Kevin Maitan
3B Cedar Rapids Kernels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | AALAA | 200 | .192/.302/.256 | 1 | 0 | 34 | — | .168/.251/.229 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+MIN | 311 | .246/.300/.389 | 8 | 2 | 28 | — | .175/.215/.260 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+MIN | 86 | .208/.282/.312 | 0 | 0 | 16 | — | .152/.212/.228 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBMIN | 200 | .217/.283/.337 | 4 | 3 | 75 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ26% MLB | 28 | MLBMIN | 33 | .217/.283/.336 | 1 | 0 | 74 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 176 | 162 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 293 | 340 | 633 | 99 | 327 | 28 | 6 | 283 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 284 | 262 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 306 | 397 | 703 | 149 | 303 | 23 | 7 | 315 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A | Burlington Bees | — | 532 | 486 | 104 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 164 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 214 | 279 | 323 | 602 | 109 | 295 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL | Bravos de Margarita | — | 28 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 333 | 32 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 130 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 256 | 256 | 512 | 50 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 235 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 450 | 399 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 140 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 340 | 398 | 739 | 138 | 371 | 31 | 9 | 331 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 200 | 172 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 302 | 256 | 557 | 64 | 305 | 34 | 12 | 265 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 311 | 285 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 300 | 389 | 689 | 144 | 348 | 33 | 6 | 304 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 86 | 77 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 282 | 312 | 594 | 104 | 333 | 35 | 7 | 269 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 176 | 166 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 213 | 235 | 448 | 60 | 281 | 40 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 284 | 269 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 95 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 182 | 225 | 279 | 504 | 97 | 256 | 33 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 532 | 499 | 77 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 229 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 154 | 204 | 232 | 436 | 78 | 256 | 43 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 130 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 217 | 228 | 445 | 49 | 252 | 33 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 450 | 412 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 167 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 235 | 295 | 347 | 642 | 112 | 364 | 37 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 200 | 179 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 251 | 229 | 480 | 61 | 286 | 40 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 311 | 292 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 135 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 215 | 260 | 475 | 86 | 290 | 43 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 86 | 79 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 212 | 228 | 440 | 76 | 279 | 45 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 176 | 166 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 213 | 235 | 448 | 60 | 289 | 40 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 176 | 162 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 241 | 293 | 340 | 633 | 99 | 327 | 28 | 6 | 283 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 284 | 269 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 95 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 182 | 225 | 279 | 504 | 97 | 260 | 33 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 284 | 262 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 66 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 248 | 306 | 397 | 703 | 149 | 303 | 23 | 7 | 315 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 532 | 499 | 77 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 229 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 154 | 204 | 232 | 436 | 78 | 259 | 43 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A RAW | Burlington Bees | — | 532 | 486 | 104 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 164 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 214 | 279 | 323 | 602 | 109 | 295 | 31 | 7 | 273 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL MLE | Bravos de Margarita | — | 28 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 333 | 32 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL RAW | Bravos de Margarita | — | 28 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 333 | 32 | 4 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 130 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 217 | 228 | 445 | 49 | 263 | 33 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ RAW | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 130 | 121 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 256 | 256 | 512 | 50 | 273 | 25 | 5 | 235 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 450 | 412 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 167 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 235 | 295 | 347 | 642 | 112 | 371 | 37 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 450 | 399 | 104 | 20 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 140 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 340 | 398 | 739 | 138 | 371 | 31 | 9 | 331 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 200 | 179 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 168 | 251 | 229 | 480 | 61 | 290 | 40 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 200 | 172 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 302 | 256 | 557 | 64 | 305 | 34 | 12 | 265 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 311 | 292 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 135 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 175 | 215 | 260 | 475 | 86 | 295 | 43 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 311 | 285 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 103 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 246 | 300 | 389 | 689 | 144 | 348 | 33 | 6 | 304 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 86 | 79 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 212 | 228 | 440 | 76 | 293 | 45 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 86 | 77 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 282 | 312 | 594 | 104 | 333 | 35 | 7 | 269 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 176 | 166 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 70 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 175 | 213 | 235 | 448 | 60 | 281 | 40 | 4 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 284 | 267 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 95 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 184 | 225 | 281 | 506 | 97 | 256 | 33 | 4 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A MLE | Burlington Bees | — | 532 | 496 | 77 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 229 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 155 | 204 | 234 | 438 | 79 | 256 | 43 | 5 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tri-City Dust Devils | — | 130 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 217 | 228 | 445 | 49 | 252 | 33 | 3 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 450 | 412 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 167 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 235 | 295 | 347 | 642 | 112 | 364 | 37 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 200 | 178 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 79 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 169 | 251 | 230 | 482 | 62 | 286 | 40 | 8 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 311 | 293 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 135 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 215 | 259 | 474 | 85 | 290 | 43 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 86 | 80 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 212 | 225 | 437 | 75 | 279 | 45 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 311 | 293 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 135 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 215 | 259 | 474 | 85 | 290 | 43 | 4 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 86 | 80 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 212 | 225 | 437 | 75 | 279 | 45 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 0% | 200 | 181 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 217 | 283 | 337 | 619 | 120 | 289 | 28 | 8 | 279 | 75 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 26% | 128 | 117 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 335 | 618 | 119 | 288 | 28 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 26% | 33 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 283 | 336 | 618 | 119 | 288 | 27 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 33 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 242 | 323 | 565 | 129 | 238 | 27 | 6 | 278 | 37 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 611 | 119 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 39 | 177 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 243 | 326 | 569 | 131 | 239 | 27 | 6 | 278 | 37 | -20 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2409 | 2240 | 415 | 73 | 8 | 35 | 125 | 926 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 185 | 238 | 272 | 510 | 87 | 294 | 38 | 5 | 223 | 37 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 604 | 112 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 250 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 185 | 238 | 270 | 508 | 84 | 295 | 38 | 5 | 223 | 37 | -20 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 86 PAwOBA .265 → .192 (−73)K% 34.9% → 45.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.88% | ÷0.979 | ×1.270 | — | — | 45.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷0.989 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 4.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.15% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 17.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.77% | ÷1.088 | ×0.810 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 9.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.943 | ×0.850 | ×0.999 | ×0.978 | 1.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .265 → .192; ISO .104 → .070; BABIP .333 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 311 PAwOBA .298 → .210 (−88)K% 33.1% → 43.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.12% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 43.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.79% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.82% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 23.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.146 | ×0.850 | ×0.968 | ×0.988 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.191 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .298 → .210; ISO .144 → .087; BABIP .348 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 200 PAwOBA .261 → .218 (−42)K% 33.5% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.50% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.50% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷0.985 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 21.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 7.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.963 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.81% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 106, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .261 → .218; ISO .064 → .059; BABIP .305 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 450 PAwOBA .325 → .281 (−44)K% 31.1% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.11% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.11% | ÷1.041 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.80% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 27.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.72% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 7.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.25% | ÷1.131 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 3.13% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 104, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .325 → .281; ISO .138 → .113; BABIP .371 → .364. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Tri-City Dust Devils · 130 PAwOBA .231 → .192 (−39)K% 25.4% → 33.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.38% | ÷1.028 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.62% | ÷1.047 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 3.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷1.069 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 21.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.41% | ÷0.913 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 3.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 1.05% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 114, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 106, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .231 → .192; ISO .050 → .043; BABIP .273 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ABurlington Bees · 532 PAwOBA .266 → .194 (−72)K% 30.8% → 43.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.83% | ÷0.973 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.081 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.22% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 21.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.42% | ÷1.017 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 2.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷0.967 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 0.87% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.73% | ÷0.960 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.25% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 107, 2B 103, 3B 93, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .266 → .194; ISO .109 → .080; BABIP .295 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKOrem Owlz · 284 PAwOBA .306 → .221 (−85)K% 23.2% → 33.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 33.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×1.022 | 4.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 19.31% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.022 | 3.13% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .306 → .221; ISO .149 → .102; BABIP .303 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKDanville Braves · 176 PAwOBA .276 → .203 (−73)K% 27.8% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.84% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.038 | 3.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.57% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.038 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.019 | ×1.038 | 22.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.019 | ×1.038 | 5.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.019 | ×1.038 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.038 | 1.47% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 19.5 → +3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .276 → .203; ISO .099 → .069; BABIP .327 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .