Tyler Bradt
P
Springfield Cardinals
+0.0
WAR
Age 25
RHP
5'9" / 196 lbs
AA
peak 0.2 · 2027
ERA4.73
FIP4.73
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%21.8%
BB%13.1%
K-BB%8.7%
IP57
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2027
STUF4545
CTRL2020
CMD3030
K†5050
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 11 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 9.9% | 27.5% | 4.3% | 6.17 | 8.12 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 37 | 0 | 60 | 244 | 71 | 28 | 1 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 0.5% | 3.92 | 3.16 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 37 | 3 | 63 | 280 | 68 | 46 | 4 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.0% | 2.98 | 4.97 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | STL | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 51 | 39 | 6 | 21.1% | 16.2% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 5.17 | -0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 25 | MLB | STL | — | — | 58 | 246 | 51 | 41 | 6 | 20.7% | 16.7% | 2.6% | 5.08 | 5.08 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 57 | — | 57 | 241 | 52 | 37 | 6 | 21.6% | 15.4% | 2.6% | 5.07 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | STL | 57 | — | 57 | 239 | 52 | 36 | 6 | 21.7% | 15.0% | 2.7% | 5.02 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB | STL | 56 | — | 56 | 236 | 51 | 35 | 6 | 21.8% | 14.8% | 2.7% | 5.00 | 5.01 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB | STL | 54 | — | 54 | 230 | 50 | 34 | 6 | 21.7% | 14.7% | 2.8% | 5.02 | 5.04 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB | STL | 53 | — | 53 | 223 | 48 | 33 | 6 | 21.5% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 5.07 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 31 | MLB | STL | 51 | — | 51 | 215 | 46 | 32 | 6 | 21.2% | 14.9% | 2.9% | 5.13 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 32 | MLB | STL | 49 | — | 49 | 207 | 43 | 31 | 6 | 21.0% | 15.1% | 3.0% | 5.21 | 5.26 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 33 | MLB | STL | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 41 | 30 | 6 | 20.7% | 15.2% | 3.1% | 5.30 | 5.36 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 34 | MLB | STL | 44 | — | 44 | 188 | 38 | 29 | 6 | 20.3% | 15.4% | 3.2% | 5.40 | 5.47 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 35 | MLB | STL | 42 | — | 42 | 177 | 35 | 28 | 6 | 19.9% | 15.7% | 3.3% | 5.52 | 5.59 | -0.3 |
| 2037 | 36 | MLB | STL | 39 | — | 39 | 166 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 19.5% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 5.64 | 5.73 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 86 | 3 | 136 | 589 | 114 | 103 | 9 | 19.3% | 17.5% | 1.6% | 3.65 | 4.57 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 4 | 200 | 868 | 168 | 152 | 13 | 19.3% | 17.5% | 1.6% | 3.65 | 4.57 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Bradt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.17 | 21.1% | 16.2% | 2.6% | — | 5.03 | 21.7% | 6.6% | 170 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.59 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.3% | .278 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.05 | 3.49 | 237 | 95 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.54 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.54 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.6% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 91 |
| Luis Quiñones R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.78 | 23.5% | 17.5% | 2.6% | .289 | 4.91 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 160 | +0.13 | 3.92 | 306 | 90 |
| Carlos Contreras R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.31 | 22.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | .271 | 4.48 | 11.9% | 2.4% | 40 | +0.17 | 4.31 | 107 | 90 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.04 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.5% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 117 | 89 |
| Alec Barger R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.45 | 21.5% | 14.4% | 2.5% | .326 | 4.74 | 18.6% | 7.5% | 79 | +0.29 | 3.86 | 242 | 88 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 103 | 88 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.37 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.37 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.93 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.44 | 3.65 | 197 | 88 |
| Tommy Kahnle R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.17 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .284 | 2.58 | 30.9% | 21.0% | 165 | -1.59 | 1.53 | 433 | 88 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.39 | 19.0% | 15.0% | 1.8% | .326 | 4.50 | 20.2% | 0.2% | 47 | +0.11 | 4.39 | 178 | 87 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.79 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 2.0% | .329 | 4.39 | 26.4% | 6.5% | 85 | -0.40 | 4.22 | 289 | 87 |
| Grant Black R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 86 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.20 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.9% | .229 | 4.33 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.87 | 3.84 | 272 | 86 |
| Sean Isaac R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.21 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 2.0% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 155 | 86 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.12 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.9% | .270 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.94 | 104 | 85 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.00 | 19.2% | 14.5% | 3.1% | .221 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.56 | 120 | 85 |
| Chase Plymell R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.23 | 19.2% | 13.0% | 2.0% | .330 | 4.35 | 13.7% | 5.0% | 129 | +0.12 | 3.93 | 258 | 85 |
| Carter Loewen R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.26 | 23.1% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .312 | 4.19 | 20.0% | 11.9% | 23 | -0.07 | 2.67 | 145 | 85 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.36 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 2.9% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.45 | 129 | 84 |
| Armando Rivero R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 84 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.