Luke Scherrer

C Bradenton Marauders

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs A HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	APIT	63	.164/.270/.164	0	1	-3	—	.123/.206/.123
2025	20	ROKPIT	92	.194/.363/.250	1	7	32	—	.156/.286/.208
2026	21	APIT	263	.232/.336/.335	6	6	48	—	.185/.270/.254
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBPIT	373	.180/.256/.271	6	6	50	-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBPIT	103	.184/.261/.281	2	2	56	-0.1
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBPIT	176	.189/.265/.291	3	3	60	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV68

Z-Con%62

Chase%60

Whiff%59

Speed47

K%38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsFrank Rodriguez (age 22) · Steven Baron (age 22) · Yassel Pino (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 251 proj PA

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .254 / .268

PA251

HR4

K%29

BB%7

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	139	110	30	8	0	0	18	21	8	4	2	273	412	345	757	73	330	15	13	350	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	63	55	9	0	0	0	7	19	1	1	1	164	270	164	433		250	30	11	218	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	92	72	14	1	0	1	12	15	7	7	2	194	363	250	613	56	228	16	13	302	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	263	224	52	3	1	6	26	70	9	6	4	232	336	335	671	103	303	27	10	307	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	139	116	24	6	0	0	12	29	8	4	2	207	324	259	582	52	259	21	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	63	57	7	0	0	0	5	26	1	1	1	123	206	123	329		235	41	8	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	92	77	12	1	0	1	7	21	7	7	2	156	286	208	494	52	179	23	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	263	232	43	2	1	4	18	95	9	6	4	185	270	254	525	69	273	36	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	139	116	24	6	0	0	12	29	8	4	2	207	324	259	582	52	270	21	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	139	110	30	8	0	0	18	21	8	4	2	273	412	345	757	73	330	15	13	350	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	155	134	19	1	0	1	12	47	8	8	3	142	253	172	425	30	207	30	8	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	155	127	23	1	0	1	19	34	8	8	3	181	325	213	537	31	237	22	12	268	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	263	232	43	2	1	4	18	95	9	6	4	185	270	254	525	69	285	36	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	263	224	52	3	1	6	26	70	9	6	4	232	336	335	671	103	303	27	10	307	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	139	118	24	6	0	0	12	29	8	4	2	203	324	254	578	51	259	21	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	155	134	19	1	0	1	12	47	8	8	3	142	253	172	425	30	202	30	8	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	263	234	43	2	1	4	18	95	9	6	4	184	270	252	522	68	273	36	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	139	118	24	6	0	0	12	29	8	4	2	203	324	254	578	51	259	21	9	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	155	134	19	1	0	1	12	47	8	8	3	142	253	172	425	30	202	30	8	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	263	234	43	2	1	4	18	95	9	6	4	184	270	252	522	68	273	36	7	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	373	336	61	10	2	6	27	109	7	6	2	180	256	271	527	91	244	29	7	243	50	-22	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	301	270	50	9	1	5	22	86	6	5	2	185	262	285	546	99	247	29	7	251	56	-16	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	PIT	46%	382	343	65	11	2	7	29	108	7	7	2	190	266	295	561	105	250	28	8	257	60	-18	+1	+0	+7	+8	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	428	384	74	13	2	8	33	119	8	7	2	193	269	302	572	109	253	28	8	261	63	-19	+1	+0	+8	+9	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	456	410	80	14	2	9	35	126	8	7	3	195	272	307	579	112	254	28	8	264	65	-19	+0	+0	+8	+10	-0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	467	420	83	15	2	10	36	128	8	7	3	197	273	310	583	113	256	27	8	265	66	-19	+0	+0	+8	+10	-0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	469	422	81	14	2	9	36	130	8	6	2	195	271	305	576	110	255	28	8	263	64	-20	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	464	418	81	14	2	9	36	130	7	4	2	193	268	298	567	106	253	28	8	259	61	-21	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	103	92	17	3	0	2	8	29	2	2	1	184	261	281	542	96	248	28	8	249	56	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	PIT	46%	176	158	30	5	1	3	13	50	3	3	1	189	265	291	556	102	251	28	7	255	60	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	221	198	38	7	1	4	17	62	4	4	1	192	269	298	566	106	253	28	8	259	63	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	247	222	44	8	1	5	19	68	4	4	1	195	271	303	574	108	255	28	8	262	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	253	227	44	8	1	5	20	69	4	4	1	196	273	305	577	109	256	27	8	263	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+5	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	254	228	44	8	1	5	20	70	4	3	1	194	271	300	571	106	255	28	8	261	64	-11	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	246	221	42	8	1	4	19	69	4	2	1	192	268	294	562	103	254	28	8	257	61	-11	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1500	1346	259	47	6	28	116	417	25	22	7	192	269	299	568	106	254	28	8	259	59	-67	+2	-1	+27	+32	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	112	20	3	12	50	181	11	10	3	192	269	298	567	106	254	28	8	259	59	-29	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3775	3375	641	106	15	66	287	1071	82	65	26	190	270	289	559	99	254	28	8	255	59	-148	+3	-2	+57	+70	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	110	18	3	11	49	184	14	11	4	189	269	287	556	98	254	28	8	255	59	-30	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Billy Sullivan'01-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,652 PA	5.5	3,652	11	92	206*	257*	335*	+64	-1	2.9	3.4
/162	664	2	17	+11.7	-0.2	0.5	pk7: 4
#4Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#5Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.6	1,753	33	26	192	266	299	+31	+16	-0.0	0.2
/162	664	13	10	+11.9	+6.1	-0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Scherrer (OGILVIE)	22	26→31	36→41	49→54	52	178/254/268	90	244	4	4	29%	7%	50	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	194/232/294	100	263	8	10	29%	4%	46	-2.6	197/236/287	90	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	236/292/311	74	314	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Yassel Pino 2024 · A	22	37	42→45	48→40	45	186/253/292	105	245	10	5	28%	8%	54	-2.0	208/263/318	110	276	11	8	28%	6%	64	-1.3	205/253/313	109	262	15	10	27%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Alex Mooney 2024 · A	22	41→39	39→40	53→55	44	196/263/283	87	261	6	12	26%	6%	56	-1.9	190/263/289	99	265	8	27	30%	7%	58	-1.7	182/255/278	96	255	8	30	30%	7%	51	-1.8
✕Max George 2018 · A	22	39	42→45	50→55	45	195/270/303	109	255	9	15	27%	7%	64	-1.3	188/271/296	108	261	10	20	30%	7%	63	-1.4	145/250/272	127	214	15	25	38%	9%	49	-1.2
✕Osiris Johnson 2023 · A	22	37	41→40	51→50	39	188/238/276	88	257	10	9	30%	6%	45	-2.7	195/242/287	92	270	10	14	30%	5%	49	-2.4	180/226/267	87	248	10	18	31%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	34	36→40	46→50	48	162/233/224	62	208	4	10	23%	8%	32	-3.7	181/263/263	82	249	5	10	27%	9%	52	-2.2	164/271/256	91	205	6	12	21%	11%	53	-0.9
✕Elio Prado 2024 · A	22	40→37	42→40	46→50	45	199/275/302	103	259	10	9	26%	7%	65	-1.2	190/255/279	89	267	8	14	30%	7%	52	-2.2	168/233/235	68	243	6	17	32%	7%	32	-1.7
✕Jose Rosario 2014 · A	22	41	44→40	51→50	42	207/260/321	114	253	11	12	23%	5%	63	-1.3	235/273/320	85	293	5	9	21%	4%	67	-1.1	246/276/325	79	308	4	9	21%	3%	65	-0.7
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Grae Kessinger 2021 · A	23	43→30	39→45	50	47	208/276/293	85	264	7	12	23%	8%	63	-1.4	192/262/298	106	257	12	15	29%	8%	59	-1.6	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Alexis Wilson 2019 · A	22	40	38→40	48→30	45	194/260/273	78	263	5	4	27%	8%	53	-2.1	219/269/310	91	281	9	5	24%	6%	63	-1.3	222/267/302	80	270	10	1	21%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Jorge Saez 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	49→30	51	194/269/291	97	241	9	8	23%	9%	60	-1.6	191/257/275	84	269	6	4	29%	8%	52	-2.2	206/268/336	130	281	18	3	33%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Riccio Torrez 2012 · A	22	41→34	43→40	46→45	39	205/249/308	103	258	11	7	25%	4%	56	-1.9	193/249/284	91	245	8	5	24%	4%	51	-2.2	184/240/270	86	233	7	4	24%	4%	42	-1.5
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	41→37	44→45	49→50	41	202/273/319	117	276	11	8	30%	6%	69	-0.9	208/282/339	131	278	13	10	29%	6%	77	-0.3	207/286/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Braeden Schlehuber 2010 · A	22	38	38→45	48→40	40	187/239/268	81	234	6	7	22%	4%	44	-2.8	191/239/286	95	232	9	5	21%	4%	48	-2.5	198/242/309	111	241	12	3	23%	3%	51	-0.9
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2024 · A	21	39→29	40→45	48→45	46	187/286/283	96	259	7	6	28%	8%	67	-1.1	184/278/286	102	279	10	4	35%	9%	63	-1.3	163/265/259	96	246	11	3	35%	10%	51	-1.2

Luke Scherrer

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps