Jose Rivera2B
DSL Marlins
Age 21
S/R
6'0" / 145 lbs
ROK
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 1.2 · 2031
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .279 / .308
PA65
HR1
K%29
BB%8
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
28↗33
SPD
71↗76
EYE
52↗57
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.2peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$11M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +1.1 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.9 | $5M | +$4M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.7 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.5 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.2 | $1M | +$0.1M |
| Totals | $7M | $34M | +$27M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 150 | 133 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .105 | .190 | .143 | .333 | .038 | .165 | 37 | 7 | .156 | -22 | -21 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -1.6 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Miami | 107 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .191 | .290 | .234 | .524 | .043 | .261 | 23 | 9 | .233 | 37 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 157 | 140 | 29 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 61 | 1 | 28 | 5 | .207 | .288 | .243 | .531 | .036 | .362 | 39 | 10 | .246 | 46 | -9 | +4 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 66 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 4 | .186 | .250 | .203 | .453 | .017 | .282 | 32 | 8 | .208 | 17 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 65 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .186 | .262 | .271 | .533 | .085 | .280 | 29 | 8 | .269 | 64 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | MIA | 149 | 134 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 1 | 4 | 1 | .209 | .284 | .328 | .612 | .119 | .282 | 28 | 9 | .284 | 75 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | MIA | 275 | 245 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 73 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .220 | .300 | .351 | .651 | .131 | .283 | 27 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | MIA | 366 | 324 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 95 | 4 | 12 | 3 | .222 | .306 | .358 | .664 | .136 | .284 | 26 | 10 | .298 | 86 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | MIA | 420 | 373 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 108 | 4 | 14 | 3 | .223 | .305 | .354 | .658 | .131 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | MIA | 453 | 401 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 44 | 117 | 5 | 15 | 3 | .224 | .309 | .362 | .670 | .137 | .286 | 26 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | MIA | 469 | 414 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 121 | 5 | 16 | 3 | .227 | .313 | .370 | .683 | .143 | .286 | 26 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +2 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 474 | 419 | 94 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 124 | 5 | 15 | 3 | .224 | .310 | .365 | .675 | .141 | .285 | 26 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 471 | 416 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 124 | 5 | 15 | 3 | .224 | .310 | .365 | .675 | .142 | .284 | 26 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -6 | +2 | -1 | +2 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 464 | 409 | 89 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 124 | 5 | 14 | 2 | .218 | .306 | .347 | .653 | .130 | .283 | 27 | 10 | .297 | 86 | -7 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +13 | 0.7 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 453 | 400 | 85 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 46 | 123 | 4 | 13 | 2 | .212 | .300 | .335 | .635 | .123 | .281 | 27 | 10 | .294 | 83 | -9 | +2 | -3 | +2 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 436 | 385 | 82 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 120 | 4 | 12 | 