Jose Fleury

P Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 25 RHP 6'0" / 185 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2028

Overview

AAAPROSPECT

Scout OFP40ETA2028MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	22	MIX2 levels	19	11	71	3.66	3.67	25.8%	8.7%	—	K 20.7% · BB 9.9% · FIP 4.71
2025	23	MIX2 levels	23	19	85	4.55	4.49	22.3%	10.0%	—	K 18.7% · BB 9.5% · FIP 5.07
2026	24	AAAHOU	15	1	24	5.32	6.73	11.5%	17.7%	—	K 9.9% · BB 15.9% · FIP 6.42
2027PROJ	25	MLBHOU	57	0	60	5.62	5.62	15.7%	12.3%	-0.7
2028PROJ48% MLB	26	MLBHOU	35	0	37	5.44	5.40	17.5%	11.9%	-0.3
2029PROJ66% MLB	27	MLBHOU	48	0	50	5.36	5.36	17.9%	11.8%	-0.4

Next 3 projected WAR -1.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff49Control51Command40FB velo50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsColby Morris (age 25) · Jake Bray (age 25) · Hunter Adkins (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 140132vR 124

ERA5.62

FIP5.62

K%15.7%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%3.4%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF4550

CTRL4050

CMD4040

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL HOU Orange	10	4	38	146	60	4	1	40%	3.8	27.9%	3.4%	24.5%	1.1%	1.42	1.75	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL HOU Orange	10	4	38	146	60	4	1	40%	3.8	41.1%	2.7%	38.4%	0.7%	1.42	0.60	—
2023	21	A MLE	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	99	398	139	48	8	54%	3.8	25.8%	14.2%	11.6%	2.6%	3.65	4.16	—
2023	21	A RAW	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	26	14	99	398	139	48	8	54%	3.8	34.9%	12.1%	22.9%	2.0%	3.65	2.80	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	11	71	299	77	26	9	58%	3.8	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	3.8%	3.66	4.71	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	11	71	299	77	26	9	58%	3.8	20.7%	9.9%	10.8%	3.8%	3.66	4.71	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	11	71	299	77	26	9	58%	3.8	25.8%	8.7%	17.1%	3.0%	3.66	3.67	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	85	349	78	35	13	83%	3.7	18.7%	9.5%	9.1%	4.3%	4.55	5.07	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	19	85	349	78	35	13	83%	3.7	18.7%	9.5%	9.1%	4.3%	4.55	5.07	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	19	85	349	78	35	13	83%	3.7	22.3%	10.0%	12.3%	3.7%	4.55	4.49	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	15	1	24	113	13	20	4	7%	1.6	9.9%	15.9%	-6.0%	3.9%	5.32	6.42	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	15	1	24	113	13	20	4	7%	1.6	9.9%	15.9%	-6.0%	3.9%	5.32	6.42	—
2026	24	AAA RAW	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	15	1	24	113	13	20	4	7%	1.6	11.5%	17.7%	-6.2%	3.5%	5.32	6.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	HOU	57	0	60	253	40	31	9	0%	1.1	15.7%	12.3%	3.4%	3.5%	5.62	5.62	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	HOU	73	0	76	323	56	39	11	0%	1.0	17.5%	11.9%	5.5%	3.4%	5.44	5.40	-0.7
2029	27	MLB MLE	HOU	72	0	75	318	57	38	11	0%	1.0	17.9%	11.8%	6.1%	3.5%	5.36	5.36	-0.7
2030	28	MLB MLE	HOU	70	0	73	309	56	36	11	0%	1.0	18.1%	11.8%	6.2%	3.5%	5.36	5.39	-0.7
2031	29	MLB MLE	HOU	66	0	70	295	53	35	11	0%	1.1	17.9%	12.0%	6.0%	3.7%	5.43	5.50	-0.7
2032	30	MLB MLE	HOU	62	0	66	277	49	34	11	0%	1.1	17.6%	12.3%	5.3%	3.9%	5.58	5.67	-0.8
2028	26	MLB CTX	HOU	35	0	37	156	27	19	5	0%	1.1	17.5%	11.9%	5.5%	3.4%	5.44	5.40	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	HOU	48	0	50	211	38	25	7	0%	1.0	17.9%	11.8%	6.1%	3.5%	5.36	5.36	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	HOU	53	0	56	236	43	28	8	0%	1.1	18.1%	11.8%	6.2%	3.5%	5.36	5.39	-0.5
2031	29	MLB CTX	HOU	55	0	58	245	44	29	9	0%	1.1	17.9%	12.0%	6.0%	3.7%	5.43	5.50	-0.6
2032	30	MLB CTX	HOU	54	0	57	241	42	30	9	0%	1.1	17.6%	12.3%	5.3%	3.9%	5.58	5.67	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		246	0	258	1089	194	130	39	0%	1.0	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.6%	5.44	5.09	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	101	30	0%	1.1	17.8%	12.0%	5.8%	3.6%	5.44	5.09	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		93	49	317	1305	282	142	43	53%	3.4	21.6%	10.9%	10.7%	3.3%	3.75	4.46	-2.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	31	200	824	178	90	27	53%	3.4	21.6%	10.9%	10.7%	3.3%	3.75	4.46	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Fleury (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.62	15.7%	12.3%	3.5%	—	5.38	17.8%	6.0%	225	-0.24	—	—	—
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	87
Jake Bray R 2018 · 5.37 FIP	25	SP-	5.37	15.4%	11.2%	3.9%	.294	5.65	20.5%	7.7%	61	+0.28	2.51	198	85
Hunter Adkins R 2016 · 4.64 FIP	25	SW	4.64	16.2%	10.3%	2.9%	.290	4.82	11.8%	0.5%	58	+0.18	4.64	160	84
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	83
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	83
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	82
Mike Franco R 2017 · 4.75 FIP	25	SP-	4.75	17.2%	12.9%	2.7%	.251	4.33	21.9%	12.7%	98	-0.42	3.11	322	82
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	81
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	81
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	80
Carlos Tavera R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	25	SW	5.12	18.3%	13.3%	3.4%	.299	5.43	21.9%	8.8%	29	+0.31	3.85	263	80
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	80
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	80
David Rodriguez R 2024 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP-	4.50	13.5%	11.7%	1.9%	.316	3.85	16.9%	9.9%	125	-0.65	3.80	184	79
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	79
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	79
Jorge Sosa R 2002 · 5.77 FIP	25	SW	5.77	11.1%	12.4%	3.7%	.228	4.55	15.7%	5.5%	362	-1.22	4.06	773	79
Tyler Brashears R 2017 · 5.47 FIP	23	SW	5.47	12.1%	13.0%	3.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	156	79
Matt Ruppenthal R 2021 · 4.76 FIP	25	SP-	4.76	18.5%	13.8%	2.7%	.308	4.28	22.7%	7.9%	102	-0.48	3.74	283	79
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.1	70	17.5%	12.0%	1.38	5.46
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Darrel Akerfelds ('86-'91, -3 WAR*)	1.2	78	15.8%*	11.9%*	1.61*	5.40*