Jairo Diaz

C Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 23 L/R 5'9" / 180 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ACHC	48	.314/.489/.400	0	2	109	—	.282/.404/.359
2025	21	ROKCHC	112	.265/.345/.306	0	10	24	—	.186/.245/.216
2026	22	ACHC	131	.192/.349/.288	2	0	35	—	.135/.256/.189
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBCHC	241	.181/.264/.262	3	4	51	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBCHC	61	.188/.270/.278	1	1	56	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBCHC	129	.191/.274/.288	2	3	60	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

BB%88

Chase%87

Z-Con%79

Whiff%47

wRC+39

wOBA32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsTrey Paige (age 23) · Jacob Wetzel (age 24) · Andy Yerzy (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 127 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .262 / .259

PA127

HR1

K%32

BB%9

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	110	97	19	2	1	0	11	22	0	2	0	196	278	237	515	41	247	20	10	239	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	70	57	15	2	1	1	10	14	1	1	0	263	382	386	768	123	318	20	14	342	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	72	62	22	5	0	0	7	15	1	1	1	355	429	435	864	81	449	21	10	381	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	48	35	11	3	0	0	12	11	0	2	0	314	489	400	889	86	440	23	25	406	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	112	98	26	4	0	0	10	24	2	10	1	265	345	306	652	41	342	21	9	299	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	104	20	4	0	2	23	43	2	0	0	192	349	288	637	96	295	33	18	301	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	110	101	13	1	1	0	7	27	0	2	0	129	185	158	344	30	167	25	6	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	70	61	12	1	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	197	279	295	574	98	256	29	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	72	64	17	4	0	0	5	22	1	1	1	266	329	328	657	62	351	31	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	48	39	11	3	0	0	8	16	0	2	0	282	404	359	763	77	407	33	17	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	112	102	19	3	0	0	6	36	2	10	1	186	245	216	461	29	261	32	5	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	111	15	3	0	1	16	58	2	0	0	135	256	189	445	54	252	44	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	110	101	13	1	1	0	7	27	0	2	0	129	185	158	344	30	171	25	6	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	110	97	19	2	1	0	11	22	0	2	0	196	278	237	515	41	247	20	10	239	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	70	61	12	1	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	197	279	295	574	98	262	29	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	70	57	15	2	1	1	10	14	1	1	0	263	382	386	768	123	318	20	14	342	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	72	64	17	4	0	0	5	22	1	1	1	266	329	328	657	62	386	31	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	72	62	22	5	0	0	7	15	1	1	1	355	429	435	864	81	449	21	10	381	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	160	142	29	5	0	0	13	51	2	12	1	204	280	239	520	35	309	32	8	241	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	160	133	37	7	0	0	22	35	2	12	1	278	389	331	719	53	366	22	14	331	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	111	15	3	0	1	16	58	2	0	0	135	256	189	445	54	259	44	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	104	20	4	0	2	23	43	2	0	0	192	349	288	637	96	295	33	18	301	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	110	102	13	1	1	0	7	27	0	2	0	127	185	157	342	29	167	25	6	160	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	70	63	12	1	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	190	279	286	565	95	256	29	9	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	72	66	17	4	0	0	5	22	1	1	1	258	329	318	647	61	351	31	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	160	144	29	5	0	0	13	51	2	12	1	201	280	236	516	35	305	32	8	241	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	112	15	3	0	1	16	58	2	0	0	134	256	188	443	54	252	44	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	72	66	17	4	0	0	5	22	1	1	1	258	329	318	647	61	351	31	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	160	144	29	5	0	0	13	51	2	12	1	201	280	236	516	35	305	32	8	241	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	131	112	15	3	0	1	16	58	2	0	0	134	256	188	443	54	252	44	12	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	241	215	39	7	1	3	22	78	2	4	1	181	264	262	526	81	266	32	9	244	51	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	203	180	34	6	1	3	19	65	2	4	1	186	269	275	544	89	269	32	9	251	56	-11	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	CHC	44%	293	261	49	9	1	4	27	92	3	6	1	190	272	286	558	96	270	31	9	257	60	-14	+1	+0	+5	+6	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	CHC	51%	355	317	61	11	2	6	32	110	3	7	2	193	275	293	569	101	271	31	9	261	63	-16	+1	+0	+6	+8	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	386	344	66	12	2	6	35	118	4	8	2	195	276	297	573	102	272	31	9	262	64	-17	+1	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2032	28	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	404	360	71	13	2	7	37	123	4	8	2	195	277	298	574	102	272	30	9	263	64	-17	+1	-1	+7	+9	-0.1
