421	23	16	346	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	219	167	45	14	1	2	48	31	2	10	2	269	438	401	839	132	316	14	22	384	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	130	27	4	0	0	34	38	1	13	2	208	376	238	614	31	284	23	20	300	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	408	355	85	9	4	1	48	82	1	38	7	239	332	296	627	56	304	20	12	291	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	55	44	18	3	0	1	10	7	1	2	1	409	527	545	1.073	136	472	13	18	478	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	237	209	59	9	4	3	27	68	0	28	1	282	364	407	771	124	403	29	11	346	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	34	27	7	1	0	1	7	11	0	1	0	259	412	407	819	148	400	32	21	376	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	33	31	8	1	0	1	2	7	0	3	0	258	303	387	690	129	304	21	6	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	221	191	38	8	2	1	26	40	0	14	6	199	295	277	572	79	235	18	12	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	31	27	7	0	0	0	4	10	0	3	2	259	355	259	614		386	32	13	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	219	185	37	11	1	2	30	47	2	10	2	200	318	303	621	103	246	21	14	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	140	26	4	0	0	24	52	1	13	2	186	309	214	523	29	274	31	14	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	408	374	73	7	3	1	29	106	1	38	7	195	255	238	493	43	263	26	7	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	55	47	18	3	0	1	7	9	1	2	1	383	473	511	983	128	456	16	13	427	175	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	237	217	57	8	4	2	19	83	0	28	1	263	322	364	686	101	407	35	8	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	34	29	6	1	0	1	5	15	0	1	0	207	324	345	668	138	363	44	15	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	221	191	38	8	2	1	26	40	0	14	6	199	295	277	572	79	240	18	12	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	221	182	58	13	3	2	35	32	0	14	6	319	429	456	885	137	368	14	16	391	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	250	213	44	11	1	2	33	57	2	13	4	207	319	296	614	89	269	23	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	250	193	53	14	1	2	53	38	2	13	4	275	435	389	824	114	329	15	21	379	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	140	26	4	0	0	24	52	1	13	2	186	309	214	523	29	286	31	14	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	130	27	4	0	0	34	38	1	13	2	208	376	238	614	31	284	23	20	300	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	463	420	91	10	3	2	37	115	2	40	8	217	283	269	552	52	290	25	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	463	399	103	12	4	2	58	89	2	40	8	258	355	323	678	65	324	19	13	313	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	304	276	69	10	4	3	27	110	0	32	1	250	317	348	665	98	402	36	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	3 teams	—	304	267	74	11	4	5	36	86	0	32	1	277	363	404	768	127	390	28	12	345	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	221	193	38	8	2	1	26	40	0	14	6	197	295	275	570	78	235	18	12	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	250	213	44	11	1	2	33	57	2	13	4	207	319	296	614	89	263	23	13	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	141	26	4	0	0	24	52	1	13	2	184	309	213	522	28	274	31	14	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	463	421	91	10	3	2	37	115	2	40	8	216	283	268	552	52	286	25	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	304	274	69	10	4	3	27	110	0	32	1	252	317	350	667	99	401	36	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	168	141	26	4	0	0	24	52	1	13	2	184	309	213	522	28	274	31	14	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	463	421	91	10	3	2	37	115	2	40	8	216	283	268	552	52	286	25	8	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	3 teams	—	304	274	69	10	4	3	27	110	0	32	1	252	317	350	667	99	401	36	9	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	2%	393	356	73	11	3	3	33	122	1	22	3	205	275	276	551	71	300	31	8	253	57	-20	+3	-1	+4	+9	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	199	269	268	537	69	291	33	17	247	57	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	35%	367	331	70	10	3	4	32	111	1	21	2	212	282	299	582	88	300	30	9	265	66	-15	+3	+0	+4	+8	0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	47%	429	388	83	12	3	6	37	127	1	24	3	216	288	315	603	99	301	30	9	274	71	-15	+4	+1	+5	+9	0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	461	416	92	14	4	8	40	135	2	26	3	219	291	325	616	106	301	29	9	279	75	-14	+4	+3	+5	+10	0.8
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	478	431	95	14	4	9	42	138	2	27	3	221	293	331	624	110	300	29	9	282	77	-13	+4	+3	+5	+10	1.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	483	435	96	15	3	9	43	138	2	27	3	221	293	332	626	111	299	29	9	283	78	-13	+4	+3	+5	+10	1.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	54%	482	435	96	15	3	9	42	139	2	24	3	219	291	328	619	109	299	29	9	280	76	-14	+4	+2	+5	+10	0.8
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	474	428	92	14	3	8	41	138	2	21	2	217	289	322	611	105	297	29	9	277	73	-15	+3	+1	+5	+10	0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	464	420	90	14	3	7	40	137	1	17	2	214	285	315	600	101	296	30	9	272	70	-16	+3	+1	+5	+10	0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	35%	129	117	24	3	1	2	11	39	0	7	1	205	277	291	567	85	291	30	9	259	66	-5	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	47%	200	180	37	5	1	3	17	59	1	11	1	210	282	307	589	96	292	30	8	268	71	-7	+2	+1	+2	+4	0.2
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	239	215	46	7	2	4	21	70	1	14	2	213	285	317	602	104	292	29	9	273	75	-7	+2	+1	+3	+5	0.4
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	260	234	50	7	2	5	23	75	1	15	2	214	287	322	609	108	291	29	9	276	77	-7	+2	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	262	236	51	8	2	5	23	75	1	14	2	215	288	323	611	109	290	29	9	277	78	-7	+2	+2	+3	+6	0.5
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	54%	262	236	50	7	2	5	23	76	1	13	2	213	286	319	605	106	289	29	9	274	76	-8	+2	+1	+3	+6	0.4
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	252	227	48	7	2	4	22	74	1	11	1	211	283	313	596	102	288	29	9	271	73	-8	+2	+1	+3	+5	0.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	243	219	46	7	2	4	21	72	1	9	1	208	280	306	586	98	287	30	9	266	70	-9	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1847	1664	352	51	14	32	161	540	7	94	12	212	284	317	601	105	291	29	9	271	71	-57	+14	+7	+20	+40	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	124	18	5	11	57	190	2	33	4	212	284	316	599	104	291	29	9	271	71	-20	+5	+3	+7	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5359	4808	1041	160	39	70	491	1535	19	317	44	217	292	310	601	93	300	29	9	273	71	-131	+32	+14	+42	+86	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	126	19	5	8	60	186	2	38	5	216	291	307	599	91	300	29	9	273	71	-21	+5	+2	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Pokey Reese'97-'04 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,138 PA	4.7	3,138	44	144	238*	292*	339*	+19	+41	4.0	4.7
/162	664	9	30	+4.0	+8.7	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.8	1,852	31	95	219	287	324	+20	+12	2.8	2.7
/162	664	11	34	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Marco Vargas (OGILVIE)	22	35→47	25→30	60→57	60	203/273/274	71	300	2	18	31%	8%	57	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Durango 2024 · A	21	47	35→30	57→70	48	219/296/278	59	287	3	29	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/289/285	58	305	2	36	24%	5%	65	-1.2	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Jean Ramirez 2023 · A	22	44→49	41→40	56→65	45	213/279/306	94	287	9	31	28%	8%	67	-1.1	212/273/286	74	303	6	23	30%	7%	59	-1.6	204/268/260	56	297	5	24	31%	8%	49	-1.3
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	46→51	34→30	57→65	50	211/292/259	47	300	2	32	28%	10%	61	-1.5	216/303/273	57	308	3	41	27%	11%	69	-0.9	214/299/272	58	299	5	52	27%	10%	65	-1.0
✕Elijah Nunez 2024 · A	22	50	37→30	57→55	50	230/305/301	71	317	5	29	27%	10%	76	-0.4	186/273/244	58	288	3	27	32%	10%	51	-2.2	157/254/200	43	256	1	30	35%	10%	34	-1.4
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2018 · A	22	47	39→45	60→65	40	214/279/301	87	335	5	30	35%	7%	65	-1.2	184/245/280	96	312	8	27	41%	6%	49	-2.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Tony Campana 2009 · A	23	45→55	35→30	58→70	43	214/263/269	55	282	3	28	24%	6%	51	-2.2	259/300/306	47	335	1	40	21%	5%	73	-0.6	277/319/328	50	356	1	56	21%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Diego Hernandez 2023 · AA	22	51→54	39→40	56→60	42	242/292/330	87	323	7	29	26%	6%	76	-0.4	220/258/309	89	306	8	18	29%	4%	59	-1.7	205/236/289	84	289	8	14	31%	3%	43	-1.3
✕Bryan Hudson 2017 · A	22	53	34→30	55→60	53	239/323/295	57	333	1	26	26%	11%	81	-0.1	212/280/266	54	333	2	22	33%	9%	58	-1.7	187/251/202	15	311	0	30	37%	8%	30	-1.8
✕Guy Lipscomb 2024 · A	23	49	37→40	63→60	52	225/307/306	81	303	3	36	25%	10%	78	-0.3	226/292/313	87	288	5	29	22%	8%	73	-0.6	223/287/309	86	277	6	31	21%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2015 · A	22	45	36→30	59→65	55	206/294/273	67	255	2	31	19%	10%	65	-1.2	202/272/269	67	274	3	16	25%	8%	55	-1.9	164/228/210	46	226	0	10	25%	7%	23	-1.2
✕Luis Valdez 2022 · A	22	46→52	37→40	58→70	44	217/282/292	75	299	4	26	27%	7%	65	-1.2	210/262/273	63	318	3	44	32%	6%	52	-2.2	201/253/258	56	307	3	56	33%	6%	43	-1.5
✕Michael Siani 2022 · A	23	38→45	39→45	55→60	43	187/258/272	85	276	7	25	33%	8%	52	-2.2	210/281/311	101	279	9	30	26%	8%	69	-0.9	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Braulio Vasquez 2022 · A	23	41	40	55→65	40	193/274/284	91	302	8	31	36%	8%	61	-1.5	218/287/317	99	301	6	26	28%	7%	73	-0.6	227/297/325	98	303	3	32	24%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6
✕Theo Bowe 2013 · A	22	52→57	35→30	57→60	46	242/302/303	61	321	3	35	24%	7%	74	-0.6	220/272/302	82	290	6	25	25%	6%	63	-1.4	186/227/268	82	237	7	23	24%	5%	35	-1.5
✕Rey Fuentes 2013 · AA	22	47→57	38→40	57→60	40	220/273/301	81	311	5	27	30%	6%	63	-1.4	261/313/355	94	344	7	29	24%	6%	90	+0.6	283/333/378	95	362	7	33	22%	6%	99	+0.9
✕Kenny Wilson 2013 · A	23	43→51	37→40	58→60	43	200/275/272	72	286	4	29	29%	7%	58	-1.7	224/281/310	86	309	5	27	27%	6%	68	-1.0	232/284/321	90	316	5	29	27%	6%	68	-0.7
✕Ty Morrison 2012 · A	22	49→54	38→40	60→55	37	224/271/306	82	334	4	27	33%	5%	63	-1.4	234/286/316	82	322	3	19	26%	5%	71	-0.8	248/303/335	87	332	2	22	24%	5%	78	-0.3
✕Cole Tucker 2018 · AA	22	49→51	39→45	57→55	44	230/286/323	92	310	5	24	26%	7%	72	-0.7	229/287/333	104	299	7	20	24%	7%	76	-0.4	228/286/332	104	292	8	18	23%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0

Marco Vargas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps