Larry Martinez — OGILVIE

Larry Martinez3B Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 170 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 2.4 · 2032

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .285 / .330

PA320

HR5

SB5

K%21

BB%6

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

20→20

SPD

40→40

EYE

36↘20

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.2	$20M	+$20M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+2.4	$23M	+$22M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+2.4	$24M	+$23M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.2	$22M	+$18M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+2.0	$21M	+$14M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.7	$18M	+$10M
Totals		$22M		$128M	+$106M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	85	77	15	2	0	0	6	16	2	1	1	.195	.271	.221	.491	.026	.246	19	7	.227	32	-7	-0	+0	+0	+2	-0.4
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	49	47	13	3	0	0	1	7	0	2	1	.277	.292	.340	.632	.064	.317	14	2	.283	75	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.0
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	176	155	36	6	1	0	10	15	10	3	1	.232	.320	.284	.604	.052	.255	9	6	.266	62	-8	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	332	314	68	10	0	0	10	69	7	4	0	.217	.257	.248	.505	.032	.276	21	3	.225	30	-26	+1	+0	+1	+9	-1.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	TB	320	294	69	13	2	5	18	67	5	5	1	.235	.290	.344	.634	.109	.282	21	6	.279	72	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	21	MLB 11%	TB	387	353	85	16	2	8	25	78	6	6	1	.241	.302	.365	.668	.125	.284	20	6	.297	85	-6	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.7
2028	22	MLB 28%	TB	468	424	103	19	2	11	34	92	7	8	2	.243	.310	.375	.685	.132	.285	20	7	.307	93	-4	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.2
2029	23	MLB 48%	TB	520	468	116	21	3	13	39	100	8	8	2	.248	.317	.389	.705	.141	.286	19	8	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.7
2030	24	MLB 62%	TB	554	496	124	23	3	14	44	105	9	8	2	.250	.322	.393	.716	.143	.286	19	8	.318	101	+1	+1	+0	+2	+16	2.0
2031	25	MLB 80%	TB	573	513	129	24	3	15	46	108	9	8	1	.251	.324	.398	.722	.146	.287	19	8	.321	104	+2	+1	+0	+2	+16	2.2
2032	26	MLB 94%	TB	583	521	131	24	3	16	48	110	9	8	1	.251	.325	.401	.726	.150	.287	19	8	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+2	+17	2.4
2033	27	MLB	TB	584	521	131	24	3	16	49	111	9	8	1	.251	.326	.401	.728	.150	.287	19	8	.323	105	+3	+1	+0	+2	+17	2.4
2034	28	MLB	TB	580	517	129	24	3	15	49	111	9	7	1	.250	.325	.395	.720	.145	.287	19	8	.322	104	+3	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.2
2035	29	MLB	TB	570	508	126	23	3	15	48	111	9	6	0	.248	.324	.394	.718	.146	.286	19	8	.319	103	+2	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.0
2036	30	MLB	TB	560	498	121	22	2	14	48	111	9	6	0	.243	.321	.380	.700	.137	.285	20	9	.316	100	+0	+1	-2	+2	+16	1.7
2037	31	MLB	TB	546	487	118	22	2	13	46	110	8	5	0	.242	.318	.376	.694	.133	.284	20	8	.313	97	-2	+1	-3	+2	+15	1.4
2038	32	MLB	TB	528	470	112	20	2	13	45	109	8	4	0	.238	.315	.372	.688	.134	.282	21	9	.308	94	-4	+1	-4	+2	+15	1.1
2039	33	MLB	TB	498	446	104	19	2	11	42	106	7	3	0	.233	.309	.359	.668	.126	.281	21	8	.302	90	-6	+1	-4	+2	+14	0.7
2040	34	MLB	TB	452	405	93	16	2	10	38	100	6	3	0	.230	.305	.353	.658	.123	.279	22	8	.296	85	-8	+1	-5	+2	+13	0.2
2041	35	MLB	TB	396	354	80	14	2	8	33	92	6	3	0	.226	.303	.345	.647	.119	.277	23	8	.288	79	-10	+1	-6	+1	+11	-0.2
2042	36	MLB	TB	337	302	65	11	1	6	27	82	5	3	0	.215	.290	.318	.608	.103	.274	24	8	.279	72	-11	+1	-6	+1	+10	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9098	8170	1968	356	41	203	706	1810	148	109	15	.241	.313	.369	.682	.128	.284	20	8	.305	91	-88	+16	-31	+32	+258	19.1
/ 162G	—			650	584	141	25	3	15	50	129	11	8	1	.241	.313	.372	.685	.130	.284	20	8	.305	91	-6	+1	-2	+2	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	85	74	18	3	0	9	11	2	1	1	.243	.341	.284	.625	.041	.286	13	11	.296	85	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	49	46	17	4	0	2	5	0	2	1	.370	.396	.457	.852	.087	.405	10	4	.373	144	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	176	149	44	7	2	16	10	10	3	1	.295	.400	.369	.769	.074	.314	6	9	.355	130	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	332	307	76	10	0	16	49	7	4	0	.248	.299	.280	.579	.033	.293	15	5	.268	63	-14	+1	—	—	+9	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Larry Martinez (OGILVIE)	20	45	20	40	20	.230/.285/.330	.100	.282	5	5	21%	6%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Daniel Robertson 2014 · A	20	46→54	43→45	38→40	46	.227/.287/.337	.110	.280	10	4	22%	7%	74	-0.1	.243/.310/.355	.112	.303	9	3	22%	7%	89	+0.9	.234/.338/.350	.116	.305	12	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Colton Welker 2018 · A	20	52→55	42→45	42→45	41	.251/.286/.360	.110	.300	10	7	20%	4%	79	+0.3	.239/.279/.343	.104	.311	9	5	25%	5%	72	-0.2	.224/.269/.327	.104	.294	10	3	27%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	.214/.278/.298	.084	.285	5	12	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.216/.302/.277	.061	.288	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	.216/.317/.260	.044	.285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	40→45	44→50	45	.221/.275/.318	.097	.272	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	.243/.298/.349	.106	.288	8	15	18%	6%	82	+0.5	.263/.321/.381	.118	.302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Dyan Jorge 2023 · A	20	47→46	39→30	45→55	47	.225/.285/.313	.088	.280	6	12	21%	7%	66	-0.6	.226/.277/.294	.068	.305	4	18	25%	6%	57	-1.2	.215/.265/.264	.049	.298	2	22	27%	6%	42	-1.6
✕Deiber Olivera 2013 · A	20	51	37→40	45	44	.237/.280/.321	.083	.281	3	7	17%	4%	66	-0.6	.231/.274/.304	.073	.269	4	8	15%	4%	59	-1.1	.238/.270/.281	.044	.260	3	8	10%	3%	47	-0.5
✕Raul Juarez 2018 · A	20	43	39→45	42→40	40	.208/.266/.286	.078	.272	7	6	26%	5%	53	-1.5	.203/.254/.282	.079	.287	6	5	30%	5%	46	-2.0	.147/.189/.214	.067	.208	8	0	33%	3%	-2	-1.0
✕Dante Bichette Jr. 2013 · A	20	47→48	38→40	42→40	43	.222/.276/.303	.081	.292	4	4	24%	6%	60	-1.0	.208/.261/.302	.094	.282	8	2	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.239/.299/.331	.092	.299	8	3	22%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Sherman Lacrus 2014 · A	20	51	39→30	47→50	48	.241/.316/.320	.079	.276	7	9	15%	6%	82	+0.5	.218/.285/.305	.087	.262	7	7	19%	7%	66	-0.6	.189/.251/.275	.086	.232	6	6	21%	6%	42	-0.7
✕Enlly Morales 2010 · A	20	48	38→40	38→40	46	.227/.282/.314	.087	.267	5	5	17%	6%	66	-0.6	.218/.265/.285	.067	.277	3	5	21%	5%	50	-1.7	.208/.241/.241	.033	.278	0	3	24%	3%	26	-0.7
✕Orlando Gonzalez 2007 · A	21	48	41→40	41→45	43	.233/.290/.329	.096	.275	8	7	18%	5%	73	-0.1	.238/.295/.327	.089	.263	8	5	13%	5%	75	-0.0	.252/.309/.328	.076	.263	8	3	8%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→53	40	45→50	43	.222/.277/.317	.095	.275	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	.237/.310/.330	.093	.300	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	.241/.350/.334	.093	.308	6	3	21%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Jesus Alastre 2017 · A	20	49	35→30	44→50	42	.227/.286/.286	.059	.284	2	10	20%	4%	60	-1.0	.222/.266/.296	.074	.301	4	8	26%	4%	53	-1.5	.240/.272/.320	.081	.330	4	9	28%	2%	56	-0.3
✕Gabriel Moreno 2019 · A	19	48	40→45	46→45	43	.228/.263/.327	.099	.258	7	7	15%	4%	60	-1.0	.239/.285/.381	.142	.269	14	6	17%	5%	85	+0.7	.295/.351/.419	.124	.354	12	9	19%	7%	118	+1.4
✕David Hernandez 2008 · A	21	49	37→40	42→55	45	.230/.284/.301	.072	.281	5	6	20%	6%	63	-0.9	.217/.281/.288	.071	.273	3	13	20%	7%	59	-1.1	.190/.270/.244	.053	.241	0	22	19%	8%	40	-1.0
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	42	42→45	47→50	43	.205/.277/.309	.104	.271	9	8	27%	6%	64	-0.8	.224/.284/.326	.102	.290	5	11	24%	5%	70	-0.3	.226/.280/.337	.111	.291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Albert Hernandez 2009 · A	20	48	38→40	48→45	46	.225/.287/.316	.091	.279	4	8	20%	6%	68	-0.5	.223/.282/.312	.089	.287	7	7	23%	6%	65	-0.7	.216/.273/.293	.077	.277	9	5	24%	6%	53	-0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2021 · A	20	46→48	40→45	41→45	44	.216/.286/.311	.096	.298	6	4	28%	7%	67	-0.5	.198/.271/.278	.080	.286	4	5	30%	8%	53	-1.5	.219/.298/.332	.113	.294	11	3	27%	9%	76	+0.0
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	46	37→40	42→45	48	.215/.279/.290	.075	.276	4	5	23%	8%	58	-1.2	.200/.260/.272	.072	.277	5	5	27%	7%	45	-2.1	.210/.261/.258	.048	.277	3	6	24%	6%	38	-0.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2017 · A	20	45→54	39→50	46→50	42	.220/.270/.303	.083	.278	7	9	23%	5%	58	-1.2	.233/.289/.330	.097	.297	7	14	22%	7%	72	-0.2	.256/.313/.394	.138	.313	12	16	21%	7%	95	+1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)