Carlos PachecoOF Lansing Lugnuts
Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 150 lbs A+ HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION170 act + 123 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†39
AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .270 / .250
PA123
HR1
SB6
K%33
BB%8
BABIP265
ISO74
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -25.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-25BATRUN: +3.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-2POSREP: +8.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -1.50-1.5WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.9-1.0-0.7-0.5-0.4262830
Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 38
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT28
scouting grade only
POWER38
scouting grade only
EYE56
scouting grade only
SPEED65
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M———
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-1M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Athletics — 212180 23210 23677 196 128252150402 22200 3211 201 12 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Athletics — 212164 30320 39437 196 183362226588 43244 2018 293 82 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Athletics — 160140 21211 13555 205 150247200447 50235 348 208 17 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Athletics — 160131 32412 22385 205 244373336709 92326 2414 329 110 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Athletics — 184153 25513 146513 113 163289268557 105253 358 248 48 — — — — — —
202419 ROKACL Athletics — 184144 371013 224513 113 257400403803 146347 2412 361 134 — — — — — —
202520 A3 teams — 253208 26211 278912 192 125263159422 34207 3511 198 9 — — — — — —
202520 A3 teams — 253194 32311 406512 192 165340206546 41237 2616 272 66 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+OAK — 170156 26411 8644 172 167226224451 58269 385 203 14 -17 +3 +0 -1 +5 -1.0
YTD21 A+OAK — 170151 32611 12484 172 212286285570 73298 287 261 58 -8 +3 +0 -1 +5 -0.2
ROS21 A+OAK 0% 123108 19311 10404 61 176270250520 74262 338 237 39 -8 +1 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
ROS21 MLBOAK 0% 11 0000 000 00 260 00 213 22 -0 +0 +0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+OAK — 171157 26411 8644 172 166225223448 57266 375 203 14 -17 +3 +0 -1 +5 -1.0
TOT21 A+OAK — 293264 45722 181048 233 170245235480 64267 356 217 24 -25 +3 +0 -2 +8 -1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBOAK 35% 373329 611024 3111510 142 185276264540 79267 318 254 53 -20 +2 +0 -2 +11 -1.0
202823 MLBOAK 49% 440389 761327 3713211 162 195284293577 98271 308 265 61 -19 +2 +0 -3 +12 -0.7
202924 MLBOAK 53% 484428 851429 4114212 162 199287304591 105273 298 273 67 -18 +2 +0 -3 +14 -0.5
203025 MLBOAK 55% 505444 8915210 4414712 162 200290311601 110273 299 276 70 -17 +2 +0 -3 +14 -0.4
202722 MLBOAK 35% 129114 22412 11403 51 193281298579 105265 319 233 36 -9 +1 +0 -1 +4 -0.6
202823 MLBOAK 49% 214189 36613 18645 81 190278280559 90268 308 245 45 -13 +1 +0 -1 +6 -0.7
202924 MLBOAK 53% 255225 43714 22756 81 191281284565 93271 299 252 51 -14 +1 +0 -2 +7 -0.7
203025 MLBOAK 55% 276243 48815 24807 91 198288300589 103271 299 256 54 -14 +1 +0 -2 +8 -0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 875772 14925414 7525921 304 193282290572 97268 309 249 48 -51 +4 +0 -5 +25 -2.8
/ 162G— — 650573 11119310 5619216 223 194284290573 96270 309 249 48 -38 +3 +0 -4 +18 -2.1
Career— — 27342379 425661336 24085286 13725 179278263540 84258 319 250 50 -156 +17 +0 -16 +77 -7.9
/ 162G— — 650566 1021639 5720320 336 180278267545 87260 319 250 50 -37 +4 +0 -4 +18 -1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Athletics — 212164 30320 39437 196 183362226588 43244 2018 293 82 -4 +1 — — +6 0.3
202318 ROKDSL Athletics — 160131 32412 22385 205 244373336709 92326 2414 329 110 +2 +2 — — +5 0.8
202419 ROKACL Athletics — 184144 371013 224513 113 257400403803 146347 2412 361 134 +7 +1 — — +5 1.4
202520 A+Lansing Lugnuts — 6045 4000 10131 30 8926389352 118 2217 189 3 -7 +1 — — +2 -0.4
202520 AStockton Ports — 141115 20211 21415 111 174326235561 61260 2915 277 70 -5 +2 — — +4 0.1
202520 ROKACL Athletics — 5234 8100 9116 51 235469265734 29333 2117 352 128 +2 +1 — — +1 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
28761530198284299-5+0-1.2-0.6
/1626641123-4.0+0.0-0.9pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Pacheco (OGILVIE) 21 23→28 33→38 60→65 56 170/245/235 64267 223 35% 6% 24 -1.5 ————————— —————————
✕Victor Soto
2010 · A 		21 39 37→45 56→60 40 188/240/265 77263 322 29% 5% 35 -2.8 199/243/272 73293 314 31% 5% 37 -2.6 187/218/2375027901832%3%15-0.8
✕Tyler James
2018 · A 		21 44 36→30 64→65 42 204/266/281 77293 227 29% 7% 50 -1.7 220/283/294 74332 427 32% 7% 61 -1.0 230/297/2896035244533%8%61-0.4
✕Troy Stokes Jr.
