Jesus D. Castro

C ACL Padres

Age 23 S/R 5'10" / 158 lbs ROK HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	20	ROKSD	71	.086/.221/.086	0	0	-41	—	.066/.162/.066
2025	21	ROKSD	65	.286/.385/.375	0	0	39	—	.186/.262/.237
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBSD	175	.189/.255/.258	1	2	46	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBSD	31	.190/.257/.266	0	0	51	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

wRC+60

wOBA54

ISO44

BB%31

K%24

Chase%23

CompsJobduan Morales (age 23) · Arturo De Freitas (age 23) · Logan Moore (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 49 proj PA

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .253 / .256

PA49

HR0

K%34

BB%7

ISO69

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Padres	—	54	43	10	2	0	0	10	13	0	4	1	233	377	279	656	47	323	24	19	311	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK	DSL Padres Gold	—	141	114	31	9	0	5	26	27	1	3	0	272	411	482	894	211	317	19	18	399	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK	ACL Padres	—	71	58	5	0	0	0	9	21	1	0	0	86	221	86	307		132	30	13	163	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	65	56	16	5	0	0	7	18	2	0	0	286	385	375	760	89	421	28	11	350	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	54	46	7	1	0	0	7	16	0	4	1	152	264	174	438	22	219	30	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	141	121	20	6	0	2	19	32	1	3	0	165	284	264	548	99	211	23	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	71	61	4	0	0	0	6	31	1	0	0	66	162	66	227		104	44	8	108	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	65	59	11	3	0	0	4	25	2	0	0	186	262	237	499	51	321	38	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	54	46	7	1	0	0	7	16	0	4	1	152	264	174	438	22	226	30	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres	—	54	43	10	2	0	0	10	13	0	4	1	233	377	279	656	47	323	24	19	311	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	141	121	20	6	0	2	19	32	1	3	0	165	284	264	548	99	207	23	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Gold	—	141	114	31	9	0	5	26	27	1	3	0	272	411	482	894	211	317	19	18	399	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	71	61	4	0	0	0	6	31	1	0	0	66	162	66	227		129	44	8	108	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	71	58	5	0	0	0	9	21	1	0	0	86	221	86	307		132	30	13	163	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	65	59	11	3	0	0	4	25	2	0	0	186	262	237	499	51	324	38	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	—	65	56	16	5	0	0	7	18	2	0	0	286	385	375	760	89	421	28	11	350	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres	—	54	47	7	1	0	0	7	16	0	4	1	149	264	170	434	21	219	30	13	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Gold	—	141	120	20	6	0	2	19	32	1	3	0	167	284	267	550	100	211	23	13	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	71	64	4	0	0	0	6	31	1	0	0	62	162	62	224		104	44	8	108	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	65	59	11	3	0	0	4	25	2	0	0	186	262	237	499	51	321	38	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	71	64	4	0	0	0	6	31	1	0	0	62	162	62	224		104	44	8	108	-41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	65	59	11	3	0	0	4	25	2	0	0	186	262	237	499	51	321	38	6	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SD	0%	175	159	30	5	1	1	12	59	2	2	1	189	255	258	513	69	288	34	7	236	46	-11	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	SD	30%	104	95	18	3	1	1	7	35	1	1	0	193	260	271	530	77	289	34	7	243	51	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	SD	30%	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	190	257	266	522	76	284	32	6	240	51	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	31	29	5	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	172	226	207	433	34	263	32	6	240	36	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	608	105	21	0	0	42	210	0	0	0	173	226	207	433	35	264	32	6	240	36	-38	+0	+0	+12	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	484	427	68	15	1	3	46	156	6	8	1	159	251	220	471	61	240	32	10	222	36	-9	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	91	20	1	4	62	210	8	11	1	159	250	218	469	59	240	32	10	222	36	-39	+1	+0	+12	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jesus D. Castro (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	187/253/256	68	288	0	0	34%	7%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jobduan Morales 2014 · A	23	37	37→40	49→40	42	180/245/252	72	276	5	4	35%	8%	42	-2.9	199/258/286	87	302	7	5	34%	7%	54	-2.0	194/253/287	94	299	7	3	35%	7%	53	-1.0
✕Arturo De Freitas 2024 · A	23	33	37→40	45→40	33	167/214/232	65	274	5	4	40%	5%	25	-4.1	198/255/301	103	327	11	6	40%	6%	57	-1.8	163/204/310	147	279	20	0	48%	4%	38	-0.6
✕Logan Moore 2014 · A	23	34	38→40	43→30	40	170/228/242	73	244	5	4	32%	6%	33	-3.6	200/250/286	86	274	6	3	28%	6%	51	-2.3	197/244/289	92	272	10	0	30%	6%	48	-1.0
✕Alex Hall 2022 · A	23	41	40→45	46→40	36	195/245/289	93	314	6	6	38%	6%	50	-2.3	180/245/283	103	294	10	4	39%	7%	49	-2.4	150/223/250	100	230	12	1	38%	8%	32	-1.5
✕Chris Okey 2018 · A	23	34	38→45	48→40	35	169/226/242	74	276	6	5	39%	6%	32	-3.6	182/235/282	100	271	11	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	209/261/309	100	290	9	2	30%	5%	58	-0.5
✕Chris Hess 2018 · A	23	39→34	37→45	48→30	39	186/244/267	82	276	3	5	32%	6%	45	-2.7	189/248/290	101	279	9	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	174/235/282	108	252	11	1	34%	4%	43	-2.2
✕Daniel Berg 2008 · A	23	36	39→40	45→40	38	178/242/260	81	271	6	4	35%	6%	42	-2.9	202/271/288	86	309	6	4	34%	7%	60	-1.6	200/276/284	83	307	6	2	34%	7%	59	-0.8
✕Nick Urbanus 2014 · A	22	38	34→40	48→50	39	181/233/232	51	268	2	8	32%	6%	32	-3.7	197/239/270	73	294	3	9	32%	5%	42	-2.9	196/223/260	65	290	0	8	31%	3%	31	-1.2
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2024 · A	23	37	39→30	44→40	40	175/259/257	82	289	7	5	39%	8%	50	-2.3	189/262/278	89	294	7	8	35%	8%	55	-2.0	120/207/172	52	190	3	5	35%	8%	9	-1.1
✕Brett Austin 2016 · A	23	37	39→40	46→30	40	181/231/266	85	259	5	3	31%	6%	39	-3.1	181/239/282	101	269	10	3	34%	7%	47	-2.6	156/218/258	102	227	12	0	36%	7%	31	-1.6
✕Jerome Pena 2012 · A	23	42→33	36→40	42→45	44	199/263/270	71	278	3	6	28%	7%	53	-2.1	197/253/280	83	296	6	8	33%	6%	51	-2.3	185/247/298	113	311	10	7	41%	7%	51	-0.8
✕Austin Bernard 2019 · A	23	36	42→40	44→45	39	182/248/284	101	274	10	5	36%	7%	51	-2.3	175/265/275	100	288	9	8	38%	10%	56	-1.9	137/251/237	101	222	9	7	39%	12%	40	-1.6
✕Shervyen Newton 2022 · A	23	39→29	40→45	43→40	32	170/234/258	88	347	8	5	50%	7%	39	-3.1	174/237/294	120	307	13	4	45%	7%	49	-2.4	158/221/279	121	265	14	2	44%	6%	38	-1.9
✕Connor Justus 2018 · A	23	39→37	38→40	46→45	45	188/271/264	76	269	5	9	30%	8%	55	-1.9	179/259/251	72	255	5	8	29%	8%	48	-2.5	163/242/223	60	236	4	6	30%	7%	33	-2.4
✕Anthony Hermelyn 2017 · A	23	35	39→40	41→30	40	173/239/254	82	274	7	3	37%	8%	40	-3.0	197/259/281	84	282	7	4	30%	8%	53	-2.1	189/254/256	68	258	5	0	27%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Channy Ortiz 2023 · A	24	41	37→40	45	42	192/265/267	76	289	4	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	205/264/287	82	288	5	9	29%	6%	57	-1.8	200/251/270	70	275	4	9	27%	5%	45	-1.2
✕David Lyon 2013 · A	23	41	36→45	46→30	43	193/256/264	70	277	3	5	29%	7%	49	-2.4	175/235/284	109	289	10	3	40%	6%	46	-2.6	140/213/266	126	235	14	2	45%	8%	33	-1.4
✕Julio Garcia 2019 · A	22	40→37	37→40	40	32	193/224/267	74	295	5	4	36%	4%	36	-3.3	180/218/249	69	314	5	5	42%	4%	30	-3.8	93/128/109	16	199	0	0	51%	2%	-38	-2.4
✕Ryan Gold 2021 · A	23	41→36	40→45	48→40	37	200/246/298	98	278	7	5	30%	5%	52	-2.2	194/266/325	131	289	12	3	35%	7%	68	-1.0	172/253/308	137	254	13	0	36%	8%	57	-0.8
✕Rey Bruguera 2015 · A	23	41	37→30	43→50	40	197/250/266	70	279	5	6	30%	6%	47	-2.6	191/256/259	68	295	5	5	34%	8%	47	-2.5	151/231/190	39	240	2	0	35%	9%	20	-1.8