Griff O'Ferrall

SS Chesapeake Baysox

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #1001MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2030FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AABAL	42	.250/.357/.361	0	2	93	—	.237/.310/.342
2025	22	A+Aberdeen Iron…	474	.226/.321/.299	4	42	34	—	.184/.250/.240
2026	23	AABAL	482	.222/.312/.312	7	32	51	—	.203/.271/.278
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBBAL	6	.205/.270/.277	0	0	54	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	25	MLBBAL	85	.209/.276/.294	1	3	60	-0.1
2029PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBBAL	143	.213/.279/.305	2	5	64	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$0.2M2032Arb-2$0.4M2033Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Whiff%86

Z-Con%81

K%68

Speed63

BB%48

Chase%42

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJayce Easley (age 24) · Hunter Jones (age 24) · Connor Kokx (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .270 / .277

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP268

ISO72

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT44

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	20	6	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	1	300	333	300	633		353	14	5	292	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	69	56	13	2	0	0	9	10	2	1	3	232	358	268	626	36	271	14	13	294	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	42	36	9	2	1	0	6	6	0	2	1	250	357	361	718	111	300	14	14	329	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	474	411	93	14	2	4	53	71	4	42	7	226	321	299	620	73	263	15	11	286	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	482	414	92	16	0	7	49	103	5	32	5	222	312	312	624	89	272	21	10	281	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	21	20	5	0	0	0	1	4	0	1	1	250	286	250	536		301	19	5	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	69	59	12	1	0	0	6	13	2	1	3	203	299	220	519	17	239	19	9	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	42	38	9	2	1	0	4	7	0	2	1	237	310	342	652	105	310	17	10	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	474	430	79	11	2	3	34	92	4	42	7	184	250	240	490	56	218	19	7	219	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	482	428	87	14	0	6	35	126	5	32	5	203	271	278	549	75	254	26	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	79	16	1	0	0	7	17	2	2	4	203	284	215	499	13	250	19	8	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	90	76	19	2	0	0	10	13	2	2	4	250	352	276	629	26	292	14	11	293	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	467	89	13	3	3	39	99	4	44	8	191	259	251	509	60	234	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	516	447	102	16	3	4	59	77	4	44	8	228	324	304	628	76	266	15	11	289	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	482	428	87	14	0	6	35	126	5	32	5	203	271	278	549	75	266	26	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Chesapeake Baysox	—	482	414	92	16	0	7	49	103	5	32	5	222	312	312	624	89	272	21	10	281	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	81	16	1	0	0	7	17	2	2	4	198	284	210	494	12	253	19	8	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	468	89	13	3	3	39	99	4	44	8	190	259	250	509	60	225	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	482	439	87	14	0	6	35	126	5	32	5	198	271	271	542	73	254	26	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	90	81	16	1	0	0	7	17	2	2	4	198	284	210	494	12	253	19	8	243	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	516	468	89	13	3	3	39	99	4	44	8	190	259	250	509	60	225	19	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	482	439	87	14	0	6	35	126	5	32	5	198	271	271	542	73	254	26	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	BAL	2%	380	346	70	11	1	4	28	95	3	15	3	202	268	272	540	70	265	25	7	248	54	-21	+2	+0	+4	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	BAL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	205	270	277	548	72	268	33	0	251	54	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	BAL	23%	370	336	69	11	1	5	28	92	3	13	2	206	273	288	561	82	267	25	8	257	60	-18	+2	+1	+4	+8	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	BAL	35%	407	370	77	13	1	6	31	100	3	13	2	209	276	299	575	90	268	25	8	262	64	-18	+2	+1	+4	+9	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	BAL	40%	420	382	79	13	1	6	32	104	3	12	2	210	278	302	579	92	269	25	8	264	65	-18	+2	+1	+4	+9	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	425	386	82	14	1	7	33	105	3	10	2	210	278	303	581	92	269	25	8	264	65	-18	+1	-0	+5	+9	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	BAL	45%	420	382	79	13	1	6	32	105	3	8	2	210	277	302	580	92	269	25	8	264	65	-18	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	BAL	23%	85	78	16	3	0	1	6	21	1	3	1	209	276	294	570	85	270	25	7	260	60	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	BAL	35%	143	130	27	5	0	2	11	35	1	5	1	213	279	305	584	93	272	24	8	266	64	-6	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	BAL	40%	170	154	34	6	1	3	13	42	1	5	1	213	281	308	589	95	272	25	8	268	65	-7	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	186	168	36	6	1	3	14	46	2	4	1	214	281	309	590	96	273	25	8	268	65	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	BAL	45%	187	170	36	6	1	3	14	47	1	4	1	213	280	309	589	96	273	25	7	268	65	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	771	700	149	26	3	12	58	191	6	21	5	213	279	310	589	97	273	25	8	267	57	-33	+2	+0	+8	+17	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	126	22	3	10	49	161	5	18	4	214	280	312	591	98	275	25	8	267	57	-28	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3450	3121	637	102	9	42	260	828	29	147	29	204	272	283	554	79	261	24	8	252	57	-106	+9	+1	+25	+51	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	120	19	2	8	49	156	5	28	5	204	271	284	555	80	261	24	8	252	57	-29	+2	+0	+7	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.2	778	12	21	210	275	301	+8	+2	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	10	18	+7.1	+1.4	-0.1	pk7: 0
#4Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#5Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Billy Hunter'53-'58 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,052 PA	3.1	2,052	16	23	213*	254*	312*	+20	+13	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	5	7	+6.4	+4.3	-0.9	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Griff O'Ferrall (OGILVIE)	24	30→44	30→35	50→53	45	200/266/270	70	265	3	13	25%	7%	54	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jayce Easley 2024 · AA	24	40→46	36→30	59→65	51	188/283/254	65	263	4	33	27%	10%	58	-1.7	184/261/244	60	291	4	21	34%	9%	47	-2.6	134/214/150	16	239	0	29	40%	8%	7	-2.0
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	40→50	39→40	55	41	194/256/275	81	272	7	21	30%	6%	51	-2.2	218/272/309	91	285	6	17	25%	6%	65	-1.2	226/281/321	94	290	6	16	23%	5%	69	-0.8
✕Connor Kokx 2024 · AA	24	44	39→40	54→60	48	209/298/296	87	286	6	23	27%	9%	73	-0.6	216/293/300	84	304	6	22	29%	7%	72	-0.7	199/279/224	26	297	0	37	30%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	44→51	38→40	55→65	43	210/266/290	80	289	6	26	28%	7%	58	-1.7	231/295/314	83	314	5	36	26%	8%	74	-0.5	237/305/311	73	319	4	49	25%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Francisco Martinez 2015 · AA	24	45→54	36→40	54→55	39	214/254/275	60	292	3	22	27%	5%	49	-2.4	218/247/315	97	295	8	16	28%	4%	56	-1.9	217/238/324	107	291	9	15	28%	2%	51	-2.0
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2019 · AA	24	42→49	38→45	55→60	39	197/274/275	78	303	5	21	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/270/274	84	292	5	22	34%	7%	57	-1.8	195/278/300	105	273	11	28	30%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Stephen Wrenn 2019 · AA	24	42→43	40→45	56→60	39	204/256/295	91	288	7	24	31%	6%	55	-1.9	204/265/312	108	298	9	24	33%	6%	63	-1.4	193/259/307	113	288	9	27	34%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Dwayne Bailey 2011 · AAA	24	41	35→30	53→50	40	193/248/248	54	285	2	14	32%	6%	41	-3.0	218/278/290	72	315	3	12	29%	7%	63	-1.4	226/291/287	61	329	2	11	29%	7%	63	-0.9
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Malquin Canelo 2019 · AA	24	45→50	39→40	52→50	40	216/260/300	85	291	6	16	28%	6%	57	-1.8	215/259/299	84	319	6	12	32%	5%	57	-1.8	205/249/280	75	320	4	8	35%	5%	46	-1.3
✕Kenny Wilson 2014 · AA	24	46→51	39→40	57→60	43	218/285/304	86	302	5	28	28%	6%	69	-0.9	227/282/313	86	310	5	27	27%	6%	69	-0.9	198/266/289	91	302	7	22	34%	7%	56	-0.7
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2018 · A	23	42→52	37→40	55→65	39	202/251/277	74	268	4	26	26%	4%	49	-2.4	218/272/310	92	281	9	39	25%	5%	65	-1.2	220/272/316	96	284	10	50	25%	5%	64	-0.7
✕Mike Martin 2017 · A	24	44	36→30	51→55	44	209/274/269	60	285	4	14	27%	7%	57	-1.8	226/276/298	72	285	4	18	21%	5%	63	-1.3	236/281/294	58	290	2	27	18%	5%	61	-0.8
✕Matt Lipka 2016 · AA	24	45→52	37→45	53→60	40	213/248/286	74	264	4	19	21%	4%	49	-2.4	207/255/298	91	269	6	19	24%	5%	56	-1.9	226/277/327	102	300	8	31	26%	6%	68	-0.6
✕Matt Williams 2014 · AA	24	45→48	39→40	49→50	45	218/267/306	88	265	6	14	20%	6%	62	-1.4	218/284/288	70	279	4	14	22%	8%	64	-1.3	216/290/277	61	280	3	15	22%	9%	63	-0.8
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→45	55→60	43	194/260/285	90	269	7	19	29%	7%	55	-1.9	215/270/336	121	283	13	28	28%	6%	70	-0.8	210/267/331	121	274	12	27	27%	6%	67	-0.8
✕Lucius Fox 2021 · AAA	24	45→50	38→40	57→60	47	211/286/295	84	289	5	27	27%	8%	68	-1.0	208/274/302	94	300	8	24	31%	8%	64	-1.3	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
✕Errol Robinson 2019 · AA	24	46→49	40	51→55	41	221/268/310	89	296	8	17	27%	6%	63	-1.4	211/268/290	79	295	7	13	29%	7%	59	-1.7	197/269/244	47	303	3	26	33%	8%	46	-0.9

Griff O'Ferrall

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps