Nelson Rada

CF Salt Lake Bees

Age 21 L/L 5'9" / 185 lbs AAA K +5%HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #146MiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP47ETA2029FG ETA2026MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	AAALAA	201	.323/.435/.416	1	20	120	—	.321/.409/.411
2025	19	AALAA	388	.277/.381/.332	1	34	86	—	.263/.342/.319
2026	20	AAALAA	585	.278/.379/.363	3	43	97	—	.281/.355/.358
2027PROJ10% MLB	21	MLBLAA	32	.222/.303/.280	0	2	70	-0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	22	MLBLAA	219	.229/.310/.305	2	13	79	0.3
2029PROJ50% MLB	23	MLBLAA	299	.234/.315/.327	4	18	85	0.6

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$5M2033Arb-2$8M2034Arb-3$10M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed96

Chase%75

BB%74

Whiff%68

Max EV66

K%66

Career WAR2 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 40, comp-based) · star 19% · didn't stick 50%

CompsLuis Durango (age 21) · Yonny Hernández (age 21) · Mallex Smith (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .303 / .280

PA32

HR0

K%22

BB%9

BABIP288

ISO34

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

DEFENSE59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$5M	+1.0	$5M	+$3M
2033	Arb-2	$8M	+1.0	$5M	+$0.8M
2034	Arb-3	$10M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$23M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	16	ROK	DSL Angels	—	206	164	51	12	3	1	26	26	14	27	6	311	446	439	885	128	365	13	13	400	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	439	121	13	6	2	73	98	16	55	11	276	398	346	744	71	348	18	14	340	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	428	100	12	0	1	57	117	8	35	11	234	335	269	603	35	314	23	11	283	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	201	161	52	6	3	1	30	35	2	20	6	323	435	416	851	93	405	17	15	373	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	388	328	91	13	1	1	45	82	10	34	12	277	381	332	714	55	366	21	12	330	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	56	48	11	2	0	0	5	8	3	3	1	229	339	271	610	42	275	14	9	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	585	485	135	22	5	3	72	109	7	43	9	278	379	363	742	85	349	19	12	330	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	206	173	38	9	2	1	17	33	14	27	6	220	338	312	650	92	260	16	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	458	119	12	6	2	54	133	16	55	11	260	358	325	683	66	340	25	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	443	98	11	0	1	42	147	8	35	11	221	300	253	553	32	311	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	201	168	54	6	3	1	23	43	2	20	6	321	409	411	820	89	393	21	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	388	342	90	14	1	1	31	99	10	34	12	263	342	319	661	56	360	26	8	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	585	506	142	21	6	2	51	131	7	43	9	281	355	358	712	77	352	22	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	206	173	38	9	2	1	17	33	14	27	6	220	338	312	650	92	266	16	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	—	206	164	51	12	3	1	26	26	14	27	6	311	446	439	885	128	365	13	13	400	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	458	119	12	6	2	54	133	16	55	11	260	358	325	683	66	359	25	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	439	121	13	6	2	73	98	16	55	11	276	398	346	744	71	348	18	14	340	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	443	98	11	0	1	42	147	8	35	11	221	300	253	553	32	323	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	428	100	12	0	1	57	117	8	35	11	234	335	269	603	35	314	23	11	283	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	3 teams	—	645	558	157	22	4	2	59	155	15	57	19	281	366	346	711	65	385	24	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA RAW	3 teams	—	645	537	154	21	4	2	80	125	15	57	19	287	394	352	746	65	369	19	12	340	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	585	506	142	21	6	2	51	131	7	43	9	281	355	358	712	77	370	22	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	585	485	135	22	5	3	72	109	7	43	9	278	379	363	742	85	349	19	12	330	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	—	206	173	38	9	2	1	17	33	14	27	6	220	338	312	650	92	260	16	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	540	465	119	12	6	2	54	133	16	55	11	256	358	320	678	65	340	25	10	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	447	98	11	0	1	42	147	8	35	11	219	300	251	551	31	311	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	3 teams	—	645	566	157	22	4	2	59	155	15	57	19	277	366	341	706	64	371	24	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	585	522	142	21	6	2	51	131	7	43	9	272	355	347	701	75	352	22	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	502	447	98	11	0	1	42	147	8	35	11	219	300	251	551	31	311	29	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	AA MLE	3 teams	—	645	566	157	22	4	2	59	155	15	57	19	277	366	341	706	64	371	24	9	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	585	522	142	21	6	2	51	131	7	43	9	272	355	347	701	75	352	22	9	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	LAA	10%	648	577	128	19	4	2	57	142	9	38	10	224	304	283	587	59	290	22	9	272	70	-23	+4	+3	+2	+14	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	21	MLB CTX	LAA	10%	32	29	6	1	0	0	3	7	0	2	1	222	303	280	583	58	288	22	9	271	70	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	LAA	38%	570	506	116	17	3	5	51	122	8	34	9	230	311	308	619	77	290	21	9	284	79	-15	+3	+3	+2	+12	0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	LAA	50%	597	530	126	19	4	8	54	125	8	36	9	236	316	329	645	93	291	21	9	294	85	-10	+4	+3	+2	+13	1.2
2030	24	MLB MLE	LAA	54%	615	545	131	20	4	10	56	128	9	37	10	239	320	343	663	104	292	21	9	301	90	-7	+3	+4	+2	+13	1.6
2031	25	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	627	555	134	20	4	11	58	131	9	38	10	241	322	351	672	110	293	21	9	305	92	-6	+4	+4	+2	+14	1.8
2032	26	MLB MLE	LAA	56%	634	562	136	21	4	12	58	132	9	38	10	241	322	355	677	114	292	21	9	306	93	-5	+4	+4	+2	+14	1.9
2033	27	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	634	563	136	21	4	12	58	133	8	37	10	240	321	352	673	112	292	21	9	305	92	-6	+3	+4	+2	+14	1.8
2034	28	MLB MLE	LAA	55%	629	558	132	20	3	11	58	134	8	34	9	238	319	348	667	109	291	21	9	302	91	-7	+3	+3	+2	+14	1.6
2035	29	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	619	549	130	20	3	11	57	133	8	29	8	236	316	342	658	105	290	21	9	299	88	-9	+3	+2	+2	+13	1.2
2036	30	MLB MLE	LAA	53%	609	542	126	19	3	10	55	133	7	24	7	233	313	334	647	101	289	22	9	294	85	-11	+2	+2	+2	+13	0.9
2037	31	MLB MLE	LAA	56%	595	530	122	18	3	9	53	132	7	17	6	229	308	325	633	95	286	22	9	289	82	-13	+1	+1	+2	+13	0.4
2038	32	MLB MLE	LAA	59%	576	513	116	17	3	8	51	131	7	11	5	224	303	313	616	88	283	23	9	282	77	-16	+0	+0	+2	+12	-0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	LAA	38%	219	194	44	6	1	2	20	47	3	13	3	229	310	305	615	76	289	21	9	283	79	-6	+1	+1	+1	+5	0.3
