Robert Cranz — OGILVIE

Robert Cranz P Harrisburg Senators

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 207 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 18 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123115vR 106

ERA4.71

FIP4.71

K%24.5%

BB%13.3%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP18

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	0	6	21	7	1	0	0%	1.5	33.3%	4.8%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.89	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	0	6	21	7	1	0	0%	1.5	33.3%	4.8%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.89	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	4	0	6	21	7	1	0	0%	1.5	33.3%	4.8%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	1.27	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	36	135	45	16	3	0%	1.2	25.7%	15.0%	10.7%	2.1%	2.02	3.99	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	0	36	135	45	16	3	0%	1.2	25.7%	15.0%	10.7%	2.1%	2.02	3.99	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	0	36	135	45	16	3	0%	1.2	33.3%	11.9%	21.5%	2.2%	2.02	3.02	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	48	0	54	241	76	32	4	0%	1.1	25.2%	13.8%	11.4%	2.0%	5.17	3.79	—
YTD	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	48	0	54	241	76	32	4	0%	1.1	25.2%	13.8%	11.4%	2.0%	5.17	3.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A+ RAW	WSH	12	0	16	66	27	12	0	0%	1.3	40.9%	18.2%	22.7%	0.0%	2.25	1.95	—
2026	23	AA RAW	WSH	23	0	26	110	40	7	3	0%	1.1	36.4%	6.4%	30.0%	2.7%	3.42	2.33	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	WSH	13	0	12	65	9	13	1	0%	0.9	13.8%	20.0%	-6.2%	1.5%	13.11	5.31	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	52	0	54	229	57	27	7	0%	1.0	25.0%	11.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.56	4.48	+0.0
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	52	0	55	232	58	25	7	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.0%	14.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.34	+0.1
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	52	0	55	232	59	25	7	0%	1.1	25.3%	10.9%	14.5%	2.9%	4.36	4.32	+0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	52	0	54	228	58	25	7	0%	1.0	25.3%	10.9%	14.4%	3.0%	4.36	4.35	+0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	23	0	24	101	25	12	3	0%	1.0	25.0%	11.9%	13.1%	2.9%	4.56	4.48	+0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	35	0	37	156	39	17	5	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.0%	14.2%	2.9%	4.42	4.34	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	42	0	44	186	47	20	5	0%	1.0	25.3%	10.9%	14.5%	2.9%	4.36	4.32	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	44	0	46	194	49	21	6	0%	1.0	25.3%	10.9%	14.4%	3.0%	4.36	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		143	0	150	635	160	70	19	0%	1.1	25.2%	11.1%	14.2%	2.9%	4.41	3.98	+1.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	213	93	25	0%	1.0	25.2%	11.1%	14.2%	2.9%	4.41	3.98	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		82	0	96	397	102	54	8	0%	1.2	25.8%	13.7%	12.1%	1.9%	3.67	3.70	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	0	200	830	214	114	16	0%	1.2	25.8%	13.7%	12.1%	1.9%	3.67	3.70	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Cranz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.71	24.5%	13.3%	2.9%	—	4.38	25.2%	13.9%	164	-0.33	—	—	—
Nic Enright R 2019 · 3.63 FIP	22	SU	3.63	24.6%	12.2%	1.9%	.263	3.01	29.6%	23.5%	124	-0.62	0.56	249	88
Justin Yeager R 2021 · 3.59 FIP	23	SU	3.59	26.6%	12.3%	2.1%	.281	3.96	25.4%	12.6%	103	+0.37	3.32	262	88
Donovan Benoit R 2022 · 3.58 FIP	23	SU	3.58	25.3%	12.4%	1.9%	.284	4.43	17.6%	4.3%	138	+0.85	3.58	183	88
Logan VanWey R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	24	SU	4.34	23.9%	14.0%	2.7%	.301	3.86	25.0%	14.1%	144	-0.48	3.15	191	87
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	87
Colin McKee R 2018 · 5.00 FIP	24	SU	5.00	24.2%	14.7%	3.8%	.330	4.35	27.7%	12.9%	97	-0.65	4.18	148	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Cre Finfrock R 2019 · 4.63 FIP	23	SU	4.63	23.0%	11.7%	3.6%	.278	6.31	16.7%	-8.5%	36	+1.68	4.27	103	87
Jackson Kelley R 2023 · 3.80 FIP	23	SU	3.80	26.5%	13.1%	2.3%	.313	3.65	21.6%	10.7%	165	-0.15	3.21	218	87
Hunter Dula R 2022 · 3.91 FIP	23	SU	3.91	22.0%	12.3%	2.0%	.340	4.54	20.0%	8.9%	91	+0.63	3.91	132	86
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	86
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	85
Stephen Jones R 2021 · 3.62 FIP	24	SU	3.62	23.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.304	4.53	21.5%	9.8%	142	+0.91	3.62	309	85
Tanner Jacobson R 2023 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.8%	13.8%	2.1%	.313	4.89	21.1%	5.4%	115	+0.80	4.09	168	85
Jacob Dorris R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	26.9%	12.4%	3.2%	.295	4.58	19.2%	8.8%	88	+0.42	4.16	130	85
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	85
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	85
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	47	25.1%	11.3%	1.13	4.45
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19