Evelio Hernandez

Evelio Hernandez P ACL Guardians

Age 22 RHP 5'11" / 167 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 24 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118110vR 102

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

K%22.9%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%12.9%

ROS IP24

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	11	11	42	169	53	16	3	100%	3.8	21.3%	11.8%	9.5%	2.2%	2.16	4.01	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	11	11	42	169	53	16	3	100%	3.8	31.4%	9.5%	21.9%	1.8%	2.16	2.64	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	8	41	188	52	17	6	73%	3.7	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	3.3%	5.93	4.76	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	11	8	41	188	52	17	6	73%	3.7	18.8%	11.3%	7.5%	3.3%	5.93	4.76	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	11	8	41	188	52	17	6	73%	3.7	27.7%	9.0%	18.6%	3.2%	5.93	3.71	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	3	1	8	39	10	7	0	33%	2.8	25.6%	17.9%	7.7%	0.0%	2.16	3.21	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	3	1	8	39	10	7	0	33%	2.8	25.6%	17.9%	7.7%	0.0%	2.16	3.21	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	3	1	8	39	10	7	0	33%	2.8	25.6%	17.9%	7.7%	0.0%	2.16	3.22	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	17	84	18	11	5	0%	1.1	14.6%	16.4%	-1.8%	8.3%	7.94	8.52	—
YTD	22	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	15	0	17	84	18	11	5	0%	1.1	14.6%	16.4%	-1.8%	8.3%	7.94	8.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	22	ROK RAW	CLE	15	0	17	84	18	11	5	0%	1.1	21.4%	13.1%	8.3%	6.0%	7.94	6.22	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	24	0	25	107	25	10	3	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.36	4.29	+0.1
2027	23	MLB CTX	CLE	11	0	12	51	12	5	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.36	4.29	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	53	12	5	2	0%	1.0	23.7%	9.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.36	3.91	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	80	32	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.36	3.91	+1.5
Career	—	MLE		40	20	108	480	94	62	17	50%	2.7	19.5%	12.9%	6.6%	3.5%	4.50	5.03	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	37	200	889	173	115	31	50%	2.7	19.5%	12.9%	6.6%	3.5%	4.50	5.03	+1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evelio Hernandez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	22.9%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.29	23.7%	14.3%	25	-0.18	—	—	—
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	84
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	84
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	83
Cole Stapler R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	22	SW	3.83	19.2%	6.0%	2.9%	.266	3.31	18.1%	13.2%	220	-0.52	3.26	255	81
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	81
Daniel Bies R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	22	SW	3.96	24.5%	6.8%	3.8%	.339	3.17	20.3%	11.0%	89	-0.79	3.17	115	81
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	81
Austin Hutchison R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	22	SW	4.05	19.7%	6.0%	3.4%	.340	4.55	18.7%	9.2%	213	+0.50	3.51	235	80
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	80
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	80
Franco Aleman R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	22	SW	3.95	21.3%	8.2%	2.9%	.391	3.02	28.3%	18.4%	114	-0.93	2.38	225	80
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	79
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	79
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	79
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	79
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	79
Parker Curry R 2017 · 3.73 FIP	23	SU	3.73	22.5%	8.2%	2.7%	.341	4.62	18.6%	11.6%	193	+0.89	3.73	256	79
Chris Powell R 2015 · 3.31 FIP	22	SW	3.31	19.1%	10.7%	0.9%	.320	3.66	17.8%	11.8%	62	+0.35	3.31	102	78
David Davalillo R 2023 · 3.33 FIP	20	SW	3.33	18.6%	6.8%	1.7%	.292	3.31	20.7%	12.3%	305	-0.02	2.96	322	78
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	78