2029	23	MLB CTX	LAA	50%	299	266	62	9	2	4	27	63	4	18	5	234	315	327	642	92	290	21	9	293	85	-5	+2	+2	+1	+6	0.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	LAA	54%	329	291	69	10	2	5	30	68	5	20	5	238	319	341	660	103	290	21	9	300	90	-4	+2	+2	+1	+7	0.9
2031	25	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	345	305	73	11	2	6	32	72	5	21	5	240	321	349	670	110	291	21	9	304	92	-3	+2	+2	+1	+7	1.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	LAA	56%	354	313	75	11	2	7	33	74	5	21	6	240	321	353	674	113	290	21	9	305	93	-3	+2	+2	+1	+8	1.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	349	309	74	11	2	7	32	73	5	20	5	239	320	351	670	112	290	21	9	304	92	-3	+2	+2	+1	+8	1.0
2034	28	MLB CTX	LAA	55%	344	305	73	11	2	6	32	73	4	18	5	237	318	346	664	109	289	21	9	301	91	-4	+2	+2	+1	+7	0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	330	293	69	10	2	6	30	71	4	16	4	235	315	340	655	105	288	22	9	298	88	-5	+2	+1	+1	+7	0.7
2036	30	MLB CTX	LAA	53%	320	284	67	10	2	5	29	70	4	13	4	232	312	333	645	100	287	22	9	293	85	-6	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.5
2037	31	MLB CTX	LAA	56%	336	299	69	10	2	5	30	75	4	10	3	228	307	323	631	95	285	22	9	288	82	-7	+1	+1	+1	+7	0.2
2038	32	MLB CTX	LAA	59%	341	304	69	10	2	5	30	77	4	6	3	223	302	311	613	88	281	23	9	281	77	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3566	3163	744	109	21	58	325	763	47	176	48	235	316	338	654	103	290	21	9	296	86	-55	+16	+16	+13	+77	6.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	136	20	4	11	59	139	9	32	9	236	317	341	658	106	290	21	9	296	86	-10	+3	+3	+2	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	9503	8375	2023	297	58	116	860	2103	153	571	154	242	323	332	656	91	307	22	9	295	86	-115	+32	+32	+25	+152	12.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	138	20	4	8	59	144	10	39	11	241	322	332	654	91	307	22	9	295	86	-11	+3	+3	+2	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bill Bruton'53-'64 * career totals — 12 seasons, 6,668 PA	10.0	6,668	94	207	266*	321*	398*	+23	+37	25.3	22.2
/162	664	9	21	+2.3	+3.7	2.5	pk7: 19
#2Michael Bournlast yr '16 career totals — 10 seasons, 5,312 PA	8.0	5,312	36	340	266	330	358	+17	+56	22.0	21.6
/162	664	4	42	+2.1	+7.0	2.8	pk7: 21
#3Corey Pattersonlast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,422 PA	6.7	4,422	116	215	254	292	403	-2	+56	15.8	16.6
/162	664	17	32	-0.3	+8.4	2.4	pk7: 17
#4Gary Pettis'82-'92 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,237 PA	6.4	4,237	21	354	234*	332*	326*	+14	+45	14.6	13.8
/162	664	3	55	+2.2	+7.1	2.3	pk7: 13
#5Omar Moreno'75-'86 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,481 PA	8.3	5,481	37	487	246*	304*	367*	+13	+49	12.5	13.1
/162	664	4	59	+1.6	+6.0	1.5	pk7: 14
#6Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.4	3,600	57	178	237	313	338	+13	+24	7.1	6.6
/162	664	11	33	+2.4	+4.3	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nelson Rada (OGILVIE)	21	49→55	30→34	59	59	222/302/280	59	290	1	19	22%	9%	70	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Durango 2024 · A	21	47	35→30	57→70	48	219/296/278	59	287	3	29	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/289/285	58	305	2	36	24%	5%	65	-1.2	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Yonny Hernández 2019 · AA	21	49→59	35→30	56→60	53	229/308/291	62	282	2	27	18%	9%	74	-0.5	240/331/296	56	307	2	27	20%	10%	84	+0.2	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	49→59	37→45	58→65	48	231/303/301	70	302	5	34	24%	8%	75	-0.5	263/326/356	93	344	5	44	23%	8%	95	+1.0	278/341/377	99	360	5	52	22%	8%	102	+1.1
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2011 · AA	21	49→59	39→45	58→60	49	233/290/320	87	278	6	29	18%	7%	74	-0.6	262/305/359	97	304	7	19	16%	6%	88	+0.4	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Enrique Bradfield Jr. 2024 · A	22	49→51	38→40	62→65	57	230/329/306	76	292	5	37	21%	11%	86	+0.3	227/294/309	82	297	5	50	23%	8%	73	-0.6	227/294/309	81	301	5	57	24%	8%	71	-0.5
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2013 · AA	22	53→59	38→40	59→55	46	250/303/339	90	320	4	24	22%	7%	82	+0.0	226/285/311	85	308	5	23	26%	7%	70	-0.9	201/259/269	69	292	5	20	31%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Rey Fuentes 2013 · AA	22	47→57	38→40	57→60	40	220/273/301	81	311	5	27	30%	6%	63	-1.4	261/313/355	94	344	7	29	24%	6%	90	+0.6	283/333/378	95	362	7	33	22%	6%	99	+0.9
✕Josh Anderson 2006 · AA	23	55→63	36→40	60	42	257/292/329	72	309	2	33	18%	4%	76	-0.4	273/308/345	72	323	3	32	16%	4%	85	+0.2	284/319/355	72	333	3	35	15%	4%	89	+0.6
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2016 · A	21	52	35→30	60	58	235/338/301	66	307	2	25	21%	12%	88	+0.5	219/281/293	74	322	4	19	30%	7%	64	-1.3	223/263/298	74	316	6	25	30%	5%	55	-0.6
✕Brandon Roberts 2007 · A	22	53→61	37→40	56→55	43	250/297/318	68	311	4	28	20%	5%	76	-0.4	257/305/325	68	314	4	19	18%	5%	80	-0.1	277/332/344	68	330	4	22	16%	5%	92	+0.4
●Elvis Andrus 2010 · MLB	21	54→61	39→50	60	48	259/315/348	89	312	6	34	19%	7%	89	+0.5	263/329/333	70	306	4	28	14%	8%	91	+0.7	276/328/411	135	308	11	19	14%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Alexi Casilla 2006 · AAA	22	57→65	37→40	58→60	48	268/319/341	73	307	5	32	14%	6%	88	+0.5	268/320/339	71	312	4	29	14%	6%	88	+0.5	267/322/334	67	308	4	27	14%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Adrian Pinto 2024 · A	21	48	38→45	56→65	53	222/315/303	82	283	4	25	21%	10%	81	-0.1	237/306/380	143	292	14	11	23%	8%	95	+0.9	237/306/381	144	288	10	4	20%	8%	90	+0.2
●Emilio Bonifácio 2006 · A	21	52→62	35→40	57→65	46	242/294/303	61	308	2	26	21%	7%	70	-0.8	268/310/349	81	345	4	30	22%	6%	87	+0.4	272/337/355	83	348	3	41	21%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	46→51	34→30	57→65	50	211/292/259	47	300	2	32	28%	10%	61	-1.5	216/303/273	57	308	3	41	27%	11%	69	-0.9	214/299/272	58	299	5	52	27%	10%	65	-1.0
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	47→57	36→30	59→60	48	221/294/290	69	297	4	31	25%	8%	69	-0.9	221/290/293	72	294	3	23	24%	8%	68	-1.0	228/303/293	65	301	0	28	22%	9%	70	-0.5
✕Travis Jankowski 2014 · A	23	54→63	35→40	61→65	45	248/298/312	64	324	2	37	23%	6%	74	-0.5	257/315/331	74	327	3	34	20%	8%	84	+0.2	268/334/344	76	339	3	37	20%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Shawn O'Malley 2011 · AA	23	47→57	35→40	57→60	47	217/301/275	58	294	2	26	25%	8%	69	-0.9	233/296/303	70	299	3	24	21%	7%	72	-0.7	259/320/356	97	321	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Gabriel Mejia 2017 · A	22	52	34→30	58→70	51	241/306/298	57	298	1	34	19%	8%	74	-0.5	213/262/265	52	285	1	16	24%	6%	50	-2.3	211/257/249	37	274	0	19	22%	5%	43	-0.8
✕José Peraza 2015 · AA	21	59→67	37→45	65	42	280/309/362	81	327	3	40	15%	3%	89	+0.5	269/297/350	81	308	5	32	14%	3%	82	+0.0	275/311/366	91	307	8	25	13%	4%	91	+0.7

Nelson Rada

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps