Tyler Bradt
P
Springfield Cardinals
Age 25
RHP
5'9" / 196 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION6 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147138vR 128
ERA5.70
FIP5.70
K%19.5%
BB%19.1%
K-BB%0.4%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 11 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 9.9% | 27.5% | -17.7% | 4.3% | 6.17 | 8.09 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 11 | 0 | 12 | 60 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 13.3% | 23.3% | -10.0% | 3.3% | 6.17 | 7.56 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 37 | 0 | 60 | 244 | 71 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.4% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 0.5% | 3.92 | 3.16 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 37 | 0 | 60 | 244 | 71 | 28 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 29.1% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 0.4% | 3.92 | 2.35 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 63 | 280 | 68 | 46 | 4 | 8% | 1.7 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 2.98 | 5.09 | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 3 | 63 | 280 | 68 | 46 | 4 | 8% | 1.7 | 24.3% | 16.4% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 2.98 | 3.95 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 7 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 0.9 | — | — | — | — | 12.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | STL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 58 | 56 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 19.1% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | STL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 19.1% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 5.70 | 5.70 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | STL | — | — | 76 | 334 | 64 | 64 | 9 | — | — | 19.1% | 19.3% | -0.2% | 2.6% | 6.20 | 5.25 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | STL | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 19.5% | 19.1% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 5.70 | 5.32 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 59 | 53 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 18.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.55 | 5.54 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | STL | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 17.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.49 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | STL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.1% | 18.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 5.55 | 5.54 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB | STL | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 38 | 32 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 17.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.48 | 5.49 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 72 | 0 | 76 | 320 | 65 | 57 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 17.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.51 | 5.13 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 171 | 150 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.3% | 17.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.51 | 5.13 | +0.6 | ||
| Career | — | 92 | 3 | 141 | 622 | 120 | 109 | 11 | 3% | 1.5 | 19.2% | 17.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.03 | 4.67 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 131 | 4 | 200 | 884 | 170 | 155 | 16 | 3% | 1.5 | 19.2% | 17.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.03 | 4.67 | +1.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyler Bradt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.70 | 19.5% | 19.1% | 2.6% | — | 5.52 | 20.2% | 2.5% | 139 | -0.18 | — | — | — |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.04 | 21.1% | 17.2% | 2.8% | .270 | 3.47 | 23.4% | 13.9% | 42 | -1.57 | 3.47 | 146 | 87 |
| Jake Gilbert R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.59 | 18.2% | 16.2% | 1.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.18 | 103 | 86 |
| Jeff Ames R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.0% | 16.1% | 2.6% | .229 | 4.27 | 25.2% | 11.2% | 142 | -0.79 | 3.89 | 272 | 86 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2026 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 86 |
| Zane Morehouse R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.86 | 19.3% | 15.8% | 2.5% | .321 | 6.20 | 18.6% | -0.4% | 17 | +1.34 | 2.62 | 116 | 86 |
| Ryan Jensen R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.69 | 21.2% | 18.6% | 1.9% | .329 | 4.35 | 25.0% | 5.4% | 107 | -0.34 | 4.20 | 311 | 86 |
| Josh Harlow R 2025 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 85 |
| Haden Erbe R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 18.4% | 16.5% | 3.1% | .320 | 5.49 | 17.8% | 0.5% | 40 | +0.14 | 5.17 | 116 | 85 |
| Aroni Nina R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.00 | 16.8% | 20.5% | 1.3% | .312 | 3.06 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 64 | -1.94 | 2.68 | 115 | 84 |
| Andrew McInvale R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.08 | 17.6% | 15.9% | 2.6% | .324 | 7.06 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 23 | +1.98 | 4.90 | 103 | 83 |
| Tanner Jacobson R 2026 · 4.62 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.62 | 21.4% | 19.3% | 1.6% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 168 | 83 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 18.1% | 16.4% | 1.8% | .278 | 4.44 | 18.8% | 5.8% | 90 | -0.20 | 4.16 | 164 | 83 |
| Lukas Schiraldi R 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.06 | 18.7% | 19.3% | 2.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 319 | 83 |
| Caleb Simpson R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.35 | 23.7% | 17.2% | 3.8% | .263 | 3.98 | 23.5% | 5.1% | 71 | -1.37 | 3.28 | 197 | 82 |
| Ryan Sublette R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.60 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 3.6% | .214 | 4.77 | 19.0% | 3.2% | 53 | -0.83 | 3.73 | 203 | 82 |
| Nolan Riggs R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.61 | 20.7% | 14.0% | 2.7% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.36 | 132 | 82 |
| Danny Reynolds R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.74 | 16.6% | 16.8% | 1.7% | .263 | 3.67 | 16.0% | 4.3% | 88 | -1.07 | 3.29 | 165 | 82 |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.64 | 15.3% | 15.3% | 1.6% | .279 | 4.38 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 167 | -0.26 | 4.02 | 328 | 81 |
| Nick Ernst R 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.99 | 21.9% | 14.6% | 3.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 117 | 81 |
| Fernando Baez R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.39 | 24.3% | 21.2% | 3.0% | .271 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 129 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 70 | 20.0% | 18.2% | 1.04 | 5.58 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Daniel Bard ('23) | 4 | 50 | 25.1% | 13.5% | 0.81 | 3.82 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |