Carlos Pacheco — OGILVIE

Carlos PachecoOF Lansing Lugnuts

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A+ HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION203 act + 24 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .292 / .238

PA24

HR0

K%38

BB%8

BABIP273

ISO48

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT27

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	212	164	30	3	2	0	39	43	7	19	6	183	362	226	588	43	244	20	18	293	84	-4	+1	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	160	131	32	4	1	2	22	38	5	20	5	244	373	336	709	92	326	24	14	329	108	+2	+2	—	—	+3	0.7
2024	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	184	144	37	10	1	3	22	45	13	11	3	257	400	403	803	146	347	24	12	361	130	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	20	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	60	45	4	0	0	0	10	13	1	3	0	89	263	89	352		118	22	17	189	14	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	141	115	20	2	1	1	21	41	5	11	1	174	326	235	561	61	260	29	15	277	74	-4	+2	—	—	+3	0.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	52	34	8	1	0	0	9	11	6	5	1	235	469	265	734	29	333	21	17	352	124	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	212	179	23	2	1	0	24	65	7	19	6	128	257	151	408	22	198	31	11	204	24	-19	+1	—	—	+5	-1.3
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	140	22	2	1	1	13	55	5	20	5	157	253	207	460	50	238	34	8	215	32	-13	+2	—	—	+3	-0.8
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	184	153	27	6	1	3	14	65	13	11	3	176	300	288	588	111	247	35	8	247	53	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	20	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	60	49	4	0	0	0	7	18	1	3	0	82	211	82	292		97	30	12	144	-16	-8	+1	—	—	+1	-0.7
2025	20	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	141	121	16	1	1	1	15	54	5	11	1	132	255	182	437	50	223	38	11	202	23	-13	+2	—	—	+3	-0.8
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	52	37	7	1	0	0	6	16	6	5	1	189	388	216	604	27	261	31	12	265	65	-2	+1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	212	179	23	2	1	0	24	65	7	19	6	128	257	151	408	22	198	31	11	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	212	164	30	3	2	0	39	43	7	19	6	183	362	226	588	43	244	20	18	293	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	140	22	2	1	1	13	55	5	20	5	157	253	207	460	50	247	34	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	160	131	32	4	1	2	22	38	5	20	5	244	373	336	709	92	326	24	14	329	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	184	153	27	6	1	3	14	65	13	11	3	176	300	288	588	111	276	35	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Athletics	—	184	144	37	10	1	3	22	45	13	11	3	257	400	403	803	146	347	24	12	361	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	253	208	27	2	1	1	27	89	12	19	2	130	267	163	431	34	215	35	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	253	194	32	3	1	1	40	65	12	19	2	165	340	206	546	41	237	26	16	272	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	212	179	23	2	1	0	24	65	7	19	6	128	257	151	408	22	198	31	11	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	141	22	2	1	1	13	55	5	20	5	156	253	206	459	50	238	34	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	184	155	27	6	1	3	14	65	13	11	3	174	300	284	584	110	247	35	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	253	212	27	2	1	1	27	89	12	19	2	127	267	160	428	33	201	35	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	160	141	22	2	1	1	13	55	5	20	5	156	253	206	459	50	238	34	8	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Athletics	—	184	155	27	6	1	3	14	65	13	11	3	174	300	284	584	110	247	35	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	253	212	27	2	1	1	27	89	12	19	2	127	267	160	428	33	201	35	11	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	OAK	—	203	185	31	5	2	1	12	78	4	22	3	168	234	232	466	65	278	38	6	208	27	-18	+3	+0	-1	+4	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	OAK	—	54	47	9	2	0	0	4	8	2	5	0	191	283	234	517	43	225	15	7	244	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	OAK	—	109	96	20	3	2	1	12	40	1	15	3	208	303	312	615	104	345	37	11	284	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA RAW	OAK	—	40	36	9	1	1	0	1	11	1	2	0	250	282	333	615	83	346	28	2	267	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	OAK	0%	24	21	4	1	0	0	2	9	1	1	0	190	292	238	530	48	268	38	8	229	41	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
TOT	21	A+ MLE	OAK	—	227	206	35	6	2	1	14	87	5	23	3	170	240	233	473	63	283	38	6	210	29	-19	+3	+0	-1	+5	-1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	OAK	35%	367	324	56	9	2	4	31	128	9	15	2	173	264	250	514	77	272	35	8	246	53	-21	+2	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	OAK	49%	436	385	72	12	3	7	38	147	10	16	2	187	277	288	565	101	275	34	9	258	61	-20	+2	+0	-3	+9	-1.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	OAK	53%	481	425	81	13	3	9	42	158	11	17	3	191	280	299	579	108	277	33	9	266	66	-19	+2	+0	-3	+10	-1.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	503	442	86	14	3	10	44	163	12	17	3	195	285	308	593	113	277	32	9	270	69	-19	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
2027	22	MLB CTX	OAK	35%	127	112	19	3	1	1	11	44	3	5	1	170	262	241	503	71	277	35	9	230	53	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	23	MLB CTX	OAK	49%	212	187	35	6	1	3	18	71	5	8	1	187	276	278	554	91	280	33	8	243	61	-10	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	OAK	53%	254	224	42	7	1	4	22	84	6	9	1	188	278	281	559	94	282	33	9	251	66	-10	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	275	243	48	8	2	5	24	89	6	9	1	198	286	309	594	111	282	32	9	255	69	-10	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	868	766	144	24	5	13	75	288	20	31	4	188	278	283	561	95	279	33	9	247	53	-37	+5	+0	-5	+19	-2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	108	18	4	10	56	216	15	23	3	188	278	286	563	98	279	33	9	247	53	-28	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2620	2277	398	61	15	35	235	879	80	135	26	175	275	261	536	86	263	34	9	247	53	-81	+9	+0	-11	+39	-4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	565	99	15	4	9	58	218	20	33	6	175	275	264	539	88	263	34	9	247	53	-29	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.3	869	15	32	189	276	291	-5	+0	-1.4	-0.7
/162	664	11	24	-4.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Pacheco (OGILVIE)	21	22→27	33→38	61→66	57	162/255/221	59	268	2	17	37%	8%	41	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Soto 2010 · A	21	39	37→45	56→60	40	188/240/265	77	263	3	22	29%	5%	42	-2.9	199/243/272	73	293	3	14	31%	5%	45	-2.7	187/218/237	50	279	0	18	32%	3%	25	-0.8
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2011 · A	21	37→47	35→40	56→60	40	173/246/227	54	279	2	26	36%	7%	37	-3.3	197/268/268	71	292	4	28	31%	7%	55	-2.0	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	56	-1.9	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	65	-1.2	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	40	38→45	53→50	48	189/275/275	85	275	5	15	31%	10%	59	-1.6	188/260/285	97	334	7	13	42%	8%	55	-1.9	138/202/215	77	286	6	16	50%	7%	15	-1.7
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→29	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	58	-1.7	210/268/333	123	318	12	13	36%	6%	69	-0.9	199/258/307	108	299	12	16	35%	6%	56	-1.0
✕Ruben Martinez 2008 · A	21	40	36→30	57→60	43	181/269/246	65	310	3	22	39%	9%	51	-2.3	178/244/244	66	286	2	13	36%	7%	40	-3.1	141/183/193	52	214	0	10	32%	4%	1	-1.8
✕Cameron Cauley 2023 · A	20	39→44	37→50	60	37	182/239/252	71	301	4	28	39%	6%	39	-3.1	192/245/308	116	310	11	26	39%	6%	55	-2.0	202/258/341	139	281	14	30	32%	7%	65	-1.0
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	44→41	38→40	57→55	51	197/299/276	79	311	4	20	34%	12%	69	-0.9	185/268/271	86	315	6	17	39%	10%	55	-1.9	139/221/218	78	251	5	17	43%	9%	23	-1.1
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	47	-2.5	205/274/318	113	295	9	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	191/257/296	105	277	7	15	32%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2016 · A	20	42→38	38→50	54→55	43	198/270/278	80	278	6	20	29%	7%	58	-1.7	205/275/321	116	272	10	18	27%	7%	70	-0.9	198/272/329	132	263	13	19	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Monte Harrison 2016 · A	20	39→44	38→50	56→60	37	180/259/257	78	309	5	21	40%	7%	50	-2.3	195/255/304	109	321	11	16	40%	5%	58	-1.7	192/260/311	120	338	15	41	45%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	39→36	39→40	52→55	42	182/262/265	82	299	6	17	38%	8%	52	-2.2	190/262/277	87	301	6	19	36%	7%	55	-2.0	139/216/198	59	225	3	32	36%	7%	17	-1.4
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	40→46	40	53→60	46	188/283/278	90	291	7	16	35%	10%	63	-1.3	193/292/274	81	290	6	18	32%	11%	66	-1.1	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Sergio Garcia 2012 · AAA	21	38	40→45	54→60	40	189/245/278	88	269	9	22	32%	6%	47	-2.5	211/252/312	101	296	10	27	31%	4%	58	-1.7	222/247/328	107	293	10	17	28%	3%	57	-0.8
✕Justin Trapp 2012 · A	21	42→45	39→45	54→55	39	200/255/283	83	294	6	21	33%	6%	53	-2.1	214/269/314	100	296	9	16	29%	6%	65	-1.2	214/269/307	93	291	8	15	28%	5%	60	-1.3
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	38	38→40	56→55	40	180/254/263	84	299	6	15	39%	8%	49	-2.4	194/254/275	81	302	5	8	35%	6%	50	-2.3	181/235/249	68	265	5	2	32%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Jon Matthews 2013 · A	22	37	36→40	56→60	38	178/236/244	66	265	3	23	32%	6%	36	-3.3	221/286/292	71	305	4	21	27%	7%	66	-1.1	231/302/293	61	313	3	21	25%	8%	69	-0.4
✕Luke Williams 2018 · A	21	39→44	35→45	55→65	41	188/231/241	52	251	2	18	26%	5%	33	-3.6	199/255/288	89	264	8	18	26%	6%	54	-2.0	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps