Jose Rivera — OGILVIE

Jose Rivera2B DSL Marlins

Age 22 S/R 6'0" / 145 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .264 / .258

PA49

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO62

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	150	127	18	3	0	1	17	40	3	1	1	142	259	189	447	47	191	27	11	218	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	107	88	21	3	1	0	16	17	3	9	2	239	374	295	669	57	296	16	15	320	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	157	131	37	5	1	0	24	43	1	28	5	282	397	336	733	53	416	27	15	341	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	66	56	13	2	0	0	8	14	0	8	4	232	328	268	596	36	302	21	12	274	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	150	132	12	2	0	0	12	48	3	1	1	91	184	106	290	15	131	32	8	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	107	93	16	2	1	0	11	21	3	9	2	172	280	215	495	43	206	20	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	157	138	26	3	1	0	17	52	1	28	5	188	282	225	507	36	291	33	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	66	59	9	1	0	0	5	18	0	8	4	153	219	169	388	17	213	27	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	150	132	12	2	0	0	12	48	3	1	1	91	184	106	290	15	138	32	8	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	150	127	18	3	0	1	17	40	3	1	1	142	259	189	447	47	191	27	11	218	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	107	93	16	2	1	0	11	21	3	9	2	172	280	215	495	43	222	20	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	107	88	21	3	1	0	16	17	3	9	2	239	374	295	669	57	296	16	15	320	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	157	138	26	3	1	0	17	52	1	28	5	188	282	225	507	36	299	33	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	157	131	37	5	1	0	24	43	1	28	5	282	397	336	733	53	416	27	15	341	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	66	59	9	1	0	0	5	18	0	8	4	153	219	169	388	17	214	27	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	66	56	13	2	0	0	8	14	0	8	4	232	328	268	596	36	302	21	12	274	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	150	134	12	2	0	0	12	48	3	1	1	90	184	104	288	15	131	32	8	150	-12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	107	92	16	2	1	0	11	21	3	9	2	174	280	217	498	43	206	20	10	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	157	138	26	3	1	0	17	52	1	28	5	188	282	225	507	36	291	33	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	66	61	9	1	0	0	5	18	0	8	4	148	219	164	383	16	213	27	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	157	138	26	3	1	0	17	52	1	28	5	188	282	225	507	36	291	33	11	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	66	61	9	1	0	0	5	18	0	8	4	148	219	164	383	16	213	27	8	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	176	159	32	5	1	1	14	53	1	6	1	198	266	260	526	62	286	30	8	243	50	-10	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	107	97	20	3	1	1	8	32	1	4	0	202	271	276	547	73	287	30	7	251	56	-6	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	197	266	265	531	68	279	30	8	245	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	11	0	1	0	176	243	206	449	29	261	30	8	245	28	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	106	18	0	0	53	193	0	18	0	178	245	208	452	30	262	30	8	245	28	-34	+4	+0	+2	+14	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	636	564	91	12	3	1	57	186	8	52	12	161	248	199	447	37	235	29	9	210	28	-8	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	93	12	3	1	58	190	8	53	12	161	247	198	445	36	235	29	9	210	28	-35	+5	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Rivera (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	196/264/258	62	286	0	2	30%	8%	50	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Raul Linares 2013 · A	22	37	35→45	58→55	44	175/239/239	64	234	2	22	25%	7%	36	-3.3	204/251/294	90	270	5	10	25%	6%	53	-2.1	208/250/310	102	264	6	7	23%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Viandel Pena 2023 · A	22	38→39	39→40	55	41	183/248/269	86	293	6	18	37%	8%	47	-2.6	196/257/270	74	292	4	18	31%	8%	50	-2.3	198/244/283	85	286	6	20	32%	6%	44	-0.9
