Cole Miller
P
Stockton Ports
Age 21
RHP
6'6" / 226 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.31
FIP4.31
K%18.4%
BB%6.7%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 52 | 210 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 80% | 3.5 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 0.7% | 1.90 | 2.81 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 12 | 52 | 210 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 80% | 3.5 | 21.4% | 5.2% | 16.2% | 0.5% | 1.90 | 2.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | 19 | 8 | 58 | 273 | 60 | 24 | 12 | 42% | 3.1 | 16.3% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.60 | 6.18 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | OAK | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 28 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.4% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.4% | 6.7% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.31 | 4.31 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 94 | 424 | 88 | 34 | 16 | — | — | 20.7% | 8.0% | 12.7% | 3.8% | 6.35 | 5.47 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 38 | 158 | 33 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 5.4 | 20.6% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.09 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 3 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.6% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.09 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 18 | 78 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.6% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 3.71 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 54 | 22 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.6% | 6.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 3.71 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 20 | 110 | 483 | 79 | 41 | 17 | 59% | 3.2 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 4.71 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 62 | 36 | 200 | 878 | 144 | 74 | 31 | 59% | 3.2 | 16.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cole Miller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.31 | 18.4% | 6.7% | 2.8% | — | 4.09 | 20.6% | 14.0% | 38 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Florencio Serrano R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.84 | 19.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .264 | 4.88 | 14.1% | 3.4% | 117 | +1.04 | 3.84 | 206 | 87 |
| Geno Encina R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 87 |
| Simon Mathews R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.09 | 17.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .326 | 4.51 | 16.0% | 5.9% | 167 | +0.42 | 4.09 | 215 | 85 |
| Saul Gonzalez R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.69 | 16.1% | 8.4% | 1.6% | .320 | 3.27 | 19.8% | 9.6% | 70 | -0.42 | 2.98 | 110 | 85 |
| Rico Garcia R 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 84 |
| Duque Hebbert R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.17 | 17.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | .324 | 4.55 | 13.4% | 6.1% | 130 | +1.38 | 3.17 | 168 | 84 |
| Yusniel Padron-Artiles R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.33 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .343 | 6.52 | 19.2% | 11.3% | 197 | +2.19 | 3.27 | 243 | 84 |
| Jesus Camargo R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.57 | 16.2% | 6.4% | 1.9% | .290 | 3.99 | 17.3% | 8.5% | 73 | +0.42 | 2.78 | 164 | 83 |
| Dawil Almonte R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.60 | 17.4% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .271 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 3.3% | 97 | +0.84 | 3.60 | 138 | 83 |
| Evan McKendry R 2028 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | .256 | 5.40 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 324 | +1.16 | 4.14 | 474 | 82 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2028 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 82 |
| Kyle Weatherly R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.78 | 14.2% | 7.1% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.39 | 13.3% | 1.6% | 169 | +0.61 | 3.78 | 207 | 82 |
| Tom de Blok R 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 17.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | .285 | 4.67 | 13.0% | 3.1% | 213 | +0.45 | 4.22 | 291 | 82 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2027 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.99 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.14 | 3.85 | 156 | 82 |
| Jonathan Petit R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.74 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 3.4% | .272 | 5.09 | 15.6% | 2.4% | 113 | +0.35 | 2.80 | 189 | 82 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 82 |
| Connor Cooke R 2027 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Jeremy Walker R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.49 | 14.5% | 5.8% | 1.6% | .302 | 3.99 | 14.3% | 7.8% | 355 | +0.50 | 2.54 | 519 | 81 |
| Clay Chandler R 2028 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 18.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .319 | 5.05 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 293 | +0.08 | 4.82 | 328 | 81 |
| Francys Peguero R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.38 | 17.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | .305 | 4.98 | 15.6% | 9.0% | 116 | +1.60 | 2.85 | 293 | 81 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 37 | 19.5% | 6.6% | 1.08 | 4.24 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Trevor Gott ('23) | 4 | 51 | 22.0% | 7.4% | 0.79 | 3.97 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |