Carlos Pacheco — OGILVIE

Carlos PachecoOF Stockton Ports

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.2 · 2031

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .295 / .328

PA240

HR5

SB10

K%29

BB%9

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

25↗30

PWR

33↗38

SPD

56↗61

EYE

54↗59

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.2peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.2	$11M	+$10M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.2	$11M	+$11M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.1	$11M	+$10M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.9	$5M	+$3M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.7	$4M	+$1M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.2M
Totals		$9M		$44M	+$35M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	212	179	23	2	1	0	24	65	7	19	6	.128	.257	.151	.408	.022	.198	31	11	.203	14	-21	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.5
2023	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	160	140	22	2	1	1	13	55	5	20	5	.157	.253	.207	.460	.050	.247	34	8	.211	20	-15	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
2024	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	184	153	27	6	1	3	14	65	13	11	3	.176	.300	.288	.588	.111	.276	35	8	.247	47	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
2025	20	A	3 teams	253	208	27	2	1	1	27	88	12	19	2	.130	.267	.163	.431	.034	.213	35	11	.201	12	-25	+3	+0	-2	+7	-1.7
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	A	Stockton Ports	48	42	6	1	0	0	3	9	2	4	0	.143	.234	.167	.401	.024	.176	19	6	.191	4	-5	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	OAK	192	169	34	6	1	4	17	54	4	6	1	.201	.289	.320	.609	.118	.270	28	9	.278	71	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
TOT	21	MLB	OAK	240	211	40	7	1	4	20	63	6	10	1	.190	.278	.289	.568	.100	.247	26	8	.260	57	-12	+2	+0	-1	+7	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 11%	OAK	306	268	56	10	1	7	29	77	6	9	1	.209	.300	.332	.632	.123	.269	25	9	.294	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.2
2028	23	MLB 28%	OAK	393	343	76	14	2	10	39	97	8	11	2	.222	.315	.362	.677	.140	.271	25	10	.302	89	-5	+1	+0	-2	+11	0.5
2029	24	MLB 45%	OAK	452	395	87	16	2	12	45	109	9	13	2	.220	.314	.362	.676	.142	.273	24	10	.307	93	-4	+2	+0	-3	+13	0.9
2030	25	MLB 60%	OAK	483	422	94	17	2	13	49	116	9	13	2	.223	.317	.365	.682	.142	.274	24	10	.311	96	-2	+2	+0	-3	+14	1.1
2031	26	MLB 77%	OAK	502	435	98	18	2	14	52	120	10	13	2	.225	.322	.372	.694	.147	.274	24	10	.312	97	-2	+2	+0	-3	+14	1.2
2032	27	MLB 92%	OAK	508	440	98	18	2	14	53	122	10	13	1	.223	.320	.368	.688	.145	.274	24	10	.312	97	-2	+2	+0	-3	+14	1.2
2033	28	MLB	OAK	508	439	98	18	2	14	54	123	10	13	1	.223	.322	.369	.691	.146	.274	24	11	.311	96	-2	+2	-1	-3	+14	1.1
2034	29	MLB	OAK	501	434	96	17	2	14	53	123	9	12	1	.221	.319	.366	.685	.145	.273	25	11	.309	95	-3	+2	-1	-3	+14	0.9
2035	30	MLB	OAK	492	428	93	17	2	13	52	122	9	11	0	.217	.315	.357	.672	.140	.271	25	11	.306	92	-4	+2	-2	-3	+14	0.7
2036	31	MLB	OAK	479	416	89	16	2	12	51	121	9	10	0	.214	.313	.349	.662	.135	.270	25	11	.302	89	-6	+2	-3	-3	+14	0.4
2037	32	MLB	OAK	461	401	84	15	2	11	49	119	8	8	0	.209	.308	.339	.647	.130	.268	26	11	.298	86	-7	+2	-4	-3	+13	0.1
2038	33	MLB	OAK	432	375	77	14	1	10	46	114	8	8	0	.205	.305	.328	.633	.123	.266	26	11	.292	82	-9	+2	-4	-3	+12	-0.2
2039	34	MLB	OAK	386	335	68	12	1	9	41	106	7	7	0	.203	.303	.325	.628	.122	.264	27	11	.286	77	-10	+1	-5	-2	+11	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6904	5980	1247	220	28	162	708	1796	153	216	29	.209	.308	.336	.644	.127	.267	26	10	.293	82	-139	+32	-20	-41	+196	2.8
/ 162G	—			650	563	118	21	3	15	67	169	14	20	3	.210	.309	.337	.646	.128	.269	26	10	.293	82	-13	+3	-2	-4	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	212	164	30	3	2	0	39	43	7	19	6	.183	.362	.226	.588	.043	.244	20	18	.293	82	-4	+1	—	—	+6	0.3
2023	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	160	131	32	4	1	2	22	38	5	20	5	.244	.373	.336	.709	.092	.326	24	14	.329	110	+2	+2	—	—	+5	0.8
2024	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	184	144	37	10	1	3	22	45	13	11	3	.257	.400	.403	.803	.146	.347	24	12	.361	134	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.4
2025	20	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	60	45	4	0	0	0	10	13	1	3	0	.089	.263	.089	.352	.000	.118	22	17	.189	3	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	20	A	Stockton Ports	141	115	20	2	1	1	21	41	5	11	1	.174	.326	.235	.561	.061	.260	29	15	.277	70	-5	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2025	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	52	34	8	1	0	0	9	11	6	5	1	.235	.469	.265	.734	.029	.333	21	17	.352	128	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Pacheco (OGILVIE)	21	25→30	33→38	56→61	59	.206/.295/.328	.122	.283	5	6	29%	9%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	43→40	45	52→55	51	.212/.298/.333	.121	.262	13	19	24%	10%	79	+0.3	.213/.277/.328	.115	.263	11	18	22%	7%	67	-0.5	.203/.251/.303	.099	.247	8	18	21%	6%	48	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	41→32	45→55	53→50	39	.208/.253/.334	.126	.273	12	15	28%	5%	59	-1.1	.188/.236/.349	.161	.267	20	5	37%	5%	56	-1.3	.194/.269/.375	.181	.237	26	7	31%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	46→50	53→55	45	.189/.278/.319	.129	.289	14	15	37%	10%	67	-0.5	.210/.289/.331	.121	.326	12	16	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Daz Cameron 2018 · A	21	40→45	44→55	52→55	41	.201/.263/.319	.117	.279	11	19	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.203/.270/.325	.122	.295	10	17	33%	7%	65	-0.7	.220/.291/.388	.168	.274	20	25	27%	8%	88	+0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	37→36	45→50	54→50	38	.192/.253/.319	.127	.271	12	13	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.204/.262/.355	.151	.295	18	14	36%	6%	69	-0.4	.197/.258/.362	.165	.284	22	15	38%	7%	67	-0.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	.188/.259/.305	.117	.281	12	9	36%	7%	55	-1.4	.194/.278/.291	.097	.346	7	8	42%	9%	59	-1.1	.146/.273/.221	.075	.359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	.207/.272/.315	.108	.262	11	18	25%	7%	63	-0.9	.208/.274/.359	.151	.269	18	18	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	.209/.289/.316	.107	.254	9	14	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.226/.290/.341	.115	.304	10	11	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Walking Cabrera 2022 · A	21	41→37	45	52→45	44	.205/.265/.326	.121	.270	12	12	28%	7%	62	-0.9	.196/.250/.299	.103	.290	10	8	34%	6%	48	-1.9	.185/.238/.286	.100	.277	10	6	35%	6%	39	-1.5
✕Maximo Rivera 2014 · A	21	45	40→45	53→60	43	.219/.272/.307	.089	.279	8	21	24%	6%	59	-1.1	.213/.262/.283	.070	.295	4	11	27%	6%	49	-1.8	.198/.239/.245	.047	.274	3	7	27%	5%	25	-0.9
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	46→43	43→45	56→50	42	.224/.277/.340	.116	.301	9	15	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.218/.275/.336	.118	.288	10	12	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.212/.270/.327	.116	.280	10	13	27%	6%	62	-0.6
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	43→35	41→45	58→50	47	.207/.283/.312	.104	.273	8	15	26%	8%	66	-0.6	.188/.255/.296	.108	.265	11	9	32%	7%	50	-1.7	.168/.235/.263	.095	.240	11	7	33%	7%	31	-2.2
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	44→45	53→55	45	.232/.297/.346	.114	.275	12	15	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.215/.274/.310	.095	.277	8	11	24%	5%	62	-0.9	.185/.240/.257	.072	.258	6	6	29%	5%	31	-1.1
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→33	43→45	51→50	43	.192/.259/.300	.108	.274	11	13	33%	8%	53	-1.5	.205/.268/.319	.114	.301	12	12	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.179/.252/.298	.118	.265	14	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	41→38	45→50	53→55	45	.207/.274/.329	.122	.263	12	20	26%	7%	67	-0.5	.197/.273/.332	.135	.277	14	17	32%	8%	68	-0.5	.174/.259/.299	.125	.247	13	18	33%	8%	52	-1.1
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	39	43→45	46→45	44	.196/.254/.303	.107	.234	12	12	22%	6%	52	-1.6	.223/.274/.346	.123	.264	13	9	21%	5%	71	-0.3	.259/.302/.380	.121	.288	12	8	14%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	39→45	53→50	46	.186/.268/.273	.087	.271	6	14	31%	9%	50	-1.7	.188/.261/.284	.096	.328	7	13	41%	8%	50	-1.7	.138/.200/.215	.077	.281	6	16	50%	7%	4	-1.7
✕Tyler Kolodny 2009 · A	21	46→34	44→45	53→50	42	.227/.288/.350	.123	.294	12	8	26%	6%	79	+0.3	.202/.271/.332	.130	.267	13	8	29%	6%	67	-0.5	.191/.267/.321	.131	.248	14	9	28%	6%	60	-0.5
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	44	.214/.289/.333	.120	.290	11	17	29%	8%	75	-0.0	.194/.265/.298	.104	.295	10	12	35%	7%	56	-1.3	.168/.239/.253	.086	.253	8	12	35%	7%	31	-1.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)