Diomedes HernandezC Somerset Patriots
Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 211 lbs AA HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 100 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .260 / .296
PA100
HR1
K%30
BB%6
ISO91
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +2.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.60.70.80.8+$22M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Arb-1$1M+0.8$2M+$1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $8M +$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 8274 11310 6222 40 149232216448 68212 277 200 11
202217 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 8270 16510 10152 40 229341329670 100291 1812 311 96
202419 A2 teams 9184 18201 5251 11 214267274540 60288 275 235 38
202419 A2 teams 9181 22201 8161 11 272344333678 62323 189 309 95
202520 AASomerset Patriots 3432 3100 0220 00 9494125219 31300 650 112 -56
202520 AASomerset Patriots 3432 5200 0160 00 156156219375 62312 470 155 -23
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBNYY 10093 19311 6301 10 204260290550 86289 306 253 52 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBNYY 35% 280258 54915 18822 41 209266310576 101291 296 264 60 -13 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.1
202823 MLBNYY 49% 373343 741327 241073 52 216273327600 111292 296 271 66 -14 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.3
202924 MLBNYY 53% 434398 871529 291234 62 219278334613 116293 287 276 70 -15 +0 +0 +8 +12 0.6
203025 MLBNYY 55% 465427 9416210 311314 62 220279337616 117293 287 279 72 -15 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.7
203126 MLBNYY 56% 482442 9717210 331364 62 219280335615 115293 287 280 72 -15 +0 +0 +9 +14 0.8
203227 MLBNYY 55% 487446 9717210 341384 62 217279332611 114292 287 280 72 -15 +0 +0 +9 +14 0.8
202722 MLBNYY 35% 9992 20312 6291 10 217273337610 120292 296 260 57 -5 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
202823 MLBNYY 49% 182166 37614 12522 21 223283343627 120293 297 267 63 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202924 MLBNYY 53% 230211 46815 15652 31 218276336613 118294 287 272 66 -9 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.2
203025 MLBNYY 55% 255234 52916 17722 31 222281346627 124294 287 275 68 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.3
203126 MLBNYY 56% 268246 551016 18762 31 224282346627 122294 287 275 69 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203227 MLBNYY 55% 268245 551016 19762 31 224286347633 122294 287 275 69 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 13021194 26546629 8737011 155 222281343624 121295 287 272 67 -49 +1 +0 +23 +37 1.2
/ 162G 650596 13223314 431855 72 221279341619 119296 287 272 67 -25 +1 +0 +12 +18 0.6
Career 28282597 554961353 18681625 3912 213272322594 108288 297 270 65 -113 +3 +0 +50 +80 2.1
/ 162G 650597 12722312 431886 93 213273320593 107287 297 270 65 -26 +1 +0 +12 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL NYY Yankees 8270 16510 10152 40 229341329670 100291 1812 311 96 -0 +1 +2 0.3
202419 ATampa Tarpons 4740 12201 670 01 300391425816 125333 1513 361 135 +2 -0 +1 0.3
202419 ROKFCL Yankees 4441 10000 291 10 244295244539 312 205 254 53 -2 +0 +1 -0.1
202520 AASomerset Patriots 3432 5200 0160 00 156156219375 62312 470 155 -23 -5 +0 +1 -0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,3032617221278337+23+121.81.8
/162664139+11.9+6.10.9pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Diomedes Hernandez (OGILVIE) 21 205/260/296 91289 11 30% 6% 52 -0.3
Wendell Rijo
2017 · AA
21 39→41 39→55 46→50 38 192/239/276 85274 611 31% 5% 37 -2.6 199/255/292 93268 88 28% 6% 49 -1.8 208/263/371163264201429%6%70-0.2
Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A
22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
Tomás Nido
2015 · A
21 44 39→45 49→30 43 212/267/299 87285 67 27% 6% 56 -1.3 233/264/343 110303 112 26% 4% 65 -0.7 240/274/3511112889019%4%69-0.3
Orlando Pina
2019 · AAA
21 44 43→55 50→30 39 216/266/324 108297 1011 30% 5% 62 -0.9 226/277/382 156310 206 33% 6% 82 +0.5 214/267/37115728822133%5%70-0.2
Gilberto Galaviz
2013 · AAA
21 42 42→40 46→30 39 210/245/307 97260 119 24% 4% 48 -1.9 237/271/334 97283 95 19% 4% 66 -0.6 270/302/340703066214%3%77+0.0
Jonathan Ornelas
2021 · A
21 41→51 39→45 50 42 199/261/284 85279 611 30% 7% 50 -1.8 227/277/335 108310 1110 29% 6% 69 -0.4 235/295/3248832691229%7%70-0.3
Ethan Workinger
2023 · A
21 38→44 42→50 45 39 189/240/301 111260 95 30% 5% 45 -2.1 211/260/341 130280 146 29% 6% 64 -0.8 204/258/34313924718925%6%60-0.7
Jorge Alcantara
2013 · A
21 42 41→45 50 43 201/271/299 98298 811 33% 8% 58 -1.2 193/263/287 94294 614 34% 8% 51 -1.7 147/226/2449722162534%8%24-0.9
Abrahan Gutierrez
2021 · A
21 44→45 40 46→40 43 215/264/301 87273 86 24% 6% 54 -1.4 227/296/326 99305 84 26% 8% 75 -0.0 220/294/315952958226%8%68-0.2
Cutter Dykstra
2010 · A
21 40→50 40 47→55 43 198/260/282 84275 811 30% 7% 48 -1.9 217/273/292 75304 616 29% 6% 56 -1.3 232/301/3168431561626%8%72-0.2
Yu Chang
2017 · A
21 40→46 45→50 49→45 37 203/253/331 128288 128 33% 5% 59 -1.1 203/261/346 143284 168 33% 6% 66 -0.6 215/275/36414928217429%7%75-0.0
Tucker Mitchell
2022 · A
21 42 40→50 51→45 39 201/261/291 91297 77 33% 6% 51 -1.7 195/269/309 114298 138 37% 7% 61 -1.0 180/256/29311325815735%7%49-0.7
Jose Cordoba
2023 · A
20 37 41→45 44→55 39 187/251/282 95271 109 33% 6% 46 -2.0 202/259/294 92279 611 28% 6% 51 -1.7 199/258/2929326841526%6%47-0.8
Luis Palacios
2010 · A
21 39 39→40 46→50 36 192/235/276 84265 75 30% 4% 36 -2.7 190/239/268 78302 57 36% 5% 35 -2.8 130/184/163322250640%6%-19-1.1
Arturo De Freitas
2022 · A
21 43 38→45 50→40 39 204/264/287 82286 58 29% 5% 51 -1.7 173/225/248 75289 74 40% 6% 24 -3.5 136/184/191552335042%5%-10-2.1
Rodolfo Castro
2019 · A
20 38→40 43→55 47→50 36 194/233/304 111269 105 32% 4% 42 -2.3 197/238/344 147275 176 34% 5% 56 -1.3 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2
Alejandro Flores
2017 · AAA
21 40 38→50 46→40 43 191/258/270 79286 69 34% 8% 44 -2.1 210/265/338 128290 126 30% 6% 65 -0.7 202/257/34214027113430%6%59-0.5
Dusty Ryan
2006 · A
21 37→46 40→50 43→40 38 183/235/269 86268 86 34% 6% 34 -2.8 200/265/307 107312 124 37% 7% 57 -1.2 212/288/37115931118335%9%80+0.2
Jose Gil
2008 · A
21 40 41→50 43→45 41 201/245/294 92258 104 26% 5% 45 -2.1 209/247/308 99272 97 26% 4% 49 -1.8 218/271/35513825717623%6%70-0.2
Luis De Los Santos
2019 · A
21 40→47 40→45 53→45 35 198/241/288 90276 78 30% 4% 42 -2.3 203/247/309 106292 97 32% 4% 50 -1.8 216/283/33511929113729%7%69-0.2