Nick PeoplesOF
Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 22
S/R
6'5" / 205 lbs
A
HR -9%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
wRC+†35
AVG/OBP/SLG.126 / .206 / .219
PA320
HR6
SB9
K%56
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20→20
PWR
35→35
SPD
50→50
EYE
46↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
-1.4peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-3M | $-54M | -$51M | ||
Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$51M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$51M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 104 | 92 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 61 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .098 | .186 | .174 | .360 | .076 | .226 | 59 | 5 | .178 | -6 | -12 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -1.0 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | 2 teams | 222 | 195 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 134 | 11 | 4 | 3 | .108 | .216 | .200 | .416 | .092 | .310 | 60 | 7 | .192 | 5 | -24 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +6 | -2.0 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 386 | 353 | 42 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 219 | 5 | 15 | 5 | .119 | .190 | .187 | .377 | .068 | .288 | 57 | 7 | .178 | -6 | -46 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +11 | -3.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 48 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 2 | .220 | .333 | .439 | .772 | .220 | .333 | 38 | 8 | .326 | 108 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | WSH | 272 | 243 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 146 | 7 | 6 | 3 | .136 | .222 | .235 | .457 | .099 | .295 | 54 | 7 | .215 | 23 | -24 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.8 |
| TOT | 22 | MLB | WSH | 320 | 284 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 164 | 10 | 9 | 5 | .148 | .239 | .264 | .503 | .116 | .307 | 51 | 8 | .231 | 35 | -23 | -0 | +0 | -2 | +9 | -1.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB 11% | WSH | 428 | 380 | 59 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 200 | 10 | 9 | 4 | .155 | .245 | .276 | .521 | .121 | .283 | 47 | 8 | .239 | 41 | -28 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +12 | -1.9 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB 26% | WSH | 479 | 424 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 214 | 11 | 10 | 4 | .163 | .254 | .290 | .544 | .127 | .285 | 45 | 9 | .250 | 49 | -27 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -1.7 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB 43% | WSH | 507 | 447 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 44 | 220 | 11 | 10 | 4 | .168 | .259 | .298 | .557 | .130 | .287 | 43 | 9 | .256 | 54 | -26 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +14 | -1.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB 58% | WSH | 523 | 459 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 47 | 224 | 12 | 10 | 4 | .170 | .264 | .298 | .563 | .129 | .287 | 43 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -25 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -1.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB 76% | WSH | 528 | 463 | 79 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 226 | 12 | 10 | 4 | .171 | .266 | .305 | .570 | .134 | .287 | 43 | 9 | .260 | 57 | -26 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +15 | -1.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB 94% | WSH | 527 | 462 | 78 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 227 | 12 | 10 | 4 | .169 | .264 | .297 | .561 | .128 | .287 | 43 | 9 | .259 | 56 | -26 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +15 | -1.5 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | WSH | 519 | 455 | 77 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 225 | 11 | 9 | 4 | .169 | .265 | .299 | .563 | .130 | .286 | 43 | 9 | .257 | 55 | -27 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +15 | -1.7 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | WSH | 510 | 447 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 12 | 47 | 223 | 11 | 8 | 3 | .163 | .259 | .286 | .546 | .123 | .284 | 44 | 9 | .254 | 52 | -28 | +0 | -2 | -3 | +14 | -1.8 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | WSH | 497 | 437 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 219 | 11 | 7 | 3 | .162 | .259 | .286 | .545 | .124 | .282 | 44 | 9 | .250 | 49 | -28 | +0 | -3 | -3 | +14 | -2.0 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | WSH | 479 | 422 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 44 | 214 | 10 | 6 | 3 | .161 | .256 | .282 | .538 | .121 | .279 | 45 | 9 | .245 | 46 | -29 | +0 | -4 | -3 | +14 | -2.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB | WSH | 450 | 396 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 41 | 204 | 10 | 5 | 3 | .157 | .253 | .273 | .526 | .116 | .277 | 45 | 9 | .240 | 42 | -30 | -0 | -4 | -3 | +13 | -2.4 |
| 2038 | 34 | MLB | WSH | 404 | 357 | 53 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 187 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .148 | .242 | .252 | .494 | .104 | .275 | 46 | 9 | .234 | 37 | -29 | -0 | -5 | -2 | +11 | -2.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6835 | 6032 | 947 | 196 | 26 | 155 | 592 | 3143 | 157 | 125 | 54 | .157 | .250 | .275 | .525 | .118 | .286 | 46 | 9 | .242 | 44 | -435 | +3 | -20 | -41 | +194 | -30.5 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 574 | 90 | 19 | 2 | 15 | 56 | 299 | 15 | 12 | 5 | .157 | .250 | .275 | .525 | .118 | .285 | 46 | 9 | .242 | 44 | -41 | +0 | -2 | -4 | +18 | -2.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 104 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .172 | .294 | .333 | .627 | .161 | .268 | 42 | 10 | .285 | 77 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 159 | 133 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 72 | 8 | 3 | 2 | .188 | .321 | .331 | .652 | .143 | .368 | 45 | 11 | .305 | 91 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Nationals | 63 | 51 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 1 | .176 | .333 | .373 | .706 | .196 | .308 | 38 | 14 | .324 | 106 | +0 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | 386 | 338 | 68 | 18 | 2 | 7 | 41 | 150 | 5 | 15 | 5 | .201 | .297 | .328 | .625 | .127 | .333 | 39 | 11 | .286 | 77 | -10 | +1 | — | — | +11 | 0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Nick Peoples (OGILVIE) | 22 | 20 | 35 | 50 | 40 | .126/.206/.219 | .092 | .291 | 6 | 6 | 56% | 7% | 12 | -2.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Edward Dorville 2011 · A |
22 | 39 | 41→50 | 50→55 | 32 | .181/.236/.277 | .096 | .321 | 8 | 12 | 44% | 6% | 37 | -2.7 | .177/.226/.264 | .087 | .346 | 7 | 14 | 48% | 5% | 29 | -3.2 | .120/.160/.194 | .074 | .250 | 7 | 28 | 53% | 4% | -20 | -1.7 |
|
✕Chuckie Jones 2014 · A |
22 | 37→40 | 43→45 | 44→50 | 35 | .183/.239/.290 | .106 | .297 | 11 | 8 | 40% | 6% | 42 | -2.3 | .202/.255/.322 | .120 | .297 | 14 | 9 | 35% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .199/.253/.321 | .122 | .279 | 15 | 10 | 33% | 6% | 53 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brenden Webb 2012 · A |
22 | 38→37 | 38→45 | 47→50 | 42 | .179/.255/.256 | .077 | .296 | 6 | 9 | 39% | 9% | 40 | -2.4 | .182/.261/.296 | .114 | .300 | 11 | 10 | 40% | 9% | 54 | -1.4 | .168/.246/.293 | .124 | .274 | 13 | 10 | 41% | 8% | 44 | -1.5 |
|
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A |
21 | 37→32 | 42→50 | 51→55 | 36 | .182/.237/.281 | .100 | .297 | 10 | 12 | 41% | 6% | 38 | -2.6 | .188/.254/.299 | .111 | .316 | 12 | 18 | 41% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .178/.249/.314 | .136 | .272 | 17 | 23 | 39% | 8% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Stephen Paolini 2023 · A |
22 | 36 | 38→40 | 48→50 | 36 | .165/.235/.242 | .077 | .309 | 6 | 12 | 45% | 8% | 28 | -3.2 | .174/.241/.260 | .086 | .320 | 8 | 16 | 44% | 7% | 35 | -2.8 | .157/.224/.241 | .083 | .287 | 9 | 23 | 45% | 7% | 21 | -1.7 |
|
✕Ignacio Valdez 2017 · A |
22 | 32 | 45 | 45→50 | 37 | .169/.233/.291 | .121 | .258 | 13 | 5 | 38% | 6% | 40 | -2.4 | .177/.238/.289 | .112 | .315 | 12 | 4 | 45% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .137/.165/.201 | .064 | .247 | 4 | 0 | 45% | 3% | -17 | -1.2 |
|
✕Aaron Bracho 2023 · A |
22 | 30→38 | 42→45 | 44→40 | 38 | .161/.227/.260 | .099 | .254 | 10 | 4 | 39% | 7% | 30 | -3.1 | .194/.258/.324 | .130 | .261 | 16 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .192/.255/.327 | .134 | .243 | 18 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Estee Harris 2008 · A |
23 | 35→30 | 41→50 | 49→50 | 36 | .178/.225/.274 | .096 | .274 | 9 | 13 | 38% | 6% | 31 | -3.0 | .215/.262/.336 | .121 | .370 | 12 | 12 | 42% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .212/.254/.349 | .137 | .373 | 14 | 14 | 45% | 4% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A |
21 | 36→38 | 39→45 | 47→45 | 42 | .173/.251/.266 | .093 | .273 | 5 | 7 | 36% | 8% | 42 | -2.3 | .196/.261/.313 | .117 | .273 | 11 | 6 | 31% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .196/.262/.319 | .124 | .258 | 14 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 58 | -0.8 |
|
✕Shervyen Newton 2022 · A |
23 | 35→30 | 41→45 | 42→40 | 31 | .166/.222/.256 | .090 | .320 | 9 | 4 | 48% | 6% | 26 | -3.4 | .175/.239/.295 | .120 | .314 | 13 | 4 | 45% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .160/.224/.284 | .124 | .270 | 15 | 2 | 44% | 7% | 32 | -1.7 |
|
✕Francisco Hernandez 2022 · A |
22 | 35 | 39→40 | 44→50 | 32 | .164/.224/.243 | .078 | .314 | 7 | 9 | 47% | 6% | 24 | -3.6 | .182/.246/.262 | .080 | .305 | 5 | 14 | 39% | 7% | 37 | -2.6 | .175/.241/.259 | .084 | .269 | 6 | 17 | 35% | 7% | 31 | -1.5 |
|
✕Garrett Spain 2023 · A |
22 | 38→27 | 40→45 | 49→50 | 38 | .185/.246/.271 | .086 | .289 | 8 | 10 | 37% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .171/.230/.279 | .108 | .258 | 11 | 10 | 36% | 6% | 35 | -2.8 | .151/.210/.263 | .113 | .218 | 13 | 9 | 36% | 6% | 21 | -2.6 |
|
✕Edison Sanchez 2013 · A |
22 | 37 | 40→45 | 45 | 40 | .180/.249/.271 | .092 | .284 | 6 | 3 | 37% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .196/.258/.289 | .093 | .323 | 7 | 4 | 39% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .189/.253/.274 | .085 | .322 | 7 | 3 | 40% | 5% | 41 | -1.0 |
|
✕Yuber Rodriguez 2006 · A |
22 | 37→32 | 38→40 | 45→50 | 42 | .182/.248/.254 | .072 | .271 | 6 | 10 | 33% | 8% | 36 | -2.7 | .188/.245/.260 | .072 | .286 | 5 | 13 | 34% | 6% | 36 | -2.7 | .182/.235/.250 | .068 | .280 | 5 | 14 | 35% | 6% | 27 | -1.6 |
|
✕Amaurys Minier 2017 · A |
21 | 35 | 44→50 | 43→40 | 36 | .175/.240/.288 | .112 | .295 | 13 | 3 | 43% | 7% | 42 | -2.3 | .176/.250/.280 | .104 | .309 | 10 | 4 | 43% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .096/.199/.184 | .088 | .164 | 9 | 0 | 44% | 10% | 0 | -1.2 |
|
✕Kingston Liniak 2022 · A |
22 | 33→26 | 43→45 | 52→50 | 38 | .173/.233/.282 | .108 | .258 | 11 | 13 | 36% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .189/.258/.295 | .106 | .277 | 10 | 10 | 33% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .151/.253/.236 | .085 | .211 | 7 | 3 | 30% | 12% | 32 | -0.6 |
|
✕Michael Reed 2018 · A |
23 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 48→55 | 34 | .190/.232/.292 | .102 | .289 | 8 | 11 | 36% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .196/.239/.314 | .118 | .302 | 12 | 26 | 37% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .178/.243/.266 | .089 | .301 | 9 | 22 | 41% | 7% | 34 | -0.7 |
|
✕Dreily Guerrero 2014 · A |
23 | 35 | 36→30 | 48→55 | 33 | .172/.215/.233 | .061 | .286 | 4 | 8 | 40% | 5% | 16 | -4.1 | .190/.231/.277 | .087 | .340 | 7 | 11 | 44% | 5% | 33 | -2.9 | .166/.196/.260 | .094 | .323 | 8 | 16 | 50% | 4% | 11 | -1.2 |
|
✕Gage Canning 2021 · A |
24 | 40→36 | 39→40 | 50 | 34 | .190/.239/.277 | .088 | .307 | 6 | 10 | 39% | 5% | 38 | -2.6 | .202/.251/.294 | .092 | .326 | 8 | 6 | 38% | 5% | 47 | -1.9 | .218/.269/.313 | .095 | .333 | 8 | 3 | 35% | 5% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Chevy Clarke 2013 · A |
21 | 36→42 | 40 | 53→50 | 36 | .176/.236/.266 | .090 | .275 | 7 | 11 | 37% | 6% | 34 | -2.8 | .185/.251/.269 | .084 | .289 | 8 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 41 | -2.3 | .172/.243/.252 | .080 | .271 | 9 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 31 | -2.4 |