Cherif NeymourSS FCL Marlins
Age 21 S/R 5'11" / 150 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 75 proj PA
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .260 / .273
PA75
HR1
K%32
BB%7
ISO78
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.70.7+$17M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.9M $2M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Miami 172157 17710 9945 221 108181166347 57266 555 158 -21
202217 ROKDSL Miami 172153 301220 13635 221 196281301581 105330 378 267 62
202318 ROKDSL Marlins 134115 27310 12345 181 235333278612 43329 259 283 75
202318 ROKDSL Marlins 134108 34421 19245 181 315439417856 102393 1814 387 154
202419 ROKFCL Marlins 113106 20220 5431 205 189232245477 57312 384 210 19
202419 ROKFCL Marlins 113102 29430 8291 205 284339382722 98392 267 320 103
202520 ROKFCL Marlins 8375 7100 7421 82 93181107287 13212 518 136 -38
202520 ROKFCL Marlins 8370 10100 12281 82 143277157434 14238 3414 223 29
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBMIA 7569 14211 5241 20 203267304571 101287 327 246 47 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBMIA 34% 159144 29512 12492 41 201272292564 90289 318 260 57 -8 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.1
202823 MLBMIA 48% 283257 54925 21853 81 210278319597 109291 307 270 65 -11 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.1
202924 MLBMIA 53% 371336 731237 281094 102 217285333619 116292 298 277 70 -13 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.3
203025 MLBMIA 55% 424384 841439 321245 122 219287341629 122292 298 281 73 -13 +2 +0 +5 +12 0.5
203126 MLBMIA 56% 456413 9015310 351335 132 218287341628 123292 298 282 74 -13 +2 +0 +5 +13 0.7
203227 MLBMIA 55% 471427 9215310 361385 132 215284335619 119292 298 283 74 -14 +2 +0 +5 +13 0.7
202722 MLBMIA 34% 5550 10201 4171 20 200273300573 100284 317 249 48 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.1
202823 MLBMIA 48% 137124 25412 10412 41 202272298570 97286 307 258 56 -7 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
202924 MLBMIA 53% 196177 37614 15582 51 209278322600 113287 308 264 61 -9 +1 +0 +2 +6 -0.0
203025 MLBMIA 55% 232209 45725 18683 61 215287340627 124287 298 268 63 -10 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.0
203126 MLBMIA 56% 254230 49825 19743 71 213282330612 117287 297 270 65 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
203227 MLBMIA 55% 259234 51826 20763 71 218288346634 128287 298 270 65 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 11331024 21735823 8633414 315 212282329611 117289 298 266 62 -49 +4 +0 +12 +32 -0.0
/ 162G 650587 12520513 491928 183 213282330613 118291 308 266 62 -28 +2 +0 +7 +18 -0.0
Career 27412483 507852044 20287537 13019 204274308582 104294 327 263 59 -127 +18 +0 +29 +78 -0.1
/ 162G 650589 12020510 482079 315 204274306580 102293 327 263 59 -30 +4 +0 +7 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Miami 172153 301220 13635 221 196281301581 105330 378 267 62 -7 +4 +5 0.2
202318 ROKDSL Marlins 134108 34421 19245 181 315439417856 102393 1814 387 154 +8 +3 +4 1.5
202419 ROKFCL Marlins 113102 29430 8291 205 284339382722 98392 267 320 103 +0 +2 +3 0.6
202520 ROKFCL Marlins 8370 10100 12281 82 143277157434 14238 3414 223 29 -7 +1 +2 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#3Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
41,2072433215280331+13+121.11.1
/1626641318+7.1+6.60.6pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cherif Neymour (OGILVIE) 21 195/260/273 78287 12 32% 7% 47 -0.2
Luis Alexander Basabe
2018 · A
21 41→45 41→45 54→50 38 197/249/295 98294 715 34% 6% 46 -2.0 197/262/301 104314 914 37% 8% 54 -1.4 188/260/297109305111439%8%50-0.9
Brainer Bonaci
2022 · A
20 41→42 39→45 53→50 42 196/255/285 89270 513 28% 7% 46 -2.0 211/283/320 109300 1013 30% 9% 69 -0.4 209/285/321112292121430%9%67-0.4
Drew Romo
2023 · A
21 44→45 38→45 54→50 40 212/254/292 80283 517 26% 5% 47 -1.9 212/255/329 117272 129 26% 5% 59 -1.1 200/251/32412426015429%5%52-0.8
Chris Garia
2014 · A
21 40→50 35→40 52→60 40 192/243/253 60262 317 27% 5% 33 -2.9 227/267/329 102307 728 27% 4% 63 -0.9 231/270/34311230883227%4%63-0.5
Christian Cairo
2022 · A
21 39→46 40 53→60 46 187/281/276 89288 716 34% 10% 58 -1.2 194/293/274 80293 618 32% 11% 63 -0.9 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
Ricardo Méndez
2021 · A
21 43 39→45 54→50 39 204/264/292 88314 713 35% 7% 53 -1.5 217/259/315 98324 613 33% 5% 56 -1.3 213/255/3079431351432%5%48-1.1
Allan Castro
2023 · A
20 38→43 40→45 54→55 39 184/247/283 100276 69 34% 6% 43 -2.2 200/271/309 109281 913 30% 8% 60 -1.0 198/272/30510827391429%9%57-1.0
Alan Schoenberger
2010 · A
21 39 37→45 49→45 41 186/247/260 75289 38 35% 7% 37 -2.7 200/248/293 93296 76 33% 6% 46 -2.0 188/236/280922757533%5%34-1.4
Robert Moore
2023 · A
21 42→40 41→45 50 42 203/268/305 102288 913 31% 7% 58 -1.2 192/255/288 96258 815 27% 6% 48 -1.9 192/256/302110236111524%6%50-0.9
Hoy Park
2017 · A
21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
Pedro Florimón
2008 · A
21 40→50 37→45 47→55 39 193/244/262 69285 512 33% 6% 36 -2.7 200/249/285 85309 514 35% 6% 44 -2.1 219/275/335116325101134%6%66-0.3
Riley Unroe
2017 · A
21 39→48 36→50 46→55 42 189/249/245 56269 412 30% 7% 33 -2.9 195/262/273 78283 612 31% 8% 46 -2.0 227/311/367139295152627%10%89+0.5
C.J. Beatty
2010 · A
21 40 42→45 52→40 41 198/253/297 98278 99 31% 7% 49 -1.8 209/271/322 113297 95 31% 8% 63 -0.8 201/268/32812728110230%8%60-0.6
Luke Williams
2018 · A
21 39→46 35→45 55→60 41 188/231/243 55251 318 26% 5% 25 -3.5 199/255/286 87268 718 27% 6% 47 -1.9 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
Angelo Mora
2014 · A
21 41→50 37→45 48→45 40 199/240/271 72263 513 26% 5% 36 -2.7 224/266/310 86302 46 26% 5% 57 -1.2 245/279/344993215424%4%68-0.3
Peyton Wilson
2022 · A
22 43→49 41→45 53→55 41 204/279/311 107305 714 33% 7% 65 -0.7 217/281/341 124293 1218 29% 7% 73 -0.1 210/277/337127275131928%7%67-0.5
Dalton Pompey
2013 · A
20 40→50 40→45 55 44 196/264/288 92278 816 31% 8% 52 -1.6 236/297/340 104317 624 26% 7% 79 +0.3 259/316/35910033172922%7%87+0.7
Manuel Geraldo
2018 · A
21 38→48 39→40 52→50 32 188/224/268 80281 814 35% 3% 29 -3.2 217/250/299 82329 714 35% 4% 47 -1.9 220/252/2977733261434%4%44-1.9
Tyler Goeddel
2014 · A
21 42→50 40→45 59→55 39 204/254/302 98293 620 31% 6% 50 -1.7 223/280/337 114302 918 28% 6% 71 -0.3 225/287/343117297101826%7%72-0.1
Frainyer Chavez
2019 · A
20 46→47 38→40 54→50 42 216/270/292 76297 521 28% 6% 54 -1.4 200/264/255 55278 213 27% 8% 43 -2.2 228/293/32698302111726%8%71-0.2