Moises Palma P FCL Rays
Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 195 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION15 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.36
FIP4.36
K%22.4%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
K: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-0KBB: -1.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +1.2 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.18 (29 IP)-0.2WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202217ROKDSL Tampa Bay110198516960%1.812.8%13.2%-0.4%6.4%5.597.20
202217ROKDSL Tampa Bay110198516960%1.818.8%10.6%8.2%7.1%5.596.88
202318ROKDSL Tampa Bay17031124261430%1.814.3%14.1%0.1%2.7%4.405.18
202318ROKDSL Tampa Bay17031124261430%1.821.0%11.3%9.7%2.4%4.404.05
202419ROKDSL Rays17027121241200%1.613.5%12.4%1.1%0.0%3.713.53
202419ROKDSL Rays17027121241200%1.619.8%9.9%9.9%0.0%3.712.65
202520MIX2 levels22028124211210%1.313.1%9.6%3.5%0.0%4.453.21
202520MIX2 levels22028124211210%1.316.9%9.7%7.3%0.8%4.453.35
▸ 2026 Season
202621ROKFCL Rays1411567131117%1.113.2%20.5%-7.3%2.1%4.115.73-0.2
ROS21MLBTB130145713520%1.022.4%9.4%13.0%2.9%4.364.36+0.0
ROS21MLBTB022.4%9.4%13.0%2.9%4.364.36
2026 TOT21MLBTB291242616320.8%13.2%7.6%2.1%4.235.09-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722MLBTB190208420720%1.123.4%8.8%14.6%2.8%4.254.18+0.1
202722MLBTB100104210410%1.023.4%8.8%14.6%2.8%4.254.18+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career90104210410%1.123.4%8.8%14.6%2.8%4.253.80+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084420381200%1.123.4%8.8%14.6%2.8%4.253.80+3.8
Career8111205217069101%1.513.4%13.3%0.1%2.0%4.414.73+0.9
/ 200 IP1352200866116115171%1.513.4%13.3%0.1%2.0%4.414.73+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Moises Palma (OGILVIE) 4.36 22.4%9.4%2.9% 4.18 23.4%14.6%20 -0.18
Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 89
Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP 21 SU 3.86 20.7%9.5%2.4%.352 3.94 23.6%12.5%119 +0.08 3.28 146 89
Collin Kober R 2027 · 3.39 FIP 22 SU 3.39 21.3%7.5%2.1%.268 3.04 24.0%17.9%128 -0.35 2.40 294 89
Kenny Oakley R 2027 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.65 17.3%7.8%115 +0.15 3.00 144 88
Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP 22 SU 4.04 21.9%9.0%3.0%.278 5.78 14.7%7.1%62 +1.74 4.04 104 88
Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP 22 SU 3.90 22.2%7.9%3.1%.324 3.02 25.6%17.5%121 -0.88 2.96 194 88
Heath Holder R 2028 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 87
Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP 21 SU 3.87 25.4%10.8%2.8%.333 3.98 22.8%8.1%173 +0.11 3.00 318 87
Devon Roedahl R 2027 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.305 4.92 16.5%9.2%100 +0.98 3.94 122 87
Peyton Williams R 2028 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 22.3%10.3%1.8%.311 5.00 22.2%10.2%100 +1.47 3.53 123 87
Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.23 29.5%23.5%37 -1.53 2.88 211 86
Jeff Bain R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 21 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.339 4.13 19.1%10.7%274 +0.19 3.37 475 86
Mason Fox R 2026 · 3.59 FIP 21 SU 3.59 21.9%11.5%1.6%.260 7.31 21.3%4.8%30 +3.72 3.59 112 86
Reilly Hovis R 2028 · 4.03 FIP 23 SU 4.03 21.1%7.7%3.2%.250 4.41 19.8%6.4%50 +0.38 4.03 130 86
Caleb Freeman R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 21 SU 3.98 24.6%12.9%2.4%.267 5.17 21.7%8.1%58 +1.19 3.98 222 86
Sean Boyle R 2026 · 4.70 FIP 21 SU 4.70 21.3%7.8%4.4%.342 2.85 22.6%15.3%86 -1.85 2.85 496 85
Nick Lockhart R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 21 SU 4.65 22.0%9.9%3.9%.275 4.67 16.1%5.5%43 +0.02 4.65 140 85
Tyler Bray R 2028 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 85
Austin Smith R 2028 · 4.00 FIP 23 SU 4.00 22.7%10.0%2.8%.274 5.05 16.3%0.7%52 +1.05 4.00 134 85
Jacob Bodner R 2027 · 3.40 FIP 22 SU 3.40 19.8%9.7%1.4%.281 3.50 22.1%12.4%98 +0.10 3.16 124 85