Mark Washington — OGILVIE

Mark Washington P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 30 RHP 6'7" / 205 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.43

FIP4.43

K%21.3%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	21	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	9	3	25	109	27	5	1	33%	2.8	16.8%	5.7%	11.1%	1.3%	3.20	3.11	—
2017	21	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	9	3	25	109	27	5	1	33%	2.8	24.8%	4.6%	20.2%	0.9%	3.20	2.07	—
2018	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	40	180	32	17	3	0%	2.2	12.5%	11.5%	1.0%	2.2%	3.15	4.71	—
2018	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	40	180	32	17	3	0%	2.2	17.8%	9.4%	8.3%	1.7%	3.15	3.75	—
2019	23	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	20	0	39	160	43	19	1	0%	2.0	19.9%	14.0%	5.9%	0.8%	2.97	3.63	—
2019	23	A RAW	Great Lakes Loons	20	0	39	160	43	19	1	0%	2.0	26.9%	11.9%	15.0%	0.6%	2.97	2.69	—
2021	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	37	1	63	256	65	25	10	3%	1.7	20.6%	10.7%	9.8%	5.0%	2.00	5.48	—
2021	25	AA RAW	Tulsa Drillers	37	1	63	256	65	25	10	3%	1.7	25.4%	9.8%	15.6%	3.9%	2.00	4.29	—
2022	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	1	57	237	52	25	5	2%	1.4	18.7%	11.3%	7.4%	2.3%	3.79	4.23	—
2022	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	1	57	237	52	25	5	2%	1.4	21.9%	10.5%	11.4%	2.1%	3.79	3.73	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	30	2	46	189	43	16	6	7%	1.5	18.9%	7.6%	11.3%	3.5%	3.69	4.38	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	30	2	46	189	43	16	6	7%	1.5	18.9%	7.6%	11.3%	3.5%	3.69	4.38	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	30	2	46	189	43	16	6	7%	1.5	22.8%	8.5%	14.3%	3.2%	3.69	3.96	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	3	0	3	22	2	6	1	0%	1.1	9.1%	27.3%	-18.2%	4.5%	21.60	8.28	—
2024	28	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	3	0	3	22	2	6	1	0%	1.1	9.1%	27.3%	-18.2%	4.5%	21.60	8.28	—
2024	28	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	3	0	3	22	2	6	1	0%	1.1	9.1%	27.3%	-18.2%	4.5%	21.60	11.20	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	30	MLB	HOU	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	21.3%	8.6%	12.7%	3.0%	4.43	4.43	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	HOU	24	0	25	105	22	9	3	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.0%	12.1%	3.2%	4.54	4.62	-0.0
2027	31	MLB CTX	HOU	9	0	9	38	8	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.0%	12.1%	3.2%	4.54	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	39	8	3	1	0%	1.0	21.1%	9.0%	12.1%	3.2%	4.54	4.24	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	175	66	22	0%	1.1	21.1%	9.0%	12.1%	3.2%	4.54	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		159	7	274	1153	207	124	33	4%	1.7	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.8%	3.31	4.50	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	5	200	841	151	90	24	4%	1.7	18.0%	10.8%	7.2%	2.8%	3.31	4.50	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mark Washington (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.43	21.3%	8.6%	3.0%	—	4.62	21.1%	12.1%	25	+0.19	—	—	—
Fernando Nieve R 2015 · 4.27 FIP	33	SU	4.27	22.0%	10.5%	3.1%	.290	2.43	26.9%	22.6%	89	-1.84	1.96	112	87
David Hernandez R 2015 · 4.40 FIP	30	SU	4.40	22.9%	7.6%	4.1%	.287	3.17	24.9%	18.4%	192	-1.23	2.60	268	83
Ross Ohlendorf R 2015 · 3.30 FIP	32	SU	3.30	23.7%	7.2%	2.3%	.342	4.93	23.4%	12.7%	66	+1.63	3.30	122	81
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	80
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Angel Castro R 2015 · 4.50 FIP	32	SU	4.50	15.9%	8.0%	3.1%	.268	4.28	13.6%	5.5%	231	-0.22	3.51	292	80
Jonathan Broxton R 2015 · 3.67 FIP	31	SU	3.67	24.5%	8.2%	2.9%	.325	3.89	21.7%	13.5%	76	+0.22	3.67	137	80
Ryan Cook R 2018 · 3.96 FIP	31	SU	3.96	25.1%	10.8%	2.9%	.280	—	—	—	—	—	3.96	102	80
Edwin Jackson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	31	SU	3.77	17.5%	8.8%	1.9%	.244	4.71	17.6%	7.8%	377	+0.94	3.77	521	80
Logan Kensing R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	33	SU	3.56	17.6%	8.8%	1.5%	.270	3.06	17.9%	10.0%	124	-0.50	2.73	172	79
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	79
Erik Davis R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	30	SU	4.25	22.2%	11.1%	3.0%	.349	3.52	17.4%	8.5%	65	-0.73	3.05	227	78
Brian Schlitter R 2016 · 3.28 FIP	30	SU	3.28	20.6%	10.8%	1.0%	.333	3.81	14.4%	6.6%	110	+0.53	3.28	244	78
Carlos Fisher R 2015 · 3.45 FIP	32	SU	3.45	22.6%	11.6%	1.4%	.236	3.17	22.5%	11.1%	91	-0.28	2.48	147	78
Jean Machi R 2015 · 4.56 FIP	33	SU	4.56	16.3%	8.6%	3.2%	.276	4.24	18.5%	11.9%	128	-0.32	4.12	186	78
Alexi Ogando R 2015 · 5.11 FIP	31	SU	5.11	19.1%	9.4%	4.4%	.253	3.95	17.2%	8.0%	67	-1.16	3.79	132	78
Marc Magliaro R 2018 · 3.94 FIP	28	SU	3.94	19.6%	7.3%	2.9%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.94	125	78
Kevin Jepsen R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	31	SU	3.47	20.7%	9.1%	1.8%	.241	5.85	16.9%	7.2%	90	+2.38	3.47	160	78
Rob Wooten R 2015 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	19.3%	5.5%	4.9%	.299	3.87	17.7%	14.4%	111	-0.99	3.19	191	78
Tanner Scheppers R 2017 · 4.86 FIP	30	SU	4.86	15.7%	6.7%	4.1%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.37	101	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	21.2%	8.8%	1.21	4.48
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79