Jeremy Walker P Lehigh Valley IronPigs
Age 31 RHP 6'5" / 235 lbs AAA
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%22.1%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP44
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP
K: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.04 (44 IP)+0.0WAR
0.0-0.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201621ROKDanville Braves13540173378238%3.114.5%5.8%8.8%1.6%3.183.49
201621ROKDanville Braves13540173378238%3.121.4%4.6%16.8%1.2%3.182.49
201722ARome Braves2727138601100307100%5.112.3%5.9%6.4%3.0%3.974.45
201722ARome Braves2727138601100307100%5.116.6%5.0%11.6%1.2%3.972.96
201823MIX2 levels26261436141014610100%5.512.5%8.8%3.7%2.3%3.844.40
201823MIX2 levels26261436141014610100%5.516.4%7.5%9.0%1.6%3.843.56
201924MIX3 levels38191367881533%2.420.7%3.6%17.1%1.3%2.782.54+2.8
201924MIX3 levels38191367881533%2.424.0%4.1%19.9%0.8%2.782.09+3.3
202227MIX2 levels46259267561754%1.317.9%7.0%10.9%2.0%6.603.58
202227MIX2 levels46259267561754%1.321.0%6.4%14.6%1.9%6.603.17
202328AAALehigh Valley IronPigs47268280523084%1.516.3%11.2%5.1%3.0%2.904.78
202328AAALehigh Valley IronPigs47268280523084%1.518.6%10.7%7.9%2.9%2.904.42
▸ 2026 Season
202631MLBPHI42044188421860%1.122.1%9.6%12.6%3.0%4.474.47+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732MLBPHI39041174381760%1.121.8%10.0%11.9%3.2%4.594.68-0.1
202732MLBPHI140156314620%1.121.8%10.0%11.9%3.2%4.594.68-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career20024102201020%1.219.6%10.2%9.4%2.0%3.583.85+0.2
/ 200 IP167020083316382160%1.219.6%10.2%9.4%2.0%3.583.85+3.6
Career1976353923023451635332%2.715.0%7.1%7.9%2.3%3.834.00+8.8
/ 200 IP7323200855128602032%2.715.0%7.1%7.9%2.3%3.834.00+3.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jeremy Walker (OGILVIE) 4.47 22.1%9.6%3.0% 4.68 21.8%11.9%41 +0.21
Yoanner Negrin R 2026 · 4.02 FIP 31 SW 4.02 15.1%7.5%2.3%.256 3.39 15.0%8.5%270 -0.63 3.19 485 76
Tim Dillard R 2027 · 3.70 FIP 32 SW 3.70 15.9%7.7%1.8%.330 3.83 16.7%8.1%144 +0.13 3.15 352 76
Chris Leroux R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 31 SU 4.50 15.2%8.6%2.9%.279 3.94 13.5%5.5%140 -0.56 3.94 219 74
Robert Stock R 2026 · 4.10 FIP 31 SW 4.10 23.0%8.5%3.4%.301 7.89 14.7%-1.9%23 +3.79 0.76 348 73
Steve Johnson R 2024 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.3%8.9%3.2%.321 2.17 152 71
Dustin Molleken R 2026 · 4.18 FIP 31 SU 4.18 19.6%12.1%2.2%.276 3.35 24.3%11.9%16 -0.83 3.35 129 71
Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.41 FIP 30 SW 5.41 18.3%10.8%4.5%.334 4.21 265 71
Angel Sánchez R 2028 · 4.98 FIP 33 SW 4.98 19.4%12.2%3.6%.333 3.80 12.1%6.3%27 -1.18 3.80 284 70
Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.23 FIP 31 SU 4.23 21.1%9.7%3.1%.355 4.62 23.2%9.0%51 +0.39 4.23 221 69
Josh Lindblom R 2025 · 4.28 FIP 30 SW 4.28 18.7%5.5%3.8%.333 3.66 27.2%18.8%45 -0.62 3.66 348 69
Cody Satterwhite R 2025 · 4.26 FIP 30 SU 4.26 17.0%7.1%3.1%.310 3.62 147 68
Felipe Arredondo R 2025 · 5.08 FIP 30 SW 5.08 14.8%7.3%4.2%.311 4.91 16.2%9.1%64 -0.17 3.93 337 68
Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.30 FIP 29 SW 4.30 20.2%9.4%3.1%.317 3.55 327 67
Angel Castro R 2027 · 4.89 FIP 32 SU 4.89 15.9%8.0%3.9%.268 4.43 13.6%5.5%231 -0.46 3.48 292 67
Rudy Gonzalez R 2029 · 4.65 FIP 34 SW 4.65 13.5%9.6%2.7%.347 3.78 14.0%6.5%79 -0.87 3.32 119 67
Murphy Smith R 2025 · 4.47 FIP 30 SW 4.47 13.6%9.3%2.5%.273 3.14 300 66
Mike Broadway R 2026 · 4.56 FIP 31 SU 4.56 23.0%10.6%3.7%.282 1.74 195 66
Elian Leyva R 2025 · 4.30 FIP 30 SP- 4.30 17.0%8.5%2.9%.323 3.16 158 66
Josh A. Smith R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 31 SW 4.57 20.8%6.4%4.4%.341 3.72 17.4%8.6%59 -0.85 2.71 598 66
Tanner Scheppers R 2025 · 4.65 FIP 30 SU 4.65 15.7%6.7%3.7%.301 4.39 101 65

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION24322.0%9.8%1.214.53
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Carlos Torres ('17)37120.1%9.0%0.973.77