Tyler Bradt — OGILVIE

Tyler Bradt P Springfield Cardinals

Age 25 RHP 5'9" / 196 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION13 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 126

ERA5.77

FIP5.77

K%19.5%

BB%19.8%

K-BB%-0.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD3030

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	11	0	12	60	8	14	2	0%	1.1	9.9%	27.5%	-17.7%	4.3%	6.17	8.11	—
2023	22	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	11	0	12	60	8	14	2	0%	1.1	9.9%	27.5%	-17.7%	4.3%	6.17	8.11	—
2023	22	A RAW	Palm Beach Cardinals	11	0	12	60	8	14	2	0%	1.1	13.3%	23.3%	-10.0%	3.3%	6.17	7.56	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	37	0	60	244	71	28	1	0%	1.6	22.4%	13.2%	9.2%	0.5%	3.92	3.16	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	37	0	60	244	71	28	1	0%	1.6	22.4%	13.2%	9.2%	0.5%	3.92	3.16	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Peoria Chiefs	37	0	60	244	71	28	1	0%	1.6	29.1%	11.5%	17.6%	0.4%	3.92	2.35	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	3	63	280	68	46	4	8%	1.7	19.0%	18.7%	0.3%	1.9%	2.98	4.94	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	3	63	280	68	46	4	8%	1.7	19.0%	18.7%	0.3%	1.9%	2.98	4.94	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	3	63	280	68	46	4	8%	1.7	24.3%	16.4%	7.9%	1.4%	2.98	3.95	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	12	0	13	66	9	17	1	0%	1.1	8.8%	30.0%	-21.2%	2.2%	9.24	7.35	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	12	0	13	66	9	17	1	0%	1.1	8.8%	30.0%	-21.2%	2.2%	9.24	7.35	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	ROK RAW	STL	1	0	1	4	2	0	0	0%	0.7	50.0%	0.0%	50.0%	0.0%	13.50	-1.12	—
2026	25	A RAW	STL	1	0	1	7	1	2	0	0%	1.0	14.3%	28.6%	-14.3%	0.0%	9.00	5.51	—
2026	25	AA RAW	STL	10	0	11	55	6	15	1	0%	1.1	10.9%	27.3%	-16.4%	1.8%	9.00	6.63	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	STL	6	0	6	25	5	5	1	0%	1.0	19.5%	19.8%	-0.3%	2.6%	5.77	5.77	-0.1
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	STL	—	—	19	91	14	22	2	—	—	15.2%	24.1%	-8.9%	1.8%	8.14	6.85	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	STL	67	0	70	296	59	55	8	0%	1.0	20.1%	18.7%	1.4%	2.6%	5.61	5.60	-0.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	STL	66	0	69	291	59	53	8	0%	1.0	20.4%	18.1%	2.3%	2.7%	5.53	5.54	-0.8
2029	28	MLB MLE	STL	64	0	67	282	58	50	8	0%	1.0	20.4%	17.8%	2.6%	2.8%	5.52	5.56	-0.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	STL	61	0	64	270	55	48	8	0%	1.0	20.2%	17.8%	2.4%	3.0%	5.59	5.66	-0.8
2027	26	MLB CTX	STL	30	0	31	131	26	24	3	0%	1.0	20.1%	18.7%	1.4%	2.6%	5.61	5.60	-0.4
2028	27	MLB CTX	STL	42	0	44	186	38	34	5	0%	1.0	20.4%	18.1%	2.3%	2.7%	5.53	5.54	-0.5
2029	28	MLB CTX	STL	49	0	51	215	44	38	6	0%	1.0	20.4%	17.8%	2.6%	2.8%	5.52	5.56	-0.6
2030	29	MLB CTX	STL	50	0	52	220	44	39	7	0%	1.0	20.2%	17.8%	2.4%	3.0%	5.59	5.66	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		169	0	177	748	152	135	21	0%	1.0	20.3%	18.0%	2.3%	2.8%	5.56	5.21	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	172	152	24	0%	1.1	20.3%	18.0%	2.3%	2.8%	5.56	5.21	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		97	3	147	650	120	121	11	3%	1.5	18.4%	18.6%	-0.2%	1.7%	4.15	4.81	-3.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		132	4	200	882	162	164	15	3%	1.5	18.4%	18.6%	-0.2%	1.7%	4.15	4.81	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tyler Bradt (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.77	19.5%	19.8%	2.6%	—	5.57	20.3%	2.1%	206	-0.20	—	—	—
Jake Gilbert R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	18.2%	16.2%	1.9%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.14	103	87
Jeff Ames R 2016 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	18.0%	16.1%	2.8%	.229	4.34	25.2%	11.2%	142	-0.83	3.85	272	86
Ryan Sublette R 2023 · 5.72 FIP	24	SU	5.72	21.4%	22.3%	2.9%	.278	5.09	18.9%	3.4%	102	-0.63	3.74	203	86
Ryan Jensen R 2023 · 4.64 FIP	25	SU	4.64	20.6%	17.0%	2.0%	.329	4.20	23.6%	6.8%	107	-0.44	4.00	311	85
Aroni Nina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.8%	20.5%	1.1%	.312	3.04	18.8%	8.7%	64	-1.86	2.68	115	84
Ray Gaither R 2023 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	18.1%	16.4%	2.3%	.278	4.19	17.7%	6.6%	90	-0.70	3.90	164	84
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	83
Lukas Schiraldi R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	25	SU	5.00	18.7%	19.3%	1.9%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	319	83
Danny Reynolds R 2016 · 4.72 FIP	25	SU	4.72	16.6%	16.8%	1.6%	.263	3.71	16.0%	4.3%	88	-1.01	3.29	165	82
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	82
Caleb Simpson R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	23.7%	17.2%	3.8%	.263	3.93	23.5%	5.1%	71	-1.44	3.57	197	81
Jacob Morris R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	25	SU	4.77	18.7%	21.1%	1.0%	.236	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	102	81
Miguel Rosario R 2017 · 4.83 FIP	24	SU	4.83	16.4%	18.6%	1.4%	.259	—	—	—	—	—	3.05	197	81
Fernando Baez R 2017 · 5.37 FIP	25	SU	5.37	24.3%	21.2%	3.0%	.271	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	129	81
Stefan Raeth R 2023 · 4.62 FIP	22	SU	4.62	18.0%	15.4%	2.0%	.309	4.73	17.5%	8.3%	124	+0.11	4.51	173	81
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	81
Cre Finfrock R 2022 · 6.31 FIP	26	SU	6.31	16.7%	25.2%	2.6%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	4.27	103	81
Matt Lollis R 2016 · 4.95 FIP	25	SU	4.95	19.2%	14.5%	3.0%	.221	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	120	81
Rob Huber R 2016 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.7%	14.7%	2.0%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	3.90	117	80
Nick Ernst R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	25	SU	5.05	21.9%	14.6%	3.5%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	117	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	20.1%	18.4%	1.06	5.61
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91