Larry Martinez — OGILVIE

Larry Martinez3B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION99 act + 221 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .256 / .290

PA221

HR1

K%25

BB%3

BABIP297

ISO67

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE20

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	85	77	15	2	0	0	6	17	2	1	1	195	271	221	491	26	250	20	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	85	74	18	3	0	0	9	11	2	1	1	243	341	284	625	41	286	13	11	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	49	47	13	3	0	0	1	7	0	2	1	277	292	340	632	64	317	14	2	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	49	46	17	4	0	0	2	5	0	2	1	370	396	457	852	87	405	10	4	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	176	155	36	6	1	0	10	15	10	3	1	232	320	284	604	52	255	9	6	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	176	149	44	7	2	0	16	10	10	3	1	295	400	369	769	74	314	6	9	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	332	314	68	11	0	0	10	69	7	4	0	217	257	252	508	35	276	21	3	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	332	307	76	10	0	0	16	49	7	4	0	248	299	280	579	33	293	15	5	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TB	—	99	97	26	4	0	2	1	28	1	1	0	268	283	371	654	103	358	28	1	275	69	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
YTD	20	A	TB	—	99	96	31	5	0	2	2	20	1	1	0	323	343	438	781	115	392	20	2	348	124	+3	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.6
ROS	20	A	TB	0%	221	210	47	9	1	1	6	55	3	3	1	224	256	290	546	67	292	25	3	246	46	-13	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
ROS	20	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	237	39	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TB	—	99	98	26	4	0	2	1	28	1	1	0	265	283	367	650	102	353	28	1	275	69	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
TOT	20	A	TB	—	320	307	73	13	1	3	7	83	4	4	1	238	264	316	580	78	315	26	2	255	53	-17	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	387	364	83	16	1	4	14	94	6	5	1	228	268	310	579	82	293	24	4	260	57	-19	+1	+0	+1	+11	-0.6
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	468	439	103	19	2	7	19	111	7	6	1	235	277	335	612	100	294	24	4	272	67	-18	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.2
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	520	485	115	21	2	9	22	121	8	7	1	237	282	344	626	107	295	23	4	280	72	-16	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.1
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	554	516	123	23	2	10	25	128	8	7	2	238	284	349	633	110	296	23	5	284	76	-15	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.3
2031	25	MLB	TB	60%	573	534	128	24	2	11	26	132	8	8	2	240	285	354	639	114	296	23	5	286	77	-15	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.4
2032	26	MLB	TB	58%	583	542	131	24	2	12	27	134	9	8	2	242	289	360	649	118	296	23	5	287	78	-15	+1	+0	+2	+17	0.5
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	133	125	29	5	1	1	5	32	2	2	0	232	273	312	585	80	297	24	4	251	50	-7	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	227	213	50	9	1	3	9	54	3	3	1	235	276	329	604	94	298	24	4	263	59	-10	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	282	264	63	11	1	5	12	66	4	4	1	239	282	345	627	106	299	23	4	271	65	-11	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	307	286	69	12	1	6	14	71	4	4	1	241	286	353	639	112	300	23	5	275	69	-11	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.1
2031	25	MLB	TB	60%	342	318	76	14	1	6	16	79	5	5	1	239	286	346	632	107	300	23	5	277	70	-12	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.0
2032	26	MLB	TB	58%	338	314	77	14	1	7	16	78	5	4	1	245	293	363	656	118	299	23	5	278	71	-11	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1629	1521	364	65	6	28	72	380	23	22	5	239	284	345	629	106	299	23	4	272	66	-63	+2	+0	+6	+46	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	145	26	2	11	29	152	9	9	2	239	284	343	627	104	299	23	4	272	66	-25	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3948	3683	862	158	13	54	166	883	68	54	13	234	280	328	608	94	292	22	4	272	66	-150	+6	+0	+14	+112	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	606	142	26	2	9	27	145	11	9	2	234	279	328	607	94	292	22	4	272	66	-25	+1	+0	+2	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	85	74	18	3	0	9	11	2	1	1	243	341	284	625	41	286	13	11	296	85	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	49	46	17	4	0	2	5	0	2	1	370	396	457	852	87	405	10	4	373	144	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	176	149	44	7	2	16	10	10	3	1	295	400	369	769	74	314	6	9	355	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	332	307	76	10	0	16	49	7	4	0	248	299	280	579	33	293	15	5	268	63	-14	+1	—	—	+9	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#2Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,949	29	26	234	275	335	+7	+2	-0.7	0.1
	/162	664	10	9	234	275	335	+2.4	+0.7	-0.2	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Larry Martinez (OGILVIE)	20	45	20	40	20	238/264/316	78	315	3	4	26%	2%	53	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Alastre 2017 · A	20	48	35→30	44→50	42	225/281/286	61	280	2	9	20%	4%	58	-1.2	226/272/304	78	311	4	8	27%	4%	59	-1.1	249/282/342	92	348	4	9	28%	2%	67	-0.1
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2016 · A	20	47	33→30	44→50	46	218/273/262	43	264	1	6	17%	6%	48	-1.9	214/271/269	55	255	2	8	16%	6%	49	-1.8	211/269/239	28	236	0	8	10%	6%	37	-0.7
✕Luis Joseph 2017 · A	20	46	35→30	46→50	41	218/252/276	59	268	2	10	20%	4%	41	-2.3	203/236/260	57	254	3	9	20%	4%	31	-3.0	191/214/230	39	235	1	10	19%	2%	9	-1.2
✕Joshual Ramirez 2016 · A	20	44	36→30	44→50	41	209/258/275	66	277	4	9	25%	5%	45	-2.1	196/245/277	81	273	4	8	28%	5%	40	-2.4	154/194/243	89	210	3	6	27%	4%	7	-1.1
✕Simon Vasquez 2008 · A	20	45	34→40	41→50	43	212/268/264	52	276	1	3	23%	6%	46	-2.0	222/288/295	73	279	3	6	20%	7%	63	-0.8	231/301/308	77	281	3	6	17%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Yonderman Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	46	32→30	41→50	44	212/268/246	33	277	1	7	23%	6%	42	-2.3	239/295/291	52	304	2	12	20%	7%	65	-0.7	245/305/293	47	315	2	13	21%	7%	67	-0.2
✕Ramon Coronel 2012 · A	20	51	34→30	47→45	43	237/280/294	57	293	1	7	19%	4%	59	-1.1	227/267/297	70	281	3	9	20%	5%	54	-1.4	224/247/282	58	259	3	15	14%	2%	39	-0.6
✕Carlos Tocci 2016 · A	20	48→55	36→40	43→45	39	228/269/295	67	294	3	8	23%	4%	54	-1.4	246/286/320	74	312	3	8	21%	4%	68	-0.5	251/291/321	70	316	2	6	20%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Dixon Mavares 2006 · A	20	46	35→30	48→50	43	215/277/280	64	278	2	10	22%	6%	55	-1.4	217/290/280	63	266	2	11	18%	7%	61	-1.0	219/298/276	58	261	2	12	15%	7%	61	-0.3
✕Jordan Galvez 2012 · A	20	50	34→30	42→50	45	234/281/291	57	280	1	11	17%	5%	58	-1.2	207/257/271	64	268	2	10	22%	5%	43	-2.2	156/198/196	39	208	0	11	24%	4%	-3	-1.3
✕Braian Fernández 2019 · A	20	48	35→30	45	42	226/275/287	61	295	2	8	23%	5%	55	-1.4	205/256/271	66	303	3	8	31%	6%	43	-2.2	171/223/223	51	283	2	6	38%	6%	13	-1.0
✕Yonathan Daza 2014 · A	20	44→54	35→40	45→50	42	207/251/268	61	243	3	8	16%	4%	40	-2.4	245/277/317	72	297	4	10	18%	3%	63	-0.8	255/302/330	75	305	4	6	17%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Franklin Garcia 2018 · A	20	44	34→30	44→50	39	205/244/255	51	261	1	8	22%	4%	33	-2.9	199/241/273	74	282	4	7	29%	4%	37	-2.7	152/174/236	84	231	4	5	35%	1%	-6	-0.9
✕Anneury Peguero 2007 · A	20	43	35→30	44→50	48	201/266/259	58	253	2	7	20%	7%	45	-2.1	211/289/268	57	271	3	12	21%	9%	57	-1.2	205/293/243	38	260	2	16	20%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Manuel Falcon 2009 · A	19	47	33→30	46→50	44	220/269/265	45	275	1	10	20%	5%	46	-2.0	229/291/284	55	293	2	9	21%	7%	62	-0.9	243/316/276	33	309	0	10	19%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Edinson Valdez 2018 · A	19	45	35→30	42→45	39	213/251/273	60	281	2	6	25%	4%	40	-2.4	211/251/282	71	282	4	6	25%	4%	43	-2.2	208/230/264	55	258	4	2	21%	2%	24	-0.7
✕Yan Olmo 2011 · A	20	40	35→30	47→55	37	189/241/246	57	258	3	9	27%	4%	30	-3.1	212/272/282	70	280	5	13	25%	5%	54	-1.4	218/288/274	56	269	6	23	20%	5%	54	-0.5
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2009 · A	20	47	35→30	46→45	47	220/282/271	51	272	3	8	19%	6%	54	-1.4	232/292/294	62	282	3	6	18%	6%	65	-0.7	247/308/299	52	292	2	6	15%	5%	72	-0.1
✕David Hernandez 2007 · A	20	43	35→40	44→55	46	200/269/256	56	264	2	6	24%	7%	46	-2.0	224/284/297	73	278	4	11	19%	7%	62	-0.9	227/289/294	67	277	3	14	18%	7%	60	-0.4