2033	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	407	363	70	13	2	6	37	125	4	7	2	193	274	291	565	98	270	31	9	259	62	-19	+1	-1	+7	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	61	54	10	2	0	1	6	19	1	1	0	188	270	278	548	90	272	31	10	253	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	CHC	44%	129	115	22	4	1	2	12	40	1	3	1	191	274	288	562	97	273	31	9	258	60	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	CHC	51%	180	160	32	6	1	3	16	56	2	4	1	194	276	296	572	101	274	31	9	262	63	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	202	180	35	7	1	3	18	62	2	4	1	196	278	299	576	103	275	31	9	264	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	215	192	37	7	1	3	19	65	2	4	1	197	278	299	577	103	275	30	9	264	64	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	-0.1
2033	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	214	191	37	7	1	3	19	66	2	4	1	194	275	293	568	99	273	31	9	260	62	-10	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1001	892	173	33	5	15	90	308	10	20	5	194	275	293	568	99	275	31	9	261	57	-45	+2	-1	+18	+22	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	112	21	3	10	58	200	6	13	3	193	273	292	565	98	274	31	9	261	57	-29	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2718	2417	458	82	13	35	246	852	27	58	13	189	272	278	549	88	273	31	9	252	57	-100	+4	-2	+39	+47	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	109	20	3	8	59	204	6	14	3	189	270	275	545	87	272	31	9	252	57	-30	+1	-1	+12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#4Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#5Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.7	1,129	17	22	192	271	290	+20	+16	0.1	0.2
/162	664	10	13	+11.9	+9.4	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Mike Ryan'64-'74 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,098 PA	3.2	2,098	28	4	196*	257*	311*	+38	+0	-1.9	-0.9
/162	664	9	1	+11.9	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jairo Diaz (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	32→37	50→55	57	179/262/259	80	266	1	2	32%	9%	51	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Andy Yerzy 2021 · A	23	36	38→50	49→40	35	175/227/252	77	276	5	7	37%	5%	35	-3.4	188/273/334	146	262	18	6	34%	9%	73	-0.6	166/253/301	135	232	18	4	36%	9%	56	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Dallas Poulk 2011 · A	23	42	40→30	50	43	204/262/298	93	276	7	8	28%	7%	59	-1.7	208/273/276	68	294	3	9	27%	8%	57	-1.8	201/271/260	59	287	1	8	28%	8%	50	-1.5
✕Miguel Arrendell 2011 · A	23	42	38→30	50	50	199/280/273	74	267	5	13	26%	10%	60	-1.6	220/276/314	94	278	8	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	232/284/329	96	269	9	2	17%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Nick Ward 2019 · A	23	42→40	39→40	52→50	46	201/278/292	91	281	5	10	29%	8%	63	-1.3	195/267/273	78	301	5	7	34%	8%	55	-1.9	181/257/250	69	256	8	15	30%	8%	45	-1.7
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Gerard Hall 2011 · A	23	41→39	37→40	49→50	44	196/256/272	76	277	4	12	29%	7%	50	-2.3	214/267/300	86	306	3	10	29%	7%	61	-1.5	223/273/313	90	321	0	8	28%	6%	63	-0.7
✕Daury Arias 2024 · A	22	38	40	50→45	48	188/270/276	88	252	8	9	27%	9%	58	-1.7	184/252/266	82	279	6	9	34%	7%	48	-2.5	118/186/167	49	192	4	10	38%	6%	-1	-2.0
✕Kevin Dubler 2010 · A	23	40	35→50	49→40	42	188/253/249	62	270	3	7	30%	7%	44	-2.8	195/260/288	93	243	8	5	22%	7%	55	-1.9	184/251/278	94	218	9	3	20%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	37	37→40	49→40	42	180/245/252	72	276	5	4	35%	8%	42	-2.9	199/258/286	87	302	7	5	34%	7%	54	-2.0	194/253/287	94	299	7	3	35%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Steven Baron 2014 · A	23	35	40→45	53→50	34	180/213/275	96	257	7	9	33%	4%	34	-3.5	216/263/300	84	296	5	9	27%	6%	59	-1.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Logan Moore 2014 · A	23	34	38→40	43→30	40	170/228/242	73	244	5	4	32%	6%	33	-3.6	200/250/286	86	274	6	3	28%	6%	51	-2.3	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Cole Roederer 2022 · A	22	42→33	40→45	50	44	200/275/295	95	300	7	13	34%	8%	63	-1.3	203/269/320	117	297	12	11	34%	7%	67	-1.1	183/257/295	112	268	12	11	34%	8%	56	-1.1

Jairo Diaz

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps