Yerald Nin — OGILVIE

Yerald NinSS Hillsboro Hops

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 170 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION314 act + 209 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†33

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .251 / .246

PA209

HR1

SB10

K%32

BB%7

BABIP279

ISO57

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$8M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	190	171	26	3	0	3	16	62	2	13	4	152	233	222	455	70	215	33	8	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	190	165	38	6	1	3	22	41	2	13	4	230	328	333	661	103	287	22	12	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	183	166	22	3	2	0	9	69	2	7	4	133	186	175	361	42	216	38	5	164	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	183	161	34	4	3	0	14	51	2	7	4	211	282	273	556	62	296	28	8	249	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	211	189	34	4	1	0	18	82	2	23	4	180	258	212	470	32	312	39	9	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	211	175	47	6	2	0	32	53	2	23	4	269	388	326	713	57	379	25	15	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	457	410	81	8	5	1	34	141	4	31	12	198	266	249	514	51	292	31	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	457	394	97	10	5	1	49	102	4	31	12	246	335	305	639	58	323	22	11	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A+	ARI	—	314	290	54	4	4	2	21	109	2	22	7	186	246	248	494	62	291	35	7	225	31	-25	+2	+0	+3	+9	-1.1
YTD	20	A+	ARI	—	314	277	67	6	5	3	32	79	2	22	7	242	323	332	655	90	328	25	10	299	87	-5	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.9
ROS	20	A+	ARI	0%	209	191	36	4	2	1	15	66	1	10	3	188	251	246	496	57	280	32	7	228	33	-16	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.7
ROS	20	MLB	ARI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						281	0	0	224	30	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	20	A+	ARI	—	315	291	54	4	4	2	21	109	2	22	7	186	245	247	493	62	289	35	7	225	31	-25	+2	+0	+3	+9	-1.1
TOT	20	A+	ARI	—	523	481	90	8	6	3	36	175	3	32	10	187	248	247	495	60	286	33	7	226	31	-41	+2	+0	+6	+15	-1.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	ARI	35%	537	488	99	12	5	6	40	161	4	20	6	203	269	285	554	82	284	30	7	252	51	-30	+2	+0	+6	+15	-0.7
2028	22	MLB	ARI	49%	589	535	112	14	5	10	45	170	4	20	6	209	276	310	586	101	285	29	8	266	62	-26	+2	+0	+6	+17	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	615	557	120	15	6	12	48	173	5	20	6	215	284	329	612	113	286	28	8	275	69	-22	+2	+0	+7	+17	0.4
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	627	567	124	16	6	13	50	174	5	20	6	219	288	337	625	118	287	28	8	280	73	-19	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.7
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	634	573	126	16	6	14	51	174	5	19	6	220	289	342	631	122	287	27	8	282	74	-18	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	639	577	127	16	6	14	52	176	5	19	6	220	290	341	632	121	287	28	8	284	75	-18	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.9
2033	27	MLB	ARI	60%	637	574	126	16	6	14	53	176	5	18	6	220	291	341	633	122	287	28	8	284	75	-18	+1	+0	+7	+18	0.8
2027	21	MLB	ARI	35%	186	169	34	4	2	2	14	56	1	7	2	201	266	284	550	83	285	30	8	249	48	-11	+1	+0	+2	+5	-0.3
2028	22	MLB	ARI	49%	286	260	56	7	3	5	22	83	2	10	3	215	282	323	605	108	287	29	8	262	59	-13	+1	+0	+3	+8	-0.1
2029	23	MLB	ARI	54%	334	302	66	8	3	7	26	94	3	11	3	219	287	334	621	116	288	28	8	271	66	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	24	MLB	ARI	55%	348	314	69	9	3	7	28	96	3	11	3	220	290	334	624	115	289	28	8	276	70	-12	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2031	25	MLB	ARI	56%	355	320	71	9	3	8	29	98	3	11	3	222	293	344	636	122	289	28	8	279	71	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.3
2032	26	MLB	ARI	56%	359	324	71	9	3	8	29	99	3	11	3	219	289	340	629	120	289	28	8	280	72	-11	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.4
2033	27	MLB	ARI	60%	380	343	76	10	3	9	31	105	3	11	3	222	292	347	639	125	289	28	8	280	72	-12	+1	+0	+4	+11	0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2249	2033	443	56	20	46	179	631	18	72	20	218	287	333	620	115	290	28	8	273	67	-84	+6	+0	+24	+64	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	128	16	6	13	52	182	5	21	6	218	287	332	618	114	290	28	8	273	67	-24	+2	+0	+7	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	5528	4998	1033	127	50	88	431	1624	44	220	69	207	276	305	580	98	284	29	8	261	58	-261	+16	+0	+59	+157	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	121	15	6	10	51	191	5	26	8	206	275	303	578	97	284	29	8	261	58	-31	+2	+0	+7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	16	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	190	165	38	6	1	3	22	41	2	13	4	230	328	333	661	103	287	22	12	304	91	-2	+1	—	—	+5	0.4