2017 · A 		21 44→38 39→50 54→55 45 207/278/296 88274 519 25% 7% 59 -1.1 198/271/329 131274 1318 31% 8% 66 -0.6 184/263/319135258141933%8%58-1.0
✕Roberto Caro
2015 · A 		21 45→38 38→40 63→60 49 212/292/308 96281 321 24% 9% 69 -0.4 201/272/280 79302 216 31% 8% 53 -1.5 212/285/2927932822633%8%59-0.5
✕Nelson Medina
2022 · A 		21 39 38→45 53→50 47 187/270/270 84274 515 31% 9% 51 -1.7 185/255/279 94336 713 43% 8% 46 -2.0 134/194/2097529151652%6%-1-1.8
✕Chris Roller
2018 · A 		21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
✕Kenny Wilson
2011 · A 		21 36→46 35→40 56→60 40 170/243/223 53273 226 36% 7% 27 -3.3 191/262/262 71286 428 32% 7% 45 -2.1 195/262/2899430282235%6%49-0.7
✕Junior Boni
2012 · A 		21 44 37→40 55 48 204/278/285 80264 216 22% 8% 57 -1.2 200/272/276 76269 312 25% 8% 52 -1.6 146/233/1914420401325%9%11-0.9
✕Frankeny Fernandez
2017 · A 		20 36 38→40 53→60 42 174/248/255 81275 519 36% 8% 37 -2.6 193/258/268 75281 510 31% 7% 44 -2.1 172/238/215432393627%7%20-1.1
✕Jose Curpa
2022 · A 		22 40 36→30 58→55 46 184/272/253 69286 224 33% 10% 47 -1.9 206/292/291 85310 617 32% 9% 65 -0.7 198/299/2636529652331%10%59-0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara
2021 · A 		22 44→28 38→45 57→50 41 201/270/281 80317 516 36% 8% 53 -1.5 213/271/338 125320 1313 35% 6% 68 -0.5 202/261/313111301121635%6%53-0.8
✕Luke Williams
2018 · A 		21 39→46 35→45 55→60 41 188/231/243 55251 318 26% 5% 25 -3.5 199/255/286 87268 718 27% 6% 47 -1.9 230/291/360130317134230%7%79+0.2
✕Christian Cairo
2022 · A 		21 39→46 40 53→60 46 187/281/276 89288 716 34% 10% 58 -1.2 194/293/274 80293 618 32% 11% 63 -0.9 214/304/2836830343427%10%66-0.4
✕Robert Del Rosario
2013 · A 		21 40 36→40 53→55 45 191/251/257 67255 415 26% 7% 38 -2.6 212/263/277 65287 313 26% 6% 47 -1.9 226/270/2694330301724%4%46-0.7
✕Sergio Garcia
2011 · AAA 		20 36 39→45 55→60 38 182/232/262 80261 725 32% 6% 30 -3.1 207/253/321 114286 1325 31% 5% 56 -1.3 231/255/354123300131728%2%62-0.4
✕Manuel Hilario
2012 · A 		20 41 39→45 53→55 49 191/292/282 91255 518 25% 9% 64 -0.8 206/275/300 94272 617 25% 7% 60 -1.0 200/260/2929325962024%6%49-0.6
✕Raul Linares
2012 · A 		21 41 36→45 59→55 45 193/258/267 74254 223 24% 7% 43 -2.2 202/253/287 85274 414 26% 6% 46 -2.0 217/260/3231062757723%5%55-0.5
✕Johan Mieses
2015 · A 		20 43→33 42→55 60→50 42 208/261/317 109274 822 26% 6% 57 -1.2 191/237/342 151271 188 36% 5% 55 -1.4 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
✕Grolmann Gonzalez
2010 · A 		21 40 38→40 52→55 42 193/255/277 85272 49 29% 7% 45 -2.1 209/265/303 94303 67 31% 6% 56 -1.3 218/266/3191013077430%6%58-0.2
✕Jon Matthews
2013 · A 		22 37 36→40 56→60 38 178/236/244 66265 323 32% 6% 28 -3.2 222/288/295 73305 421 26% 7% 63 -0.8 233/305/2976431432124%8%68-0.2