Evelio Hernandez
P
ACL Guardians
Age 22
RHP
5'11" / 167 lbs
ROK
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION13 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%23.3%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL CLE Blue | 11 | 11 | 42 | 169 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 100% | 3.8 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 2.0% | 2.16 | 3.88 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL CLE Blue | 11 | 11 | 42 | 169 | 53 | 16 | 3 | 100% | 3.8 | 31.4% | 9.5% | 21.9% | 1.8% | 2.16 | 2.64 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 11 | 8 | 41 | 188 | 52 | 17 | 6 | 73% | 3.7 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 5.93 | 4.39 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 11 | 8 | 41 | 188 | 52 | 17 | 6 | 73% | 3.7 | 27.7% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 3.2% | 5.93 | 3.71 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 3 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 33% | 2.8 | 25.6% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 2.16 | 3.21 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 3 | 1 | 8 | 39 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 33% | 2.8 | 25.6% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 2.16 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | 13 | 0 | 13 | 67 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.2% | 16.8% | -2.6% | 10.4% | 8.78 | 9.76 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | 23 | 0 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | CLE | — | — | 38 | 170 | 38 | 19 | 8 | — | — | 22.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 5.90 | 6.25 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | CLE | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.80 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 209 | 80 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 20 | 104 | 463 | 91 | 60 | 15 | 53% | 2.7 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.88 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 38 | 200 | 888 | 174 | 114 | 29 | 53% | 2.7 | 19.6% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.49 | 4.88 | +1.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evelio Hernandez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.18 | 24.0% | 15.2% | 25 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 84 |
| Daniel Bies R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 84 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 83 |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 83 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 82 |
| Brendan Collins R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 82 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 81 |
| Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 81 |
| Yon Castro R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.21 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 1.4% | .297 | 4.53 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 167 | +1.32 | 3.21 | 274 | 80 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 80 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 79 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 79 |
| Parker Curry R 2027 · 3.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.68 | 22.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .341 | 4.68 | 18.6% | 11.6% | 193 | +1.00 | 3.68 | 256 | 78 |
| Ben Anderson R 2027 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 77 |
| Luis Romero R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 77 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 77 |
| Joshua Loeschorn R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 24.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | .272 | 4.60 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 67 | +0.86 | 3.04 | 135 | 76 |
| Clayton McGinness R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 19.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | .291 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 84 | +0.67 | 3.79 | 106 | 76 |
| Chris Powell R 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.31 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 0.9% | .320 | 3.63 | 17.8% | 11.8% | 62 | +0.32 | 3.31 | 102 | 76 |
| David Perez R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.1% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .292 | 5.13 | 15.6% | 1.9% | 67 | +1.20 | 3.93 | 151 | 76 |