Alberto Mendez

SS Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 22 L/R 5'9" / 146 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKCLE	167	.182/.299/.350	5	2	11	—	.106/.192/.199
2025	20	ALynchburg Hil…	167	.247/.337/.329	1	3	42	—	.192/.265/.265
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCLE	277	.202/.266/.290	3	4	58	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBCLE	53	.206/.271/.301	1	1	63	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBCLE	126	.210/.276/.312	2	2	67	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 A

K%70

Speed58

Chase%55

Z-Con%54

wRC+52

Whiff%51

CompsSergio Burruel (age 22) · Kier Meredith (age 22) · David Martin (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 105 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .264 / .288

PA105

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL CLE Blue	—	167	133	34	4	2	2	32	44	2	5	1	256	407	361	768	105	368	26	19	358	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	150	112	24	2	0	5	31	36	4	6	4	214	401	366	767	152	257	24	21	353	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	167	143	26	9	0	5	21	47	3	2	1	182	299	350	649	168	231	28	13	297	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	167	146	36	5	2	1	18	33	2	3	2	247	337	329	666	82	310	20	11	306	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	167	143	21	2	1	1	22	55	2	5	1	147	269	196	465	49	237	33	13	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	150	124	18	1	0	3	19	52	4	6	4	145	279	226	505	81	196	35	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	167	151	16	5	0	3	13	68	3	2	1	106	192	199	390	93	166	41	8	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	167	151	29	4	2	1	13	45	2	3	2	192	265	265	530	73	258	27	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	167	143	21	2	1	1	22	55	2	5	1	147	269	196	465	49	230	33	13	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Blue	—	167	133	34	4	2	2	32	44	2	5	1	256	407	361	768	105	368	26	19	358	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	150	124	18	1	0	3	19	52	4	6	4	145	279	226	505	81	208	35	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	150	112	24	2	0	5	31	36	4	6	4	214	401	366	767	152	257	24	21	353	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	167	151	16	5	0	3	13	68	3	2	1	106	192	199	390	93	163	41	8	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	167	143	26	9	0	5	21	47	3	2	1	182	299	350	649	168	231	28	13	297	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	167	151	29	4	2	1	13	45	2	3	2	192	265	265	530	73	264	27	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	167	146	36	5	2	1	18	33	2	3	2	247	337	329	666	82	310	20	11	306	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Blue	—	167	141	21	2	1	1	22	55	2	5	1	149	269	199	468	50	237	33	13	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	150	126	18	1	0	3	19	52	4	6	4	143	279	222	501	79	196	35	13	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	167	149	16	5	0	3	13	68	3	2	1	107	192	201	393	94	166	41	8	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	167	150	29	4	2	1	13	45	2	3	2	193	265	267	532	73	258	27	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	167	149	16	5	0	3	13	68	3	2	1	107	192	201	393	94	166	41	8	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	167	150	29	4	2	1	13	45	2	3	2	193	265	267	532	73	258	27	8	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	277	252	51	10	2	3	20	77	3	4	1	202	266	290	556	88	274	28	7	253	58	-14	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	154	140	28	5	1	2	11	42	2	2	1	206	271	303	575	97	276	27	7	261	63	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	CLE	46%	274	249	53	10	2	4	20	74	3	4	1	210	276	313	589	104	278	27	7	267	67	-11	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.2
2030	25	MLB MLE	CLE	52%	351	319	68	13	2	6	26	94	3	5	2	212	279	321	600	109	279	27	7	271	70	-13	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	401	364	79	15	3	7	30	106	4	6	2	214	281	326	607	112	279	26	7	274	72	-14	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	426	387	84	16	3	8	32	113	4	6	2	215	282	328	610	113	279	27	8	275	72	-14	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	CLE	58%	438	398	86	16	3	8	33	117	4	6	2	213	280	323	603	110	279	27	8	273	71	-15	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	438	398	84	16	3	7	33	118	4	5	2	211	277	317	595	107	278	27	8	269	68	-17	+0	-1	+5	+9	-0.4
2028	23	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	53	48	10	2	0	1	4	15	1	1	0	206	271	301	573	95	276	28	8	260	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	CLE	46%	126	115	25	5	1	2	9	34	1	2	1	210	276	312	587	102	278	27	7	266	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CLE	52%	181	164	35	7	1	3	13	48	2	3	1	212	279	319	598	107	279	27	7	270	70	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	217	197	42	8	1	4	16	58	2	3	1	214	281	324	605	110	279	27	7	273	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	231	210	45	9	1	4	17	61	2	3	1	215	282	326	608	112	279	26	7	275	72	-8	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	CLE	58%	256	233	48	9	1	4	19	68	2	3	1	213	280	322	602	109	279	27	7	272	71	-9	+0	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	243	221	46	9	1	4	18	66	2	3	1	211	277	316	593	105	278	27	7	269	68	-9	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1307	1188	251	49	6	22	96	350	12	18	6	211	277	318	595	107	279	27	7	271	62	-47	+1	-1	+14	+28	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	125	24	3	11	48	174	6	9	3	212	278	318	596	107	279	27	7	271	62	-23	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3238	2920	586	107	21	51	259	913	36	52	20	201	274	304	578	103	271	28	8	260	62	-95	+2	-2	+28	+56	-1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	117	21	4	10	52	183	7	10	4	200	272	300	573	101	270	28	8	260	62	-24	+1	-1	+7	+14	-0.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Chuck Cottier'59-'69 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,770 PA	2.7	1,770	19	28	219*	280*	330*	+7	+14	0.5	0.9
/162	664	7	11	+2.7	+5.3	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.1	1,413	23	20	212	276	320	+15	+15	0.4	0.4
/162	664	11	10	+7.1	+7.1	0.2	pk7: 0
#4Jerry Kindall'56-'65 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,261 PA	3.4	2,261	44	17	212*	265*	339*	+9	+21	-0.7	0.4
/162	664	13	5	+2.7	+6.3	-0.2	pk7: 2
#5David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alberto Mendez (OGILVIE)	22	40	25	45	40	200/264/288	88	274	1	2	28%	7%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Burruel 2013 · A	22	45	35→30	45→30	44	208/271/266	58	289	2	4	27%	7%	55	-2.0	232/282/301	69	315	4	6	26%	6%	66	-1.1	247/310/316	70	302	6	1	19%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/266/263	67	278	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	208/305/278	70	291	4	26	27%	9%	72	-0.7	223/339/272	49	296	2	35	22%	11%	80	-0.0
✕David Martin 2023 · A	22	45	39→30	49→30	42	211/284/299	89	296	5	7	29%	6%	68	-1.0	224/307/292	68	280	4	4	20%	9%	75	-0.5	244/339/302	58	293	4	1	16%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Branden Cogswell 2015 · A	22	44→46	36→30	50→45	47	207/275/273	66	270	4	8	24%	8%	58	-1.7	217/279/277	60	300	3	6	26%	8%	59	-1.6	221/282/269	48	303	1	5	25%	8%	56	-1.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	49→40	40	195/262/275	80	276	6	7	30%	6%	54	-2.0	219/293/300	81	280	8	4	23%	7%	72	-0.7	211/298/265	54	265	5	1	21%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jose Augusto Figueroa 2015 · A	22	43	38→40	50→45	42	206/259/288	82	279	5	13	27%	6%	55	-2.0	230/267/313	83	329	4	10	30%	4%	63	-1.4	261/289/353	92	366	4	5	29%	3%	77	-0.1
✕Jacob Gonzalez 2024 · A	22	44→45	38→45	46→50	51	208/290/285	76	270	6	6	24%	9%	67	-1.1	218/275/329	111	256	11	12	19%	6%	71	-0.8	220/279/347	127	253	14	13	19%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Jamodrick McGruder 2014 · A	22	40→44	37→40	52→50	47	193/261/259	66	255	5	10	25%	8%	50	-2.3	211/284/306	95	274	7	10	23%	9%	69	-0.9	206/287/304	98	264	6	10	22%	10%	66	-0.8
✕Jake Thomas 2016 · A	23	43	39→30	49→50	47	207/286/290	82	278	7	8	26%	8%	66	-1.1	204/286/270	66	302	2	8	30%	10%	61	-1.5	198/289/254	57	300	1	8	30%	11%	57	-0.9
✕Dallas Poulk 2011 · A	23	42	40→30	50	43	204/262/298	93	276	7	8	28%	7%	59	-1.7	208/273/276	68	294	3	9	27%	8%	57	-1.8	201/271/260	59	287	1	8	28%	8%	50	-1.5
✕Bryant Aragon 2019 · A	21	44	40→30	50→40	40	210/264/305	95	300	8	6	31%	6%	61	-1.5	227/279/301	74	353	4	5	34%	6%	65	-1.2	239/288/295	56	374	4	2	35%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Michael Smith 2019 · A	22	46	36→30	48→50	44	214/276/278	64	287	3	9	25%	6%	59	-1.6	211/275/277	66	311	3	13	31%	7%	59	-1.7	213/282/273	60	303	3	17	28%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Jeremy Arocho 2021 · A	22	48→44	36→30	48→60	47	224/284/295	71	288	3	10	22%	7%	65	-1.2	228/321/282	54	318	2	26	25%	12%	78	-0.3	221/328/267	46	302	1	34	24%	13%	75	-0.3
✕Bobby Haney 2011 · A	22	43	36→30	47→40	42	205/251/273	68	266	3	6	23%	5%	48	-2.5	215/265/282	67	300	3	4	28%	6%	55	-1.9	217/266/281	64	297	4	3	27%	6%	53	-1.1
✕Ben Theriot 2010 · A	22	47	36→40	47→40	47	218/280/286	68	287	3	6	24%	7%	62	-1.4	236/281/331	95	317	6	3	26%	6%	72	-0.7	252/292/362	111	330	8	0	25%	5%	81	-0.0
✕T.J. Schofield-Sam 2023 · A	22	46→48	41→40	46→40	38	222/273/320	98	293	7	6	26%	4%	68	-1.0	215/267/305	90	287	6	5	26%	4%	62	-1.4	209/264/291	82	282	5	3	26%	4%	56	-1.5
✕Carlos Soto 2021 · A	22	42	41→45	47→30	41	207/267/304	97	289	9	5	31%	6%	62	-1.4	193/273/308	115	277	10	3	31%	9%	66	-1.1	168/258/285	117	236	11	0	32%	10%	54	-0.8
✕Eric Garcia 2013 · A	22	41	40	45	47	200/275/291	91	275	7	8	28%	8%	63	-1.4	210/265/290	80	269	5	7	22%	7%	57	-1.8	206/258/280	74	261	4	6	22%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	42	41→40	46→45	40	203/258/299	95	286	8	8	31%	6%	57	-1.8	200/263/285	85	289	7	9	31%	7%	56	-1.9	185/254/258	73	266	7	8	31%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Daniel Brito 2021 · A	23	43→48	38→40	42→50	40	208/256/284	76	280	6	9	27%	5%	53	-2.1	242/293/357	115	308	9	7	23%	6%	84	+0.1	268/317/399	132	331	10	4	21%	6%	98	+0.6

Alberto Mendez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps