Ben Peterson — OGILVIE

Ben Peterson P Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 24 RHP 6'3" / 217 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 35 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.61

FIP4.61

K%18.8%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%10.1%

ROS IP36

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	51	230	52	17	5	0%	1.3	17.1%	8.6%	8.5%	2.5%	4.26	4.11	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	51	230	52	17	5	0%	1.3	17.1%	8.6%	8.5%	2.5%	4.26	4.11	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	51	230	52	17	5	0%	1.3	22.6%	7.4%	15.2%	2.2%	4.26	3.34	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	1	35	152	54	19	6	4%	1.3	28.3%	14.2%	14.1%	4.9%	3.63	5.17	—
YTD	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	1	35	152	54	19	6	4%	1.3	28.3%	14.2%	14.1%	4.9%	3.63	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	ROK RAW	SF	1	1	1	3	1	0	0	100%	1.0	33.3%	0.0%	33.3%	0.0%	0.00	0.29	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	SF	9	0	13	51	19	4	1	0%	1.4	37.3%	7.8%	29.4%	2.0%	1.38	2.02	—
2026	24	AA RAW	SF	17	0	21	98	34	15	5	0%	1.2	34.7%	15.3%	19.4%	5.1%	5.23	4.91	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SF	44	0	46	195	39	17	6	0%	1.1	19.9%	8.6%	11.4%	2.9%	4.53	4.49	+0.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	SF	44	0	46	195	40	17	6	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.6%	12.0%	2.9%	4.47	4.44	+0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	SF	43	0	46	192	40	17	6	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.0%	4.47	4.47	+0.0
2030	28	MLB MLE	SF	42	0	44	186	38	16	6	0%	1.1	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	3.1%	4.52	4.56	-0.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	SF	19	0	20	84	17	7	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	8.6%	11.4%	2.9%	4.53	4.49	+0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	SF	30	0	31	131	27	11	4	0%	1.0	20.5%	8.6%	12.0%	2.9%	4.47	4.44	+0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	SF	33	0	35	148	31	13	4	0%	1.1	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.0%	4.47	4.47	+0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	SF	35	0	37	156	32	14	5	0%	1.1	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	3.1%	4.52	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		118	0	124	522	107	45	16	0%	1.0	20.5%	8.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.49	4.11	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	73	26	0%	1.1	20.5%	8.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.49	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		67	1	85	382	82	41	13	1%	1.3	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	3.4%	4.01	4.54	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	2	200	895	193	97	31	1%	1.3	21.5%	10.8%	10.7%	3.4%	4.01	4.54	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Peterson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.61	18.8%	8.7%	2.9%	—	4.47	20.4%	11.8%	138	-0.14	—	—	—
Vince Vannelle R 2022 · 3.71 FIP	24	SU	3.71	19.9%	8.6%	2.2%	.282	5.30	15.3%	4.5%	76	+1.59	3.71	105	93
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	92
Matt Pierpont R 2015 · 4.21 FIP	24	SU	4.21	17.8%	7.1%	3.1%	.295	3.25	21.7%	13.8%	190	-0.96	2.76	280	91
Blake Goldsberry R 2021 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	16.4%	8.1%	2.4%	.267	4.51	23.6%	13.4%	75	+0.42	3.43	117	90
Josh Advocate R 2018 · 3.78 FIP	24	SU	3.78	18.8%	7.3%	2.4%	.291	3.71	20.4%	10.1%	75	-0.07	3.71	118	90
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	90
Brett McKinney R 2015 · 4.79 FIP	24	SU	4.79	17.1%	8.9%	3.6%	.335	4.02	18.1%	8.5%	129	-0.77	3.43	183	89
Daniel Corcino R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.2%	7.5%	3.2%	.238	4.76	19.4%	8.2%	263	+0.39	3.84	299	89
Juan Ramon Noriega R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	17.7%	7.4%	1.9%	.303	4.09	16.6%	9.3%	92	+0.48	3.44	198	89
Landon Beck R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	24	SU	3.91	18.6%	8.6%	2.4%	.309	4.21	17.4%	8.7%	63	+0.30	3.53	186	89
Alex Palsha R 2016 · 3.84 FIP	24	SU	3.84	20.6%	10.4%	2.1%	.288	3.83	15.3%	4.4%	77	-0.01	3.40	134	89
Rob Griswold R 2022 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.8%	8.3%	3.2%	.244	4.34	12.5%	6.2%	144	-0.13	3.57	203	88
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	87
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	87
Dylan Hall R 2022 · 3.47 FIP	24	SU	3.47	19.0%	9.6%	1.4%	.305	5.75	17.8%	4.9%	107	+2.28	3.47	153	87
Jackson Rees R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	16.1%	9.0%	2.9%	.354	1.90	28.2%	20.8%	62	-2.57	1.90	103	87
Matt Carasiti R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	24	SU	3.85	17.8%	9.8%	1.8%	.309	3.26	24.8%	15.5%	104	-0.59	2.80	312	87
Kyle Martin R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	24	SU	3.61	21.2%	9.6%	2.0%	.345	3.51	22.4%	12.5%	172	-0.10	3.01	214	87
Nick Neumann R 2015 · 4.09 FIP	24	SU	4.09	14.7%	7.0%	2.5%	.299	4.30	11.4%	3.9%	62	+0.21	3.68	107	87
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	87

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	44	20.2%	8.7%	1.15	4.52
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63