José Fernández

José Fernández P FCL Marlins

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 155 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.78

FIP4.78

K%21.7%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	10	4	28	128	34	15	1	40%	2.8	18.1%	14.6%	3.4%	0.9%	5.53	3.91	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	10	4	28	128	34	15	1	40%	2.8	26.6%	11.7%	14.8%	0.8%	5.53	2.74	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	12	0	23	99	24	19	0	0%	1.9	16.5%	24.0%	-7.5%	0.0%	2.35	4.75	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	12	0	23	99	24	19	0	0%	1.9	24.2%	19.2%	5.1%	0.0%	2.35	3.49	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	30	132	31	18	1	0%	1.3	19.8%	10.2%	9.6%	0.0%	2.97	2.72	—
2024	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	30	132	31	18	1	0%	1.3	19.8%	10.2%	9.6%	0.0%	2.97	2.72	—
2024	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	30	132	31	18	1	0%	1.3	23.5%	13.6%	9.8%	0.8%	2.97	3.26	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	29	138	29	19	4	0%	1.6	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	3.7%	6.83	5.61	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	29	138	29	19	4	0%	1.6	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	3.7%	6.83	5.61	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	29	138	29	19	4	0%	1.6	21.0%	13.8%	7.2%	2.9%	6.83	4.86	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	MIA	14	0	15	63	14	7	2	0%	1.1	21.7%	11.7%	10.0%	3.0%	4.78	4.78	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	26	0	27	113	25	12	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.0%	4.64	4.58	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	10	0	11	46	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.0%	4.64	4.58	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	11	5	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.0%	4.64	4.20	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	87	17	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.0%	4.64	4.20	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		64	4	110	497	87	75	6	6%	1.7	17.4%	15.1%	2.3%	1.3%	4.50	4.23	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	7	200	904	157	137	11	6%	1.7	17.4%	15.1%	2.3%	1.3%	4.50	4.23	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
José Fernández (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.78	21.7%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.58	22.4%	11.7%	27	-0.20	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	90
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	89
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	89
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	88
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	88
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	87
Colby Morris R 2021 · 4.11 FIP	24	SU	4.11	20.4%	10.7%	2.5%	.291	5.76	16.2%	4.4%	54	+1.65	4.11	105	87
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	87
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	86
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	86
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	86
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	86
Vince Arobio R 2018 · 4.47 FIP	23	SU	4.47	20.5%	12.0%	2.9%	.365	3.67	24.1%	16.2%	55	-0.80	3.67	118	85
Francisco Del Rosario R 2006 · 5.13 FIP	25	SU	5.13	19.4%	13.0%	3.7%	.290	3.93	19.7%	10.3%	26	-1.20	3.93	194	85
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	85
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	85
Luke Bell R 2024 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	20.4%	9.9%	1.8%	.295	5.69	13.1%	1.3%	66	+2.07	3.62	110	85
Kyle Schepel R 2015 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	23.1%	10.7%	3.9%	.233	3.64	22.1%	10.4%	120	-0.99	3.54	156	85