Brayan Cabello P DSL Giants Black
Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.1%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.8%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP
K: -2.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-2KBB: -0.5 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: +4.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+4CONTACTSTAM: +1.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.31 (39 IP)+0.3WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202218ROKDSL Giants Black17025118231610%1.513.3%16.9%-3.7%1.0%3.654.69
202218ROKDSL Giants Black17025118231610%1.519.5%13.6%5.9%0.8%3.653.71
202319ROKDSL Giants Black137331523812254%2.517.0%9.9%7.1%1.5%6.273.73
202319ROKDSL Giants Black137331523812254%2.525.0%7.9%17.1%1.3%6.272.68
202420ROKDSL Giants Orange17030131311330%1.816.1%12.4%3.7%3.9%4.805.44
202420ROKDSL Giants Orange17030131311330%1.823.7%9.9%13.7%2.3%4.803.63
202521ROKDSL Giants Orange1602811818820%1.810.4%8.5%1.9%2.6%3.814.70
202521ROKDSL Giants Orange1602811818820%1.815.3%6.8%8.5%1.7%3.813.59
▸ 2026 Season
202622ROKDSL Giants Black110228115700%2.012.6%10.8%1.8%0.0%1.643.40+0.3
ROS22MLBSF170177316720%1.022.1%9.3%12.8%3.0%4.434.43+0.0
ROS22MLBSF022.1%9.3%12.8%3.0%4.434.43
2026 TOT22MLBSF391543114220.2%9.0%11.3%1.4%2.873.86+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBSF190208419720%1.123.0%8.8%14.2%2.9%4.334.28+0.1
202723MLBSF100104210410%1.023.0%8.8%14.2%2.9%4.334.28+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career90104210410%1.123.0%8.8%14.2%2.9%4.333.90+0.1
/ 200 IP190020084420381200%1.123.0%8.8%14.2%2.9%4.333.90+3.5
Career7471386008570129%1.914.2%11.7%2.5%1.9%4.244.44+1.5
/ 200 IP10710200870123101179%1.914.2%11.7%2.5%1.9%4.244.44+2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Brayan Cabello (OGILVIE) 4.43 22.1%9.3%3.0% 4.28 23.0%14.2%20 -0.15
Kyle Zurak R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 22 SU 3.96 21.2%9.4%2.6%.302 3.48 16.7%7.5%121 -0.48 3.28 181 92
Cody Palmquist R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 22 SU 4.04 21.9%9.0%3.0%.278 5.78 14.7%7.1%62 +1.74 4.04 104 92
Addison Russ R 2026 · 3.90 FIP 22 SU 3.90 22.2%7.9%3.1%.324 3.02 25.6%17.5%121 -0.88 2.96 194 91
Michael Gomez R 2026 · 3.38 FIP 22 SU 3.38 22.6%9.2%1.9%.283 3.78 17.9%8.3%110 +0.40 3.33 286 90
Heath Holder R 2027 · 4.16 FIP 23 SU 4.16 21.1%10.1%2.8%.287 3.13 22.3%13.1%247 -1.03 2.74 367 90
Chris Gau R 2025 · 4.76 FIP 21 SU 4.76 20.0%8.6%4.1%.290 3.23 29.5%23.5%37 -1.53 2.88 211 88
Corey Copping R 2026 · 4.12 FIP 22 SU 4.12 21.4%8.7%3.1%.265 4.55 19.6%6.7%179 +0.43 3.41 214 87
Tyler Bray R 2027 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.3%9.1%3.1%.356 3.17 17.9%7.6%114 -0.91 2.81 152 87
Owen Holt R 2027 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.7%10.2%2.3%.258 4.52 18.7%6.4%107 +0.63 3.89 145 87
Kevin Coulter R 2026 · 3.27 FIP 22 SU 3.27 21.0%7.4%1.8%.287 4.31 16.1%7.6%92 +1.04 3.27 128 86
David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 21.7%10.0%2.6%.282 4.65 19.8%5.2%98 +0.71 3.94 154 86
Luke Bell R 2027 · 3.89 FIP 23 SU 3.89 20.4%9.9%2.3%.295 5.85 13.1%1.3%66 +1.96 3.89 110 86
Reilly Hovis R 2027 · 4.03 FIP 23 SU 4.03 21.1%7.7%3.2%.250 4.41 19.8%6.4%50 +0.38 4.03 130 86
Devon Roedahl R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 19.7%6.7%3.0%.305 4.92 16.5%9.2%100 +0.98 3.94 122 86
Collin Kober R 2026 · 3.39 FIP 22 SU 3.39 21.3%7.5%2.1%.268 3.04 24.0%17.9%128 -0.35 2.40 294 86
Kenny Oakley R 2026 · 3.50 FIP 22 SU 3.50 23.8%9.1%2.3%.348 3.65 17.3%7.8%115 +0.15 3.00 144 86
Ricardo Velez R 2028 · 4.48 FIP 24 SU 4.48 22.4%10.9%3.5%.261 4.12 18.8%8.1%138 -0.36 3.77 166 86
Peyton Williams R 2027 · 3.53 FIP 23 SU 3.53 22.3%10.3%1.8%.311 5.00 22.2%10.2%100 +1.47 3.53 123 85
Sean Boyle R 2025 · 4.70 FIP 21 SU 4.70 21.3%7.8%4.4%.342 2.85 22.6%15.3%86 -1.85 2.85 496 84
Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.74 FIP 22 SU 4.74 18.5%8.6%3.8%.298 4.94 14.8%4.1%103 +0.20 4.74 149 84