Ben Hartl — OGILVIE

Ben HartlC Winston-Salem Dash

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 210 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION280 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .298 / .251

PA186

HR2

K%29

BB%8

BABIP268

ISO63

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.4M
2034	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$7M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	52	40	12	1	0	1	6	19	4	1	0	300	440	400	840	100	500	37	12	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	52	37	12	1	0	1	9	14	4	1	0	324	500	432	932	108	458	27	17	416	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	3 teams	—	368	307	61	9	1	1	21	119	36	6	3	199	324	244	568	46	314	32	6	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	3 teams	—	368	293	69	13	1	1	35	86	36	6	3	235	385	297	682	61	324	23	10	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	CWS	—	280	230	40	2	0	5	24	94	20	2	4	174	307	248	554	74	255	34	9	248	48	-16	-1	+0	+5	+8	-0.5
YTD	23	A+	CWS	—	280	218	45	2	0	6	36	70	20	2	4	206	369	298	667	92	264	25	13	316	100	-0	-1	+0	+5	+8	1.2
ROS	23	A+	CWS	0%	186	159	30	4	0	2	14	54	11	2	2	188	298	251	548	63	266	29	8	262	59	-9	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
ROS	23	MLB	CWS	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						267	0	0	221	28	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	CWS	—	281	231	40	2	0	5	24	94	20	2	4	173	305	247	552	74	254	33	9	248	48	-17	-1	+0	+5	+8	-0.5
TOT	23	A+	CWS	—	466	389	70	6	0	7	38	148	31	4	6	180	303	249	552	69	261	32	8	254	52	-25	-2	+0	+8	+13	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	491	429	84	13	1	7	37	138	22	5	3	196	293	280	573	84	268	28	8	270	65	-20	-0	+0	+9	+14	0.3
2028	25	MLB	CWS	44%	504	438	89	14	1	9	39	138	22	6	3	203	301	301	602	98	270	27	8	277	70	-17	+0	+0	+9	+14	0.7
2029	26	MLB	CWS	51%	509	443	91	14	2	9	40	138	21	6	4	205	302	307	609	102	272	27	8	281	73	-15	-0	+0	+9	+14	0.8
2030	27	MLB	CWS	52%	508	442	91	14	1	10	40	138	21	6	4	206	302	310	612	104	272	27	8	282	74	-15	-0	+0	+9	+14	0.8
2031	28	MLB	CWS	57%	504	438	89	14	1	9	40	138	21	5	3	203	301	301	602	98	271	27	8	281	73	-15	-0	-1	+9	+14	0.7
2032	29	MLB	CWS	60%	497	434	88	14	1	9	40	137	20	5	3	203	300	302	601	99	270	28	8	279	72	-16	-0	-1	+9	+14	0.6
2033	30	MLB	CWS	61%	490	427	86	13	1	9	40	136	20	4	3	201	300	300	600	98	269	28	8	277	70	-17	-0	-2	+9	+14	0.3
2034	31	MLB	CWS	63%	468	408	80	12	1	8	38	131	19	4	2	196	295	289	584	93	267	28	8	272	67	-18	+0	-3	+8	+13	0.1
2027	24	MLB	CWS	30%	149	130	25	4	0	2	11	42	7	2	1	192	291	269	560	77	269	28	7	237	40	-10	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	CWS	44%	223	194	40	6	1	4	17	61	10	2	2	206	303	309	612	103	271	27	8	247	47	-13	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.4
2029	26	MLB	CWS	51%	258	225	46	7	1	5	20	70	11	3	2	204	301	311	612	107	272	27	8	252	51	-14	-0	+0	+5	+7	-0.3
2030	27	MLB	CWS	52%	266	232	48	8	1	5	21	72	11	3	2	207	303	315	618	108	273	27	8	253	52	-14	-0	+0	+5	+8	-0.2
2031	28	MLB	CWS	57%	288	251	51	8	1	5	23	79	12	3	2	203	301	303	603	100	272	27	8	252	51	-16	-0	-0	+5	+8	-0.3
2032	29	MLB	CWS	60%	297	259	52	8	1	5	24	82	12	3	2	201	298	297	596	97	271	28	8	251	50	-17	-0	-1	+5	+8	-0.4
2033	30	MLB	CWS	61%	301	262	52	8	1	5	24	84	12	3	2	198	295	294	589	95	270	28	8	248	48	-18	-0	-1	+5	+9	-0.5
2034	31	MLB	CWS	63%	293	255	51	8	1	5	24	82	12	2	1	200	299	298	597	98	267	28	8	244	45	-18	+0	-2	+5	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2076	1809	365	57	7	36	164	572	87	21	14	202	299	301	600	99	272	28	8	249	48	-121	-1	-4	+37	+59	-3.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	114	18	2	11	51	179	27	7	4	201	298	299	596	97	272	28	8	249	48	-38	-0	-1	+12	+18	-1.0
Career	—			—	4577	3965	801	122	10	74	355	1286	217	50	30	202	303	294	596	92	276	28	8	276	70	-157	-2	-7	+82	+130	4.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	563	113	17	1	11	50	183	31	7	4	201	301	293	594	92	273	28	8	276	70	-22	-0	-1	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	52	37	12	1	0	1	9	14	4	1	0	324	500	432	932	108	458	27	17	416	177	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	73	56	21	3	0	0	9	17	8	1	1	375	521	429	949	54	538	23	12	442	197	+8	-0	—	—	+2	1.0
2025	22	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	264	213	45	8	1	1	24	59	24	5	2	211	356	272	629	61	282	22	9	303	90	-3	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2025	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	31	24	3	2	0	0	2	10	4	0	0	125	300	208	508	83	200	32	6	252	51	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#1John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#2Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,076	37	21	203	297	301	+37	+16	2.4	2.4
	/162	664	12	7	203	297	301	+11.9	+5.1	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ben Hartl (OGILVIE)	23	30	20	45	35	180/303/249	69	261	7	4	32%	8%	52	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Andy Paz 2016 · A	23	38	37→40	48→45	42	185/247/254	69	274	5	6	33%	8%	36	-2.7	220/269/285	65	296	4	7	25%	6%	52	-1.6	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Alex Todd 2012 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	38	185/246/256	71	259	4	4	29%	5%	37	-2.7	220/285/305	85	299	6	6	27%	5%	65	-0.7	236/303/318	83	317	6	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Jose Cordova 2023 · A	23	43	36→40	49→50	37	202/254/269	67	295	3	8	31%	5%	42	-2.3	212/268/287	75	305	4	9	30%	6%	53	-1.5	227/290/312	85	305	4	12	25%	7%	65	-0.3
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	41→37	38→40	46→45	45	193/275/270	77	281	5	9	31%	8%	53	-1.5	176/256/248	72	256	5	8	31%	8%	40	-2.4	158/238/217	59	235	4	6	32%	7%	21	-2.5
✕Yoel Romero 2021 · A	23	43	38→40	46→50	45	205/266/285	80	275	6	9	27%	7%	52	-1.6	212/262/306	94	320	8	4	34%	6%	55	-1.4	201/249/291	90	304	8	0	35%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Shane Carlson 2010 · A	23	41	35→40	48→45	37	196/245/259	63	287	3	9	31%	5%	35	-2.8	221/260/309	88	277	6	8	21%	4%	54	-1.4	234/263/326	92	278	6	6	18%	2%	58	-0.6
✕Coty Blanchard 2015 · A	23	41	36→40	48→45	47	192/261/260	67	258	2	6	25%	8%	43	-2.2	223/272/296	73	306	3	7	26%	6%	56	-1.3	239/281/303	65	323	1	7	25%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Taylor Krick 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	48→40	51	205/292/282	77	270	6	7	25%	10%	63	-0.8	226/312/290	64	313	3	5	26%	8%	73	-0.1	233/324/284	51	328	2	2	26%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Erlin Cerda 2017 · A	23	44	36→40	51→55	42	205/266/276	70	280	2	11	26%	6%	49	-1.8	196/240/268	72	301	3	8	34%	5%	35	-2.8	163/196/205	43	251	0	8	34%	3%	-4	-1.3
✕Adam Weisenburger 2013 · AA	24	42	36→40	43→30	45	197/271/262	65	269	3	5	26%	7%	49	-1.8	214/294/304	90	284	7	4	25%	8%	69	-0.4	213/299/301	87	276	6	2	23%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Onix Vega 2022 · A	23	44	38→30	51→45	44	210/278/291	81	275	5	7	24%	6%	59	-1.1	210/286/283	73	281	5	6	25%	8%	60	-1.0	200/282/256	56	267	4	5	24%	9%	50	-0.7
✕Raul Siri 2018 · A	23	39	38→40	51→50	42	192/251/271	80	265	6	11	29%	7%	42	-2.3	199/264/283	84	349	5	9	41%	7%	51	-1.7	149/237/238	89	307	4	14	47%	8%	28	-0.6
✕Luis Sanchez 2010 · AA	23	41	35→30	45→40	44	193/251/249	55	267	2	4	27%	7%	35	-2.8	197/252/269	72	277	4	7	29%	6%	41	-2.3	153/201/183	29	222	0	4	29%	5%	-3	-1.0
✕Narbe Cruz 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	44→45	40	197/250/273	76	268	5	7	28%	5%	42	-2.3	215/268/305	90	308	8	6	31%	5%	58	-1.2	215/271/305	90	313	9	6	32%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Shawn Roof 2008 · A	23	44	35→30	45→50	43	204/266/259	55	283	2	9	27%	6%	45	-2.1	224/284/276	52	298	2	10	23%	6%	56	-1.3	237/288/285	47	315	1	17	23%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Henrry Pedra 2017 · A	23	39	35→40	46→50	43	187/258/247	61	262	3	14	28%	7%	40	-2.4	206/279/278	72	279	4	11	26%	6%	56	-1.3	185/257/253	68	253	4	16	27%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0