1 | .213 | .300 | .340 | .640 | .127 | .280 | 28 | 10 | .289 | 79 | -10 | +2 | -4 | +2 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 408 | 360 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 115 | 4 | 11 | 1 | .208 | .296 | .331 | .627 | .122 | .278 | 28 | 10 | .284 | 75 | -11 | +2 | -4 | +1 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 364 | 322 | 65 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 106 | 3 | 10 | 0 | .202 | .288 | .314 | .602 | .112 | .276 | 29 | 10 | .277 | 70 | -12 | +2 | -5 | +1 | +10 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5747 | 5087 | 1087 | 190 | 31 | 124 | 558 | 1573 | 60 | 208 | 39 | .214 | .299 | .336 | .635 | .123 | .282 | 27 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -138 | +26 | -20 | +21 | +163 | 5.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 575 | 123 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 63 | 178 | 7 | 24 | 4 | .214 | .299 | .337 | .636 | .123 | .282 | 27 | 10 | .288 | 79 | -16 | +3 | -2 | +2 | +18 | 0.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 150 | 127 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 40 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .142 | .259 | .189 | .447 | .047 | .191 | 27 | 11 | .218 | 25 | -13 | -0 | — | — | +4 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Miami | 107 | 88 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 2 | .239 | .374 | .295 | .669 | .057 | .296 | 16 | 15 | .320 | 103 | +0 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 157 | 131 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 43 | 1 | 28 | 5 | .282 | .397 | .336 | .733 | .053 | .416 | 27 | 15 | .341 | 119 | +3 | +4 | — | — | +4 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 66 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 4 | .232 | .328 | .268 | .596 | .036 | .302 | 21 | 12 | .274 | 68 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jose Rivera (OGILVIE) | 21 | 20→25 | 28→33 | 71→76 | 57 | .204/.279/.308 | .104 | .280 | 1 | 2 | 29% | 8% | 64 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕D'Shawn Knowles 2022 · A |
21 | 40→46 | 40 | 59→55 | 33 | .193/.233/.288 | .096 | .311 | 7 | 21 | 39% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .203/.255/.278 | .075 | .321 | 4 | 18 | 35% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .201/.259/.267 | .066 | .314 | 3 | 20 | 34% | 7% | 40 | -1.5 |
|
✕Jon Matthews 2014 · A |
23 | 41 | 37→40 | 58→60 | 41 | .196/.260/.271 | .075 | .276 | 4 | 25 | 29% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .231/.298/.298 | .067 | .313 | 3 | 17 | 25% | 7% | 68 | -0.5 | .242/.313/.293 | .051 | .324 | 2 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 70 | -0.1 |
|
✕Lane Adams 2011 · A |
21 | 44→45 | 37→50 | 57→60 | 41 | .205/.258/.279 | .073 | .301 | 4 | 14 | 32% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .213/.263/.313 | .100 | .298 | 8 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .224/.277/.354 | .130 | .308 | 15 | 36 | 31% | 6% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Luis Valenzuela 2015 · A |
21 | 41 | 37→45 | 55→45 | 39 | .196/.236/.271 | .076 | .262 | 4 | 7 | 26% | 5% | 34 | -2.8 | .239/.265/.331 | .092 | .299 | 6 | 8 | 21% | 3% | 62 | -0.9 | .257/.278/.358 | .101 | .312 | 5 | 7 | 19% | 2% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕Leury García 2011 · A |
20 | 45→55 | 36→45 | 58→60 | 39 | .214/.248/.272 | .058 | .282 | 4 | 27 | 25% | 4% | 39 | -2.5 | .228/.262/.303 | .075 | .312 | 4 | 27 | 27% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .272/.310/.392 | .120 | .338 | 12 | 22 | 22% | 4% | 95 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jose Siri 2016 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 40→60 | 56→55 | 31 | .190/.225/.289 | .099 | .299 | 6 | 15 | 38% | 4% | 34 | -2.8 | .199/.230/.326 | .127 | .303 | 12 | 19 | 37% | 3% | 46 | -2.0 | .227/.276/.431 | .204 | .317 | 27 | 25 | 36% | 5% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A |
21 | 38 | 38→40 | 55 | 40 | .180/.254/.262 | .082 | .298 | 5 | 14 | 39% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .193/.254/.274 | .081 | .301 | 5 | 9 | 35% | 7% | 43 | -2.2 | .183/.238/.251 | .069 | .264 | 5 | 2 | 31% | 6% | 29 | -1.1 |
|
●Danny Santana 2011 · A |
20 | 42→52 | 39→60 | 55 | 37 | .205/.240/.297 | .092 | .277 | 6 | 15 | 28% | 4% | 43 | -2.2 | .226/.262/.322 | .096 | .301 | 6 | 16 | 26% | 4% | 58 | -1.2 | .244/.288/.452 | .208 | .303 | 27 | 22 | 29% | 5% | 102 | +1.2 |
|
✕Reidy Mercado 2021 · A |
20 | 41 | 35→30 | 55→60 | 41 | .194/.247/.251 | .057 | .268 | 3 | 25 | 28% | 6% | 34 | -2.8 | .194/.247/.254 | .060 | .300 | 3 | 20 | 34% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .174/.223/.213 | .040 | .281 | 1 | 25 | 36% | 5% | 10 | -1.1 |
|
✕Hilton Richardson 2011 · A |
22 | 40→36 | 38→40 | 57→55 | 39 | .195/.241/.278 | .084 | .272 | 5 | 21 | 30% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .198/.246/.285 | .087 | .289 | 7 | 13 | 32% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .173/.220/.239 | .067 | .274 | 7 | 4 | 38% | 5% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Narciso Crook 2016 · A |
21 | 38→43 | 42→55 | 53→50 | 33 | .193/.226/.298 | .105 | .280 | 10 | 12 | 34% | 4% | 37 | -2.6 | .200/.245/.309 | .109 | .293 | 10 | 10 | 34% | 5% | 49 | -1.8 | .199/.278/.357 | .158 | .302 | 19 | 15 | 38% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jimmy Paredes 2011 · A |
22 | 47→54 | 40→50 | 57→55 | 37 | .229/.253/.328 | .099 | .291 | 6 | 22 | 24% | 3% | 56 | -1.3 | .240/.267/.354 | .114 | .313 | 9 | 26 | 25% | 3% | 69 | -0.4 | .255/.284/.386 | .131 | .349 | 13 | 15 | 30% | 4% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Chevy Clarke 2013 · A |
21 | 36→42 | 40 | 53→50 | 36 | .176/.236/.266 | .090 | .275 | 7 | 11 | 37% | 6% | 34 | -2.8 | .185/.251/.269 | .084 | .289 | 8 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .172/.243/.252 | .080 | .271 | 9 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 31 | -2.4 |
|
✕Greg Golson 2007 · A |
21 | 39→49 | 41→45 | 53→55 | 32 | .193/.229/.296 | .102 | .288 | 9 | 17 | 35% | 4% | 38 | -2.6 | .214/.246/.322 | .108 | .326 | 10 | 19 | 36% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .259/.313/.348 | .089 | .368 | 5 | 31 | 29% | 5% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
✕Dalvy Rosario 2021 · A |
21 | 41→42 | 39→40 | 54→55 | 38 | .199/.247/.283 | .084 | .291 | 6 | 16 | 33% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .198/.251/.282 | .084 | .283 | 7 | 17 | 31% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .188/.238/.269 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 21 | 32% | 5% | 33 | -2.0 |
|
✕Ruben Martinez 2008 · A |
21 | 41 | 36→30 | 56→60 | 42 | .182/.269/.248 | .066 | .314 | 3 | 21 | 39% | 9% | 44 | -2.1 | .177/.244/.242 | .065 | .285 | 2 | 14 | 36% | 7% | 31 | -3.0 | .141/.183/.193 | .052 | .214 | 0 | 10 | 32% | 4% | -12 | -1.9 |
|
✕George Feliz 2023 · A |
20 | 37 | 40→50 | 54→40 | 36 | .181/.238/.275 | .093 | .295 | 8 | 12 | 40% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .178/.240/.280 | .102 | .317 | 11 | 11 | 44% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .168/.232/.286 | .119 | .279 | 15 | 9 | 43% | 6% | 36 | -1.0 |
|
✕Paulo Orlando 2007 · A |
21 | 43→53 | 40→45 | 55 | 30 | .204/.237/.300 | .097 | .315 | 7 | 17 | 37% | 3% | 43 | -2.2 | .214/.246/.317 | .103 | .300 | 8 | 18 | 31% | 3% | 50 | -1.7 | .255/.286/.368 | .112 | .317 | 9 | 14 | 22% | 3% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕DJ Neal 2019 · A |
22 | 41 | 40→45 | 57→50 | 36 | .200/.243/.296 | .096 | .289 | 7 | 12 | 32% | 5% | 44 | -2.1 | .195/.241/.267 | .072 | .292 | 5 | 14 | 33% | 5% | 35 | -2.8 | .182/.231/.228 | .045 | .271 | 3 | 17 | 32% | 5% | 18 | -1.6 |
|
✕Tirso Ornelas 2021 · A |
21 | 40→50 | 37→50 | 51→45 | 44 | .192/.255/.266 | .074 | .272 | 5 | 6 | 30% | 8% | 42 | -2.3 | .219/.280/.322 | .103 | .296 | 8 | 6 | 27% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .245/.303/.373 | .128 | .302 | 14 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 87 | +0.8 |