John Cruz

RF FCL Marlins
Age 21 L/L 6'2" / 171 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418AMIA314.168/.262/.212187—.135/.210/.170
202519A/ROKMIA188.184/.310/.25921515—.136/.219/.195
202620ROKMIA166.281/.394/.4605361—.196/.279/.324
2027PROJMLE21MLBMIA276.192/.264/.2924558-0.3
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBMIA52.191/.264/.2941164-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO78
wRC+73
K%67
wOBA62
Whiff%62
Z-Con%57
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsLoidel Chapelli (age 21) · Juan Perez (age 21) · Jake Fox (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 97 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .262 / .289
PA97
HR2
K%23
BB%8
ISO100
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -4.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.0 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.3-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT49
scouting grade only
POWER43
scouting grade only
EYE56
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202216 ROKDSL NYY Bombers — 224169 38835 48626 105 225413396809 172320 2821 372 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROKFCL Yankees — 202177 526310 22442 94 294378531909 237339 2211 396 57 — — — — — —
202418 AJupiter Hammerheads — 314273 46901 31884 84 168262212475 44238 2810 225 7 — — — — — —
202519 AJupiter Hammerheads — 5449 6101 3111 11 122189204393 82132 206 182 -16 — — — — — —
202519 ROKFCL Marlins — 134109 23501 24211 141 211358284643 73253 1618 309 27 — — — — — —
202620 ROKFCL Marlins — 166139 391005 23303 34 281394460854 180324 1814 381 61 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202216 ROK MLEDSL NYY Bombers — 224182 22422 35776 105 121283198480 77189 3416 228 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 202185 36425 14672 94 195259319578 124265 337 253 57 — — — — — —
202418 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 314282 38701 231164 84 135210170381 35211 377 178 7 — — — — — —
202519 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 5450 6101 2151 11 120170200370 80119 284 145 -16 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 134119 17301 14311 141 143239193432 50190 2310 208 27 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 166148 29704 14433 34 196279324603 128237 268 259 61 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL NYY Bombers — 224182 22422 35776 105 121283198480 77192 3416 228 40 — — — — — —
202216 ROK RAWDSL NYY Bombers — 224169 38835 48626 105 225413396809 172320 2821 372 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 202185 36425 14672 94 195259319578 124272 337 253 57 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWFCL Yankees — 202177 526310 22442 94 294378531909 237339 2211 396 57 — — — — — —
202418 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 314282 38701 231164 84 135210170381 35218 377 178 7 — — — — — —
202418 A RAWJupiter Hammerheads — 314273 46901 31884 84 168262212475 44238 2810 225 7 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 188169 23402 16452 152 136219195415 59171 249 190 15 — — — — — —
202519 ROK RAW2 teams — 188158 29602 27322 152 184310259570 76216 1714 272 15 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 166148 29704 14433 34 196279324603 128245 268 259 61 — — — — — —
202620 ROK RAWFCL Marlins — 166139 391005 23303 34 281394460854 180324 1814 381 61 — — — — — —
202216 ROK MLEDSL NYY Bombers — 224181 22422 35776 105 122283199481 77189 3416 228 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEFCL Yankees — 202184 36425 14672 94 196259321579 125265 337 253 57 — — — — — —
202418 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 314284 38701 231164 84 134210169379 35211 377 178 7 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 188168 23402 16452 152 137219196416 60170 249 190 15 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 166148 29704 14433 34 196279324603 128237 268 259 61 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 A MLEJupiter Hammerheads — 314284 38701 231164 84 134210169379 35211 377 178 7 — — — — — —
202519 ROK MLE2 teams — 188168 23402 16452 152 137219196416 60170 249 190 15 — — — — — —
202620 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 166148 29704 14433 34 196279324603 128237 268 259 61 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLEMIA 0% 276250 481014 21643 52 192264292556 100237 238 254 58 -14 +0 +0 -3 +6 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLEMIA 34% 150135 27513 12342 31 197270308578 110241 238 263 64 -6 +0 +0 -2 +3 -0.5
202822 MLB CTXMIA 34% 5247 9201 4121 10 191264294559 103233 238 255 64 -2 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 5247 9201 4121 10 191269298567 106235 238 255 38 -2 +0 +0 -1 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650588 11225012 5015012 120 190268294562 104235 238 255 38 -28 +2 +0 -7 +14 -1.9
Career— MLE — 13411189 19134519 12240520 5021 161250246496 85222 309 224 38 -11 +0 +0 -3 +5 -0.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650576 911629 5919610 2410 158248240488 82218 309 224 38 -30 +1 +0 -7 +14 -2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 166 PAwOBA .373 → .259 (−114)K% 18.1% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.07%÷1.000×1.440——26.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.86%÷1.000×0.620—×0.9858.46%
HBP% /PA1.81%—×0.720—×0.9851.28%
Singles /BIP22.02%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×0.98516.90%
Doubles /BIP9.17%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9856.18%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×0.950×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP4.59%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9853.52%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .373 → .259; ISO .180 → .129; BABIP .324 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Marlins · 134 PAwOBA .302 → .208 (−94)K% 15.7% → 22.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.67%÷0.985×1.440——22.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.91%÷1.030×0.620—×0.99510.73%
HBP% /PA0.75%—×0.720—×0.9950.53%
Singles /BIP19.32%÷0.992×0.820×0.950×0.99515.10%
Doubles /BIP5.68%÷1.048×0.720×0.950×0.9953.69%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.146×0.720×0.950×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP1.14%÷0.910×0.780—×0.9950.97%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 129, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .302 → .208; ISO .073 → .053; BABIP .253 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AJupiter Hammerheads · 54 PAwOBA .180 → .145 (−35)K% 20.4% → 27.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.37%÷1.014×1.360——27.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.56%÷1.018×0.690—×1.0303.88%
HBP% /PA1.85%—×0.780—×1.0301.49%
Singles /BIP10.53%÷1.019×0.920×0.986×1.0309.65%
Doubles /BIP2.63%÷0.947×0.830×0.986×1.0302.34%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.910×0.986×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷1.035×0.800—×1.0302.10%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 104, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.

Result: wOBA .180 → .145; ISO .082 → .064; BABIP .132 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AJupiter Hammerheads · 314 PAwOBA .224 → .178 (−46)K% 28.0% → 37.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.03%÷1.029×1.360——37.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.87%÷0.993×0.690—×1.0457.17%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.780—×1.0451.04%
Singles /BIP19.46%÷1.065×0.920×0.999×1.04517.54%
Doubles /BIP4.86%÷1.032×0.830×0.999×1.0454.08%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.960×0.910×0.999×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.54%÷0.888×0.800—×1.0450.51%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 113, 2B 106, 3B 92, K 106, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .224 → .178; ISO .044 → .035; BABIP .238 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Yankees · 202 PAwOBA .387 → .253 (−134)K% 21.8% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.78%÷0.951×1.440——32.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.89%÷0.995×0.620—×1.0226.94%
HBP% /PA0.99%—×0.720—×1.0220.73%
Singles /BIP24.81%÷0.994×0.820×0.990×1.02220.73%
Doubles /BIP4.51%÷1.106×0.720×0.990×1.0222.97%
Triples /BIP2.26%÷0.900×0.720×0.990×1.0221.83%
Home runs /BIP7.52%÷1.383×0.780—×1.0224.34%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 177, 1B 99, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.

Result: wOBA .387 → .253; ISO .237 → .133; BABIP .339 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 224 PAwOBA .365 → .228 (−137)K% 27.7% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.68%÷0.987×1.220——34.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.43%÷0.977×0.700—×1.02215.70%
HBP% /PA2.68%—×0.700—×1.0221.92%
Singles /BIP20.56%÷1.023×0.680×0.950×1.02213.28%
Doubles /BIP7.48%÷1.057×0.600×0.950×1.0224.12%
Triples /BIP2.80%÷1.150×0.600×0.950×1.0221.42%
Home runs /BIP4.67%÷1.608×0.470—×1.0221.40%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 222, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .365 → .228; ISO .172 → .071; BABIP .320 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).