Jose Rivera — OGILVIE

Jose Rivera2B DSL Marlins

Age 21 S/R 6'0" / 145 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .258 / .253

PA65

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED76

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	150	133	14	2	0	1	11	56	3	1	1	105	190	143	333	38	165	37	7	156	-22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	150	127	18	3	0	1	17	40	3	1	1	142	259	189	447	47	191	27	11	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	107	95	19	2	1	0	9	25	3	9	2	200	290	242	532	42	271	23	8	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	107	88	21	3	1	0	16	17	3	9	2	239	374	295	669	57	296	16	15	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	157	140	29	3	1	0	15	61	1	28	5	207	288	243	531	36	362	39	10	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	157	131	37	5	1	0	24	43	1	28	5	282	397	336	733	53	416	27	15	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	66	59	11	1	0	0	5	21	0	8	4	186	250	203	453	17	282	32	8	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	66	56	13	2	0	0	8	14	0	8	4	232	328	268	596	36	302	21	12	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	MIA	—	65	59	10	2	0	0	5	19	1	2	0	169	246	203	450	34	263	29	8	239	41	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIA	34%	149	135	27	4	1	2	12	41	1	5	1	200	270	289	559	89	268	28	8	252	51	-8	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
2028	23	MLB	MIA	48%	275	248	50	8	2	4	22	75	3	9	2	202	275	298	573	97	270	27	8	261	58	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	MIA	34%	51	47	9	1	0	1	4	14	0	2	0	191	255	277	531	85	263	27	8	242	43	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	MIA	48%	133	120	24	4	1	2	11	36	1	4	1	200	273	300	573	100	266	27	8	250	50	-8	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	184	167	33	5	1	3	15	50	1	6	1	198	268	293	561	96	261	27	8	248	48	-11	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	118	18	4	11	53	177	4	21	4	200	271	300	571	100	264	27	8	248	48	-38	+3	+0	+2	+18	-1.5
Career	—			—	969	869	160	22	5	7	79	298	12	62	15	184	261	245	507	61	268	31	8	233	36	-70	+6	+0	+3	+27	-3.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	108	15	3	5	53	200	8	42	10	185	262	247	509	62	269	31	8	233	36	-47	+4	+0	+2	+18	-2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	150	127	18	3	0	1	17	40	3	1	1	142	259	189	447	47	191	27	11	218	25	-13	-0	—	—	+4	-0.9
2023	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	107	88	21	3	1	0	16	17	3	9	2	239	374	295	669	57	296	16	15	320	103	+0	+1	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	157	131	37	5	1	0	24	43	1	28	5	282	397	336	733	53	416	27	15	341	119	+3	+4	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	20	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	66	56	13	2	0	0	8	14	0	8	4	232	328	268	596	36	302	21	12	274	68	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	249	3	8	198	268	283	+1	+2	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	8	21	198	268	283	+2.4	+5.3	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Rivera (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	28→33	71→76	57	187/258/253	66	263	0	2	29%	8%	41	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→38	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	69	-0.4	201/272/280	79	302	2	16	31%	8%	53	-1.5	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Raul Linares 2012 · A	21	41	36→45	59→55	45	193/258/267	74	254	2	23	24%	7%	43	-2.2	202/253/287	85	274	4	14	26%	6%	46	-2.0	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	55	-0.5
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2008 · A	21	43→40	36→40	56→55	40	200/256/268	68	285	2	18	29%	6%	43	-2.2	213/259/282	69	300	3	16	28%	5%	46	-2.0	210/254/274	64	295	2	16	28%	5%	39	-1.5
✕Reidy Mercado 2022 · A	21	42	37→30	56→60	40	198/254/268	70	293	4	21	32%	6%	41	-2.3	185/235/238	53	302	2	20	37%	6%	25	-3.5	163/211/196	34	268	1	31	37%	5%	1	-1.3
✕Gabriel Ovalle 2015 · A	20	36	35→40	57→60	41	173/225/241	68	239	1	15	27%	6%	22	-3.7	188/252/246	58	261	1	15	26%	7%	35	-2.8	179/270/216	37	224	0	32	18%	9%	34	-0.9
✕Nelson Pierre 2009 · A	21	39	35→30	57→60	40	188/232/247	58	258	2	24	27%	5%	26	-3.4	201/258/263	62	276	2	25	26%	7%	41	-2.3	195/259/229	35	264	0	42	24%	8%	30	-1.1
✕Alberto Figuereo 2019 · A	19	45	35→30	61→60	47	209/277/273	64	266	1	25	21%	7%	53	-1.5	205/263/266	61	283	2	14	26%	6%	45	-2.1	195/238/226	31	268	0	9	26%	4%	20	-0.7
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→49	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	276	2	20	30%	9%	42	-2.3	209/294/259	50	308	2	38	29%	10%	57	-1.2	210/286/268	58	278	5	56	25%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	66	-0.6	250/279/329	79	309	3	23	19%	4%	66	-0.6	280/299/338	58	344	0	29	18%	2%	72	-0.1
✕Ronny Gil 2011 · A	22	48→40	38→40	59→50	46	227/286/317	90	287	4	17	22%	6%	68	-0.5	204/247/271	67	289	2	13	29%	5%	39	-2.5	195/237/258	63	280	2	14	29%	5%	29	-2.0
✕Shard Munroe 2017 · A	21	41	38→40	58→50	49	194/268/275	81	255	4	16	24%	8%	50	-1.8	197/265/292	95	283	8	13	31%	8%	53	-1.5	174/247/268	94	256	9	14	34%	8%	37	-0.9
✕GJ Hill 2022 · A	21	36→27	40→50	57→55	28	156/219/242	86	346	8	21	54%	6%	21	-3.7	173/240/281	108	331	12	15	48%	7%	40	-2.4	171/235/325	154	252	20	28	40%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→33	39→40	63→60	52	173/278/262	89	263	7	32	33%	12%	53	-1.5	178/261/269	91	271	9	28	34%	10%	46	-2.0	178/251/269	91	257	10	29	33%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	41	38→30	62→70	39	194/261/276	82	302	5	38	35%	7%	47	-1.9	201/252/267	66	276	3	38	27%	5%	40	-2.4	195/242/247	52	259	1	51	24%	5%	28	-1.5
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	40→48	39→40	56→60	43	193/255/276	83	270	6	20	30%	7%	45	-2.1	209/276/279	70	304	4	22	30%	7%	54	-1.4	189/253/276	87	274	8	24	32%	7%	41	-0.9
✕Borinquen Mendez 2018 · A	20	40	35→30	57→60	45	190/257/242	52	262	3	22	27%	7%	37	-2.7	199/258/268	69	258	3	19	22%	7%	43	-2.2	178/236/237	59	215	0	34	16%	6%	23	-0.9
✕D'Shawn Knowles 2022 · A	21	40→50	39→40	59→55	32	187/229/280	92	317	6	21	41%	5%	34	-2.8	207/259/286	79	324	4	19	35%	6%	48	-1.9	208/264/280	72	319	3	20	34%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Ian Lewis Jr. 2023 · A	20	46→41	40→45	57→60	42	218/276/313	95	301	7	17	29%	7%	63	-0.9	213/275/311	98	289	7	22	27%	7%	63	-0.9	205/269/314	109	262	10	34	25%	7%	58	-0.7