Luis Baez

OF Corpus Christi Hooks

Age 23 R/R 6'1" / 225 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #518MiLBFA 2034

ETA2029FG ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	AAHOU	272	.246/.310/.335	2	7	63	—	.229/.280/.312
2026	22	AAHOU	104	.177/.225/.219	0	2	9	—	.173/.206/.214
2027PROJ2% MLB	23	MLBHOU	3	.207/.250/.308	0	0	53	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	24	MLBHOU	87	.213/.258/.329	2	1	61	-0.3
2029PROJ45% MLB	25	MLBHOU	155	.218/.264/.346	4	2	68	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

K%54

Whiff%41

Z-Con%34

Speed18

BB%9

Chase%9

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMoisés Gómez (age 23) · Andrew Pintar (age 23) · Ruben Cardenas (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†53

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .250 / .308

PA3

HR0

K%33

BB%5

BABIP279

ISO115

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	203	62	19	2	9	14	56	2	10	7	305	356	552	908	246	376	25	6	390	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	179	155	37	13	1	4	17	48	4	0	0	239	330	413	742	174	311	27	9	328	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	FCL Astros	—	76	59	16	2	0	7	16	14	1	1	1	271	434	661	1.095	390	237	18	21	465	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	61	51	11	3	0	1	8	11	0	2	0	216	322	333	655	118	244	18	13	293	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	407	380	100	22	0	20	22	111	0	9	1	263	303	479	782	216	315	27	5	338	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	248	61	12	2	2	22	73	1	7	0	246	310	335	645	89	339	27	8	293	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	104	96	17	4	0	0	6	25	0	2	3	177	225	219	444	42	233	24	6	203	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	208	37	10	1	5	9	70	2	10	7	178	219	308	527	130	228	32	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	179	159	31	10	1	3	13	64	4	0	0	195	273	327	600	132	277	36	7	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	76	65	12	2	0	4	10	19	1	1	1	185	303	400	703	215	177	25	13	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	61	53	11	3	0	1	6	13	0	2	0	208	288	321	609	113	240	21	10	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	407	388	78	15	0	16	14	147	0	9	1	201	229	363	592	162	261	36	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	253	58	11	2	2	17	86	1	7	0	229	280	312	593	83	337	32	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	104	98	17	4	0	0	4	30	0	2	3	173	206	214	420	41	226	29	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	208	37	10	1	5	9	70	2	10	7	178	219	308	527	130	235	32	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	203	62	19	2	9	14	56	2	10	7	305	356	552	908	246	376	25	6	390	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	255	225	42	12	1	7	22	83	5	1	1	187	274	342	616	156	254	33	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	255	214	53	15	1	11	33	62	5	1	1	248	361	481	842	234	292	24	13	369	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	468	441	89	18	0	17	20	160	0	11	1	202	236	358	595	156	266	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	468	431	111	25	0	21	30	122	0	11	1	258	306	462	768	204	305	26	6	332	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	253	58	11	2	2	17	86	1	7	0	229	280	312	593	83	337	32	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	248	61	12	2	2	22	73	1	7	0	246	310	335	645	89	339	27	8	293	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	104	98	17	4	0	0	4	30	0	2	3	173	206	214	420	41	243	29	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	104	96	17	4	0	0	6	25	0	2	3	177	225	219	444	42	233	24	6	203	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	—	222	209	37	10	1	5	9	70	2	10	7	177	219	306	525	129	228	32	4	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	255	226	42	12	1	7	22	83	5	1	1	186	274	341	615	155	247	33	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	468	445	89	18	0	17	20	160	0	11	1	200	236	355	591	155	258	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	252	58	11	2	2	17	86	1	7	0	230	280	313	594	83	337	32	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	104	99	17	4	0	0	4	30	0	2	3	172	206	212	418	40	226	29	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	468	445	89	18	0	17	20	160	0	11	1	200	236	355	591	155	258	34	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	272	252	58	11	2	2	17	86	1	7	0	230	280	313	594	83	337	32	6	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	104	99	17	4	0	0	4	30	0	2	3	172	206	212	418	40	226	29	4	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	HOU	2%	231	216	45	9	1	4	12	67	1	4	1	205	247	304	551	99	274	29	5	247	53	-13	+0	-1	-1	+5	-0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	HOU	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	207	250	308	557	100	279	33	0	249	53	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	279	261	55	11	1	6	15	79	1	4	1	211	255	325	581	115	277	28	5	259	61	-13	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.8
2029	25	MLB MLE	HOU	45%	347	324	70	14	1	8	19	97	1	5	2	216	262	343	605	127	278	28	5	269	68	-13	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	HOU	51%	391	365	79	15	1	10	22	108	1	6	2	219	267	355	621	136	279	28	6	276	73	-13	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
2031	27	MLB MLE	HOU	53%	409	380	84	16	2	11	24	113	2	6	2	219	269	355	623	136	279	28	6	277	73	-13	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.6
2028	24	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	87	82	18	4	0	2	5	25	0	1	0	213	258	329	587	115	281	29	6	262	61	-4	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	HOU	45%	155	144	32	6	1	4	9	43	1	2	1	218	264	346	611	128	282	28	6	271	68	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2030	26	MLB CTX	HOU	51%	199	185	41	8	1	5	11	55	1	3	1	221	269	357	626	136	283	28	6	278	73	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2031	27	MLB CTX	HOU	53%	215	199	45	9	1	6	13	59	1	3	1	222	271	357	628	136	283	27	6	279	73	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	656	610	136	27	3	17	38	182	3	9	3	223	272	361	633	138	287	28	6	275	61	-23	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	135	27	3	17	38	180	3	9	3	224	273	363	635	139	288	28	6	275	61	-23	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2915	2712	564	118	10	69	161	874	13	55	20	208	256	335	591	127	276	30	6	259	61	-61	+2	-0	-10	+35	-3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	605	125	26	2	15	36	195	3	12	4	207	255	331	585	124	275	30	6	259	61	-25	+1	-0	-4	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	658	17	10	218	263	349	-4	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	17	10	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#5Jolbert Cabrera'98-'08 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,531 PA	2.3	1,531	18	38	247*	295*	354*	-3	-9	-1.1	-0.7
/162	664	8	16	-1.4	-4.0	-0.5	pk7: -0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Baez (OGILVIE)	23	30→35	45→55	40	30	203/245/301	98	274	3	3	29%	5%	53	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Moisés Gómez 2022 · AA	23	33→42	45→55	44→45	33	167/228/284	117	297	13	7	46%	6%	43	-2.8	199/254/369	170	306	23	8	41%	6%	73	-0.6	192/247/364	173	283	25	6	40%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Andrew Pintar 2024 · A	23	44→43	40→45	42→60	40	211/269/301	90	297	7	10	30%	6%	62	-1.4	221/284/327	106	309	9	23	29%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/331	108	311	10	31	29%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Ruben Cardenas 2021 · A	23	43	42→55	46→50	41	212/261/320	108	276	9	8	26%	6%	63	-1.4	217/266/376	159	292	21	8	32%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/366	162	259	21	10	29%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Nick Flair 2016 · A	23	38	40→50	44→40	40	188/241/283	95	272	7	5	33%	6%	47	-2.5	215/250/337	122	308	11	6	33%	4%	63	-1.4	224/241/367	143	313	14	4	33%	2%	64	-0.5
✕Quincy Latimore 2012 · AA	23	42	46→50	44→50	35	212/260/346	134	301	14	7	34%	4%	70	-0.9	216/269/340	124	289	13	10	29%	6%	71	-0.8	218/269/348	130	279	14	10	26%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Weston Wilson 2019 · AA	24	42	43→55	43→55	37	211/256/321	110	290	11	6	30%	5%	61	-1.5	208/267/348	140	268	17	10	28%	7%	72	-0.7	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Wendell Rijo 2019 · AA	23	42→45	39→50	42→50	45	204/264/287	83	263	6	8	24%	7%	57	-1.8	214/269/346	132	276	15	8	27%	6%	72	-0.7	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Alex Lavisky 2014 · AA	23	38	43→45	46→30	37	194/243/298	104	274	11	3	33%	5%	52	-2.2	213/259/305	92	270	9	4	24%	5%	59	-1.7	211/254/287	76	257	9	1	21%	5%	49	-0.8
✕Narciso Crook 2018 · A	23	39→43	43→50	48→50	34	195/240/306	111	295	11	9	37%	5%	53	-2.1	220/271/346	126	319	11	11	33%	5%	73	-0.6	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Jason Lopez 2021 · A	23	41	43→50	46→45	38	204/251/318	114	286	10	7	32%	5%	59	-1.6	198/261/298	100	298	9	10	34%	8%	58	-1.7	169/237/256	87	252	9	10	35%	8%	38	-0.8
✕Niko Vasquez 2012 · AA	23	40→42	44→50	40→45	45	199/272/315	116	271	11	3	30%	8%	67	-1.1	203/267/307	104	267	8	5	26%	8%	63	-1.4	220/276/351	131	285	16	6	28%	6%	74	-0.3
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA	23	40	43→45	47→50	40	202/261/310	108	272	11	10	29%	6%	61	-1.5	216/274/340	124	275	14	9	26%	6%	74	-0.6	207/266/326	119	257	14	7	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Jodd Carter 2019 · AA	23	43→41	44→45	46→45	40	211/268/323	112	297	12	9	32%	7%	67	-1.1	211/278/335	124	296	14	9	32%	8%	74	-0.6	193/271/322	130	265	16	9	32%	9%	65	-0.8
✕Jarek Cunningham 2013 · AA	23	38→39	44→50	46→45	37	193/250/317	124	274	11	6	33%	5%	59	-1.7	196/248/328	132	269	14	7	32%	5%	61	-1.5	188/239/325	137	255	15	7	32%	5%	55	-1.3
✕Jefrey Ramos 2022 · AA	23	38→41	44→45	49→40	37	196/240/313	117	271	13	6	32%	5%	54	-2.0	203/263/309	106	278	10	8	29%	6%	61	-1.5	153/231/202	49	199	5	0	24%	6%	24	-0.7
✕Micah Schnurstein 2007 · AA	23	43→47	43→50	44→45	39	214/253/323	110	267	11	8	25%	4%	61	-1.5	212/258/344	132	259	14	8	24%	5%	68	-1.0	206/255/349	143	245	17	7	23%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→42	44→55	45→50	44	183/264/301	119	275	11	7	36%	9%	61	-1.5	207/286/371	164	296	18	9	34%	9%	86	+0.3	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Ben Johnson 2017 · A	23	36→30	40→50	43→45	32	175/226/267	92	302	7	6	42%	5%	38	-3.2	183/235/265	82	342	7	12	45%	5%	41	-3.0	125/178/160	34	262	5	26	51%	4%	-8	-1.5
✕Darlin Moquete 2023 · A	23	41	44→45	42→55	38	206/256/312	106	289	13	7	32%	6%	60	-1.6	200/252/316	116	263	14	15	29%	6%	59	-1.6	192/247/304	112	248	14	20	28%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→33	43→50	47→50	32	184/226/296	112	275	11	13	37%	4%	45	-2.7	192/238/311	119	300	12	12	38%	5%	53	-2.1	186/235/335	149	266	18	12	36%	5%	56	-1.3

Luis Baez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps