Allan Saathoff — OGILVIE

Allan Saathoff P Everett AquaSox

Age 27 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 17 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.62

FIP5.62

K%18.4%

BB%15.9%

K-BB%2.6%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	3	48	214	51	30	4	10%	1.5	16.3%	17.6%	-1.3%	3.1%	6.23	5.68	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	3	48	214	51	30	4	10%	1.5	23.8%	14.0%	9.8%	1.9%	6.23	3.94	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	26	0	30	138	24	22	4	0%	1.1	13.4%	18.3%	-4.9%	3.1%	4.85	5.98	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	26	0	30	138	24	22	4	0%	1.1	13.4%	18.3%	-4.9%	3.1%	4.85	5.98	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	26	0	30	138	24	22	4	0%	1.1	17.4%	15.9%	1.4%	2.9%	4.85	5.46	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	23	0	29	141	26	24	5	0%	1.3	14.2%	19.6%	-5.4%	4.3%	7.76	6.73	—
2025	25	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	23	0	29	141	26	24	5	0%	1.3	14.2%	19.6%	-5.4%	4.3%	7.76	6.73	—
2025	25	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	23	0	29	141	26	24	5	0%	1.3	18.4%	17.0%	1.4%	3.5%	7.76	6.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	SEA	16	0	17	72	13	11	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	15.9%	2.6%	3.1%	5.62	5.62	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	19	0	20	84	16	13	3	0%	1.1	18.8%	15.3%	3.5%	3.2%	5.54	5.57	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	7	0	7	30	6	5	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	15.3%	3.5%	3.2%	5.54	5.57	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	5	1	0%	1.0	18.8%	15.3%	3.5%	3.2%	5.54	5.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	136	27	0%	1.1	18.8%	15.3%	3.5%	3.2%	5.54	5.19	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		80	3	106	493	73	91	17	4%	1.3	14.9%	18.4%	-3.5%	3.5%	6.26	6.06	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		150	6	200	927	138	170	32	4%	1.3	14.9%	18.4%	-3.5%	3.5%	6.26	6.06	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Allan Saathoff (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.62	18.4%	15.9%	3.1%	—	5.57	18.8%	3.5%	20	-0.05	—	—	—
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	85
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	85
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	85
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	84
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	82
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	82
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	82
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	82
Stevie Branche R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	27	SU	5.67	19.3%	17.6%	3.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	162	82
Nelson Gonzalez R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	27	SU	5.00	15.3%	13.7%	2.6%	.239	5.79	17.4%	6.7%	96	+0.79	3.42	258	81
Tyler Davis R 2024 · 6.02 FIP	25	SU	6.02	21.0%	18.8%	4.2%	.317	3.78	21.9%	10.2%	111	-2.24	3.20	137	81
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	80
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Vic Black R 2015 · 5.28 FIP	27	SU	5.28	17.5%	19.3%	2.2%	.358	6.03	9.0%	-11.6%	29	+0.75	3.16	107	80
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	80
Luis García R 2014 · 5.50 FIP	27	SU	5.50	17.4%	18.8%	2.7%	.286	3.26	20.5%	11.4%	208	-2.24	2.33	662	80
Brian Glowicki R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	27	SU	5.39	18.2%	15.9%	3.3%	.229	—	—	—	—	—	2.31	189	80
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	80
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	80
Mitchell Stumpo R 2023 · 6.35 FIP	27	SU	6.35	20.6%	20.8%	4.3%	.368	4.77	22.6%	15.5%	34	-1.58	3.97	158	79