Jacob Burke

OF Birmingham Barons

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 208 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AACWS	227	.212/.290/.273	2	9	42	—	.201/.262/.260
2025	24	A+CWS	56	.222/.364/.333	1	5	70	—	.213/.327/.319
2026	25	AACWS	317	.240/.308/.348	5	15	47	—	.201/.254/.289
2026	25	A+CWS	22	.211/.318/.316	0	0	19	—	.100/.182/.150
2027PROJ2% MLB	26	MLBCWS	5	.203/.261/.280	0	0	53	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	27	MLBCWS	72	.204/.263/.284	1	2	54	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Speed84

Z-Con%74

K%69

Whiff%61

wRC+28

wOBA27

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsChris Roller (age 26) · Chris Rabago (age 26) · Victor Mesa (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .261 / .280

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP271

ISO70

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	92	78	21	6	1	1	6	20	8	4	2	269	380	410	791	141	351	22	7	361	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	22	18	6	1	0	1	3	4	1	0	0	333	455	556	1.010	222	385	18	14	446	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	236	203	57	13	2	2	21	52	11	10	4	281	379	394	773	113	367	22	9	352	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	149	127	40	11	1	4	15	33	7	9	3	315	416	512	928	197	400	22	10	412	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	105	91	23	5	0	3	9	32	4	5	0	253	346	407	753	154	351	30	9	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	256	223	43	6	1	0	26	67	5	24	2	193	291	229	520	36	274	26	10	249	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	1	118	167	118	284		167	28	6	139	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	227	198	42	6	0	2	17	58	5	9	5	212	290	273	562	61	284	26	7	256	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	56	45	10	2	0	1	6	3	4	5	1	222	364	333	697	111	214	5	11	323	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Birmingham Barons	—	317	287	69	12	2	5	21	67	7	15	4	240	308	348	656	108	295	21	7	297	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	22	19	4	2	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	211	318	316	634	105	364	36	9	296	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	92	80	18	5	1	1	4	28	8	4	2	225	326	350	676	125	313	30	4	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	22	19	5	1	0	1	2	6	1	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	283	27	9	298	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	236	211	46	9	2	2	13	72	11	10	4	218	298	308	606	90	310	31	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	149	131	32	8	1	3	11	45	7	9	3	244	336	389	725	145	333	30	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	256	232	40	5	1	0	17	83	5	24	2	172	244	203	447	30	262	32	7	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	18	17	2	0	0	0	1	7	0	0	1	118	167	118	284		149	39	6	99	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	227	204	41	6	0	2	12	69	5	9	5	201	262	260	522	59	274	30	5	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	56	47	10	2	0	1	4	4	4	5	1	213	327	319	646	106	190	7	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	—	317	294	59	10	2	4	14	82	7	15	4	201	254	289	543	88	256	26	4	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	22	20	2	1	0	0	1	10	1	0	0	100	182	150	332	50	293	45	5	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	114	99	21	5	1	1	6	34	9	4	2	212	316	313	629	101	312	30	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	114	96	27	7	1	2	9	24	9	4	2	281	395	438	832	156	357	21	8	378	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	490	435	99	22	3	7	31	148	22	24	7	228	311	340	652	113	326	30	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	490	421	120	29	3	9	45	117	22	24	7	285	383	432	816	147	374	24	9	367	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	250	41	5	1	0	17	90	5	24	3	164	232	192	424	28	255	33	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	274	240	45	6	1	0	27	72	5	24	3	188	283	221	504	33	266	26	10	242	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	283	252	50	7	0	3	15	74	9	14	6	198	268	262	530	63	263	26	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	283	243	52	8	0	3	23	61	9	14	6	214	304	284	588	70	268	22	8	270	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	339	314	61	11	2	4	15	92	8	15	4	194	249	280	530	86	259	27	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	339	306	73	14	2	5	23	75	8	15	4	239	309	346	655	108	298	22	7	297	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	114	98	21	5	1	1	6	34	9	4	2	214	316	316	632	102	307	30	5	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	490	434	99	22	3	7	31	148	22	24	7	228	311	341	652	113	319	30	6	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	250	41	5	1	0	17	90	5	24	3	164	232	192	424	28	255	33	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	283	257	50	7	0	3	15	74	9	14	6	195	268	257	525	62	257	26	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	339	313	61	11	2	4	15	92	8	15	4	195	249	281	530	86	258	27	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	274	250	41	5	1	0	17	90	5	24	3	164	232	192	424	28	255	33	6	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	283	257	50	7	0	3	15	74	9	14	6	195	268	257	525	62	257	26	5	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	339	313	61	11	2	4	15	92	8	15	4	195	249	281	530	86	258	27	4	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	CWS	2%	380	349	71	13	1	4	20	102	8	12	3	202	260	279	539	76	271	27	5	246	53	-21	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	CWS	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	203	261	280	541	77	271	20	0	247	53	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	27%	269	248	50	9	1	3	14	72	5	8	2	203	262	282	545	79	271	27	5	249	54	-15	+1	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	27%	72	67	13	2	0	1	4	19	1	2	1	204	263	284	547	80	272	26	6	249	54	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	72	67	13	2	0	1	4	19	1	2	1	194	250	269	519	75	255	26	6	249	54	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	117	18	0	9	36	172	9	18	9	193	249	268	517	74	255	26	6	249	54	-35	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2019	1828	368	67	9	20	111	577	63	97	26	201	271	281	551	79	280	29	5	248	54	-29	+2	+0	-3	+11	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	119	22	3	6	36	186	20	31	8	202	272	280	552	78	282	29	6	248	54	-36	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Burke (OGILVIE)	26	35	30	55	35	201/258/276	76	271	2	8	27%	5%	53	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	184/249/269	85	263	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	14	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	44	202/258/287	85	268	4	18	25%	6%	54	-2.0	194/257/283	89	268	7	14	28%	7%	53	-2.1	166/236/231	65	243	6	11	32%	7%	32	-1.2
✕Victor Mesa 2022 · AA	26	43→41	37→30	52→55	43	206/254/273	67	258	4	13	22%	5%	49	-2.4	208/259/281	73	258	6	28	21%	5%	53	-2.1	197/244/243	46	242	4	48	20%	4%	38	-1.8
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	41	40	50	39	199/252/285	86	292	8	15	33%	6%	52	-2.2	206/261/299	93	307	8	12	33%	6%	59	-1.7	148/205/185	37	247	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Khayyan Norfork 2015 · A	26	43→44	38→40	51→50	41	207/260/291	85	277	5	13	26%	6%	56	-1.9	216/268/284	68	291	3	10	25%	5%	57	-1.8	200/263/251	50	270	4	6	26%	6%	46	-1.0
✕Isaac Galloway 2016 · AAA	26	41→42	40→45	51→55	33	201/225/291	91	282	7	15	31%	3%	42	-2.9	215/259/331	116	287	12	24	29%	5%	65	-1.2	205/252/344	139	272	17	25	31%	5%	63	-0.6
✕Ryan Dent 2015 · AAA	26	44	38→40	47→50	42	210/265/294	85	285	5	14	27%	6%	59	-1.7	207/260/298	91	289	7	8	29%	6%	58	-1.7	213/256/304	91	298	7	3	30%	4%	56	-1.0
✕Jordan Brewer 2024 · AA	26	39	42→45	52→55	42	194/265/298	104	279	10	18	33%	7%	61	-1.5	206/270/319	113	269	10	14	26%	6%	67	-1.1	192/257/305	113	242	10	14	24%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Granden Goetzman 2019 · AAA	26	43→45	42→45	56→55	38	213/246/326	113	279	8	18	27%	4%	58	-1.7	201/251/336	135	273	15	7	31%	6%	63	-1.3	169/224/304	136	220	18	1	33%	6%	46	-1.5
✕Joe Stewart 2024 · A	26	45	37→30	57→60	36	208/257/279	71	316	4	26	34%	5%	52	-2.2	208/266/283	75	312	5	22	33%	6%	56	-1.9	170/240/203	33	259	4	33	33%	7%	26	-0.9
✕Jack Winkler 2024 · AA	25	43→41	39→40	50→55	44	208/271/297	89	274	7	14	26%	7%	61	-1.5	188/250/281	93	257	9	22	29%	6%	51	-2.3	172/236/263	91	235	10	24	30%	6%	39	-2.2
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	42→43	42→45	58→60	40	205/267/317	112	292	9	25	32%	6%	65	-1.2	211/271/323	112	320	11	22	35%	6%	68	-1.0	194/255/296	102	301	10	29	37%	5%	54	-1.2
✕Brantley Bell 2021 · AA	26	43	40	48→55	43	209/261/300	91	257	8	13	22%	6%	59	-1.7	197/247/277	80	280	5	14	30%	6%	47	-2.5	172/219/235	63	256	2	18	32%	5%	26	-1.3
✕Ian Parmley 2016 · AA	26	43	35→30	51→50	46	204/264/258	53	274	3	13	25%	8%	49	-2.4	231/273/296	65	327	3	15	28%	5%	61	-1.5	244/278/304	60	346	2	17	29%	4%	61	-0.6
✕Ian Dawkins 2022 · AA	27	44→49	40	53→50	38	216/256/306	90	283	8	15	27%	4%	57	-1.8	212/259/318	106	284	10	14	28%	5%	62	-1.4	199/246/301	101	262	9	16	27%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Casio Grider 2014 · A	26	44→39	37→40	56→55	39	204/264/283	79	298	3	23	31%	6%	56	-1.9	197/251/288	91	305	8	21	36%	6%	52	-2.2	159/207/246	87	251	9	28	39%	5%	23	-2.0
✕Joshua McCurdy 2006 · AAA	26	47	38→40	51→50	41	224/269/304	79	288	6	15	24%	5%	61	-1.5	212/251/303	91	279	8	13	26%	5%	55	-1.9	165/174/244	79	210	9	11	27%	1%	8	-1.0
✕Jack López 2019 · AAA	26	43→45	39→45	50→55	34	210/241/287	78	288	8	17	30%	3%	47	-2.5	223/263/330	107	302	12	16	29%	4%	66	-1.1	196/238/306	110	282	9	19	33%	4%	48	-1.3
✕Ryan Strausborger 2014 · AA	26	43→47	41→45	58→55	39	211/254/313	102	270	7	22	25%	4%	59	-1.7	219/261/321	102	276	9	26	23%	5%	63	-1.3	218/261/315	98	273	9	30	23%	5%	59	-1.0
✕Angelo Castellano 2021 · AA	26	39→44	39→45	47→50	41	191/246/277	86	254	7	12	27%	6%	47	-2.5	199/261/296	97	255	10	12	25%	7%	58	-1.7	199/268/306	107	242	12	14	23%	8%	60	-0.7