Jesús Báez

SS Springfield Cardinals

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs AA HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #495MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP47ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	20	A+STL	416	.244/.330/.397	14	9	70	—	.207/.274/.337
2025	20	ANYM	26	.217/.308/.217	0	0	37	—	.208/.269/.208
2026	21	AASTL	257	.316/.363/.679	25	3	143	—	.283/.323/.586
2026	21	A+STL	243	.247/.307/.489	14	5	79	—	.210/.256/.397
2027PROJ2% MLB	22	MLBSTL	6	.249/.298/.445	0	0	110	0.0
2028PROJ52% MLB	23	MLBSTL	282	.251/.303/.451	13	4	113	1.3
2029PROJ69% MLB	24	MLBSTL	404	.253/.306/.453	19	6	115	1.9

Next 3 projected WAR 3.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$7M2032Arb-2$11M2033Arb-3$16M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

ISO98

wOBA96

wRC+93

K%91

Whiff%77

Z-Con%76

Career WAR3 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 25, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 50%

CompsLogan O'Hoppe (age 24) · Andy Pages (age 22) · Wilin Rosario (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .298 / .445

PA6

HR0

K%17

BB%5

BABIP268

ISO203

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$64M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$9M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$13M	+$12M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-1	$7M	+2.5	$15M	+$10M
2032	Arb-2	$11M	+2.4	$13M	+$6M
2033	Arb-3	$16M	+2.2	$11M	+$3M
Totals		$37M		$76M	+$55M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	217	186	45	9	0	7	26	46	3	8	6	242	344	403	747	161	281	21	12	335	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Mets	—	160	138	29	9	1	2	19	28	1	5	2	210	310	333	643	123	245	18	12	292	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	32	30	8	3	0	1	2	5	0	1	1	267	312	467	779	200	292	16	6	342	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	284	252	66	14	1	10	25	46	5	8	0	262	340	444	785	183	283	16	9	347	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	416	365	89	14	0	14	43	77	4	9	4	244	330	397	727	153	270	19	10	325	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	26	23	5	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	1	217	308	217	525		250	12	12	255	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	257	234	74	10	0	25	10	41	7	3	2	316	363	679	1.042	363	282	16	4	437	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	243	219	54	11	0	14	18	39	1	5	3	247	307	489	795	242	234	16	7	341	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	217	193	28	5	0	4	19	56	3	8	6	145	233	233	466	88	179	26	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	160	145	22	7	1	1	12	43	1	5	2	152	222	234	456	83	193	27	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	32	31	6	2	0	1	1	7	0	1	1	194	219	355	574	161	246	22	3	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	284	259	61	12	1	10	18	63	5	8	0	236	298	405	703	170	263	22	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	416	377	78	10	0	13	31	103	4	9	4	207	274	337	611	130	243	25	7	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	26	24	5	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	1	208	269	208	478		243	15	8	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	257	237	67	9	0	21	7	50	7	3	2	283	323	586	909	304	257	19	3	379	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	243	224	47	9	0	11	13	50	1	5	3	210	256	397	654	187	210	21	5	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	217	193	28	5	0	4	19	56	3	8	6	145	