Narciso Polanco

2B Bowling Green Hot Rods

Age 22 L/R 5'10" / 161 lbs A+ HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ATB	524	.228/.350/.320	4	35	59	—	.200/.294/.276
2026	21	A+TB	505	.253/.341/.385	9	25	58	—	.206/.265/.310
2026	21	INTLScottsdale Sc…	19	.059/.158/.059	0	2	-32	—
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBTB	2	.203/.274/.294	0	0	61	-0.0
2028PROJ35% MLB	23	MLBTB	193	.209/.281/.313	3	6	68	-0.2
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBTB	276	.213/.286/.326	5	9	73	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%76

Speed72

K%64

Whiff%62

Chase%57

BB%44

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 85%

CompsKier Meredith (age 22) · Jason Denham (age 22) · Cam Coursey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .274 / .294

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%8

BABIP267

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	218	175	44	8	4	2	36	52	4	11	5	251	391	377	768	126	339	24	17	349	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	180	157	33	2	3	1	19	35	2	3	3	210	303	280	584	70	260	19	11	270	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	354	80	20	2	5	50	95	3	26	7	226	324	336	661	110	292	23	12	300	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	435	99	16	6	4	73	82	9	35	15	228	350	320	670	92	268	16	14	309	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	505	439	111	23	4	9	55	108	4	25	10	253	341	385	726	132	314	21	11	325	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	19	17	1	0	0	0	2	4	0	2	0	59	158	59	217		77	21	11	121	-32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	218	188	30	4	3	1	23	65	4	11	5	160	265	229	494	69	228	30	11	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	180	163	26	1	2	1	13	50	2	3	3	160	230	209	439	49	219	28	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	373	67	16	2	5	34	131	3	26	7	180	254	273	527	94	250	32	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	456	91	16	5	3	52	111	9	35	15	200	294	276	570	77	245	21	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	505	462	95	18	3	8	33	141	4	25	10	206	265	310	574	104	273	28	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	218	188	30	4	3	1	23	65	4	11	5	160	265	229	494	69	232	30	11	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	218	175	44	8	4	2	36	52	4	11	5	251	391	377	768	126	339	24	17	349	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	180	163	26	1	2	1	13	50	2	3	3	160	230	209	439	49	219	28	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	180	157	33	2	3	1	19	35	2	3	3	210	303	280	584	70	260	19	11	270	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	373	67	16	2	5	34	131	3	26	7	180	254	273	527	94	258	32	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	354	80	20	2	5	50	95	3	26	7	226	324	336	661	110	292	23	12	300	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	456	91	16	5	3	52	111	9	35	15	200	294	276	570	77	253	21	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	435	99	16	6	4	73	82	9	35	15	228	350	320	670	92	268	16	14	309	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	524	479	100	19	4	8	35	147	4	27	10	209	268	315	584	106	281	28	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	524	456	112	23	4	9	57	112	4	27	10	246	334	373	707	127	305	21	11	317	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	218	189	30	4	3	1	23	65	4	11	5	159	265	228	493	69	228	30	11	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	180	163	26	1	2	1	13	50	2	3	3	160	230	209	439	49	219	28	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	375	67	16	2	5	34	131	3	26	7	179	254	272	526	93	250	32	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	458	91	16	5	3	52	111	9	35	15	199	294	275	569	76	245	21	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	524	480	100	19	4	8	35	147	4	27	10	208	268	315	583	106	273	28	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	415	375	67	16	2	5	34	131	3	26	7	179	254	272	526	93	250	32	8	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	524	458	91	16	5	3	52	111	9	35	15	199	294	275	569	76	245	21	10	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	524	480	100	19	4	8	35	147	4	27	10	208	268	315	583	106	273	28	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	TB	0%	615	555	112	22	4	7	49	158	6	19	7	201	272	293	565	92	264	26	8	258	61	-29	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	TB	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	203	274	294	568	91	267	50	0	259	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	TB	35%	559	504	105	20	4	9	45	140	5	18	7	207	279	312	592	105	266	25	8	269	68	-21	+1	+0	+2	+12	-0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	TB	46%	597	538	115	22	4	11	49	147	5	19	7	212	284	325	610	114	268	25	8	276	73	-19	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.3
2030	25	MLB MLE	TB	52%	615	553	119	23	4	12	51	151	6	19	7	214	287	333	620	119	270	25	8	280	76	-18	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	TB	54%	627	563	121	23	4	12	53	153	6	19	7	216	289	337	626	121	271	24	8	282	77	-17	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	TB	54%	629	565	122	23	4	13	53	154	6	18	7	216	290	338	627	122	271	24	8	283	78	-17	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	TB	54%	626	563	121	23	4	12	53	154	5	15	6	214	288	333	621	119	270	25	8	280	76	-18	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	TB	58%	617	555	117	22	4	11	52	154	5	12	6	212	285	327	611	115	269	25	8	277	73	-20	+0	-1	+2	+13	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	TB	35%	193	173	36	7	1	3	16	48	2	6	2	209	281	313	594	104	269	25	8	270	68	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	TB	46%	276	249	54	10	2	5	23	68	2	9	3	213	286	326	612	112	272	25	8	277	73	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	TB	52%	318	285	61	11	2	6	27	78	3	10	4	216	289	333	622	117	273	25	8	281	76	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	TB	54%	340	305	66	12	2	7	29	83	3	10	4	217	291	337	627	119	274	24	9	283	77	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	TB	54%	341	306	67	12	2	7	29	83	3	10	4	218	291	338	629	120	274	24	9	284	78	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	TB	54%	340	305	65	12	2	6	29	84	3	8	3	216	289	333	622	117	273	25	9	281	76	-10	+0	-0	+1	+7	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	TB	58%	356	320	68	13	2	6	30	89	3	7	3	213	286	327	613	113	272	25	8	277	73	-11	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2164	1943	417	77	13	40	183	533	19	60	23	215	289	329	618	115	273	25	8	280	67	-65	+3	-1	+8	+47	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	125	23	4	12	55	160	6	18	7	214	289	329	618	115	272	25	8	280	67	-19	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6451	5788	1192	223	46	102	539	1639	63	232	91	206	281	313	594	107	267	25	8	267	67	-145	+6	-2	+16	+99	-2.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	120	22	5	10	54	165	6	23	9	206	280	312	592	106	267	25	8	267	67	-20	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dylan Moorelast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,922 PA	2.9	1,922	63	118	206	310	383	+4	+8	6.6	6.6
/162	664	22	41	+1.3	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 7
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Bill Cissell'28-'38 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,998 PA	6.0	3,998	29	113	240*	284*	363*	+27	+22	2.2	3.8
/162	664	5	19	+4.5	+3.7	0.4	pk7: 5
#4Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#5Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Enzo Hernandez'71-'78 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,612 PA	3.9	2,612	2	129	222*	281*	294*	+28	+4	1.6	1.9
/162	664	1	33	+7.0	+1.0	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.3	2,166	41	60	214	284	332	+8	+4	0.6	0.7
/162	664	12	18	+2.4	+1.2	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Narciso Polanco (OGILVIE)	22	40	25	55	55	199/270/290	91	264	4	10	26%	8%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/266/263	67	278	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/305/278	70	291	4	26	27%	9%	72	-0.7	223/339/272	49	296	2	35	22%	11%	80	-0.0
✕Jason Denham 2008 · A	22	44→45	38→40	51→55	44	213/272/286	73	292	6	16	28%	7%	59	-1.6	226/286/321	95	290	10	18	24%	8%	73	-0.6	230/295/320	90	275	11	27	20%	8%	75	-0.2
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	44	38→40	52→55	48	208/273/289	81	264	5	16	22%	8%	60	-1.6	214/296/293	79	279	4	10	23%	10%	70	-0.8	207/308/266	60	270	2	4	21%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→45	54→60	41	208/264/286	78	288	6	21	29%	6%	56	-1.9	201/273/302	101	275	9	28	28%	8%	63	-1.3	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Livan Soto 2022 · AA	22	37→47	40	50	42	186/244/277	91	256	7	11	30%	7%	47	-2.6	234/302/324	90	314	7	9	25%	8%	80	-0.2	246/319/331	85	322	6	8	24%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Trent Farquhar 2024 · A	23	46	38→30	53→55	49	217/292/300	83	277	4	12	22%	8%	71	-0.8	213/307/285	72	283	3	21	23%	10%	74	-0.6	195/296/260	65	261	2	23	23%	10%	62	-0.7
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2015 · A	22	43	38→40	50→45	42	206/259/288	82	279	5	13	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/267/313	83	329	4	10	30%	4%	63	-1.4	261/289/353	92	366	4	5	29%	3%	77	-0.1
✕Geraldo Quintero 2024 · A	22	45→47	38→40	54→60	46	214/277/299	85	280	5	21	24%	7%	64	-1.3	210/281/306	96	275	8	28	25%	8%	68	-1.0	199/277/299	100	256	9	37	25%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Isaiah Greene 2024 · A	22	41→42	38→40	56→55	50	187/286/268	81	306	5	19	36%	12%	62	-1.4	198/272/294	96	312	7	14	35%	9%	62	-1.4	155/236/258	102	239	4	15	34%	10%	37	-0.6
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	44→52	39→45	58→55	46	208/280/301	93	279	6	17	26%	8%	66	-1.1	228/306/313	85	303	5	16	24%	9%	78	-0.3	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	202/278/275	73	283	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	209/294/310	101	262	9	15	22%	8%	75	-0.5	204/297/299	95	251	9	15	21%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Spencer Nivens 2024 · A	22	41→49	41→45	48→50	52	199/280/294	96	255	8	14	24%	10%	65	-1.2	208/277/334	126	276	13	11	28%	9%	73	-0.6	211/281/333	122	272	12	12	26%	9%	73	-0.5
✕Miguel Arrendell 2011 · A	23	42	38→30	50	50	199/280/273	74	267	5	13	26%	10%	60	-1.6	220/276/314	94	278	8	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	232/284/329	96	269	9	2	17%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Branden Cogswell 2015 · A	22	44→46	36→30	50→45	47	207/275/273	66	270	4	8	24%	8%	58	-1.7	217/279/277	60	300	3	6	26%	8%	59	-1.6	221/282/269	48	303	1	5	25%	8%	56	-1.3
✕Bobby Boyd 2015 · A	22	44→53	38→45	54→60	43	210/261/286	76	281	5	15	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/275/315	85	317	5	23	27%	6%	66	-1.1	238/284/324	86	324	4	28	27%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Raynel Delgado 2023 · AA	23	42→52	40	49→60	44	204/275/294	90	285	7	15	29%	7%	63	-1.4	234/300/330	96	324	8	23	28%	8%	80	-0.1	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Clark Elliott 2024 · A	23	42→40	36→45	51→50	49	196/281/257	61	262	4	12	25%	9%	57	-1.8	207/307/309	102	286	9	13	28%	10%	80	-0.2	198/314/306	108	278	10	16	29%	12%	80	-0.1
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	43	38→40	52→55	50	203/279/280	77	258	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	191/249/259	68	294	4	11	34%	5%	45	-2.7	132/178/179	47	218	4	5	40%	2%	-1	-1.1
✕Nelson Ward 2015 · A	22	46→48	40	52→50	42	221/263/325	104	283	6	14	24%	5%	64	-1.3	216/277/314	98	311	7	15	30%	7%	68	-1.0	211/275/298	87	306	6	16	31%	7%	60	-1.2

Narciso Polanco

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps