Alessandro Duran

C DSL Giants Black

Age 22 S/R 5'10" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	106	.207/.363/.293	1	0	25	—	.136/.255/.170
2026	21	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	116	.295/.417/.432	2	1	49	—	.178/.278/.257
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLB—	226	.203/.280/.278	2	3	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLB—	58	.207/.283/.291	1	1	65	0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLB—	131	.210/.287/.302	2	2	68	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%80

wOBA72

wRC+71

ISO60

Whiff%55

K%53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsArquímedes Gamboa (age 21) · Carlos Alvarez (age 22) · Noah Miller (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 98 proj PA

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .277 / .276

PA98

HR1

K%28

BB%8

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 37

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER37

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	175	154	24	4	0	0	16	42	2	2	0	156	244	182	426	26	209	24	9	205	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	83	65	20	3	0	0	14	12	2	0	0	308	439	354	793	46	377	14	17	367	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	106	82	17	4	0	1	18	26	2	0	0	207	363	293	655	85	271	25	17	303	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	116	95	28	5	1	2	18	24	2	1	1	295	417	432	849	137	371	21	16	382	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	175	158	16	2	0	0	12	51	2	2	0	101	174	114	288	13	141	29	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	70	14	2	0	0	10	15	2	0	0	200	317	229	546	29	250	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	88	12	3	0	0	12	31	2	0	0	136	255	170	425	34	174	29	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	116	101	18	3	1	1	12	29	2	1	1	178	278	257	536	79	229	25	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	175	158	16	2	0	0	12	51	2	2	0	101	174	114	288	13	145	29	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	175	154	24	4	0	0	16	42	2	2	0	156	244	182	426	26	209	24	9	205	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	70	14	2	0	0	10	15	2	0	0	200	317	229	546	29	255	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	83	65	20	3	0	0	14	12	2	0	0	308	439	354	793	46	377	14	17	367	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	88	12	3	0	0	12	31	2	0	0	136	255	170	425	34	197	29	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	106	82	17	4	0	1	18	26	2	0	0	207	363	293	655	85	271	25	17	303	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	116	101	18	3	1	1	12	29	2	1	1	178	278	257	536	79	236	25	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	116	95	28	5	1	2	18	24	2	1	1	295	417	432	849	137	371	21	16	382	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	175	159	16	2	0	0	12	51	2	2	0	101	174	113	288	13	141	29	7	139	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	71	14	2	0	0	10	15	2	0	0	197	317	225	542	28	250	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	91	12	3	0	0	12	31	2	0	0	132	255	165	420	33	174	29	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	116	101	18	3	1	1	12	29	2	1	1	178	278	257	536	79	229	25	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	83	71	14	2	0	0	10	15	2	0	0	197	317	225	542	28	250	18	12	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	106	91	12	3	0	0	12	31	2	0	0	132	255	165	420	33	174	29	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	116	101	18	3	1	1	12	29	2	1	1	178	278	257	536	79	229	25	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	—	0%	226	203	41	7	1	2	19	62	2	3	1	203	280	278	558	76	279	27	8	257	60	-11	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	—	34%	170	152	31	5	1	2	14	46	2	2	1	207	283	291	575	84	281	27	8	264	65	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	—	46%	285	256	54	9	2	4	24	77	3	5	2	210	287	302	589	92	282	27	8	269	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	—	52%	356	319	67	11	2	5	30	95	4	6	2	213	289	310	599	97	283	27	8	273	71	-12	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	—	54%	403	361	77	13	2	6	35	107	4	7	3	215	291	316	607	102	283	27	9	276	73	-13	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	—	54%	425	381	82	14	2	7	37	112	4	7	3	215	291	318	610	103	283	26	9	277	74	-13	+0	+0	+8	+9	0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	—	54%	436	392	83	14	2	7	37	116	4	7	3	213	289	314	603	100	282	27	8	275	72	-15	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	—	58%	436	392	82	14	2	6	37	117	4	6	4	211	286	307	594	97	281	27	8	271	69	-16	-0	-1	+8	+9	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	—	60%	432	388	81	14	2	6	37	118	4	6	4	208	283	299	582	92	279	27	9	266	66	-17	-0	-2	+8	+9	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	—	34%	58	52	11	2	0	1	5	16	1	1	0	207	283	291	575	84	281	28	9	264	65	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	—	46%	131	118	25	4	1	2	11	35	1	2	1	210	287	302	589	92	282	27	8	269	68	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	—	52%	184	164	35	6	1	3	16	49	2	3	1	213	289	310	599	97	283	27	9	273	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	—	54%	219	196	41	7	1	3	19	58	2	4	2	215	291	316	607	102	283	26	9	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	—	54%	231	207	45	8	1	4	20	61	2	4	2	215	291	318	610	103	283	26	9	277	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	—	54%	237	213	46	8	1	4	20	63	2	4	2	213	289	314	603	100	282	27	8	275	72	-8	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	—	58%	251	226	47	8	1	4	21	68	2	3	2	211	286	307	594	97	281	27	8	271	69	-9	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	—	60%	259	233	48	8	1	4	22	71	2	3	2	208	283	299	582	92	279	27	8	266	66	-10	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1570	1409	298	51	7	25	134	421	14	24	12	211	286	311	597	99	281	27	9	272	63	-55	+0	-2	+28	+34	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	123	21	3	10	55	174	6	10	5	211	285	309	594	98	281	27	8	272	63	-23	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3521	3147	635	107	17	45	305	941	38	50	24	202	280	289	570	88	270	27	9	262	63	-108	+0	-4	+54	+66	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	117	20	3	8	56	174	7	9	4	201	280	287	567	86	270	27	9	262	63	-23	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.5	1,668	24	25	212	285	309	+30	+20	1.6	1.6
/162	664	10	10	+11.9	+8.0	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Mickey O'Neil'19-'27 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,201 PA	3.3	2,201	4	18	212*	275*	299*	+39	-1	-0.5	0.4
/162	664	1	5	+11.9	-0.3	-0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alessandro Duran (OGILVIE)	22	40→45	32→37	43→48	63	201/277/276	75	279	1	1	28%	8%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	43→44	37→40	48→50	45	203/266/276	74	281	5	7	28%	8%	55	-1.9	190/267/267	77	281	5	14	31%	9%	54	-2.0	202/287/292	90	293	7	15	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Carlos Alvarez 2008 · A	22	44	36→40	49→45	49	203/282/268	65	263	2	8	22%	8%	60	-1.6	209/292/288	79	245	4	8	15%	9%	68	-1.0	198/293/274	77	226	3	9	13%	10%	64	-0.5
✕Noah Miller 2024 · A	21	40→47	38→40	51→50	47	191/267/270	79	268	5	11	29%	9%	55	-2.0	217/269/299	82	278	6	6	23%	7%	61	-1.5	224/272/309	85	279	7	4	21%	6%	63	-1.2
✕Frainyer Chavez 2022 · A	23	44→47	35→40	46→50	47	206/279/262	56	290	2	11	28%	8%	57	-1.8	208/270/278	70	287	5	13	27%	7%	57	-1.8	223/291/306	84	291	8	18	25%	8%	69	-0.7
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	42	37→40	45→50	44	199/258/274	76	267	4	7	26%	7%	51	-2.2	213/275/311	98	279	8	11	25%	7%	66	-1.1	206/273/300	95	263	9	13	24%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Jose R. Flores 2010 · A	22	41→49	39→40	51→45	44	198/255/282	85	264	7	9	27%	7%	53	-2.1	241/287/329	88	289	7	8	18%	6%	74	-0.5	239/286/318	79	286	5	7	18%	5%	68	-0.7
✕Sammy Diaz 2013 · A	22	47	37→40	51→50	46	222/272/292	70	265	4	9	18%	6%	60	-1.6	232/282/310	78	272	4	8	16%	6%	68	-1.0	239/288/313	74	273	3	7	13%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Geovanny Planchart 2024 · A	22	41	37→40	49→40	48	192/274/268	75	279	4	5	30%	10%	57	-1.8	193/270/277	84	273	7	4	29%	9%	57	-1.8	164/246/241	76	224	8	0	29%	9%	39	-1.0
✕Branden Cogswell 2015 · A	22	44→46	36→30	50→45	47	207/275/273	66	270	4	8	24%	8%	58	-1.7	217/279/277	60	300	3	6	26%	8%	59	-1.6	221/282/269	48	303	1	5	25%	8%	56	-1.3
✕Rafael Ynoa 2010 · A	22	39→49	34→40	47→55	51	180/257/235	55	232	1	9	22%	9%	43	-2.8	232/282/308	76	278	5	17	18%	6%	68	-1.0	243/294/316	73	289	5	19	17%	6%	71	-0.7
✕Josue Huma 2022 · A	22	43	39→40	51→50	45	205/276/290	84	284	6	10	28%	8%	62	-1.4	211/269/294	83	279	7	9	25%	7%	60	-1.6	219/268/292	73	274	7	8	22%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jose Herrera 2019 · A	22	42	38→40	45→40	43	201/244/281	81	250	5	3	22%	5%	47	-2.5	210/288/309	99	283	8	5	26%	10%	72	-0.7	214/297/304	90	284	9	3	26%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2021 · A	22	43	36→45	50→40	46	202/265/271	69	260	4	5	23%	7%	53	-2.1	217/264/312	95	267	7	4	21%	5%	62	-1.4	233/269/347	114	277	11	0	20%	4%	71	-0.4
✕Milkar Perez 2024 · A	22	46	35→40	47→40	48	208/295/273	65	321	2	3	33%	10%	66	-1.1	211/286/297	86	308	5	4	30%	9%	68	-1.0	201/280/286	84	288	6	2	29%	9%	60	-0.9
✕Luis Alejandro Basabe 2019 · A	22	43→49	38→40	43→50	44	205/268/288	83	295	5	9	30%	8%	59	-1.7	210/280/291	81	315	6	11	32%	9%	63	-1.3	198/273/277	80	308	6	12	35%	9%	55	-1.3
✕Dalfis Ortiz 2013 · A	21	44	35→40	43→55	52	203/285/265	61	276	2	10	25%	10%	60	-1.6	200/265/273	73	242	2	14	17%	8%	53	-2.1	210/273/300	89	245	1	18	14%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Louis Ott 2007 · A	22	44→48	36→30	52→45	40	203/263/271	68	301	3	10	32%	6%	53	-2.1	225/294/293	68	316	4	6	28%	8%	70	-0.9	229/306/286	56	325	4	5	28%	9%	70	-0.4
✕Deivi Estrada 2022 · A	21	43	36→30	46→50	47	200/276/265	66	284	3	8	29%	9%	57	-1.8	184/240/252	68	328	3	8	42%	6%	40	-3.1	144/185/202	58	313	3	4	52%	4%	4	-1.2

Alessandro Duran

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps