Nick PeoplesOF Fredericksburg Nationals
Age 22 S/R 6'5" / 205 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION250 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†16
AVG/OBP/SLG.136 / .231 / .239
PA166
HR3
K%50
BB%8
BABIP276
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -37.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-38BATRUN: -1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-2RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.5 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +11.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+12REPTotal WAR: -3.10-3.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-2.6-2.7-2.5-2.3-2.2-2.226283031
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-6M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 ROKFCL Nationals 10492 9102 5625 10 98186174360 76233 605 173 -9
202319 ROKFCL Nationals 10487 15204 10445 10 172294333627 161268 4210 285 77
202420 A2 teams 222195 23813 1613011 43 118225215441 97323 597 200 11
202420 A2 teams 222184 341215 279611 43 185324342667 158349 4312 310 95
202521 AFredericksburg Nationals 386352 38914 272275 155 108182173356 65276 597 165 -15
202521 AFredericksburg Nationals 386338 681827 411505 155 201297328625 127333 3911 286 77
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 AWSH 250214 27315 241228 98 126240220459 93244 4910 214 22 -22 -1 +0 -2 +7 -1.8
YTD22 AWSH 250199 36526 39868 98 181337317654 136273 3416 304 91 -3 -1 +0 -2 +7 0.2
ROS22 AWSH 0% 166146 20413 14834 43 136231239469 102256 508 206 16 -16 -0 +0 -1 +5 -1.3
ROS22 MLBWSH 0% 01 0000 000 00 256 188 2 +0 -0
FULL22 AWSH 250215 27315 241228 98 126240219458 93242 4910 214 22 -22 -1 +0 -2 +7 -1.8
TOT22 AWSH 416360 47728 3820512 1311 130236227464 97257 499 211 19 -38 -2 +0 -3 +12 -3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBWSH 34% 446396 561128 3720810 85 141233240472 98264 478 223 29 -36 -0 +0 -3 +13 -2.7
202824 MLBWSH 46% 491436 6613210 4221910 96 151242259501 108268 459 234 37 -35 -1 +0 -3 +14 -2.5
202925 MLBWSH 52% 515455 7214211 4422311 106 158249270519 112270 439 240 42 -34 -0 +0 -3 +15 -2.3
203026 MLBWSH 54% 528466 7514212 4622611 106 161252277529 116270 439 243 44 -33 -0 +0 -3 +15 -2.2
203127 MLBWSH 54% 532469 7514212 4722811 106 160252275527 115270 439 243 44 -33 -0 +0 -3 +15 -2.2
202723 MLBWSH 34% 153136 20413 13713 32 147237257494 110264 468 207 16 -14 -0 +0 -1 +4 -1.1
202824 MLBWSH 46% 227201 31615 191015 43 154244269513 114268 448 218 25 -19 -0 +0 -1 +6 -1.5
202925 MLBWSH 52% 266235 37716 231156 53 157250272522 115270 439 225 30 -21 -0 +0 -2 +8 -1.5
203026 MLBWSH 54% 286253 40816 251226 53 158250269519 111270 439 228 33 -22 -0 +0 -2 +8 -1.6
203127 MLBWSH 54% 289256 40816 251246 53 156247266513 109270 439 228 33 -22 -0 +0 -2 +8 -1.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 12211082 16833526 10553326 2214 155247267514 112269 449 223 29 -98 -1 +0 -7 +35 -7.4
/ 162G 650576 9018314 5628414 127 156248271519 115270 449 223 29 -52 -0 +0 -4 +18 -3.9
Career 33903007 434881365 278160678 7140 144235247482 103272 478 223 29 -272 -2 +0 -20 +96 -20.2
/ 162G 650577 8217212 5330815 148 142233241473 99269 478 223 29 -52 -0 +0 -4 +18 -3.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 ROKFCL Nationals 10487 15204 10445 10 172294333627 161268 4210 285 77 -3 +0 +3 0.0
202420 AFredericksburg Nationals 159133 25704 18728 32 188321331652 143368 4511 305 91 -2 -0 +5 0.3
202420 ROKFCL Nationals 6351 9511 9243 11 176333373706 196308 3814 324 106 +0 -0 +2 0.2
202521 AFredericksburg Nationals 386338 681827 411505 155 201297328625 127333 3911 286 77 -10 +1 +11 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,5413029151238256-9+0-8.3-4.1
/1626641312-4.0+0.0-3.6pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nick Peoples (OGILVIE) 22 20 35 50 40 130/236/227 97257 813 49% 9% 19 -3.1
Yuber Rodriguez
2006 · A
22 36→30 37→40 45→50 40 175/240/244 69271 510 36% 7% 30 -3.1 185/240/257 72293 513 36% 6% 33 -2.9 177/230/2446728251437%6%22-1.8
Shaver Hansen
2011 · A
23 36 39→40 53→45 35 174/230/262 88292 610 40% 6% 30 -3.1 196/243/283 87297 68 34% 5% 40 -2.4 191/233/269782794632%5%30-1.8
Ignacio Valdez
2016 · A
21 34 39→45 48→50 38 168/235/254 87269 68 38% 7% 31 -3.0 170/233/292 122289 144 43% 7% 40 -2.4 133/182/26313019917043%5%8-1.1
Dyron Campos
2023 · A
22 36 42→30 47→50 37 184/235/285 101268 107 34% 6% 39 -2.5 176/233/263 87293 89 40% 5% 33 -2.9 109/170/1746619071345%4%-19-2.1
Reidy Mercado
2023 · A
22 40 35→30 54→60 38 186/241/238 52298 217 36% 6% 28 -3.2 187/236/245 58305 323 37% 6% 27 -3.3 164/209/2074327113638%5%3-1.2
Dreily Guerrero
2014 · A
23 36 36→30 48→55 33 174/221/233 59293 48 40% 5% 18 -3.9 193/235/284 91347 712 44% 5% 37 -2.6 165/194/2619632371650%4%11-1.3
Garrett Spain
2023 · A
22 38→25 40→45 49→50 38 185/246/272 86289 810 37% 7% 40 -2.4 167/226/268 101255 1010 37% 6% 31 -3.0 149/212/266116217141237%6%23-2.4
Nick Urbanus
2014 · A
22 36 34→40 48→50 38 175/224/226 51261 28 32% 6% 17 -4.0 199/240/273 74297 39 32% 5% 37 -2.7 204/233/274703020831%3%30-1.0
Jorge Martinez
2014 · A
21 35→25 43→45 46→45 35 182/224/293 111270 105 36% 5% 36 -2.7 178/225/279 101295 107 41% 6% 33 -2.9 124/172/199752088743%6%-10-1.5
Michael Reed
2018 · A
23 37→40 41→45 48→55 31 184/222/284 100297 711 40% 4% 32 -3.0 192/234/312 120300 1326 39% 5% 45 -2.1 184/247/2799530992241%7%38-0.6
Demi Orimoloye
2019 · A
22 36→35 41→40 51→55 36 182/236/278 96274 917 36% 5% 37 -2.6 183/229/278 95299 916 40% 5% 34 -2.8 167/205/2589128091942%4%15-2.6
Kingston Liniak
2022 · A
22 32→26 43→45 52→50 37 171/231/278 108255 1113 36% 6% 35 -2.8 191/261/298 107281 1010 33% 8% 53 -1.5 150/252/236862127330%12%32-0.6
Deivis Nadal
2023 · A
21 37 36→40 48→55 37 175/244/240 65289 314 38% 6% 31 -3.0 173/255/277 104332 919 46% 9% 46 -2.0 140/234/249109282112549%10%28-1.4
Izzy Wilson
2019 · A
21 38→33 42→45 51→55 35 182/239/283 101310 1013 43% 7% 40 -2.4 189/256/299 110324 1218 42% 8% 51 -1.7 177/246/305129273162339%8%46-1.1
Fred Ford
2014 · A
22 33→32 43→45 45 38 167/237/272 104277 115 41% 8% 37 -2.6 185/246/298 113306 117 41% 7% 47 -1.9 168/228/28712027413642%6%36-2.0
Edward Dorville
2011 · A
22 38 41→50 50→55 31 179/233/275 97321 811 45% 5% 35 -2.8 179/229/266 87348 714 47% 5% 30 -3.1 120/160/1947425072853%4%-20-1.7
Chevy Clarke
2013 · A
21 35→45 39→40 52→50 36 172/233/255 83279 611 39% 6% 30 -3.1 186/252/269 83295 810 37% 7% 42 -2.3 178/247/2567827981037%8%33-2.2
Brandon Dulin
2015 · A
22 36→30 42→45 51→40 35 184/234/285 101260 97 32% 4% 38 -2.6 197/245/314 117277 134 33% 5% 50 -1.7 189/240/31612726117134%5%46-1.1
Carlos Santiago
2022 · A
21 31 40→45 47→45 33 159/210/244 86269 85 43% 6% 17 -4.0 180/225/287 107290 116 40% 5% 35 -2.8 164/207/28312024614639%4%24-1.3
Julio Garcia
2019 · A
22 39→34 37→40 40 31 188/219/262 74291 54 36% 3% 24 -3.5 176/214/244 68313 55 43% 4% 18 -3.9 88/122/101141960053%2%-61-2.6