✕Reidy Mercado 2023 · A	22	41	35→30	54→60	37	191/244/243	52	302	2	17	36%	6%	38	-3.2	190/240/248	58	304	3	23	36%	6%	38	-3.2	168/215/212	44	272	1	36	37%	5%	18	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	43→30	38→45	57→50	41	200/268/280	80	315	5	16	36%	8%	57	-1.8	210/268/332	122	313	12	13	35%	6%	69	-0.9	200/258/307	108	293	11	16	34%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Rubendy Jaquez 2022 · A	23	43→41	37→40	54→55	42	204/256/279	75	278	4	21	27%	6%	52	-2.2	211/254/296	85	276	5	15	24%	5%	54	-2.0	204/233/283	79	255	4	16	21%	3%	39	-1.0
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	41→40	37→40	60	50	192/272/272	80	251	2	20	23%	9%	57	-1.8	203/271/276	73	310	2	18	32%	8%	57	-1.8	211/282/288	76	323	2	26	32%	8%	62	-0.7
✕Estarlin De Los Santos 2009 · A	22	44→42	36→40	53→55	39	208/259/275	67	291	3	18	28%	5%	51	-2.2	213/256/284	71	299	3	14	28%	5%	52	-2.2	204/247/273	68	288	2	14	28%	5%	43	-1.4
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2024 · A	22	39	37→30	58→70	39	190/246/264	74	268	4	27	30%	5%	45	-2.7	209/257/270	61	275	2	42	23%	6%	49	-2.4	208/255/258	50	270	1	58	22%	6%	44	-1.6
✕Jose Salas 2024 · A	21	40→43	39→45	54→55	40	194/259/277	83	275	7	21	31%	6%	53	-2.1	187/243/287	100	281	10	20	35%	5%	49	-2.4	173/229/282	108	262	12	23	37%	5%	41	-1.6
✕Yeison Coca 2021 · A	22	38→31	38→40	51→50	36	184/234/265	81	293	6	14	38%	6%	40	-3.1	186/244/255	69	310	4	12	38%	7%	42	-2.9	168/230/223	55	283	2	13	38%	7%	27	-1.8
✕Dasan Brown 2024 · A	22	42→40	39→40	52→60	39	197/268/280	84	303	7	21	35%	6%	58	-1.7	188/264/271	83	289	7	31	35%	8%	54	-2.0	172/256/247	75	267	7	41	35%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Fernando Garcia 2009 · A	21	39	36→30	51→55	40	188/245/250	62	268	3	17	30%	6%	41	-3.0	210/279/275	65	283	2	18	24%	8%	59	-1.6	211/287/270	59	280	1	22	23%	9%	59	-0.8
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	47	185/274/255	70	288	2	24	33%	10%	55	-2.0	207/297/291	84	313	5	17	32%	9%	71	-0.8	199/309/261	62	300	4	23	31%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Willmer De La Cruz 2024 · A	21	42	36→30	50→55	46	191/277/255	64	298	3	15	34%	10%	55	-1.9	197/272/263	66	330	3	13	37%	9%	55	-2.0	162/255/195	33	292	0	21	40%	10%	30	-0.8
✕Hansel Moreno 2018 · A	21	43→33	38→40	51→50	41	206/255/288	82	285	5	12	28%	6%	53	-2.1	194/239/288	94	293	9	16	35%	5%	47	-2.5	177/222/269	92	266	10	19	36%	5%	34	-2.2
✕Brenny Escanio 2024 · A	21	38	37→30	53→55	46	181/261/252	72	275	4	15	33%	9%	49	-2.4	186/253/256	70	298	4	15	36%	8%	45	-2.7	167/233/225	58	272	3	18	37%	8%	28	-1.6
✕B.J. Guinn 2012 · A	23	45→44	35→40	55	40	212/260/271	59	304	2	21	30%	6%	51	-2.3	208/257/282	74	297	4	13	29%	6%	52	-2.2	202/254/277	75	281	4	10	28%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Jake Vogel 2024 · A	22	41→40	36→40	55	39	192/256/265	73	293	3	17	34%	6%	49	-2.4	185/257/258	73	290	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	138/225/185	48	226	4	22	38%	8%	19	-2.5
✕Pedro Martinez 2023 · A	22	41	38→40	48→55	37	193/254/269	76	312	6	19	38%	6%	49	-2.4	207/270/300	93	317	8	15	35%	7%	63	-1.4	190/257/277	87	291	10	16	36%	7%	49	-0.8