Eider Machuca — OGILVIE

Eider Machuca P FCL Twins

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119111vR 103

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%22.9%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%12.3%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	13	1	13	86	23	25	1	8%	1.0	18.2%	36.3%	-18.2%	1.6%	16.20	7.03	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	13	1	13	86	23	25	1	8%	1.0	26.7%	29.1%	-2.3%	1.2%	16.20	6.25	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	12	0	17	89	26	17	1	0%	1.4	19.9%	23.9%	-4.0%	1.6%	5.71	5.31	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	12	0	17	89	26	17	1	0%	1.4	29.2%	19.1%	10.1%	1.1%	5.71	3.79	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	8	2	18	80	17	10	1	25%	2.2	14.5%	15.6%	-1.2%	2.0%	3.00	4.94	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	8	2	18	80	17	10	1	25%	2.2	14.5%	15.6%	-1.2%	2.0%	3.00	4.94	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	8	2	18	80	17	10	1	25%	2.2	21.2%	12.5%	8.8%	1.2%	3.00	3.60	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	6	0	8	31	6	3	0	0%	1.3	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	0.0%	3.38	2.69	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	6	0	8	31	6	3	0	0%	1.3	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	0.0%	3.38	2.69	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	6	0	8	31	6	3	0	0%	1.3	19.4%	9.7%	9.7%	0.0%	3.38	2.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	MIN	10	0	11	46	11	5	1	0%	1.1	22.9%	10.6%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIN	19	0	20	84	20	8	2	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.8%	13.9%	3.0%	4.41	4.34	+0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIN	10	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.0	23.7%	9.8%	13.9%	3.0%	4.41	4.34	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	4	1	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.8%	13.9%	3.0%	4.41	3.96	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	81	20	0%	1.1	23.7%	9.8%	13.9%	3.0%	4.41	3.96	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		39	3	57	286	51	68	4	8%	1.5	17.8%	23.8%	-6.0%	1.5%	6.99	5.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		138	11	200	1009	180	240	15	8%	1.5	17.8%	23.8%	-6.0%	1.5%	6.99	5.44	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eider Machuca (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	22.9%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.34	23.7%	13.9%	20	-0.19	—	—	—
Heath Holder R 2016 · 4.16 FIP	23	SU	4.16	21.1%	10.1%	2.8%	.287	3.30	22.3%	13.1%	247	-0.86	2.94	367	89
Peyton Williams R 2021 · 3.69 FIP	23	SU	3.69	22.3%	10.3%	2.1%	.311	4.82	22.2%	10.2%	100	+1.13	3.69	123	88
Cody Palmquist R 2016 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	21.9%	9.0%	3.5%	.278	6.02	14.7%	7.1%	62	+1.71	4.31	104	87
Corey Copping R 2016 · 4.13 FIP	22	SU	4.13	21.4%	8.7%	3.1%	.265	4.55	19.6%	6.7%	179	+0.42	3.38	214	87
Caleb Freeman R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	21	SU	3.98	24.6%	12.9%	2.4%	.267	5.15	21.7%	8.1%	58	+1.17	3.98	225	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Kyle Zurak R 2017 · 3.96 FIP	22	SU	3.96	21.2%	9.4%	2.6%	.302	3.42	16.7%	7.5%	121	-0.54	3.20	181	86
Jorge Julio R 2001 · 3.48 FIP	22	SU	3.48	22.2%	9.1%	2.0%	.348	4.31	20.4%	10.1%	199	+0.83	3.48	467	86
Kenny Oakley R 2016 · 3.50 FIP	22	SU	3.50	23.8%	9.1%	2.3%	.348	3.87	17.3%	7.8%	115	+0.37	3.13	144	86
Addison Russ R 2017 · 3.62 FIP	22	SU	3.62	22.2%	7.9%	2.5%	.324	3.09	25.6%	17.5%	121	-0.53	3.08	194	85
Nic Enright R 2019 · 3.63 FIP	22	SU	3.63	24.6%	12.2%	1.9%	.263	3.01	29.6%	23.5%	124	-0.62	0.43	249	85
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	85
Mason Fox R 2018 · 3.59 FIP	21	SU	3.59	21.9%	11.5%	1.6%	.260	6.72	21.3%	4.8%	30	+3.13	3.59	112	85
Tyler Bray R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	23	SU	4.07	22.3%	9.1%	3.1%	.356	3.21	17.9%	7.6%	114	-0.86	2.82	152	85
Cam Bedrosian R 2014 · 3.94 FIP	22	SU	3.94	21.5%	11.8%	2.1%	.350	2.72	26.8%	17.8%	154	-1.22	1.79	363	85
Cole Gordon R 2019 · 4.09 FIP	23	SU	4.09	22.0%	12.7%	2.3%	.243	5.19	20.9%	9.5%	83	+1.10	4.09	112	84
Chris Gau R 2018 · 4.76 FIP	21	SU	4.76	20.0%	8.6%	4.1%	.290	3.19	29.5%	23.5%	37	-1.57	2.96	211	84
Owen Holt R 2022 · 3.72 FIP	23	SU	3.72	20.7%	10.2%	2.0%	.258	4.51	18.7%	6.4%	107	+0.79	3.72	145	84
Tyler Mitzel R 2019 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	24.1%	12.0%	3.2%	.245	4.10	22.4%	14.3%	96	-0.24	4.03	142	84
Collin Kober R 2017 · 3.39 FIP	22	SU	3.39	21.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.268	2.76	24.0%	17.9%	128	-0.63	2.38	294	84