2023	17	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	183	161	34	4	3	0	14	51	2	7	4	211	282	273	556	62	296	28	8	249	49	-11	-0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2024	18	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	211	175	47	6	2	0	32	53	2	23	4	269	388	326	713	57	379	25	15	332	112	+3	+3	—	—	+6	1.2
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	457	394	97	10	5	1	49	102	4	31	12	246	335	305	639	58	323	22	11	292	82	-9	+1	—	—	+13	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#5Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#6Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,249	44	71	217	282	330	+24	+12	1.8	1.9
	/162	664	13	21	217	282	330	+7.1	+3.5	0.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yerald Nin (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	60	40	187/248/247	60	286	3	32	33%	7%	31	-1.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alex Gonzalez 2011 · A	20	43	34→30	54→60	43	201/261/250	48	284	1	19	28%	7%	40	-2.4	213/281/271	58	289	2	12	25%	7%	54	-1.4	206/278/255	49	273	1	12	23%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Nasim Nuñez 2021 · A	20	41→49	35→30	57→65	47	191/265/249	58	276	2	20	30%	9%	42	-2.3	209/294/259	50	308	2	38	29%	10%	57	-1.2	210/286/268	58	278	5	56	25%	9%	54	-1.0
✕Jesus Castillo 2022 · A	19	41→44	34→30	51→55	42	194/257/244	49	275	2	16	28%	6%	37	-2.6	213/312/258	45	291	1	19	24%	11%	66	-0.6	202/327/232	30	283	1	24	24%	14%	65	-0.3
✕Junior Amarante 2015 · A	20	42	34→30	55	42	197/259/243	46	293	1	18	31%	7%	37	-2.6	209/265/265	56	315	2	13	32%	6%	46	-2.0	195/245/220	25	304	0	14	34%	4%	22	-1.0
✕Mikey Edie 2017 · A	20	43	34→30	50	36	201/262/254	53	296	2	14	31%	4%	42	-2.3	217/267/280	63	316	2	13	30%	4%	50	-1.7	206/255/265	59	290	3	7	28%	3%	37	-1.3
✕Wilbis Santiago 2016 · A	20	45	35→40	55→30	46	209/266/267	58	257	2	10	19%	6%	46	-2.0	224/267/299	75	261	3	8	15%	4%	55	-1.4	249/275/330	81	280	3	3	12%	2%	64	-0.2
✕Joe Munoz 2006 · A	20	44	36→30	56→55	47	206/283/277	71	275	2	23	24%	8%	57	-1.2	207/277/269	62	267	2	16	22%	5%	53	-1.5	198/263/247	49	256	1	16	21%	4%	39	-0.7
✕Emmanuel Morel 2017 · A	20	40	34→30	50→55	44	183/259/238	55	287	2	15	34%	9%	37	-2.7	196/261/262	66	318	2	13	36%	7%	43	-2.2	183/249/232	49	297	0	21	35%	6%	27	-0.8
✕Ricardo Verenzuela 2019 · A	19	39	33→30	55→60	44	182/261/228	46	273	1	25	31%	8%	36	-2.7	199/258/258	59	317	2	15	35%	7%	40	-2.4	179/216/211	32	323	0	9	43%	4%	6	-1.0
✕Andy Pineda 2016 · A	19	48	34→30	51→55	48	222/297/277	55	296	2	20	24%	8%	63	-0.9	219/274/285	66	291	4	18	24%	6%	55	-1.4	196/229/220	24	256	0	28	22%	3%	14	-1.1
✕Roberto Caro 2014 · A	20	46→38	35→40	56→60	48	210/285/283	73	287	1	16	25%	8%	59	-1.1	206/280/293	87	292	3	18	28%	8%	59	-1.1	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Rayneldy Rosario 2018 · A	20	46	34→30	48→55	40	217/262/264	47	287	2	17	24%	5%	43	-2.2	189/225/240	51	252	2	9	25%	4%	20	-3.8	160/187/191	31	210	1	7	24%	3%	-12	-1.6
✕Frainyer Chavez 2019 · A	20	46→47	38→40	54→50	42	216/270/292	76	297	5	21	28%	6%	54	-1.4	200/264/255	55	278	2	13	27%	8%	43	-2.2	228/293/326	98	302	11	17	26%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Shael Mendoza 2017 · A	20	45	35→40	53→55	38	213/243/274	61	272	3	20	23%	3%	37	-2.7	230/261/308	78	311	5	18	27%	4%	54	-1.4	246/273/326	80	337	6	21	28%	3%	60	-0.4
✕Ayendy Perez 2015 · A	21	49	34→30	57→60	47	226/283/285	60	284	1	23	20%	7%	58	-1.2	225/277/281	56	316	1	23	27%	7%	54	-1.4	228/281/275	46	330	0	29	29%	7%	52	-0.8
✕Fadriel Cruz 2021 · A	20	40	35→30	57→55	47	188/264/243	55	277	2	28	31%	9%	40	-2.4	201/279/292	91	296	6	20	31%	10%	59	-1.1	178/262/257	79	263	8	23	33%	10%	40	-0.8
✕Jason Denham 2007 · A	21	40→45	35→40	53→55	44	190/254/251	61	280	3	10	31%	8%	37	-2.6	218/277/298	80	290	8	18	26%	7%	59	-1.1	217/279/292	74	284	8	21	25%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Pedro Toribio 2010 · A	20	42	36→40	55→60	47	199/265/272	73	259	3	17	23%	8%	47	-1.9	229/276/321	92	283	4	23	20%	6%	64	-0.8	258/292/370	112	309	4	31	17%	4%	81	+0.1
✕Reidy Mercado 2021 · A	20	42	36→30	55→60	42	199/253/260	61	270	3	25	27%	6%	39	-2.5	190/243/248	58	301	3	19	35%	6%	31	-3.0	168/217/207	39	275	1	25	37%	5%	6	-1.2