233	233	466	88	178	26	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	—	217	186	45	9	0	7	26	46	3	8	6	242	344	403	747	161	281	21	12	335	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	160	145	22	7	1	1	12	43	1	5	2	152	222	234	456	83	204	27	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	—	160	138	29	9	1	2	19	28	1	5	2	210	310	333	643	123	245	18	12	292	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	316	290	66	14	1	10	19	70	5	9	1	228	287	386	673	159	264	22	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	316	282	74	17	1	11	27	51	5	9	1	262	338	447	784	184	284	16	9	347	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	442	401	83	10	0	13	33	107	4	9	5	207	274	329	603	122	246	24	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	442	388	94	14	0	14	46	80	4	9	5	242	329	387	715	144	268	18	10	321	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	500	460	114	18	0	32	21	100	8	8	5	248	292	496	788	248	242	20	4	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	500	453	128	21	0	39	28	80	8	8	5	283	335	587	923	305	258	16	6	390	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	—	217	193	28	5	0	4	19	56	3	8	6	145	233	233	466	88	179	26	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	—	160	146	22	7	1	1	12	43	1	5	2	151	222	233	454	82	193	27	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	316	289	66	14	1	10	19	70	5	9	1	228	287	388	674	159	261	22	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	442	402	83	10	0	13	33	107	4	9	5	206	274	328	602	122	243	24	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	500	467	114	18	0	32	21	100	8	8	5	244	292	488	781	244	234	20	4	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	316	289	66	14	1	10	19	70	5	9	1	228	287	388	674	159	261	22	6	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	442	402	83	10	0	13	33	107	4	9	5	206	274	328	602	122	243	24	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	500	467	114	18	0	32	21	100	8	8	5	244	292	488	781	244	234	20	4	333	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	STL	2%	610	565	142	23	1	31	33	123	7	8	4	251	300	457	757	206	267	20	5	331	110	+7	+0	-3	+7	+13	1.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	STL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	249	298	445	744	196	268	17	0	326	110	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	STL	52%	540	498	126	20	1	27	31	107	6	7	3	253	305	463	767	209	268	20	6	335	113	+8	+0	-2	+6	+12	2.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	STL	69%	583	537	137	22	1	30	34	115	7	8	4	255	308	465	773	210	270	20	6	338	115	+10	+0	-2	+6	+13	2.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	STL	77%	614	565	145	24	1	31	37	122	7	8	4	255	310	465	774	210	271	20	6	338	115	+11	+0	-1	+7	+13	3.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	STL	81%	626	575	146	24	1	31	39	125	7	8	4	255	310	462	772	207	272	20	6	337	115	+11	+0	-2	+7	+14	3.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	STL	81%	628	576	145	24	1	30	40	127	7	7	4	253	310	457	767	204	273	20	6	335	113	+10	-0	-2	+7	+14	2.9
2033	28	MLB MLE	STL	81%	625	573	144	24	1	30	40	127	7	6	3	252	308	452	760	201	272	20	6	333	111	+9	+0	-2	+7	+14	2.7
2034	29	MLB MLE	STL	79%	616	565	141	23	1	29	39	127	7	4	3	249	305	446	752	197	271	21	6	329	109	+7	-0	-3	+7	+13	2.4
2035	30	MLB MLE	STL	78%	606	557	138	23	1	28	38	127	6	2	2	247	302	439	741	193	269	21	6	325	106	+4	-0	-4	+6	+13	2.0
2036	31	MLB MLE	STL	77%	593	545	133	22	1	26	37	127	6	1	2	243	297	430	727	187	267	21	6	319	102	+2	-1	-4	+6	+13	1.6
2037	32	MLB MLE	STL	77%	575	530	126	20	1	25	35	126	5	1	1	237	291	417	708	180	263	22	6	312	97	-2	-0	-5	+6	+12	1.2
2038	33	MLB MLE	STL	77%	545	503	115	18	0	22	32	122	5	1	1	231	283	402	685	171	259	22	6	302	91	-6	-0	-6	+6	+12	0.6
2039	34	MLB MLE	STL	72%	497	462	102	15	0	19	28	115	4	1	1	223	274	383	657	160	253	23	6	291	83	-10	-0	-6	+5	+11	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	STL	52%	282	261	65	11	0	13	16	56	3	4	2	251	303	451	754	199	269	20	6	330	113	+4	+0	-1	+3	+6	1.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	STL	69%	404	372	94	16	1	19	24	80	5	6	3	253	306	453	760	201	271	20	6	332	115	+7	+0	-1	+4	+9	1.9
2030	25	MLB CTX	STL	77%	475	438	110	19	1	22	29	94	5	6	3	253	308	453	761	200	273	20	6	333	115	+9	+0	-1	+5	+10	2.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	STL	81%	508	465	117	20	1	23	32	101	6	7	3	253	308	451	759	198	273	20	6	333	115	+9	+0	-1	+5	+11	2.5
2032	27	MLB CTX	STL	81%	508	465	118	21	1	23	32	102	6	6	3	251	308	446	754	194	274	20	6	331	113	+8	+0	-1	+5	+11	2.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	STL	81%	506	463	115	20	1	22	32	103	6	5	3	250	306	442	748	192	273	20	6	328	111	+7	-0	-2	+5	+11	2.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	STL	79%	487	448	110	19	1	21	31	101	5	3	2	248	304	436	740	188	272	21	6	325	109	+5	-0	-2	+5	+11	1.9
2035	30	MLB CTX	STL	78%	472	434	106	18	1	20	30	99	5	1	2	245	300	429	729	184	271	21	6	321	106	+3	-1	-3	+5	+10	1.6
2036	31	MLB CTX	STL	77%	458	422	103	18	1	19	28	98	5	1	1	241	296	420	715	179	268	21	6	315	102	+1	-0	-3	+5	+10	1.3
2037	32	MLB CTX	STL	77%	442	408	96	16	0	18	27	97	4	1	1	236	290	408	697	172	264	22	6	307	97	-2	-0	-4	+5	+10	0.9
2038	33	MLB CTX	STL	77%	418	386	89	15	0	16	25	94	4	1	1	230	282	393	675	163	260	22	6	298	91	-5	-0	-4	+4	+9	0.5
2039	34	MLB CTX	STL	72%	359	333	74	12	0	13	20	83	3	0	0	222	273	375	647	153	254	23	6	287	83	-7	+0	-4	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5319	4895	1197	205	8	229	326	1108	57	41	24	245	299	430	729	185	270	21	6	321	101	+40	-1	-29	+57	+115	18.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	598	146	25	1	28	40	135	7	5	3	244	299	430	729	186	269	21	6	321	101	+5	-0	-3	+7	+14	2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	9003	8271	1985	325	12	404	551	1907	99	97	53	240	295	429	724	189	263	21	6	317	101	+57	-2	-40	+79	+160	25.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	143	23	1	29	40	138	7	7	4	240	295	427	722	188	263	21	6	317	101	+5	-0	-3	+7	+14	2.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dan Ugglalast yr '15 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,509 PA	8.3	5,509	235	26	241	336	447	+20	-17	28.7	28.7
/162	664	28	3	+2.4	-2.1	3.5	pk7: 29
#2Rico Petrocelli'63-'76 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,170 PA	9.3	6,170	210	10	258*	339*	470*	+43	-2	29.8	28.0
/162	664	23	1	+4.6	-0.2	3.2	pk7: 26
#3Mike Lowell'98-'10 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,498 PA	9.8	6,498	223	30	268*	329*	451*	+15	-22	28.3	26.4
/162	664	23	3	+1.6	-2.3	2.9	pk7: 24
#4Jimmy Williams'01-'09 * career totals — 9 seasons, 4,968 PA	7.5	4,968	35	107	264*	339*	467*	+18	+6	26.0	26.1
/162	664	5	14	+2.4	+0.9	3.5	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	8.0	5,325	247	40	248	299	443	+54	-18	24.0	21.0
/162	664	31	5	+6.8	-2.2	3.0	pk7: 18
#5Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesús Báez (OGILVIE)	22	30→46	40→51	40	40	249/298/453	204	267	16	4	20%	5%	110	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2024 · MLB	24	45→48	57→55	43→45	49	240/314/434	193	269	26	6	22%	8%	110	+2.1	233/291/394	161	295	22	4	28%	7%	93	+0.8	226/283/371	144	289	20	2	28%	6%	84	+0.1
●Andy Pages 2023 · AA	22	39→49	56→60	45→50	45	211/297/402	191	273	24	6	31%	9%	97	+1.1	243/312/420	177	306	20	9	26%	7%	106	+1.8	269/326/453	184	315	23	10	22%	6%	121	+2.8
✕Wilin Rosario 2013 · MLB	24	45→54	59→60	39→45	40	244/281/444	200	280	28	5	25%	5%	101	+1.4	257/288/428	171	301	22	5	22%	4%	99	+1.2	259/286/416	157	305	19	4	22%	3%	95	+0.7
●Gleyber Torres 2020 · MLB	23	50→55	60	45→50	48	269/328/483	214	305	30	7	23%	8%	126	+3.2	258/325/424	166	303	20	10	21%	9%	112	+2.2	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	114	+2.6
●Andy LaRoche 2006 · AA	22	49→57	57→55	47→45	45	261/311/457	196	299	26	8	23%	6%	114	+2.4	258/331/422	164	290	20	8	18%	9%	113	+2.3	250/335/398	148	275	18	7	16%	10%	108	+1.4
✕Francisco Alvarez 2023 · AAA	21	46→47	59→60	43→40	48	242/325/451	209	307	28	4	30%	9%	118	+2.7	235/309/436	201	288	27	4	28%	9%	109	+2.0	231/307/434	204	276	28	2	27%	9%	108	+1.3
●Spencer Torkelson 2022 · AAA	22	43→45	57→60	45→40	51	229/318/434	206	277	25	6	27%	10%	112	+2.2	220/302/392	172	276	20	3	27%	10%	96	+1.0	227/317/425	198	291	25	1	30%	10%	110	+2.2
★Mark Reynolds 2007 · AA	23	44→54	58→65	43→50	42	234/292/434	200	299	26	3	31%	7%	102	+1.5	252/323/470	218	337	27	8	32%	9%	122	+2.9	254/333/489	235	338	31	12	32%	10%	130	+3.6
✕MJ Melendez 2022 · AAA	23	40→48	61→60	40→50	46	223/295/441	219	278	30	5	32%	9%	105	+1.7	225/305/410	185	278	22	6	26%	10%	101	+1.4	217/299/394	178	268	20	5	26%	10%	96	+1.0
●Hunter Goodman 2024 · MLB	24	39→49	57→65	45→40	39	214/270/414	200	272	26	4	32%	6%	90	+0.6	228/281/441	213	278	28	4	29%	6%	100	+1.3	232/286/458	227	274	32	3	28%	6%	107	+1.6
●Evan Longoria 2007 · AA	21	47→57	58→65	45→50	40	254/289/451	196	285	27	8	22%	4%	105	+1.7	263/330/469	206	308	26	6	23%	8%	124	+3.1	266/348/500	234	289	28	8	19%	10%	138	+4.4
●Mike Moustakas 2011 · AAA	22	45→55	55→65	44→45	40	241/274/425	185	264	24	5	20%	4%	93	+0.8	247/292/404	157	280	18	4	19%	5%	95	+0.9	258/313/495	237	259	33	2	16%	7%	125	+3.2
●Shea Langeliers 2022 · AA	24	41→48	55→65	47→45	39	221/270/395	175	283	25	4	32%	6%	85	+0.2	225/283/421	196	279	26	5	29%	7%	96	+1.0	249/308/484	235	273	34	6	23%	7%	121	+2.4
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/433	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	112	+2.2	218/274/334	116	262	12	6	21%	7%	72	-0.7	189/233/258	68	230	4	5	19%	5%	35	-0.8
●Miguel Sanó 2015 · AA	22	43→52	60→70	50→45	44	227/308/451	224	312	28	8	35%	9%	112	+2.2	244/328/466	222	343	28	4	34%	11%	122	+3.0	244/332/473	229	340	30	2	35%	11%	126	+2.9
●Mark Vientos 2023 · MLB	23	48→51	55→60	37→30	40	242/299/424	182	337	25	2	35%	7%	102	+1.5	248/306/443	195	322	25	2	30%	7%	109	+2.0	247/307/448	201	309	26	1	28%	7%	110	+1.8
✕Joey Bart 2020 · AA	23	43	53→55	45→40	38	228/270/395	166	287	21	7	29%	5%	84	+0.2	235/289/374	139	337	16	5	33%	6%	86	+0.3	251/343/392	142	332	17	1	27%	10%	112	+1.0
●Devin Mesoraco 2011 · AAA	23	45→50	53→60	42→40	43	232/289/406	174	284	20	3	26%	6%	95	+0.9	233/287/389	156	272	17	3	21%	6%	89	+0.5	235/319/433	198	264	26	1	22%	9%	112	+1.1
●Eloy Jiménez 2020 · MLB	23	51→57	59→65	42→40	42	268/312/478	209	312	28	2	24%	6%	120	+2.8	267/316/471	204	318	28	2	25%	6%	120	+2.8	270/324/464	194	321	28	0	24%	7%	121	+1.4
●Miguel Montero 2006 · AA	23	51→58	56→55	44→40	43	269/317/459	190	300	25	4	20%	5%	117	+2.6	247/308/405	158	276	19	3	18%	7%	101	+1.4	267/343/423	156	316	17	0	20%	9%	119	+2.2

Jesús Báez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps