Adan Sanchez

C ACL Cubs

Age 22 R/R 6'0" / 205 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKCHC	133	.223/.326/.357	2	0	40	—	.171/.248/.282
2025	20	ROKCHC	48	.256/.333/.372	0	1	35	—	.159/.229/.227
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBCHC	158	.206/.270/.301	2	2	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBCHC	36	.213/.277/.318	0	0	66	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBCHC	109	.216/.281/.328	2	1	70	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Whiff%73

Z-Con%71

K%64

ISO61

wRC+42

wOBA36

CompsJavier Castillo (age 22) · Randy César (age 22) · Brandon Barnes (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .268 / .299

PA44

HR0

K%29

BB%7

ISO95

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	131	43	4	2	0	24	26	7	4	3	328	457	389	846	61	402	16	15	389	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	135	112	26	2	0	0	19	31	3	1	1	232	358	250	608	18	317	23	14	294	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	133	112	25	9	0	2	14	26	3	0	4	223	326	357	683	134	261	20	11	303	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	48	43	11	5	0	0	2	9	3	1	2	256	333	372	705	116	324	19	4	322	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	138	31	3	1	0	17	33	7	4	3	225	340	261	600	36	280	20	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	20	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	168	261	176	438	8	259	33	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	117	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	171	248	282	530	111	205	29	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	252	27	2	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	138	31	3	1	0	17	33	7	4	3	225	340	261	600	36	290	20	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	131	43	4	2	0	24	26	7	4	3	328	457	389	846	61	402	16	15	389	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	20	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	168	261	176	438	8	267	33	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	135	112	26	2	0	0	19	31	3	1	1	232	358	250	608	18	317	23	14	294	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	117	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	171	248	282	530	111	222	29	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	133	112	25	9	0	2	14	26	3	0	4	223	326	357	683	134	261	20	11	303	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	226	27	2	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Cubs	—	48	43	11	5	0	0	2	9	3	1	2	256	333	372	705	116	324	19	4	322	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	164	139	31	3	1	0	17	33	7	4	3	223	340	259	598	36	280	20	10	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	135	119	20	1	0	0	12	45	3	1	1	168	261	176	438	8	259	33	9	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	120	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	167	248	275	523	108	205	29	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	252	27	2	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	133	120	20	7	0	2	9	38	3	0	4	167	248	275	523	108	205	29	7	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	48	44	7	3	0	0	1	13	3	1	2	159	229	227	456	68	252	27	2	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	158	145	30	7	1	2	10	45	2	2	1	206	270	301	572	95	286	28	6	260	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	106	97	21	5	1	1	7	30	1	1	0	210	275	314	589	103	287	28	7	266	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	46%	236	215	47	11	1	4	16	66	3	2	1	214	279	324	603	110	288	28	7	272	70	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	322	293	63	14	2	5	22	89	4	3	1	216	282	332	614	116	289	28	7	277	73	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	379	344	76	17	2	7	27	104	5	3	1	218	284	338	622	120	289	27	7	280	76	-11	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.4
2032	27	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	410	373	81	18	2	7	29	112	5	3	1	219	285	339	624	120	288	27	7	281	76	-12	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2033	28	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	425	387	84	19	2	8	30	117	5	2	1	217	283	334	617	118	287	28	7	278	74	-13	+0	-1	+8	+9	0.3
2034	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	427	389	82	18	2	7	30	119	5	1	1	214	280	328	608	114	286	28	7	274	72	-14	-0	-1	+8	+9	0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	CHC	52%	425	387	82	18	2	7	30	119	5	1	1	211	276	320	597	109	284	28	7	270	69	-16	-0	-2	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	36	34	7	2	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	213	277	318	595	105	291	28	6	269	66	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	46%	109	100	22	5	1	2	7	30	1	1	0	216	281	328	609	112	292	28	6	274	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	166	151	34	8	1	3	12	46	2	2	1	218	284	335	619	117	292	28	7	279	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	205	186	41	9	1	4	14	56	3	2	1	220	286	341	627	121	292	27	7	282	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	222	201	44	10	1	4	16	61	3	2	1	220	287	342	629	121	292	27	7	283	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	231	210	45	10	1	4	16	64	3	1	1	219	285	337	622	119	291	28	7	280	74	-7	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	227	206	45	10	1	4	16	63	3	1	1	216	282	331	613	115	289	28	7	276	72	-8	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	CHC	52%	223	202	43	10	1	3	16	63	3	0	0	213	278	323	601	110	287	28	7	271	69	-8	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1419	1290	281	64	7	24	99	393	18	9	5	218	283	334	617	116	292	28	7	278	69	-46	-0	-2	+25	+31	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	128	29	3	11	45	180	8	4	2	217	281	332	612	115	290	28	7	278	69	-21	-0	-1	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	3254	2943	622	136	15	48	233	898	50	22	17	211	281	317	597	105	284	28	7	270	69	-91	+0	-4	+50	+60	1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	124	27	3	10	47	179	10	4	3	211	281	318	599	107	283	28	7	270	69	-21	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.2	1,464	25	9	216	279	331	+26	+20	1.9	1.9
/162	664	11	4	+11.9	+9.1	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#5Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Adan Sanchez (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	205/268/299	94	286	0	0	29%	7%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Castillo 2006 · A	22	39→49	38→45	47→45	37	189/237/265	76	271	5	6	31%	5%	41	-3.0	225/269/332	107	296	8	7	26%	5%	68	-1.0	241/285/359	118	310	9	6	24%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Randy César 2017 · A	22	38→48	40	45→40	35	188/229/270	82	284	8	3	36%	5%	39	-3.1	230/272/320	90	342	8	4	33%	5%	67	-1.1	237/283/328	91	347	8	2	32%	6%	69	-0.6
✕Brandon Barnes 2008 · A	22	38→48	38→55	46→50	37	184/235/263	80	274	5	7	34%	5%	40	-3.0	200/239/315	115	297	11	6	35%	4%	54	-2.0	242/288/365	123	327	11	16	28%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Pedruin Bautista 2006 · A	22	39	38→40	50→60	33	191/224/270	79	281	4	10	33%	4%	36	-3.3	181/266/248	67	242	2	17	24%	9%	50	-2.3	158/266/216	57	204	1	25	20%	11%	42	-1.2
✕Emilio King 2011 · A	21	37	36→45	45→40	37	175/242/244	69	268	3	6	34%	5%	40	-3.1	213/255/306	93	315	7	4	33%	4%	57	-1.8	250/279/366	116	337	11	3	28%	2%	76	-0.3
✕Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→50	46→45	35	185/229/286	101	263	10	8	34%	4%	43	-2.8	221/256/343	122	261	14	7	21%	4%	66	-1.1	241/269/392	150	282	18	8	21%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Carlos De La Cruz 2022 · A	22	36→45	40→50	47→45	32	167/229/255	88	319	9	7	48%	6%	37	-3.3	213/269/350	137	326	16	6	38%	6%	74	-0.6	214/270/349	135	321	16	5	37%	5%	71	-0.6
✕Bobby Wernes 2017 · A	23	40	35→45	46→40	45	191/247/249	59	252	2	6	24%	7%	41	-3.0	212/269/305	93	273	6	6	23%	6%	63	-1.4	216/282/321	105	262	7	3	19%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Juan Avila 2014 · A	22	37	36→45	46→40	41	180/232/245	65	230	4	5	23%	5%	35	-3.4	211/263/304	93	277	6	5	25%	5%	60	-1.6	204/255/301	97	265	6	2	24%	4%	54	-1.3
✕Drew Stankiewicz 2015 · A	22	39→49	37→45	51→45	38	191/238/261	70	281	5	9	33%	6%	40	-3.0	224/280/307	83	290	4	7	22%	7%	67	-1.1	229/290/317	88	294	5	5	22%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Emilio Guerrero 2013 · A	20	37→42	37→45	47→45	38	179/229/252	73	261	4	7	32%	5%	35	-3.4	214/260/304	90	295	7	8	28%	5%	59	-1.7	221/259/335	114	296	9	5	28%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Joey Armstrong 2016 · A	22	38	37→40	44→45	43	187/245/256	69	259	5	5	29%	7%	42	-2.9	207/272/286	79	305	4	7	31%	7%	60	-1.6	206/279/285	79	309	4	8	32%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Joe Napoli 2006 · A	23	39→41	37→45	44→45	41	188/242/263	75	264	4	4	29%	6%	42	-2.9	204/261/306	102	296	8	6	32%	5%	61	-1.5	205/266/333	128	278	12	7	30%	4%	67	-0.8
✕Luis Verdugo 2022 · A	21	37→47	40	48→45	34	183/222/273	90	278	7	6	36%	4%	38	-3.2	208/261/298	90	274	6	5	25%	6%	58	-1.7	211/265/294	82	268	6	4	22%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A	22	38→43	42→50	51→50	32	193/230/298	105	288	10	11	36%	4%	46	-2.6	210/261/330	120	310	11	10	34%	5%	65	-1.2	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Matt Pita 2019 · A	22	40	36→50	50→55	39	190/244/260	70	277	3	8	31%	6%	43	-2.8	183/236/269	86	268	5	12	32%	4%	42	-2.9	162/218/269	106	233	8	19	33%	3%	33	-1.1
✕Phillip Evans 2014 · A	21	39→49	37→45	45→40	44	189/239/257	67	237	4	5	22%	6%	40	-3.1	217/264/293	76	271	5	3	21%	6%	57	-1.8	215/290/341	125	253	14	3	20%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Misael Urbina 2024 · A	22	35→32	39→40	47→50	44	172/248/261	89	251	6	9	32%	8%	46	-2.6	189/269/280	91	269	6	9	29%	9%	58	-1.7	182/269/271	88	253	6	9	28%	10%	53	-1.1
✕Luke Persico 2018 · A	22	42→51	38→45	48→45	44	204/252/288	84	254	5	6	22%	6%	52	-2.2	222/272/317	95	292	6	6	24%	6%	66	-1.1	230/281/327	97	304	5	4	25%	6%	70	-0.5
✕Kevin Maitan 2022 · A	22	38→48	39→40	46→40	33	185/231/265	79	292	8	5	38%	5%	39	-3.1	211/267/304	93	341	8	4	38%	6%	62	-1.4	199/256/289	89	330	8	2	40%	6%	52	-1.2

Adan Sanchez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps