Abel Fuerte — OGILVIE

Abel Fuerte P ACL D-backs

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 175 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 12 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 109

ERA4.87

FIP4.87

K%21.1%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%8.8%

ROS IP12

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	15	4	38	198	38	33	4	27%	2.6	13.1%	20.8%	-7.8%	2.7%	9.39	6.13	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	15	4	38	198	38	33	4	27%	2.6	19.2%	16.7%	2.5%	2.0%	9.39	5.06	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	12	0	17	92	15	17	1	0%	1.4	11.1%	23.1%	-12.0%	1.7%	8.10	6.04	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	12	0	17	92	15	17	1	0%	1.4	11.1%	23.1%	-12.0%	1.7%	8.10	6.04	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	12	0	17	92	15	17	1	0%	1.4	16.3%	18.5%	-2.2%	1.1%	8.10	5.14	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	24	107	20	11	1	0%	1.2	12.2%	11.8%	0.3%	0.0%	4.88	3.57	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	0	24	107	20	11	1	0%	1.2	12.2%	11.8%	0.3%	0.0%	4.88	3.57	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	0	24	107	20	11	1	0%	1.2	18.7%	10.3%	8.4%	0.9%	4.88	3.35	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	ARI	11	0	12	51	11	6	1	0%	1.1	21.1%	12.3%	8.8%	3.0%	4.87	4.87	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ARI	21	0	22	95	21	10	3	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.70	4.61	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	ARI	10	0	11	46	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.70	4.61	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	10	5	1	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.70	4.23	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	182	91	18	0%	1.1	22.1%	11.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.70	4.23	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		47	4	79	397	49	75	7	9%	1.7	12.4%	18.9%	-6.6%	1.8%	7.75	5.42	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		119	10	200	1005	124	190	18	9%	1.7	12.4%	18.9%	-6.6%	1.8%	7.75	5.42	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Abel Fuerte (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.87	21.1%	12.3%	3.0%	—	4.61	22.1%	11.0%	22	-0.26	—	—	—
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	88
Brandyn Sittinger R 2017 · 4.37 FIP	23	SU	4.37	22.2%	13.8%	2.5%	.324	3.97	21.2%	7.2%	72	-0.40	3.58	152	88
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	88
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	87
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	87
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	87
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	87
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	86
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	86
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	85
Kyle Marman R 2019 · 3.97 FIP	22	SU	3.97	22.2%	12.8%	2.0%	.270	5.16	22.5%	8.4%	71	+1.19	3.97	117	85
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	85
Nolan Sparks R 2024 · 4.10 FIP	21	SU	4.10	21.8%	13.5%	2.1%	.229	4.72	19.3%	5.3%	140	+0.62	4.10	155	85
Cam Bedrosian R 2014 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	21.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.350	2.72	26.8%	17.8%	154	-1.22	1.79	363	84
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	84
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	84
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	84